D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE:QBTS) Accelerates Commercial Rollout Amid Near-Term Downside Signals

D-Wave presents expanding commercial activity and a large liquidity buffer, while short-term momentum metrics signal elevated downside pressure for the coming weeks.

Recent News

December 8, 2025 — D-Wave announced Qubits 2026, a user conference scheduled for January 27–28, 2026, to showcase product roadmaps across annealing, gate-model, hybrid solvers and quantum-AI applications. November 10, 2025 — D-Wave confirmed plans to highlight hybrid quantum–HPC integration and customer use cases at SC25. Recent coverage noted strategic deployments in Europe and partnerships to expand access to Advantage2 systems.

Technical Analysis

ADX and Directional Indicators: ADX at 17.82 signals no established trend strength, but directional indicators diverge toward bearish pressure — DI+ shows a peak-and-reversal while DI- shows a dip-and-reversal, a combination that points to increased downside bias despite weak trend conviction. This alignment tempers any short-term bullish case given the valuation backdrop.

MACD: MACD equals 0.07 and trends lower while the MACD signal sits at 0.39; MACD below its signal line and decreasing indicates bearish momentum that supports the near-term price downside implied by the directional indicators.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at 25.43 sits positive, indicating price stands above the model target and therefore carries downside potential; the MRO’s peak-and-reversal trend reinforces the likelihood of corrective pressure relative to the current valuation.

RSI and Momentum: RSI at 50.05 with a decreasing trajectory shows faded bullish momentum and leaves scope for a move toward the lower momentum band before a decisive recovery manifests.

Price vs Averages and Bands: The last close of $25.63 sits below the 20-day average ($28.64) and below the 1x Bollinger lower band ($26.77), signaling short-term weakness and a downside test versus the $25.29 super-trend support. The 200-day average ($20.77) remains well below the price, keeping the longer-term average positive, but near-term indicators favor mean reversion lower toward short-term support levels.

Volatility, Beta, Volume: 42-day beta at 3.45 and 52-week beta at 2.34 indicate elevated sensitivity to market moves; 10-day average volume (≈40.8M) slightly exceeds the most recent session volume (≈38.0M), implying lower intraday conviction relative to the short-term average and a higher chance of price whipsaws around news events such as the upcoming user conference.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue and Scale: Total revenue equals $3,739,000 and revenue growth reads 20.81% while the reported YoY revenue growth figure shows -245.13%; the absolute revenue base remains small relative to the company’s market valuation, a core factor driving the valuation disconnect.

Profitability and Margins: EBIT stands at -$139,785,000, producing an EBIT margin of -37.39%, materially below the industry peer mean of 36.20% and the industry peer median of 45.06%. Gross margin at 71.38% indicates strong unit economics on sold systems and services, but operating and warrant-related non-cash charges drive headline unprofitability and a wide gap versus peer profitability metrics.

Earnings Per Share: Reported EPS equals -$0.05 versus an estimate of -$0.07, delivering an EPS surprise of 28.57% ($0.02 better than estimate). Forward EPS sits at approximately -$0.055, leaving near-term per-share profitability negative on current publicly guided measures.

Liquidity and Capital Structure: Cash and short-term investments total $836,231,000 and the company reports current assets of $848,139,000 against current liabilities of $15,512,000, yielding a current ratio of 54.68 and a quick ratio of 54.49 — exceptionally strong liquidity that reduces near-term financing risk. Total debt remains modest at $39,790,000, and debt-to-assets sits at 0.046, indicating low leverage relative to balance-sheet size.

