CVR Energy, Inc (NYSE:CVI) Reverts Wynnewood RDU and Shifts Near-Term Output Upward

Operational repositioning at Wynnewood and a cluster of technical buy signals create a permissive near-term upside bias, while valuation metrics and leverage keep longer-term caution elevated.

Recent News

Nov 21, 2025 — Coverage pieces noted a strong one‑year total return for the stock. Dec 3, 2025 — Broker consensus aggregated as “strong sell” from multiple firms. Late December 2025 — CVR completed reversion of the Wynnewood renewable diesel unit to hydrocarbon processing. Jan 26–28, 2026 — Industry outlets and sector press reported the company’s operational pause of renewable diesel production and confirmation the RDU reversion finished in December, reducing domestic renewable diesel capacity by roughly 100 million gallons per year.

Technical Analysis

ADX / DI+ / DI-: ADX at 34.9 indicates a strong directional regime. DI+ sits at 19.09 and is increasing, a bullish sign; DI- at 32.06 shows a peak-and-reversal pattern, which also reads bullish under directional rules despite DI- remaining numerically higher. Together these directional indicators suggest a nascent shift toward bullish directional control even as prior downside pressure lingers.

MACD: MACD at -1.50 has completed a dip-and-reversal and now trades above its -1.70 signal line, a bullish momentum confirmation that supports near-term upside pressure on price.

MRO: MRO at -21.27 indicates the market price sits below the model target, implying upside potential; the oscillator’s increasing trend reinforces that potential is firming.

RSI and Price vs Moving Averages: RSI at 34.92 shows a dip-and-reversal from near-oversold levels, consistent with the MACD signal. Price closed at $22.49, below the 12‑day EMA ($23.06), 20‑day average ($23.24) and substantially below the 50‑day ($27.88) and 200‑day ($28.80) averages; this places current momentum gains within a still-below-average price context and identifies moving averages and the supertrend upper at $24.79 as near-term resistances.

Bands & Ichimoku: Price sits close to the lower Bollinger band ($22.03), limiting immediate downside space relative to the band width, while the Ichimoku cloud (Senkou A $31.82 / Senkou B $34.51) remains overhead and signals longer-term resistance to any extended rally.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability & Margins: EBIT of $514M and EBITDA of $626M underlie an EBIT margin of 26.44%, above the industry peer mean of 6.756% and approaching the industry peer high of 30.204%. Gross margin stands at 28.70% and operating margin at 26.54%, both supportive of strong margin generation relative to typical mid‑cycle refining peers.

Revenue And Earnings Trends: Sequential dynamics show QoQ revenue growth of 48.73% while year‑over‑year revenue sits down about 2.53%. EPS outperformed consensus this period: actual EPS $0.40 versus estimate $0.23, an EPS surprise of approximately 73.91%.

Liquidity, Cash Flow & Capital Structure: Cash and short‑term investments total $670M with free cash flow of $120M and a free cash flow yield of 3.61%, above the industry peer mean of 2.44%. Current ratio near 1.96 and quick ratio 1.28 provide working capital cover, but net debt of $1,133M and debt/EBITDA roughly 2.97x reflect meaningful leverage. Debt to assets at 46.52% and debt to equity of 2.21x underscore capital structure risk if margins compress.

Returns: Return on equity registers at 44.52% and return on assets at 9.38%, each signaling efficient capital conversion in the current margin environment, though QoQ and YoY return metrics show recent deceleration.

