Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE:DVN) Signals Near-Term Strength After Momentum Shift

Momentum metrics and short-term price structure tilt toward upside, while cash generation and margins support an undervalued verdict by WMDST. Near-term price action should track confirmation from volume and trend strength.

Recent News

On Dec. 30, 2025 Devon announced CEO Clay Gaspar will speak on a panel at the Goldman Sachs Energy, Cleantech & Utilities Conference, with the event webcast and replay availability noted by the company.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 24.11 indicates an emerging trend strength that gives directional indicators room to influence near-term price bias.

DI+ stands at 28.61 and shows an increasing trajectory, a bullish directional signal; DI- at 17.14 shows a decreasing trajectory, confirming reduced downside pressure and reinforcing the bullish directional reading.

MACD reads 0.55 with a dip-and-reversal pattern and sits above its signal line at 0.29; that cross above the signal line confirms a momentum pickup consistent with near-term upside bias.

MRO at -5.8 registers negative, which implies the price sits below the model target and therefore carries measured upside potential toward fair-value anchors used in valuation.

RSI at 55.76 shows a dip-and-reversal placement in neutral-to-firm territory, supporting a constructive short-term momentum picture without clear overbought extremes.

Price closed at $39.45, above the 12-day and 26-day EMAs and above the 20-day average; the price trades above the 1x upper Bollinger band ($38.58) and approaches the 2x upper band ($40.16), indicating strength with a modest short-term extension that requires volume confirmation. Short-term EMAs display a dip-and-reversal alignment consistent with the MACD signal.

Volume on the session registered ~6.8 million versus a 50-day average near 8.38 million, indicating the recent upside advanced with below-average participation and therefore benefits from additional confirming sessions to validate a sustained move.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Operational profit metrics remain a relative strength. EBIT totaled $1.037B, with an EBIT margin of 23.94%, above the industry peer mean EBIT margin of 14.84%; however, EBIT margin fell QoQ by 20.30% and fell YoY by 17.08%, reflecting quarter-to-quarter compression despite still-high absolute margin levels.

EBITDA reached $1.916B and operating income measured $982M; operating margin stood at 22.67% and declined YoY by 21.48%, pointing to margin pressure when compared to prior periods even as absolute profitability stays material.

Earnings per share came in at $1.04 versus an estimate of $0.94, a positive EPS difference of $0.10 and an EPS surprise of 10.64%, signaling recent upside to consensus versus expectations.

Cash generation shows constructive dynamics. Free cash flow totaled $623M, producing a free cash flow yield of 2.96%, which sits above the industry peer mean free cash flow yield of 1.86% and supports the company’s capacity for capital returns. Operating cash flow registered $745M while capital expenditures totaled -$1.067B for the period, illustrating ongoing investment alongside meaningful cash returns.

Balance-sheet and leverage metrics show manageable serviceability but elevated net leverage. Net debt stands at $7.113B with debt-to-EBITDA near 4.46x and interest coverage at 8.30x, the latter above the industry peer mean interest coverage of 7.00x and indicating adequate coverage while leverage remains a watch item.

Market multiples: trailing P/E near 32.17 and forward P/E near 30.70 reflect market expectations for continued earnings; P/B at 1.37 sits below the industry peer mean P/B of 1.55. Revenue growth registered 1.10% year-over-year while revenue growth QoQ contracted materially, and free cash flow growth shows a positive trajectory over the period examined despite short-term QoQ softness.

Capital allocation signals include a dividend yield near 0.72% with a dividend payout ratio of 21.98% and dividend coverage near 4.55x, consistent with a capacity to sustain distributions while prioritizing debt management and reinvestment.

