Lear Corporation (NYSE:LEA) Expands AI Partnership and Pushes Toward Improved Cash Generation

Lear shows operational momentum from digital investments while margins and returns stay pressured; cash-flow strength supports the current under-valued WMDST valuation.

Recent News

On September 4, 2025, Lear announced a five-year expansion of its partnership with Palantir to broaden deployment of Foundry, Warp Speed manufacturing OS, and Palantir’s AI Platform across Lear’s global manufacturing footprint.

On November 20, 2025, Lear’s Board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.77 per share payable December 30, 2025, to shareholders of record on December 10, 2025.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 26.87 indicates a strong trend environment, implying technical signals carry meaningful directional weight for near-term price movement.

DI+ sits at 19.91 with a decreasing trend while DI- shows 16.78 with a dip & reversal; both directional indicators skew toward bearish pressure and suggest downside bias relative to the current valuation.

MACD currently reads 0.15 and declines beneath its signal line at 0.88; that configuration signals weakening upward momentum and favors short-term bearish momentum.

MRO registers 21.95 with a peak & reversal; the positive value indicates price sits above the oscillator’s target and implies a potential for downward adjustment from present levels.

RSI at 51.2 with a decreasing trend sits near neutral but tilting lower, consistent with reduced upside conviction while the price consolidates below short-term averages.

Short-term averages show price below the 20-day average ($106.42) and below the 12-day EMA’s peak-and-reverse, while remaining above the 200-day average ($96.32); that arrangement implies short-term pressure inside a longer-term base.

Ichimoku components cluster near $102–$104; the close at $99.28 sits beneath the cloud boundary, reinforcing near-term resistance levels around the cloud and the upper Bollinger band region.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Total revenue for the period reached $5,679,800,000 with operating cash flow of $444,400,000 and free cash flow of $307,000,000; the free cash flow yield measures 5.78%, which places free cash generation among the company’s stronger fundamental features.

EBIT registered $184,000,000, producing an EBIT margin of 3.24%, down 19.56% QoQ and down 16.67% YoY; the EBIT margin falls below the industry peer low of 4.13% and well under the industry peer mean of 11.25%, indicating margin compression versus the peer distribution.

Operating margin at 3.39% declined 17.62% QoQ and 12.83% YoY, while gross margin slid to 6.40% (down 12.06% QoQ). Those margin moves helped push adjusted earnings per share to $2.79, matching WMDST’s estimate with an EPS surprise of roughly -0.09%.

Revenue growth shows mixed signals: sequential metrics show a sizeable QoQ decline (reported as -168.76% QoQ) and a year-over-year decline of -18.33% YoY; the combination reflects lower top-line momentum versus the recent comparable period.

Balance-sheet and liquidity metrics present a conservative short-term picture: cash and short-term investments total $1,009,600,000 while the current ratio stands at 1.35 and quick ratio at 1.05. Net debt equals $1,781,100,000 and debt to EBITDA measures 8.30, indicating elevated leverage relative to operating cash generation.

Returns sit low: return on equity at 2.12% and return on assets at 0.71%, both down markedly QoQ. Capital efficiency shows asset turnover of 0.373, slightly above the industry peer mean of 0.268 but below the peer high. Free cash flow conversion to net income runs 2.84x, underscoring meaningful cash conversion despite compressed margins.

