Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (NYSE:MSGE) Accelerates Toward Near-Term Upside

Momentum across price, momentum oscillators, and a WMDST undervaluation align to create a constructive near-term profile for the company and its shares.

Recent News

Nov. 6, 2025 — MSGE published FY2025 presentation slides showing $942.7M revenue, strong adjusted operating income, and record Christmas Spectacular attendance. Nov. 7, 2025 — JP Morgan maintained Neutral coverage. Dec. 4, 2025 — MSGE announced a multi-year technology partnership with Cisco to upgrade venue networking and make systems AI‑ready. Dec. 11, 2025 — Susquehanna maintained a Positive recommendation. Dec. 19, 2025 — Broker consensus averaged a Hold rating across recent coverage updates.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 38.87 indicates a strong underlying trend; strength of that trend amplifies the near-term impact of other momentum signals and supports the constructive profile noted above.

Directional indicators split: DI+ at 28.73 has been decreasing, which carries bearish directional pressure, while DI- at 12.89 shows a peak-and-reversal pattern that implies a bullish tilt as downward pressure on the negative directional index lessens; the mix suggests directional tussle rather than a clean trend reversal.

MACD sits at 1.37 below its signal line of 1.47 and shows a peak-and-reversal pattern, signaling bearish momentum; that counterbalances moving-average and momentum evidence when projecting short-window price behavior.

MRO reads 35.59 with a dip-and-reversal pattern; the positive MRO implies the price currently sits above the model target and therefore carries measurable downside potential, even as the oscillator’s recent dip-and-reversal signals emerging internal momentum.

RSI at 60.93 and rising indicates above‑average buying pressure without overbought extremes, which supports the thesis of continued near-term strength while leaving room for consolidation.

Price sits at $53.89, above the 12‑day EMA ($53.31) and the 20‑day average ($53.38), and well above the 200‑day average ($40.99); proximity to the upper Bollinger band ($54.52) and a SuperTrend lower support at $51.32 frame a near-term upside target range while flagging nearby support for pullbacks.

Volume of 328,673 slightly exceeds the 10‑day average (236,975) and aligns with the momentum indicators, reinforcing the short‑term directional bias toward higher prices while technical momentum indicators caution that strength carries measurable retracement risk.

 


Fundamental Analysis

WMDST values the stock as under‑valued.

Profitability and margins: EBIT of $-30,463,000 yields an EBIT margin of -19.76%. That margin compares to an industry peer mean of 25.48% and an industry peer median of 34.43%, placing MSGE well below typical peer profitability levels. QoQ, EBIT margin moved by -276.90% and YoY changed by 225.85% (both values per reported metrics), reflecting large period‑to‑period swings in operating leverage and expense timing.

Revenues and growth: Total revenue of $154,138,000 and YoY revenue growth of 96.91% contrast with a sequential (QoQ) revenue decline of -10.02%, indicating strong year‑over‑year recovery from prior-year comparisons but a near-term quarter slip that will drive attention on cadence of events and ticketing.

Earnings and cash flow: Reported EPS came in at $-0.29 versus an estimate of $-0.59, producing an EPS beat of $0.30 and an EPS surprise ratio of 50.85%. Operating cash flow stands at $-27,011,000 and free cash flow at $-31,078,000, with a free cash flow yield of -1.71% compared with an industry peer mean of 0.63%, highlighting negative free cash conversion in the period despite the EPS beat.

Balance sheet and leverage: Total debt equals $1,200,833,000 with net debt of $556,232,000; debt to assets registers at 71.91% and debt to capital at 101.12%, signaling elevated leverage relative to typical corporate capital structures. Cash and short‑term investments total $43,017,000, producing a cash ratio of 8.56% and a current ratio of 0.47, both reflecting constrained near‑term liquidity relative to typical operating cycles.

Valuation multiples: Price‑to‑sales sits at 11.80 while price‑to‑book reads $-136.78 (negative book value). Forward EPS is $0.49 with a forward PE around 74.38; those forward multiples reflect market expectations for profit inflection even as current margins remain negative. Asset turnover at 0.0904 falls below the industry peer mean of 0.2198, indicating lower revenue generated per dollar of assets.