Valuation Metrics: Market capitalization registers at $9,487,713,388 while PS ratio equals 2,537.50x and price-to-book sits near 14.15x; the PS ratio far exceeds the industry peer mean of 45.86x and median of 48.87x. Forward PE and PE metrics appear deeply negative, reflecting current GAAP losses and the large market valuation against a small revenue base. The current WMDST valuation assessment classifies the stock as over-valued, driven by elevated market multiples versus realized revenue and persistent GAAP losses despite robust cash reserves.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-06
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-05
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 819.3 M
 Operating Cash Flow -19.05 M
 Capital Expenditures -1.21 M
 Change In Working Capital -6.59 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 16.9 M
 End Period Cash Flow 836.2 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 3.7 M
 Forward Revenue 128.8 K
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.1 M
 Depreciation 568.0 K
 Depreciation and Amortization 568.0 K
 Research and Development 14.1 M
 Total Operating Expenses 31.5 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 2.7 M
 EBITDA -139.22 M
 EBIT -139.78 M
 Operating Income -27.74 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 201.0 K
 Net Interest Income -201.00 K
 Income Before Tax -139.99 M
 Tax Provision
 Tax Rate
 Net Income -139.99 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -139.99 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.07
 EPS Actual -0.05
 EPS Difference 0.02
 EPS Surprise 28.571 %
 Forward EPS -0.06
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 865.8 M
 Intangible Assets 803.0 K
 Net Tangible Assets 669.8 M
 Total Current Assets 848.1 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 836.2 M
 Cash 836.2 M
 Net Receivables 1.9 M
 Inventory 2.8 M
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 992.0 K
 Short-Term Debt 144.0 K
 Total Current Liabilities 15.5 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 39.8 M
 Total Liabilities 195.3 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 670.6 M
 Retained Earnings -939.68 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 1.94
 Shares Outstanding 349.384 M
 Revenue Per-Share 0.01
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 9.5 B
 Enterprise Value 8.7 B
 Enterprise Multiple -62.43
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 125.273 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 500.509 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 725.943
mean: 90.727
median: 78.121
QBTS: -62.43
low: -500.562
 EV/R 2324.491
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.291
 Asset To Liability 4.434
 Debt To Capital 0.056
 Debt To Assets 0.046
Debt To Assets QoQ -3.018 %
Debt To Assets YoY -83.811 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.164
mean: 0.172
median: 0.095
QBTS: 0.046
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.059
Debt To Equity QoQ 3.039 %
Debt To Equity YoY -107.134 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.803
mean: 0.29
median: 0.167
QBTS: 0.059
low: -1.761
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 14.149
Price To Book QoQ 82.017 %
Price To Book YoY -202.119 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 32.156
QBTS: 14.149
mean: 12.354
median: 10.455
low: -17.466
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -548.468
Price To Earnings QoQ 1865.065 %
Price To Earnings YoY 3793.298 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 535.496
mean: 145.689
median: 137.28
low: -356.558
QBTS: -548.468
 PE/G Ratio 6.033
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2537.5
Price To Sales QoQ 45.524 %
Price To Sales YoY 1924.587 %
Price To Sales IPRWA QBTS: 2537.5
high: 95.267
median: 48.871
mean: 45.863
low: 1.307
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E -283.727
Forward PE/G 3.121
Forward P/S 63182.764
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -0.786
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.004
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -17.391 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -86.986 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.414
mean: 0.128
median: 0.124
QBTS: 0.004
low: -0.008
 Receivables Turnover 2.22
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -10.748 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 33.12 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 6.055
QBTS: 2.22
mean: 1.478
median: 1.265
low: -0.167
 Inventory Turnover 0.405
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -24.829 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -1.252 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 23.252
median: 23.252
mean: 21.636
QBTS: 0.405
low: 0.054
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 41.11
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 167.384
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 45.048 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -6.476 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 226.004
QBTS: 167.384
mean: -22.878
median: -38.513
low: -211.399
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.004
 CapEx To Revenue -0.324
 CapEx To Depreciation -2.13
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 702.6 M
 Net Invested Capital 702.8 M
 Invested Capital 702.8 M
 Net Tangible Assets 669.8 M
 Net Working Capital 832.6 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 53.909
 Current Ratio 54.676
Current Ratio QoQ 27.191 %
Current Ratio YoY 3925.764 %
Current Ratio IPRWA QBTS: 54.676
high: 8.127