Valuation: Market multiples run rich on several fronts—P/E about 82.75, price/book ~3.96 (well above the industry peer mean of 0.693), and forward P/E extremely elevated—while enterprise multiple near 7.21 and free cash flow yield modestly positive. The current valuation as determined by WMDST: over‑valued.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-10-29
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-01-28
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 596.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 163.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -43.00 M
 Change In Working Capital -481.00 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 74.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 670.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.9 B
 Forward Revenue 27.9 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.4 B
 Depreciation 112.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 112.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.4 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 558.0 M
 EBITDA 626.0 M
 EBIT 514.0 M
 Operating Income 516.0 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 25.0 M
 Net Interest Income -25.00 M
 Income Before Tax 489.0 M
 Tax Provision 88.0 M
 Tax Rate 17.9 %
 Net Income 374.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 401.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.23
 EPS Actual 0.40
 EPS Difference 0.17
 EPS Surprise 73.913 %
 Forward EPS 0.21
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 4.0 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 840.0 M
 Total Current Assets 1.5 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 670.0 M
 Cash 670.0 M
 Net Receivables 253.0 M
 Inventory 509.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 408.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 437.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 14.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 755.0 M
 Net Debt 1.1 B
 Total Debt 1.9 B
 Total Liabilities 3.0 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 840.0 M
 Retained Earnings -667.00 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 8.36
 Shares Outstanding 100.531 M
 Revenue Per-Share 19.34
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 3.3 B
 Enterprise Value 4.5 B
 Enterprise Multiple 7.212
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -104.336 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -113.071 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 31.539
median: 31.539
mean: 23.69
CVI: 7.212
low: -53.099
 EV/R 2.322
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 4.752
 Asset To Liability 1.353
 Debt To Capital 0.689
 Debt To Assets 0.465
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.263 %
Debt To Assets YoY 22481.553 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.466
median: 0.564
mean: 0.558
CVI: 0.465
low: 0.004
 Debt To Equity 2.211
Debt To Equity QoQ -45.115 %
Debt To Equity YoY 18555.781 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA CVI: 2.211
high: 1.818
median: 1.818
mean: 0.808
low: -3.312
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 3.961
Price To Book QoQ -31.901 %
Price To Book YoY 8.827 %
Price To Book IPRWA CVI: 3.961
high: 2.081
median: 1.26
mean: 0.693
low: -2.254
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 82.75
Price To Earnings QoQ -172.954 %
Price To Earnings YoY -269.286 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 119.893
CVI: 82.75
median: 44.432
mean: 36.046
low: -68.228
 PE/G Ratio -0.302
 Price To Sales (P/S) 1.712
Price To Sales QoQ 11.198 %
Price To Sales YoY 27.696 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 2.658
CVI: 1.712
mean: 1.269
low: 1.157
median: 1.157
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 570.617
Forward PE/G -2.083
Forward P/S 485.179
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -58.115
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.487
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 13.975 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 4.792 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA CVI: 0.487
high: 0.391
median: 0.374
mean: 0.347
low: 0.062
 Receivables Turnover 7.807
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 25.244 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 23.306 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA CVI: 7.807
high: 6.223
median: 5.723
mean: 5.256
low: 2.141
 Inventory Turnover 2.739
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -18.53 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -25.198 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 6.91
median: 4.776
mean: 3.929
CVI: 2.739
low: 1.147
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 11.688
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 14.507
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -1.954 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -7.603 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 94.279
mean: 23.094
median: 14.688
CVI: 14.507
low: -25.082
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 2.689
 CapEx To Revenue -0.022
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.384
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 2.6 B
 Net Invested Capital 2.6 B
 Invested Capital 2.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 840.0 M
 Net Working Capital 723.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.887
 Current Ratio 1.958
Current Ratio QoQ 67.494 %
Current Ratio YoY 46.682 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 3.114
median: 3.114
mean: 2.49
CVI: 1.958
low: 0.045
 Quick Ratio 1.283
Quick Ratio QoQ 71.944 %
Quick Ratio YoY 48.794 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.501
median: 2.501