Key operational metrics: Gross margin at 33.83% and a Christmas Spectacular franchise that drove meaningful attendance and revenue in FY2025 support revenue mix strength, while operating margin of -15.06% and operating income loss of $-23,211,000 underline that operating leverage and non‑recurring items remain the primary drivers of near‑term earnings volatility.

Brief valuation context: WMDST’s under‑valued designation reflects the combination of a market pricing that anticipates recovery (forward EPS and price targets) versus present margin, leverage, and cash flow deficits. The balance between upcoming event cadence, operational EBITDA improvement, and deleveraging will determine whether the market re-rates current multiples.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-06
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-05
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 89.5 M
 Operating Cash Flow -27.01 M
 Capital Expenditures -4.07 M
 Change In Working Capital -17.81 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -45.94 M
 End Period Cash Flow 43.5 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 154.1 M
 Forward Revenue -32.97 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 102.0 M
 Depreciation 15.4 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 15.4 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 177.3 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 52.1 M
 EBITDA -15.03 M
 EBIT -30.46 M
 Operating Income -23.21 M
 Interest Income 881.0 K
 Interest Expense 11.7 M
 Net Interest Income -10.83 M
 Income Before Tax -42.17 M
 Tax Provision -14.99 M
 Tax Rate 35.555 %
 Net Income -27.18 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -27.18 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.59
 EPS Actual -0.29
 EPS Difference 0.30
 EPS Surprise 50.847 %
 Forward EPS 0.49
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 1.7 B
 Intangible Assets 132.8 M
 Net Tangible Assets -146.14 M
 Total Current Assets 237.1 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 43.0 M
 Cash 43.0 M
 Net Receivables 66.8 M
 Inventory 3.8 M
 Long-Term Investments 1.9 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 12.1 M
 Short-Term Debt 30.5 M
 Total Current Liabilities 502.4 M
 Net Debt 556.2 M
 Total Debt 1.2 B
 Total Liabilities 1.7 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity -13.30 M
 Retained Earnings 153.0 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share -0.28
 Shares Outstanding 47.460 M
 Revenue Per-Share 3.25
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.8 B
 Enterprise Value 3.0 B
 Enterprise Multiple -198.062
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -405.9 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -129.612 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 188.029
median: 66.78
mean: 66.258
low: -24.203
MSGE: -198.062
 EV/R 19.314
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity -125.552
 Asset To Liability 0.992
 Debt To Capital 1.011
 Debt To Assets 0.719
Debt To Assets QoQ 3.841 %
Debt To Assets YoY 6768.481 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.012
MSGE: 0.719
median: 0.272
mean: 0.246
low: 0.02
 Debt To Equity -90.288
Debt To Equity QoQ -171.401 %
Debt To Equity YoY 12770.918 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 8.856
mean: 0.67
median: 0.579
low: -4.796
MSGE: -90.288
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) -136.785
Price To Book QoQ -183.059 %
Price To Book YoY 79.214 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 27.088
median: 20.436
mean: 17.967
low: -1.867
MSGE: -136.785
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -66.866
Price To Earnings QoQ -134.356 %
Price To Earnings YoY -356.268 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 354.485
median: 165.293
mean: 153.043
MSGE: -66.866
low: -173.324
 PE/G Ratio 0.25
 Price To Sales (P/S) 11.803
Price To Sales QoQ 82.418 %
Price To Sales YoY 24.215 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 33.43
mean: 19.272
MSGE: 11.803
median: 11.465
low: 0.165
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 74.378
Forward PE/G -0.278
Forward P/S -55.173
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 5.832
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.09
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -37.949 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -26.833 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.689
mean: 0.22
median: 0.211
MSGE: 0.09
low: 0.043
 Receivables Turnover 2.038
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -25.232 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 1.745 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 8.063
median: 7.318
mean: 6.462
MSGE: 2.038
low: 1.025
 Inventory Turnover 26.088
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -33.32 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -12.758 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA MSGE: 26.088
high: 18.007
mean: 10.887
median: 9.661
low: 1.31
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 44.781
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 36.548
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 52.059 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 13.857 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 64.386
MSGE: 36.548
mean: -58.172
low: -120.049
median: -120.049
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -0.581
 CapEx To Revenue -0.026
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.264
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 555.5 M
 Net Invested Capital 585.9 M
 Invested Capital 585.9 M
