Revolution Medicines, Inc. (NASDAQ:RVMD) Accelerates Daraxonrasib Pivotal Push, Data Likely In 2026

Revolution Medicines advances quickly from late-stage enrollment to adjuvant Phase 3 expansion, positioning daraxonrasib for near-term pivotal readouts. Operational momentum and a large liquidity buffer support continued trial execution while technical indicators signal elevated short-term risk of a pullback.

Recent News

On October 16, 2025 the company received a Commissioner’s National Priority Voucher for daraxonrasib (RMC-6236); on November 5, 2025 Revolution Medicines reported third-quarter 2025 results and confirmed daraxonrasib’s Phase 3 programs (RASolute 302 winding down enrollment; RASolute 303 and 304 progressing), noting Breakthrough Therapy and Orphan Drug designations; on December 18, 2025 the first patient randomized in RASolute 304, the Phase 3 adjuvant trial in resectable PDAC.

Technical Analysis

ADX / DI+ / DI-: ADX at 51.11 indicates a very strong trend; simultaneous DI+ decreasing and DI- increasing point to a shift toward downside pressure despite the strong trend, which raises the probability that recent gains may consolidate or retrace relative to the current valuation.

MACD: MACD sits at 3.54 while the signal line reads 4.34 and the MACD trend shows decreasing momentum; the MACD trading below its signal line signals waning bullish momentum and reinforces the near-term bias toward consolidation or pullback.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at 38.06 with a peak-and-reversal pattern indicates price currently above model target and suggests measurable downside potential as momentum reverts toward target levels.

RSI: RSI at 72.48 with a decreasing trend shows the security moved into overbought territory and has begun to lose upward momentum, consistent with the MACD and MRO signals pointing to near-term vulnerability.

Price vs Moving Averages & Support: Last close $78.78 trades above the 20-day average ($78.02), 50-day average ($66.14) and 200-day average ($45.86), reflecting sustained multi-horizon strength; however, the 12-day EMA shows a peak-and-reversal and the super trend lower at $74.29 provides the immediate technical support level to watch for consolidation relative to valuation.

Bollinger Bands & Volatility: Price sits near the upper 1x standard-deviation band ($79.52) with 20-day standard deviation $1.50, indicating compressed volatility near the recent highs and elevated probability of a short-term reversion toward the band center.

Ichimoku: Tenkan-Sen above Kijun-Sen and price above the cloud (Senkou A $56.09, Senkou B $49.38) preserves a constructive intermediate bias, but the combination of overbought RSI, decreasing MACD, and ADX-driven trend strength suggests any pullback could remain within an overall higher base rather than signaling a trend reversal.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings and Guidance Figures: Reported EPS of -$1.61 missed the estimate of -$1.41 by -$0.20, an EPS surprise ratio of -14.18%. Forward EPS stands at -$1.568, producing a forward PE of -39.82 and a trailing PE of -29.48; negative earnings drive distorted multiples and limit standard PE interpretations for near-term valuation.

Profitability & Returns: Net income for the period registers -$305,206,000; return on assets equals -13.04% and return on equity equals -19.11%, both reflecting the company’s clinical-stage cost structure and ongoing R&D investment. QoQ and YoY earnings growth read as 43.769% QoQ and 42.694% YoY when expressed as percentages (earningsGrowthQoQ 0.43769; earningsGrowthYoY 0.42694), indicating improvement from recent prior periods.

Cash, Liquidity, and Capital Structure: Cash and short-term investments total $1,931,508,000 with cash $217,442,000; current ratio equals 8.05, providing a substantial near-term liquidity cushion. Total debt stands at $158,461,000 with debt-to-assets of 7.04% and debt-to-equity of 9.92%, which presents a conservative leverage profile relative to the company’s cash runway and planned pivotal programs.

R&D and Cash Flow: Research and development expense totals $262,506,000. Operating cash flow at -$282,780,000 and free cash flow at -$210,660,000 reflect investment in trials; free cash flow yield of -2.34% highlights negative free cash conversion while free cash to net income equals 69.02%.

