Regis Corporation (NYSE:RGS) Poised To Rebound As Cash Flow Stabilizes And Valuation Looks Cheap

Regis Corporation shows operational cash generation and selective margin recovery while balance-sheet leverage remains a constraint; near-term price action should track momentum signals and liquidity changes.

Recent News

Management scheduled investor engagement at Lake Street’s Best Ideas Growth conference on September 11, 2025, and maintained steady outreach through investor relations announcements in the fall.

Technical Analysis

ADX / DI+ / DI-: ADX at 15.9 signals no established trend; DI+ at 21.69 with a dip-and-reversal indicates renewed bullish directional pressure, while DI- at 17.01 and decreasing adds to the constructive directional tilt. Together these directional indicators imply a short-term bullish bias without a strong trend behind it, so momentum-driven moves need volume confirmation.

MACD: MACD sits negative at -0.53 but shows a dip-and-reversal, which signals building bullish momentum; MACD remains below the signal line (-0.41), so a confirmed bullish momentum shift requires a cross above the signal line.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at -10.64 and decreasing places price below target and suggests potential upward pressure as the gap to target exists, though the decreasing MRO weakens that potential unless momentum reverses.

RSI: RSI at 49.6 with a decreasing trend places momentum near neutral-to-weak; the reading warns that bullish directional signals need support from volume or MACD confirmation to sustain an advance.

Price vs Moving Averages and Bands: Price closed at $27.03, below the 50-day average ($28.80) and above the 200-day average ($22.80). The 12-day EMA trends down, aligning with short-term pressure, while price sits near the 20-day mean ($27.03) and inside the 1x Bollinger band range—conditions that favor range-bound trade with a slightly bullish tilt if MACD and DI+ strengthen.

Ichimoku & Support/Resistance: Price below Tenkan (27.92) and Kijun (28.17) places near-term resistance at those levels; Senkou A at 29.41 and Senkou B at 24.85 frame the cloud, with current price tucked under Senkou A and above Senkou B, implying overhead resistance and a limited downside cushion.

Volume & Volatility: Daily volume (9,861) prints below 10/50/200-day averages, signaling low conviction for recent moves; 42-day volatility at 2% keeps expected intraday ranges tight, so a meaningful breakout requires a pickup in volume.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability: EBIT of $7,163,000 yields an EBIT margin of 12.15%, below the industry peer mean (23.40%) and median (20.41%), while EBIT margin improved strongly YoY (+99.07%) yet declined QoQ (-13.17%). The mixed cadence—sharp YoY improvement but quarter-to-quarter contraction—suggests episodic margin recovery rather than steady expansion.

Top-Line & Cash Flow: Total revenue $58,958,000 shows revenue growth YoY of -64.50% and overall revenue growth of -2.38%; operating cash flow $2,283,000 and free cash flow $1,888,000 produce a free cash flow yield of 2.80%, which sits above the industry peer mean (1.02%). The company generated positive operating cash through recent quarters, supporting liquidity despite top-line pressure.

Leverage & Coverage: Total debt $345,139,000 produces debt-to-assets of 58.29% (above the industry peer mean of 50.89%) and debt-to-equity of 1.84 (above the industry peer mean of 0.21). Interest coverage at 1.36 falls well below the industry peer mean (16.94), and debt-to-EBITDA near 43.52 indicates elevated leverage versus earnings.

Efficiency & Working Capital: Asset turnover at 0.099 sits below the industry peer mean (0.2037), while cash conversion cycle at -30.26 days improves working-capital dynamics relative to many peers. Receivables turnover at 6.31 improved YoY (+26.79%), supporting cash flow despite a negative current ratio (0.51).