 Net Tangible Assets -146.14 M
 Net Working Capital -265.27 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.086
 Current Ratio 0.472
Current Ratio QoQ -17.51 %
Current Ratio YoY 8.977 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.85
mean: 1.375
median: 1.341
MSGE: 0.472
low: 0.379
 Quick Ratio 0.465
Quick Ratio QoQ -17.728 %
Quick Ratio YoY 9.18 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.748
median: 1.87
mean: 1.664
MSGE: 0.465
low: 0.361
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -79.89
 Cost Of Debt 0.627 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -2.602
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -213.343 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 227.209 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 20.883
median: 20.883
mean: 16.131
MSGE: -2.602
low: -16.147
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.005
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 10.803
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -4.0 %
 Revenue Growth -36.429 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -10.023 %
Revenue Growth YoY 96.914 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 14.763 %
median: 5.087 %
mean: 4.83 %
low: -19.193 %
MSGE: -36.429 %
 Earnings Growth -267.647 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 200.379 %
Earnings Growth YoY -111.895 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 310.0 %
median: 8.775 %
mean: -5.645 %
MSGE: -267.647 %
low: -350.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 33.832 %
Gross Margin QoQ -20.816 %
Gross Margin YoY -1.168 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 86.664 %
median: 51.934 %
mean: 46.008 %
MSGE: 33.832 %
low: 2.57 %
 EBIT Margin -19.763 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -276.898 %
EBIT Margin YoY 225.853 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 35.466 %
median: 34.428 %
mean: 25.478 %
low: -16.541 %
MSGE: -19.763 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -15.059 %
Return On Sales QoQ -234.792 %
Return On Sales YoY 148.293 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 34.07 %
median: 34.07 %
mean: 26.422 %
MSGE: -15.059 %
low: -21.003 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -31.08 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -1.708 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -149.767 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 597.143 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 6.823 %
mean: 0.632 %
median: 0.445 %
MSGE: -1.708 %
low: -3.158 %
 Free Cash Growth -157.716 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 228.5 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -340.069 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 228.358 %
mean: -12.543 %
median: -14.79 %
MSGE: -157.716 %
low: -265.486 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.144
 Cash Flow Margin -1.543 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.087
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) -1.594 %
Return On Assets QoQ -430.021 %
Return On Assets YoY -135.861 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 5.943 %
median: 5.943 %
mean: 3.823 %
MSGE: -1.594 %
low: -8.033 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -2.609 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 2.043
Return On Equity QoQ 142.224 %
Return On Equity YoY -170.726 %
Return On Equity IPRWA MSGE: 2.043
high: 0.125
median: 0.125
mean: 0.081
low: -0.212
 DuPont ROE 1440.202 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -3.35 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -226.846 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -106.389 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 8.325 %
median: 8.325 %
mean: 5.845 %
low: -1.898 %
MSGE: -3.35 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a price environment dominated by event cadence and technical momentum. Technicals bias toward near‑term upside: price above short EMAs, rising RSI, and strong ADX favor continuation. Countervailing signals include a MACD peak‑and‑reversal and a positive MRO that indicate measurable downside if event revenue or operating cash flow disappoint. Key risk drivers over the next six weeks: announced event schedule and ticketing cadence, any incremental share‑repurchase or capital actions, and liquidity metrics tied to reported cash flow. Traders should watch for consolidation near the $51.30 support and for confirmation or failure of momentum at the 20‑day band and MACD signal line.

About Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (NYSE:MSGE) delivers live entertainment experiences through its extensive network of iconic venues and productions. The company produces and hosts a diverse array of events, including concerts, sporting events, family shows, and performing arts. Key venues under its management include Madison Square Garden, The Theater at Madison Square Garden, Radio City Music Hall, the Beacon Theatre, and The Chicago Theatre. MSGE also owns and produces the renowned Christmas Spectacular Starring the Radio City Rockettes, showcasing its commitment to high-quality entertainment. Additionally, the company engages in entertainment and sports bookings, offering a wide range of concerts, family shows, special events, and sporting events to audiences. Established in 2022 and headquartered in New York, New York, Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. continues to play a significant role in the live entertainment industry, leveraging its historical venues and popular productions to attract diverse audiences.



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