Rocket Companies, Inc. (NYSE:RKT) Signals Near-Term Upside As Momentum Aligns Above Moving Averages

Rocket Companies shows a bullish technical posture while fundamentals reflect elevated valuation and pressured cash generation; near-term price action should track momentum but remain sensitive to cash-flow signals.

Recent News

On October 1, 2025 Rocket Companies announced the closing of the $14.2 billion acquisition of Mr. Cooper, completing a strategic consolidation of mortgage servicing and origination assets intended to expand recurring revenue and client scale.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 10.74 indicates no strong underlying trend; momentum rather than trend strength currently drives price movement.

Directional indicators favor the upside: DI+ at 24.93 is increasing while DI- at 21.92 is decreasing, a bullish alignment that supports near-term upside bias despite the weak ADX reading.

MACD reads 0.30 and shows an increasing trend with the MACD line at parity with its signal line; the positive, rising MACD reflects bullish momentum, though it sits at the signal line rather than producing a decisive crossover.

MRO at 29.14 with a peak-and-reversal pattern places the market price above the model target and indicates elevated probability of a pullback from current levels if momentum softens.

RSI at 53.34 and rising signals neutral-to-constructive momentum without overbought conditions, supporting further consolidation around recent highs rather than an immediate extended rally.

Price sits above short-, medium- and long-term averages: close $19.37 versus 12-day EMA $19.07, 20-day average $18.94, 50-day $18.01 and 200-day $15.95, a bullish moving-average alignment that increases the likelihood of continued short-term strength while the price remains above the super-trend lower support at $18.04.

Price trades just below the 1x upper Bollinger band ($19.47), indicating proximity to short-term resistance; low ADX and reduced 10-day volume relative to longer-term averages suggest rallies may require higher participation to extend. Short-term beta (42-day) of 2.59 implies elevated volatility versus the stock’s 52-week beta of 0.71.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings metrics show pressure: GAAP EPS stands at $-0.06 with an EPS surprise of -18.67%, and forward EPS of $0.2044 implies material improvement expected ahead but current reported earnings remain negative.

Top-line dynamics present conflicting signals: reported revenue growth (latest) at 12.71% contrasts with a year-over-year revenue growth metric of -124.53% and a quarter-over-quarter change of -58.17%, indicating volatile period-to-period comparisons and significant timing or base effects in revenue recognition.

Cash generation weakened: free cash flow equals $-82,441,000 and free cash flow yield equals -0.223%, with free cash growth down about -95.97% year-over-year and operating cash flow at $-50,270,000. Cash on hand stands at $5,836,104,000 while net debt totals $3,630,013,000.

Leverage and capital structure present measurable leverage: total debt $9,760,777,000, debt-to-assets 29.07% with a QoQ decrease of 10.86% and a large year-over-year increase of 4,318.09% as reported. Debt-to-equity equals 1.1027 with a QoQ decline of 17.03%.

Profitability ratios remain negative: return on assets -0.387% (improving YoY) and return on equity -1.399% despite a QoQ ROE uptick of 57.29%. DuPont ROE registers -1.519% reflecting operating losses and leverage effects.

Valuation multiples convey elevated expectations: trailing P/E at 250.52 and forward P/E at 108.31 sit well above the industry peer mean and median where provided; price-to-sales at 25.21 also exceeds the industry peer mean of 12.22 and median of 12.00. Price-to-book at 4.18 sits below the industry peer mean of 5.14 and below the median of 6.82.

