Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. (NYSE:SPH) Accelerates On Technical Strength; Near-Term Upside

Technical momentum has shifted favorably for the common units while fundamentals show cash-generation offset by elevated leverage. Recent financing and distribution actions create a mixed but actionable backdrop for price behavior over the coming weeks.

Recent News

Dec. 8, 2025 — Company priced a private offering of $350.0 million aggregate principal amount of 6.500% senior notes due 2035. Dec. 22, 2025 — Issuance of the 2035 Senior Notes completed; net proceeds used, together with revolver borrowings, to fund redemption of the 5.875% senior notes due 2027, with redemption funds deposited and a scheduled redemption date of Jan. 7, 2026.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 29.0 indicates a strong underlying trend supporting directional moves; that strength raises the probability of sustained near-term follow-through.

DI+ at 23.86, increasing, signals bullish directional pressure; DI- at 11.79, decreasing, reduces downside directional influence. Together these readings bias the short-term price path higher.

MACD at 0.25, increasing, sits above its signal line at 0.11; this cross above the signal line constitutes a bullish momentum signal and supports continuation of recent upside impulses.

MRO at -8.78 (negative) signals the price trades below model target levels and therefore carries potential for an upward reversion toward fair value.

RSI at 56.61, increasing, registers momentum without extended overbought conditions, which supports further measured gains rather than an immediate pullback.

Price action sits at $20.22 above the 12-day EMA $19.42, the 20-day average $19.14, the 50-day average $18.97 and the 200-day average $18.44; the 12-day EMA trend shows further upward bias. The unit trades between the Bollinger upper 1x ($19.84) and upper 2x ($20.53) bands, indicating persistent upside pressure while leaving room before extreme band extension. The super trend lower support at $19.30 offers a nearby technical reference for momentum traders.

Volume on the latest session ~127,037 tracks close to the 10-day average ~124,516 and below longer-term averages, suggesting participation that supports the move without parabolic acceleration; low 42-day volatility and sub-1.0 beta readings (42-day beta 0.33; 52-week beta 0.47) favor steady, lower-volatility advances rather than sharp spikes.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability shows operating strain: EBIT of -$17,384,000 and an EBIT margin of -8.224%, down 599.03% QoQ and down 34.83% YoY. EBITDA registers at $1,224,000, a modest positive relative to the negative operating profit. Net income at -$35,136,000 and EPS actual -$0.54 missed the estimate of -$0.51 by -5.88%.

Revenue dynamics present a mixed picture: total revenue $211,376,000 with year-over-year revenue growth of +3.84% but a quarter-over-quarter decline of -66.36%, reflecting seasonal or timing effects in volumes and commodity-facing sales.

Liquidity measures look strained. Cash on hand $405,000 and a cash ratio of 0.13% (0.00134) leave limited short-term cushion. Current ratio 0.55 and quick ratio 0.31 sit below the industry peer mean current ratio of 0.90 and quick ratio mean of 0.74, respectively, indicating tighter working-capital coverage relative to peers. Operating cash flow at $41,829,000 and free cash flow of $27,701,000 provide operating cash generation despite thin margins.

Leverage stands as the primary fundamental constraint. Total debt $1,329,758,000 and net debt $1,211,340,000 exceed market capitalization $1,202,160,563. Debt-to-equity sits at 2.22 and debt-to-EBITDA registers near 1,086x, reflecting EBITDA’s small absolute value; interest expense $17,205,000 produces a negative interest coverage ratio of -1.01. Year-over-year leverage metrics show large increases (debt-to-equity up 3,312.52% YoY), underscoring a materially heavier capital-structure burden versus prior periods.

Cash-flow valuation signals present offsetting positives. Free-cash-flow yield at 2.30% compares favorably with the industry peer mean of 1.17%, and operating cash flow covers reported distributions and capex more readily than reported earnings imply. Forward EPS of $0.5125 and forward P/E ~34.38 imply market expectations for recovery into positive earnings next year, while trailing P/E registers negative due to 12-month losses. Enterprise multiple reads very high at ~2,068x because enterprise value absorbs large net debt against minimal trailing EBITDA.