mean: 1.918
CVI: 1.283
low: 0.031
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 2.966
 Cost Of Debt 1.099 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 20.56
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -704.706 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -436.436 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA CVI: 20.56
high: 6.075
mean: 2.418
median: 2.13
low: -0.997
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.592
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 22.426
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 0.201 %
 Revenue Growth 10.392 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 48.733 %
Revenue Growth YoY -252.554 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 13.297 %
median: 11.911 %
CVI: 10.392 %
mean: 7.896 %
low: -18.954 %
 Earnings Growth -273.913 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 237.547 %
Earnings Growth YoY -58.217 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 414.286 %
median: 5.505 %
mean: -41.817 %
CVI: -273.913 %
low: -400.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 28.704 %
Gross Margin QoQ -843.434 %
Gross Margin YoY -820.663 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 47.823 %
CVI: 28.704 %
mean: 14.635 %
median: 8.074 %
low: -0.098 %
 EBIT Margin 26.44 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -556.492 %
EBIT Margin YoY -540.593 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 30.204 %
CVI: 26.44 %
mean: 6.756 %
median: 4.625 %
low: -20.024 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 26.543 %
Return On Sales QoQ -549.424 %
Return On Sales YoY -542.31 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 30.547 %
CVI: 26.543 %
mean: 5.99 %
median: 4.227 %
low: -17.532 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 120.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 3.606 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -851.25 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 638.934 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 5.183 %
CVI: 3.606 %
median: 3.496 %
mean: 2.435 %
low: -6.085 %
 Free Cash Growth -1023.077 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 971.262 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -1123.077 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 193.976 %
median: 193.976 %
mean: 65.97 %
low: -432.653 %
CVI: -1023.077 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.321
 Cash Flow Margin 22.994 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.195
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 9.378 %
Return On Assets QoQ -438.678 %
Return On Assets YoY -397.998 %
Return On Assets IPRWA CVI: 9.378 %
high: 1.243 %
median: 0.824 %
mean: 0.593 %
low: -2.344 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 15.879 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.445
Return On Equity QoQ -281.998 %
Return On Equity YoY -342.373 %
Return On Equity IPRWA CVI: 0.445
high: 0.078
median: 0.024
mean: 0.018
low: -0.075
 DuPont ROE 57.275 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 15.966 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -620.404 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -19.974 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 16.003 %
CVI: 15.966 %
mean: 3.177 %
median: 1.72 %
low: -19.245 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term price bias tilts bullish: a confluence of MACD dip-and-reversal, DI+ increase, DI- peak-and-reverse, rising MRO, and an RSI rebound create momentum cues favoring a relief rally from current sub‑$24 levels. Operationally, the Wynnewood RDU reversion completed in December reduces renewable exposure and reallocates hydrocracker capacity into refining margins, offering a tangible catalyst for improved petroleum segment throughput over the coming weeks. Offsetting that, the stock trades below key moving averages, carries elevated leverage, and remains flagged as over‑valued on WMDST’s framework; those factors limit the upside runway and raise re‑acceleration risk if refining spreads deteriorate or fertilizer volumes remain constrained after the Coffeyville turnaround. Expect heightened intraday and swing volatility as the market digests operational benefits versus valuation and leverage constraints; technical resistance near $24.8–$25.7 and the Ichimoku cloud overhead will define whether momentum graduates into a broader recovery or stalls into consolidation.

About CVR Energy, Inc.

CVR Energy, Inc. (NYSE:CVI), headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas, plays a significant role in the energy sector, concentrating on petroleum refining and nitrogen fertilizer production. Through its Petroleum segment, CVR Energy refines crude oil into essential products like gasoline, diesel, and other refined fuels. The company operates refineries strategically located in southeast Kansas and Wynnewood, Oklahoma, ensuring a steady supply to a wide range of clients, including retailers, railroads, and farm cooperatives. Its logistics network supports efficient distribution, enhancing its market reach. In the Nitrogen Fertilizer segment, CVR Energy utilizes pet coke gasification technology to manufacture nitrogen-based fertilizers. Facilities in North America and East Dubuque, Illinois, produce ammonia, urea ammonium nitrate (UAN), and other agricultural inputs vital for crop yield enhancement. These products serve both agricultural and industrial markets, underscoring their importance in the agricultural supply chain. As a subsidiary of Icahn Enterprises Holdings L.P., CVR Energy integrates a long-standing legacy with contemporary practices, contributing to the energy and agricultural sectors’ growth and sustainability.



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