Valuation: WMDST values the stock as under-valued. Price-to-book at 0.36 sits well below the industry peer mean (7.55). Enterprise multiple at 49.93 comes in below the industry peer mean (65.77), and free cash flow yield at 2.80% exceeds the peer mean (1.02%), creating a valuation profile that looks inexpensive on cash-flow and book-value metrics even as leverage and coverage metrics remain stretched.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-11
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-10
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 35.2 M
 Operating Cash Flow 2.3 M
 Capital Expenditures -395.00 K
 Change In Working Capital -3.50 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 562.0 K
 End Period Cash Flow 35.8 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 59.0 M
 Forward Revenue -17.66 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 37.7 M
 Depreciation 758.0 K
 Depreciation and Amortization 758.0 K
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 53.0 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 21.3 M
 EBITDA 7.9 M
 EBIT 7.2 M
 Operating Income 5.9 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 5.3 M
 Net Interest Income -5.27 M
 Income Before Tax 1.9 M
 Tax Provision 536.0 K
 Tax Rate 28.3 %
 Net Income 1.4 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 1.4 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate
 EPS Actual
 EPS Difference
 EPS Surprise
 Forward EPS -0.66
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 592.1 M
 Intangible Assets 188.8 M
 Net Tangible Assets -1.22 M
 Total Current Assets 51.4 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 16.6 M
 Cash 16.6 M
 Net Receivables 9.2 M
 Inventory 2.8 M
 Long-Term Investments 15.6 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 22.2 M
 Short-Term Debt 1.6 M
 Total Current Liabilities 100.0 M
 Net Debt 94.7 M
 Total Debt 345.1 M
 Total Liabilities 404.6 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 187.6 M
 Retained Earnings 103.3 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 76.20
 Shares Outstanding 2.461 M
 Revenue Per-Share 23.95
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 67.4 M
 Enterprise Value 396.0 M
 Enterprise Multiple 49.933
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 26.787 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -61.999 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 190.151
mean: 65.77
median: 57.018
RGS: 49.933
low: -49.3
 EV/R 6.717
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 3.157
 Asset To Liability 1.464
 Debt To Capital 0.648
 Debt To Assets 0.583
Debt To Assets QoQ -0.464 %
Debt To Assets YoY -22.025 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.606
RGS: 0.583
median: 0.538
mean: 0.509
low: 0.003
 Debt To Equity 1.84
Debt To Equity QoQ -2.617 %
Debt To Equity YoY -72.72 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 11.641
RGS: 1.84
median: 0.265
mean: 0.205
low: -12.738
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 0.36
Price To Book QoQ 30.728 %
Price To Book YoY -62.294 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 21.244
median: 9.975
mean: 7.548
RGS: 0.36
low: -12.493
 Price To Earnings (P/E)
Price To Earnings QoQ
Price To Earnings YoY
Price To Earnings IPRWA
 PE/G Ratio
 Price To Sales (P/S) 1.144
Price To Sales QoQ 35.317 %
Price To Sales YoY -2.042 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 31.99
median: 17.023
mean: 15.091
RGS: 1.144
low: 0.093
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E -36.063
Forward PE/G
Forward P/S -3.819
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 6.392
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.099
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -9.016 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 11.7 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.573
mean: 0.204
median: 0.193
RGS: 0.099
low: 0.056
 Receivables Turnover 6.308
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -3.643 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 26.79 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 44.676
mean: 16.908
median: 7.658
RGS: 6.308
low: 0.907
 Inventory Turnover 13.586
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 66.049
mean: 33.914
median: 26.534
RGS: 13.586
low: 0.4
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 14.466
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -30.262
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -14.934 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 121.811
mean: -0.72
median: -4.939
RGS: -30.262
low: -127.896
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -1.214
 CapEx To Revenue -0.007
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.521
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 297.2 M
 Net Invested Capital 298.8 M
 Invested Capital 298.8 M
 Net Tangible Assets -1.22 M
 Net Working Capital -48.55 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.166
 Current Ratio 0.514
Current Ratio QoQ 3.587 %
Current Ratio YoY 46.557 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 4.471
mean: 1.146
median: 1.083
RGS: 0.514
low: 0.031
 Quick Ratio 0.487
Quick Ratio QoQ 3.798 %
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 4.447
mean: 1.163
median: 1.15
RGS: 0.487
low: 0.027
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 43.518
 Cost Of Debt 1.086 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 1.359
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -12.024 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 134.273 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 55.684
mean: 16.935
median: 8.562
RGS: 1.359
low: -11.431
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.038
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 51.349
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -1.142 %
 Revenue Growth -2.384 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -139.464 %
Revenue Growth YoY -64.503 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 26.865 %
mean: 4.215 %
median: 1.869 %
RGS: -2.384 %
low: -26.062 %
 Earnings Growth
Earnings Growth QoQ
Earnings Growth YoY
Earnings Growth IPRWA
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 36.065 %
Gross Margin QoQ -1.722 %
Gross Margin YoY -7.868 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 88.469 %
median: 41.646 %
mean: 41.58 %
RGS: 36.065 %
low: -34.618 %
 EBIT Margin 12.149 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -13.172 %
EBIT Margin YoY 99.066 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 52.4 %
mean: 23.398 %
median: 20.409 %
RGS: 12.149 %
low: -25.213 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 10.043 %
Return On Sales QoQ -16.759 %
Return On Sales YoY 64.558 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 47.382 %
mean: 22.86 %
median: 20.409 %
RGS: 10.043 %
low: -27.119 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1.9 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.8 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -77.06 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -210.716 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 7.297 %
RGS: 2.8 %
median: 1.243 %
mean: 1.02 %
low: -12.37 %
 Free Cash Growth -69.705 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -1247.03 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -45.002 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 271.747 %
median: 21.034 %
mean: 5.965 %
RGS: -69.705 %
low: -516.758 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.392
 Cash Flow Margin 6.396 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.781
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.01
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.228 %
Return On Assets QoQ -98.914 %
Return On Assets YoY -239.024 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 8.233 %
mean: 2.943 %
median: 2.639 %
RGS: 0.228 %
low: -8.455 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.455 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.007
Return On Equity QoQ -98.848 %
Return On Equity YoY -147.817 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.405
median: 0.061
mean: 0.04
RGS: 0.007
low: -0.352
 DuPont ROE 0.727 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 1.719 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -23.668 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 4.245 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 14.048 %
median: 7.931 %
mean: 7.448 %
RGS: 1.719 %
low: -12.836 %