Dividend coverage and payout metrics reflect earnings weakness: dividend yield 1.77% with dividend rate $0.32317 per unit, dividend payout ratio -60.56% and dividend coverage ratio -165.12%, which follow from negative net income while distributions continued.

WMDST values the stock as under-valued based on available cash-flow yield and forward earnings assumptions, though valuation carries significant caveats tied to the company’s leverage and interest-coverage profile.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-13
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-12
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 1.3 M
 Operating Cash Flow 41.8 M
 Capital Expenditures -14.13 M
 Change In Working Capital 49.9 M
 Dividends Paid -21.28 M
 Cash Flow Delta -935.00 K
 End Period Cash Flow 405.0 K
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 211.4 M
 Forward Revenue -50.75 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 74.6 M
 Depreciation 18.6 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 18.6 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 228.1 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 136.8 M
 EBITDA 1.2 M
 EBIT -17.38 M
 Operating Income -16.75 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 17.2 M
 Net Interest Income -17.20 M
 Income Before Tax -34.59 M
 Tax Provision 547.0 K
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income -35.14 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -35.14 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.51
 EPS Actual -0.54
 EPS Difference -0.03
 EPS Surprise -5.882 %
 Forward EPS 0.51
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 2.3 B
 Intangible Assets 1.2 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.24 B
 Total Current Assets 166.3 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 405.0 K
 Cash 405.0 K
 Net Receivables 69.5 M
 Inventory 73.7 M
 Long-Term Investments 77.1 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 45.0 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 302.8 M
 Net Debt 1.2 B
 Total Debt 1.3 B
 Total Liabilities 1.7 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 598.6 M
 Retained Earnings
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 9.09
 Shares Outstanding 65.845 M
 Revenue Per-Share 3.21
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.2 B
 Enterprise Value 2.5 B
 Enterprise Multiple 2068.23
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 1770.894 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -1658.814 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA SPH: 2068.23
high: 81.226
mean: 44.782
median: 44.185
low: 9.451
 EV/R 11.976
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 3.836
 Asset To Liability 1.353
 Debt To Capital 0.69
 Debt To Assets 0.579
Debt To Assets QoQ -0.567 %
Debt To Assets YoY 3595.533 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.877
SPH: 0.579
mean: 0.517
median: 0.502
low: 0.0
 Debt To Equity 2.222
Debt To Equity QoQ 6.48 %
Debt To Equity YoY 3312.519 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 5.118
SPH: 2.222
mean: 1.569
median: 1.527
low: -2.376
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.008
Price To Book QoQ 8.274 %
Price To Book YoY -3.787 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 5.871
mean: 2.954
median: 2.314
SPH: 2.008
low: -1.391
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -33.81
Price To Earnings QoQ -58.556 %
Price To Earnings YoY 30.893 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 121.258
mean: 69.561
median: 59.659
low: 18.671
SPH: -33.81
 PE/G Ratio -0.251
 Price To Sales (P/S) 5.687
Price To Sales QoQ 23.454 %
Price To Sales YoY 3.91 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 34.715
mean: 12.795
median: 11.855
SPH: 5.687
low: 0.344
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 34.379
Forward PE/G 0.255
Forward P/S -22.585
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 26.957
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.092
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -16.917 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 0.12 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.159
mean: 0.102
SPH: 0.092
median: 0.073
low: 0.031
 Receivables Turnover 2.829
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 25.312 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -4.907 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 8.65
SPH: 2.829
mean: 2.786
median: 2.318
low: 0.742
 Inventory Turnover 1.113
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -33.683 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -29.836 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 11.628
mean: 5.203
median: 3.579
low: 2.55
SPH: 1.113
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 32.25
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 60.777
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 20.802 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 22.497 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 83.102
SPH: 60.777
median: 19.111
mean: 9.344
low: -81.1
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -1.548
 CapEx To Revenue -0.067
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.759
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.8 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.8 B
 Invested Capital 1.8 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.24 B
 Net Working Capital -136.55 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.001
 Current Ratio 0.549
Current Ratio QoQ -21.456 %
Current Ratio YoY 6.694 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 3.099
mean: 0.9
median: 0.88
SPH: 0.549
low: 0.422
 Quick Ratio 0.306
Quick Ratio QoQ -33.272 %
Quick Ratio YoY -8.379 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 3.055
mean: 0.739
median: 0.603
low: 0.359
SPH: 0.306
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 1086.404
 Cost Of Debt 1.077 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -1.01
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -544.895 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -30.731 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 6.813
mean: 3.825
median: 3.497
low: 1.278
SPH: -1.01
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.004
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 32.948
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio -1.651
 Dividend Payout Ratio -0.606
 Dividend Rate 0.32
 Dividend Yield 0.018
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.792 %
 Revenue Growth -18.748 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -66.36 %
Revenue Growth YoY 3.838 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 9.471 %
median: 4.197 %
mean: 4.183 %
low: -16.341 %
SPH: -18.748 %
 Earnings Growth 134.783 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -221.479 %
Earnings Growth YoY -13.354 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA SPH: 134.783 %
high: 47.573 %
mean: 9.251 %
median: 8.654 %
low: -90.909 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 64.697 %
Gross Margin QoQ 4.806 %
Gross Margin YoY 8.842 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 79.299 %
SPH: 64.697 %
median: 39.642 %
mean: 38.249 %
low: 5.781 %
 EBIT Margin -8.224 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -599.029 %
EBIT Margin YoY -34.828 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 62.857 %
mean: 30.245 %
median: 25.639 %
low: 1.318 %
SPH: -8.224 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -7.927 %
Return On Sales QoQ -468.869 %
Return On Sales YoY -37.182 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 49.363 %
median: 25.639 %
mean: 25.136 %
low: 1.306 %
SPH: -7.927 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 27.7 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.304 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -65.851 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 48.454 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 2.716 %
SPH: 2.304 %
mean: 1.165 %
median: 1.017 %
low: -0.614 %
 Free Cash Growth -65.743 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -122.757 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 5.871 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 48.843 %
median: 1.598 %
mean: -27.051 %
SPH: -65.743 %
low: -128.871 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.788
 Cash Flow Margin -0.564 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.034
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.02
 Return On Assets (ROA) -1.524 %
Return On Assets QoQ 142.289 %
Return On Assets YoY -22.126 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 3.812 %
mean: 1.633 %
median: 1.157 %
low: 0.217 %
SPH: -1.524 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -0.872 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.059
Return On Equity QoQ 155.662 %
Return On Equity YoY -27.984 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.052
median: 0.043
mean: 0.037
low: -0.009
SPH: -0.059
 DuPont ROE -5.646 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -0.759 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -519.337 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -98.818 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 4.563 %
mean: 2.497 %
median: 2.174 %
low: 1.312 %
SPH: -0.759 %