Valuation metrics present a mixed picture: P/E at 36.40 and forward P/E near 29.98, with price-to-book around 1.04 and enterprise multiple at 21.08. WMDST values the stock as under-valued given the company’s cash generation and the gap between operating performance and valuation.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-10-31
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-01-30
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 893.3 M
 Operating Cash Flow 444.4 M
 Capital Expenditures -137.40 M
 Change In Working Capital 158.1 M
 Dividends Paid -40.90 M
 Cash Flow Delta 121.1 M
 End Period Cash Flow 1.0 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 5.7 B
 Forward Revenue 2.3 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 5.3 B
 Depreciation 147.5 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 152.3 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 5.5 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 363.7 M
 EBITDA 336.3 M
 EBIT 184.0 M
 Operating Income 192.5 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 24.6 M
 Net Interest Income -24.60 M
 Income Before Tax 159.4 M
 Tax Provision 45.1 M
 Tax Rate 28.3 %
 Net Income 108.2 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 126.4 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 2.79
 EPS Actual 2.79
 EPS Difference 0.00
 EPS Surprise -0.09 %
 Forward EPS 3.41
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 15.2 B
 Intangible Assets 1.8 B
 Net Tangible Assets 3.3 B
 Total Current Assets 8.0 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 1.0 B
 Cash 1.0 B
 Net Receivables 4.2 B
 Inventory 1.8 B
 Long-Term Investments 2.5 B
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 3.6 B
 Short-Term Debt 31.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 5.9 B
 Net Debt 1.8 B
 Total Debt 2.8 B
 Total Liabilities 9.9 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 5.1 B
 Retained Earnings 6.1 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 97.68
 Shares Outstanding 52.271 M
 Revenue Per-Share 108.66
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 5.3 B
 Enterprise Value 7.1 B
 Enterprise Multiple 21.082
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 13.62 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 50.151 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 46.398
mean: 30.484
median: 26.218
LEA: 21.082
low: -5.511
 EV/R 1.248
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.969
 Asset To Liability 1.529
 Debt To Capital 0.353
 Debt To Assets 0.184
Debt To Assets QoQ 1.059 %
Debt To Assets YoY 8969.458 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.487
median: 0.227
mean: 0.202
LEA: 0.184
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.547
Debt To Equity QoQ -0.492 %
Debt To Equity YoY 8548.259 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.311
median: 0.594
LEA: 0.547
mean: 0.494
low: 0.002
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.04
Price To Book QoQ -1.294 %
Price To Book YoY -16.333 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 3.589
mean: 1.806
median: 1.669
LEA: 1.04
low: 0.83
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 36.401
Price To Earnings QoQ 30.577 %
Price To Earnings YoY -3.04 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 108.851
median: 54.023
mean: 51.71
LEA: 36.401
low: -4.3
 PE/G Ratio -1.857
 Price To Sales (P/S) 0.935
Price To Sales QoQ 5.29 %
Price To Sales YoY -11.858 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 8.895
mean: 4.02
median: 3.418
low: 1.206
LEA: 0.935
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 29.983
Forward PE/G -1.53
Forward P/S 2.271
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 4.171
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.373
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -7.466 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -1.561 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.39
LEA: 0.373
median: 0.313
mean: 0.268
low: 0.075
 Receivables Turnover 1.297
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -5.795 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -1.858 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.729
mean: 1.659
median: 1.32
LEA: 1.297
low: 0.281
 Inventory Turnover 3.085
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -7.165 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 3.351 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA LEA: 3.085
high: 2.581
mean: 1.43
median: 1.308
low: 0.356
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 70.329
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 38.332
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 23.518 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -3.45 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 324.595
mean: 109.79
median: 66.537
LEA: 38.332
low: 32.952
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 2.726
 CapEx To Revenue -0.024
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.932
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 7.9 B
 Net Invested Capital 7.9 B
 Invested Capital 7.9 B
 Net Tangible Assets 3.3 B
 Net Working Capital 2.1 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.17
 Current Ratio 1.35
Current Ratio QoQ 0.618 %
Current Ratio YoY 1.893 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.981
median: 2.335
mean: 2.092
LEA: 1.35
low: 0.601
 Quick Ratio 1.054
Quick Ratio QoQ -1.213 %
Quick Ratio YoY 2.813 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 1.962
median: 1.194
mean: 1.153
LEA: 1.054
low: 0.465
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 8.298
 Cost Of Debt 0.632 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 7.48
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -21.785 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -8.7 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 70.827
mean: 17.75
median: 8.277
LEA: 7.48
low: -34.487
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.061
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 60.123
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 2.645
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.378
 Dividend Rate 0.78
 Dividend Yield 0.008
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -1.073 %
 Revenue Growth -5.814 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -168.764 %
Revenue Growth YoY -18.331 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 17.576 %
median: -1.59 %
mean: -2.399 %
LEA: -5.814 %
low: -19.959 %
 Earnings Growth -19.597 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -274.692 %
Earnings Growth YoY -0.634 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 30.769 %
median: -7.639 %
mean: -8.393 %
LEA: -19.597 %
low: -66.667 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 6.403 %
Gross Margin QoQ -12.059 %
Gross Margin YoY -11.78 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 44.402 %
mean: 24.821 %
median: 22.648 %
low: 14.232 %
LEA: 6.403 %
 EBIT Margin 3.24 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -19.563 %
EBIT Margin YoY -16.667 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 30.389 %
mean: 11.249 %
median: 9.103 %
low: 4.128 %
LEA: 3.24 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 3.389 %
Return On Sales QoQ -17.623 %
Return On Sales YoY -12.834 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 19.449 %
mean: 10.098 %
median: 7.197 %
low: 4.012 %
LEA: 3.389 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 307.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 5.783 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 81.228 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 577.96 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 12.691 %
LEA: 5.783 %
mean: 3.581 %
median: 3.311 %
low: -0.505 %
 Free Cash Growth 79.742 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -145.904 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -213.328 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 125.995 %
LEA: 79.742 %
median: 35.347 %
mean: 17.321 %
low: -113.114 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 2.837
 Cash Flow Margin 6.379 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 3.348
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.71 %
Return On Assets QoQ -35.63 %
Return On Assets YoY -22.91 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 7.492 %
mean: 1.744 %
median: 1.134 %
LEA: 0.71 %
low: -0.219 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.998 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.021
Return On Equity QoQ -34.82 %
Return On Equity YoY -25.649 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.08
mean: 0.033
median: 0.03
LEA: 0.021
low: -0.008
 DuPont ROE 2.124 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 1.671 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -33.026 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -107.501 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 7.89 %
mean: 3.101 %
median: 2.786 %
LEA: 1.671 %
low: -0.036 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term technicals point to consolidation with downside bias: weakening MACD beneath its signal line, a peak-and-reverse MRO, and short-term averages above price suggest momentum may test lower support near the 200-day average. ADX at 26.87 keeps the move technically meaningful; a sustained shift in DI+ or a MACD cross above the signal would signal renewed upward momentum. Fundamental cash-flow strength and a declared quarterly dividend should provide a support floor for price action while margin and return metrics resolve over coming quarters.

About Lear Corporation

Lear Corporation (NYSE:LEA) designs and manufactures automotive seating and electrical distribution systems for original equipment manufacturers globally. With a focus on North America, Europe, Africa, Asia, and South America, Lear delivers comprehensive solutions for the automotive industry. The company’s Seating segment develops seat systems and components, including trim covers, mechanisms, foams, and headrests. These products cater to a range of vehicles, from light trucks and compact cars to sport utility vehicles. Lear also provides surface materials such as leather and fabric, enhancing both functionality and aesthetics. In its E-Systems segment, Lear produces electrical distribution and connection systems that facilitate signal routing and power management within vehicles. This includes wire harnesses, terminals, connectors, and junction boxes. The segment also offers electronic system products like control modules and power control systems, along with software and connected services for in-vehicle commerce and cloud integration. Headquartered in Southfield, Michigan, Lear Corporation continues to supply innovative automotive solutions under various brands, meeting the evolving needs of the global automotive market.



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