WMDST values the stock as over-valued. The designation reflects negative current earnings, weak free-cash conversion, and stretched multiples relative to typical operating cash performance; forward EPS and expected synergies from completed acquisitions provide a countervailing factor but do not eliminate present valuation elevation.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-10-30
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-01-29
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 5.1 B
 Operating Cash Flow -50.27 M
 Capital Expenditures -32.17 M
 Change In Working Capital 391.1 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 743.8 M
 End Period Cash Flow 5.9 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.5 B
 Forward Revenue -1.28 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue
 Depreciation 78.3 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 78.3 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit
 EBITDA
 EBIT
 Operating Income
 Interest Income 126.5 M
 Interest Expense 228.0 M
 Net Interest Income -101.51 M
 Income Before Tax -184.20 M
 Tax Provision -60.34 M
 Tax Rate 24.8 %
 Net Income -123.85 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -123.85 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate
 EPS Actual -0.06
 EPS Difference 0.00
 EPS Surprise -1867.21 %
 Forward EPS 0.20
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 33.6 B
 Intangible Assets 10.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.80 B
 Total Current Assets
 Cash and Short-Term Investments
 Cash 5.8 B
 Net Receivables
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 297.5 M
 Short-Term Debt 368.4 M
 Total Current Liabilities
 Net Debt 3.6 B
 Total Debt 9.8 B
 Total Liabilities 24.7 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 8.9 B
 Retained Earnings 55.2 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 4.19
 Shares Outstanding 2.110 B
 Revenue Per-Share 0.70
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 37.0 B
 Enterprise Value 46.8 B
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R 31.854
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 3.793
 Asset To Liability 1.358
 Debt To Capital 0.524
 Debt To Assets 0.291
Debt To Assets QoQ -10.855 %
Debt To Assets YoY 4318.085 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.312
RKT: 0.291
mean: 0.267
median: 0.174
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 1.103
Debt To Equity QoQ -17.035 %
Debt To Equity YoY 334.95 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 13.211
mean: 1.78
median: 1.21
RKT: 1.103
low: -1.932
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 4.181
Price To Book QoQ -2.423 %
Price To Book YoY 9.211 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 10.089
median: 6.822
mean: 5.14
RKT: 4.181
low: -2.248
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 250.519
Price To Earnings QoQ -27.545 %
Price To Earnings YoY 16.3 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA RKT: 250.519
high: 109.962
median: 77.528
mean: 64.979
low: -71.915
 PE/G Ratio 3.34
 Price To Sales (P/S) 25.206
Price To Sales QoQ 2.874 %
Price To Sales YoY 513.98 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 31.99
RKT: 25.206
mean: 12.22
median: 12.002
low: 0.799
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 108.313
Forward PE/G 1.444
Forward P/S -35.865
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.046
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.964 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 84.048 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.444
median: 0.062
mean: 0.06
RKT: 0.046
low: -0.011
 Receivables Turnover
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 108.433
median: 33.593
mean: 14.932
RKT: 0
low: -156.826
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio
 CapEx To Revenue -0.022
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.411
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 17.9 B
 Net Invested Capital 18.3 B
 Invested Capital 18.3 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.80 B
 Net Working Capital
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio
 Current Ratio
Current Ratio QoQ
Current Ratio YoY
Current Ratio IPRWA
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA
 Cost Of Debt 1.744 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 10.592 %
 Revenue Growth 12.71 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -58.173 %
Revenue Growth YoY -124.532 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 35.204 %
RKT: 12.71 %
mean: 10.616 %
median: 1.307 %
low: -29.515 %
 Earnings Growth 75.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -130.0 %
Earnings Growth YoY 125.002 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 169.231 %
RKT: 75.0 %
mean: 16.624 %
median: 1.471 %
low: -125.455 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin
Gross Margin QoQ
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin
EBIT Margin QoQ
EBIT Margin YoY
EBIT Margin IPRWA
 Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Sales QoQ
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -82.44 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -0.223 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -96.517 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -99.666 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 35.603 %
median: 2.522 %
mean: 2.479 %
RKT: -0.223 %
low: -20.828 %
 Free Cash Growth -95.966 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -170.699 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -135.772 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 247.438 %
median: 29.088 %
mean: -12.068 %
RKT: -95.966 %
low: -200.489 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.666
 Cash Flow Margin -1.786 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.212
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) -0.387 %
Return On Assets QoQ
Return On Assets YoY 330.0 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 5.974 %
mean: 1.101 %
median: 0.979 %
RKT: -0.387 %
low: -5.607 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.014
Return On Equity QoQ 5729.167 %
Return On Equity YoY -58.536 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.206
mean: 0.07
median: 0.065
RKT: -0.014
low: -0.123
 DuPont ROE -1.519 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC)
Return On Invested Capital QoQ
Return On Invested Capital YoY
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA

Six-Week Outlook

Technicals suggest a bullish bias that remains vulnerable: increasing DI+ and a rising MACD alongside price above all key moving averages support further upside, but ADX below 20 and MRO peak-and-reversal warn that any advance may stall without renewed participation. Expect range-bound rallies that favor the upside while momentum holds, with heightened sensitivity to free-cash-flow and earnings cadence that could trigger sharper pullbacks if results disappoint.

For short-term swing considerations, watch momentum breadth and volume to validate follow-through: continuing above the 20-day average and the 1x upper Bollinger band would strengthen the bullish case; a failure back below the super-trend support at $18.04 or a meaningful rise in MRO weakness would increase probability of a corrective leg.

About Rocket Companies, Inc.

Rocket Companies, Inc. (NYSE:RKT) develops a diverse range of financial technology solutions primarily in the United States and Canada. As a fintech holding company, Rocket Companies delivers mortgage lending services through Rocket Mortgage, a prominent mortgage lender. The company also manages Amrock, which provides title insurance, property valuation, and settlement services. Rocket Homes, another key offering, serves as a home search platform and real estate agent referral network, enhancing the home buying and selling experience with technology-driven services. Rocket Loans offers an online platform for personal loans, while Core Digital Media focuses on online marketing within the mortgage and personal finance sectors. Rocket Money, a personal finance application, assists clients in managing their financial activities. Additionally, Lendesk supplies a point of sale system for mortgage professionals and a loan origination system for private lenders. Rock Connections delivers specialized contact center services, and Rocket Innovation Studio focuses on recruiting and mentoring technology talent. Founded in 1985, Rocket Companies maintains its headquarters in Detroit, Michigan and operates as a subsidiary of Rock Holdings Inc.



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