Valuation conclusion: WMDST values the stock as under-valued, a view bolstered by above-mean free cash flow yield and high absolute margins, tempered by recent margin compression and leverage metrics that warrant monitoring.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-04
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 1.8 B
 Operating Cash Flow 745.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -1.07 B
 Change In Working Capital -62.00 M
 Dividends Paid -151.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta -481.00 M
 End Period Cash Flow 1.3 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 4.3 B
 Forward Revenue 1.1 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 3.2 B
 Depreciation 25.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 25.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 3.3 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 1.1 B
 EBITDA 1.9 B
 EBIT 1.0 B
 Operating Income 982.0 M
 Interest Income 18.0 M
 Interest Expense 125.0 M
 Net Interest Income -109.00 M
 Income Before Tax 912.0 M
 Tax Provision 219.0 M
 Tax Rate 24.0 %
 Net Income 687.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 693.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.94
 EPS Actual 1.04
 EPS Difference 0.10
 EPS Surprise 10.638 %
 Forward EPS 1.11
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 31.2 B
 Intangible Assets 753.0 M
 Net Tangible Assets 14.6 B
 Total Current Assets 3.9 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 1.3 B
 Cash 1.3 B
 Net Receivables 1.8 B
 Inventory 361.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 386.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 934.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 998.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 4.0 B
 Net Debt 7.1 B
 Total Debt 8.5 B
 Total Liabilities 15.9 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 15.3 B
 Retained Earnings 9.8 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 24.40
 Shares Outstanding 629.000 M
 Revenue Per-Share 6.89
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 21.0 B
 Enterprise Value 28.3 B
 Enterprise Multiple 14.78
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 13.797 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 9.971 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 63.145
mean: 30.719
median: 28.677
DVN: 14.78
low: -21.01
 EV/R 6.539
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.034
 Asset To Liability 1.967
 Debt To Capital 0.358
 Debt To Assets 0.274
Debt To Assets QoQ -4.402 %
Debt To Assets YoY 14464.894 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.585
DVN: 0.274
mean: 0.228
median: 0.202
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.557
Debt To Equity QoQ -6.712 %
Debt To Equity YoY 13858.396 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.001
mean: 0.719
DVN: 0.557
median: 0.427
low: 0.002
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.371
Price To Book QoQ -3.3 %
Price To Book YoY -27.246 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 5.854
median: 1.736
mean: 1.547
DVN: 1.371
low: -1.698
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 32.175
Price To Earnings QoQ -17.811 %
Price To Earnings YoY -13.417 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 161.846
median: 59.729
mean: 56.449
DVN: 32.175
low: -72.568
 PE/G Ratio 1.351
 Price To Sales (P/S) 4.86
Price To Sales QoQ -2.508 %
Price To Sales YoY -27.323 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 41.067
median: 6.142
mean: 5.793
DVN: 4.86
low: 0.013
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 30.7
Forward PE/G 1.289
Forward P/S 19.042
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -17.706
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.138
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.626 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -4.724 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.505
median: 0.171
mean: 0.163
DVN: 0.138
low: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 2.349
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 6.607 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -1.71 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 6.116
DVN: 2.349
mean: 2.151
median: 2.125
low: 0.185
 Inventory Turnover 9.381
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -2.493 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -4.493 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 19.661
DVN: 9.381
mean: 2.925
median: 2.449
low: 0.169
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 38.851
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 22.573
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -10.91 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 27.751 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 168.196
DVN: 22.573
median: 3.362
mean: -1.399
low: -100.341
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -24.749
 CapEx To Revenue -0.246
 CapEx To Depreciation -42.68
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 22.7 B
 Net Invested Capital 23.7 B
 Invested Capital 23.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets 14.6 B
 Net Working Capital -175.00 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.316
 Current Ratio 0.957
Current Ratio QoQ -21.724 %
Current Ratio YoY -13.98 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 3.911
mean: 1.237
median: 1.193
DVN: 0.957
low: 0.331
 Quick Ratio 0.867
Quick Ratio QoQ -23.224 %
Quick Ratio YoY -14.235 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.792
mean: 0.952
median: 0.892
DVN: 0.867
low: 0.285
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 4.462
 Cost Of Debt 1.083 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 8.296
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -18.78 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -30.034 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 20.571
DVN: 8.296
mean: 7.003
median: 6.237
low: -10.268
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.184
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 26.18
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 4.55
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.22
 Dividend Rate 0.24
 Dividend Yield 0.007
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.538 %
 Revenue Growth 1.097 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -129.067 %
Revenue Growth YoY -59.846 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 37.34 %
median: 4.2 %
mean: 4.144 %
DVN: 1.097 %
low: -20.802 %
 Earnings Growth 23.81 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -177.864 %
Earnings Growth YoY -208.296 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 200.0 %
DVN: 23.81 %
median: 14.634 %
mean: 9.651 %
low: -250.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 25.491 %
Gross Margin QoQ -1.973 %
Gross Margin YoY -22.172 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 81.109 %
DVN: 25.491 %
mean: 24.008 %
median: 22.601 %
low: -15.694 %
 EBIT Margin 23.944 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -20.298 %
EBIT Margin YoY -17.083 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 96.372 %
DVN: 23.944 %
mean: 14.835 %
median: 13.227 %
low: -70.544 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 22.674 %
Return On Sales QoQ -0.983 %
Return On Sales YoY -21.481 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 47.608 %
DVN: 22.674 %
mean: 13.377 %
median: 11.014 %
low: -22.163 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 623.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.96 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 10.324 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -128.285 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 20.745 %
DVN: 2.96 %
mean: 1.859 %
median: 1.607 %
low: -13.048 %
 Free Cash Growth 8.726 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -120.436 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -101.327 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 279.983 %
mean: 15.367 %
median: 15.075 %
DVN: 8.726 %
low: -454.42 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.907
 Cash Flow Margin 17.202 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.084
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.195 %
Return On Assets QoQ -23.917 %
Return On Assets YoY -25.085 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 6.589 %
DVN: 2.195 %
median: 1.226 %
mean: 1.078 %
low: -3.499 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 3.815 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.045
Return On Equity QoQ -25.013 %
Return On Equity YoY -21.294 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.131
DVN: 0.045
median: 0.029
mean: 0.026
low: -0.061
 DuPont ROE 4.518 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 3.32 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -21.809 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -102.267 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 8.109 %
DVN: 3.32 %
mean: 2.613 %
median: 2.588 %
low: -6.505 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term bias favors upside. Momentum indicators (MACD crossing above its signal and increasing DI+) and price sitting above key short-term EMAs suggest continuation potential, but the move carries a modest technical stretch as price sits above the 1x Bollinger upper band and volume trails shorter-term averages. Confirmation via rising ADX and expanding volume would strengthen the bullish case; conversely, failure to hold above short-term support measures would likely invite consolidation. Swing traders should watch for trend-strength confirmation rather than assume immediate follow-through given recent participation levels and QoQ fundamental softening.

About Devon Energy Corporation

Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE:DVN) explores, develops, and produces oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids within the United States. Headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, Devon Energy strategically targets prolific basins such as the Delaware, Eagle Ford, Anadarko, Williston, and Powder River Basins. The company employs advanced technologies and innovative methods to optimize resource extraction, aiming to enhance shareholder value. Founded in 1971, Devon Energy emphasizes operational excellence, sustainability, and community involvement. The company demonstrates disciplined financial management and strategic investments to foster growth and resilience in the evolving energy landscape. Devon Energy commits to environmental stewardship by actively seeking to reduce its carbon footprint while ensuring the safe and efficient delivery of energy resources. As a key player in the energy sector, Devon Energy remains dedicated to providing energy solutions that adapt to the changing needs of society.



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