Six-Week Outlook

Price momentum favors upside over the next six weeks given the MACD cross, rising DI+, RSI above midline and price positioned above short- and long-term moving averages; technical strength may support measured gains toward analysts’ target band if positive market sentiment persists. Key fundamental constraints—high net debt, negative trailing earnings and limited cash—may cap any sustained advance unless operating cash flow and interest coverage improve or refinancing actions materially reduce near-term leverage. Monitor follow-through on financing actions and any distribution guidance alongside technical confirmations; those items will drive conviction for continued trend extension during the coming six weeks.

About Suburban Propane Partners, L.P.

Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. (NYSE:SPH) distributes and markets propane, renewable propane, fuel oil, and refined fuels across the United States. Through its Propane segment, the company supplies propane for residential uses such as space heating, water heating, cooking, and clothes drying, as well as for industrial applications including motor fuel for vehicles and equipment. The Fuel Oil and Refined Fuels segment delivers fuel oil, diesel, kerosene, and gasoline to residential and commercial customers, primarily for heating purposes. In the Natural Gas and Electricity segment, Suburban Propane markets natural gas and electricity to customers in deregulated markets in New York and Pennsylvania. The All Other segment provides sales, installation, and maintenance services for home comfort equipment, including heating systems, air cleaners, and space heaters. Serving a diverse customer base, including residential, commercial, industrial, and agricultural sectors, Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. maintains a strong presence on the east and west coasts, as well as in the Midwest and Alaska. Founded in 1945, the company is headquartered in Whippany, New Jersey.



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