Valuation Context vs Industry Peers: Price-to-book ratio at 5.64 sits below the industry peer mean of 6.98 and slightly above the industry peer median of 5.93, placing the company inside the industry peer range but nearer the median. Debt-to-assets at 7.04% falls below the industry peer mean of 21.41% and inside the lower end of the industry peer range. Return on assets at -13.04% lies belowthe industry peer mean of -2.175% (negative two-point-one-seven-five percent) and below the industry peer median of 0.383%, indicating materially weaker asset returns compared with peers. WMDST values the stock as under-valued, reflecting the pipeline progress and large cash balance adjusted for negative earnings and cash burn from clinical programs.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-04
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 406.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow -282.78 M
 Capital Expenditures -3.35 M
 Change In Working Capital 56.4 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -184.05 M
 End Period Cash Flow 222.3 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue
 Forward Revenue
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue
 Depreciation 4.1 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 4.3 M
 Research and Development 262.5 M
 Total Operating Expenses 315.3 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit
 EBITDA -289.44 M
 EBIT -293.78 M
 Operating Income -315.27 M
 Interest Income 22.1 M
 Interest Expense 11.4 M
 Net Interest Income 10.7 M
 Income Before Tax -305.21 M
 Tax Provision
 Tax Rate
 Net Income -305.21 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -305.21 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -1.41
 EPS Actual -1.61
 EPS Difference -0.20
 EPS Surprise -14.184 %
 Forward EPS -1.57
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 2.3 B
 Intangible Assets 70.5 M
 Net Tangible Assets 1.5 B
 Total Current Assets 2.0 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 1.9 B
 Cash 217.4 M
 Net Receivables
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 19.7 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 74.8 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 245.6 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 158.5 M
 Total Liabilities 655.0 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.6 B
 Retained Earnings -2.50 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 8.42
 Shares Outstanding 189.711 M
 Revenue Per-Share
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 9.0 B
 Enterprise Value 7.2 B
 Enterprise Multiple -24.98
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 29.5 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -31.633 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 52.77
median: 26.559
mean: 4.047
RVMD: -24.98
low: -81.356
 EV/R
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.41
 Asset To Liability 3.438
 Debt To Capital 0.09
 Debt To Assets 0.07
Debt To Assets QoQ 28.765 %
Debt To Assets YoY 1378.361 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.045
mean: 0.214
median: 0.075
RVMD: 0.07
low: 0.0
 Debt To Equity 0.099
Debt To Equity QoQ 39.388 %
Debt To Equity YoY 1751.306 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.395
mean: 0.194
RVMD: 0.099
median: 0.09
low: -0.869
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 5.638
Price To Book QoQ 49.446 %
Price To Book YoY 12.406 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 17.968
mean: 6.981
median: 5.933
RVMD: 5.638
low: -8.555
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -29.477
Price To Earnings QoQ 0.501 %
Price To Earnings YoY -40.836 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 56.753
mean: -3.484
median: -10.347
RVMD: -29.477
low: -93.179
 PE/G Ratio -1.287
 Price To Sales (P/S)
Price To Sales QoQ
Price To Sales YoY
Price To Sales IPRWA
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E -39.819
Forward PE/G -1.739
Forward P/S
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Receivables Turnover
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 520.898
median: 189.366
mean: 166.152
RVMD: 0
low: -314.885
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio
 CapEx To Revenue
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.823
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.6 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.6 B
 Invested Capital 1.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.5 B
 Net Working Capital 1.7 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 7.864
 Current Ratio 8.051
Current Ratio QoQ -31.738 %
Current Ratio YoY -43.479 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 25.502
RVMD: 8.051
mean: 4.359
median: 3.195
low: 0.02
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -0.547
 Cost Of Debt 7.817 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -25.707
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -9.793 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 35.899 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 815.709
mean: 40.499
median: 4.855
RVMD: -25.707
low: -1538.4
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -1.151
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -7.312 %
 Revenue Growth
Revenue Growth QoQ
Revenue Growth YoY
Revenue Growth IPRWA
 Earnings Growth 22.901 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 43.769 %
Earnings Growth YoY 42.694 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 162.5 %
RVMD: 22.901 %
median: -6.452 %
mean: -13.514 %
low: -198.545 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin
Gross Margin QoQ
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin
EBIT Margin QoQ
EBIT Margin YoY
EBIT Margin IPRWA
 Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Sales QoQ
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -210.66 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -2.34 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -28.155 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 37.243 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 30.655 %
median: 0.768 %
mean: 0.328 %
RVMD: -2.34 %
low: -57.887 %
 Free Cash Growth -8.092 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -150.778 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -413.279 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 199.867 %
mean: 28.142 %
median: 21.696 %
RVMD: -8.092 %
low: -198.468 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.69
 Cash Flow Margin
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.927
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added
 Return On Assets (ROA) -13.039 %
Return On Assets QoQ 26.164 %
Return On Assets YoY 48.983 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 30.5 %
median: 0.383 %
mean: -2.175 %
RVMD: -13.039 %
low: -66.968 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -14.643 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.191
Return On Equity QoQ 43.872 %
Return On Equity YoY 91.541 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.948
median: -0.0
mean: -0.004
RVMD: -0.191
low: -1.385
 DuPont ROE
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC)
Return On Invested Capital QoQ
Return On Invested Capital YoY
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term action should hinge on clinical milestones and technical retracement dynamics rather than fresh fundamental surprises. The combination of a very strong ADX with DI+ weakening and DI- strengthening, declining MACD beneath its signal line, a positive MRO that has peaked, and RSI coming down from overbought levels points to a higher probability of a corrective leg or range-bound consolidation in the coming six weeks. Clinical catalysts remain the dominant fundamental drivers: any trial enrollment updates or regulatory communications could re-accelerate directional conviction, while the balance sheet and low leverage provide operational cover for ongoing execution. Traders should expect elevated intraday volume relative to recent averages while the technical setup resolves around the $74–$79 neighborhood and around the super trend lower at $74.29 as an operational support reference.

About Revolution Medicines, Inc.

Revolution Medicines, Inc. (NASDAQ:RVMD) develops innovative targeted therapies aimed at treating RAS-addicted cancers. As a clinical-stage precision oncology company, Revolution Medicines constructs a robust research and development pipeline featuring RAS(ON) inhibitors. These inhibitors serve as monotherapy and in combination with other RAS(ON) inhibitors, RAS companion inhibitors, or additional therapeutic agents. Key RAS(ON) inhibitors in their portfolio include RMC-6236, RMC-6291, and RMC-9805, all of which currently undergo phase 1 clinical trials. The company also advances development candidates like RMC-5127, RMC-0708, and RMC-8839, focusing on various genetic targets such as G12V, Q61H, and G13C. In addition to RAS(ON) inhibitors, Revolution Medicines develops RAS companion inhibitors, including RMC-4630, which is in a phase 2 clinical trial, and RMC-5552, in a phase 1 clinical trial. Founded in 2014, Revolution Medicines operates out of Redwood City, California, and continues to explore treatments targeting G12R and other oncogenic mutations. Through its innovative approach, the company aims to provide new therapeutic options for patients battling RAS-driven cancers.



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