mean: 1.704
median: 1.401
low: 0.159
 Quick Ratio 54.494
Quick Ratio QoQ 27.142 %
Quick Ratio YoY 4142.447 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA QBTS: 54.494
high: 7.943
mean: 1.423
median: 1.392
low: 0.553
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -0.286
 Cost Of Debt 0.504 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -695.448
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -14.277 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 3711.203 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 205.936
median: 50.142
mean: 35.957
low: -243.016
QBTS: -695.448
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -9.056
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 88.967
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 2.634 %
 Revenue Growth 20.808 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -126.217 %
Revenue Growth YoY -245.125 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 25.896 %
QBTS: 20.808 %
mean: 3.084 %
median: 1.612 %
low: -13.442 %
 Earnings Growth -90.909 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -103.431 %
Earnings Growth YoY 718.189 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 200.0 %
mean: 5.15 %
median: 1.918 %
QBTS: -90.909 %
low: -181.25 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 71.383 %
Gross Margin QoQ 11.807 %
Gross Margin YoY 27.984 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 90.981 %
mean: 72.524 %
QBTS: 71.383 %
median: 69.046 %
low: 26.432 %
 EBIT Margin -3738.566 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -30.764 %
EBIT Margin YoY 224.685 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 76.323 %
median: 45.059 %
mean: 36.197 %
low: -105.646 %
QBTS: -3738.566 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -741.803 %
Return On Sales QoQ -13.37 %
Return On Sales YoY -35.576 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 76.795 %
median: 48.873 %
mean: 37.531 %
low: -118.067 %
QBTS: -741.803 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -20.25 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -0.213 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -28.523 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -97.293 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 10.114 %
median: 0.676 %
mean: 0.48 %
QBTS: -0.213 %
low: -10.76 %
 Free Cash Growth 25.776 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -238.79 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 15.282 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 368.524 %
QBTS: 25.776 %
median: 0.372 %
mean: -7.443 %
low: -324.945 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.145
 Cash Flow Margin -3757.261 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.004
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added
 Return On Assets (ROA) -16.378 %
Return On Assets QoQ -42.78 %
Return On Assets YoY -59.844 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 13.583 %
median: 4.421 %
mean: 3.75 %
QBTS: -16.378 %
low: -17.051 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -16.439 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.209
Return On Equity QoQ -13.385 %
Return On Equity YoY -115.548 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.151
median: 0.076
mean: 0.065
QBTS: -0.209
low: -0.363
 DuPont ROE -20.492 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC)
Return On Invested Capital QoQ
Return On Invested Capital YoY
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term technicals and MRO point to elevated downside risk over the next six weeks, with short-term averages and MACD favoring corrective moves. The company’s strong cash position and upcoming Qubits user conference on January 27–28, 2026 create potential event-driven volatility; positive operational updates at that event could trigger short-lived rallies, while continued negative momentum metrics would likely extend downside. Swing traders should expect heightened intraday volatility given elevated betas and thin fundamental support relative to market pricing, and monitor whether price reclaims the 20-day average and whether MACD turns above its signal line as signs of a momentum shift. Fundamental runway from cash buffers reduces capital risk but does not alter the current over-valued WMDST assessment in the absence of material revenue expansion or profitability improvement.

About D-Wave Quantum Inc.

D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE:QBTS) develops and delivers advanced quantum computing solutions on a global scale. Headquartered in Burnaby, Canada, the company creates quantum computing systems, software, and services tailored for a variety of industries. D-Wave’s flagship product, Advantage, represents a cutting-edge quantum computer designed to tackle complex computational problems. The company also offers Ocean, a comprehensive suite of open-source Python tools, and Leap, a cloud-based platform providing real-time access to live quantum computing resources, including Advantage and hybrid solvers. D-Wave Quantum Inc. supports businesses through D-Wave Launch, a professional service guiding enterprises from initial problem identification to full-scale production implementation. Their quantum solutions find applications in diverse areas such as scheduling, mobility, logistics, drug discovery, portfolio optimization, and manufacturing processes. Founded in 1999, D-Wave continues to play a significant role in advancing the field of quantum computing, providing enterprises with the tools necessary to harness the power of quantum technology for practical and strategic advantages.



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