Six-Week Outlook

Price action should remain range-bound unless momentum indicators confirm direction. The directional indicators and a MACD dip-and-reversal create an upside bias, but ADX below 20 and low volume limit conviction. Expect consolidation around the $27 area with uphill hurdles at the 20–50 day averages and Ichimoku conversion lines; a sustained move above those levels would likely attract momentum traders and lift realized volatility. Conversely, failure to sustain short-term momentum could send price toward the lower boundary of the recent Bollinger band set, exposing the company’s leverage and coverage vulnerabilities to market scrutiny. Watch MACD versus its signal line, DI+ strength, and volume as the primary triggers for a durable directional move over the next six weeks.

About Regis Corporation

Regis Corporation (NYSE:RGS) manages and franchises a diverse portfolio of hair care salons across North America. The company divides its operations into two main segments: Franchise Salons and Company-Owned Salons. Regis Corporation’s salons deliver a range of services, including haircutting, styling with shampooing and conditioning, and hair coloring. In addition to services, the salons retail a variety of hair care and beauty products. The company’s salon brands include well-known names such as Supercuts, SmartStyle, Cost Cutters, First Choice Haircutters, Roosters, Hair Masters, Cool Cuts for Kids, Style America, Famous Hair, Magicuts, Holiday Hair, and TGF concepts. Established in 1922, Regis Corporation maintains its headquarters in Minneapolis, Minnesota, and continues to play a significant role in the hair care industry through its extensive network of salons.



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