Emerson Electric Co. (NYSE:EMR) Shows Valuation Gap While Near-Term Momentum Weakens

Emerson’s balance of below-mean valuation metrics and softening momentum produces a cautious near-term profile despite underlying operational resilience.

Recent News

September 3, 2025: Coverage noted ongoing strength across Intelligent Devices and Software/Control platforms and confirmed AspenTech now operates as a fully owned subsidiary. October 15, 2025: JPMorgan raised its price target for Emerson. November 10, 2025: JP Morgan maintained coverage with a Neutral view. November 14, 2025: Institutional filing showed M&G PLC trimmed its Emerson stake. Recent product and sustainability announcements include a roll-out of an Energy Manager solution for real-time plant energy monitoring and customer-facing efficiency projects in manufacturing.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show trend emergence with bearish bias: ADX at 22.31 indicates an emerging trend in play while DI- at 25.91 increasing and DI+ at 17.60 peak-and-reverse both point to bearish directional pressure; that combination suggests near-term downside risk to price momentum relative to the current valuation gap.

MACD displays bearish momentum: MACD at -1.11 below the signal line (-0.40) and declining, signaling accelerating negative momentum that can pressure prices even where valuation appears attractive.

MRO reads 11.21 and sits positive, indicating price currently above the model target and implying a tightening of upside potential; this elevates the likelihood of short-term reversion toward target levels given the existing momentum setup.

RSI at 48.03 with a peak-and-reversal characteristic shows waning upside momentum without entering oversold territory, which aligns with the MACD and directional indicators and supports a guarded short-term bias against the stock’s valuation narrative.

Price structure and volatility context: the 12-day EMA trends lower while the 26-day EMA sits higher (price12dayEMA 129.74 decreasing; price26dayEMA 131.08), producing a short-term moving-average configuration that favors consolidation or downward pressure. Price closed at $128.17, just above the 200-day average of $124.78, and beneath the super trend upper boundary at $134.51; Bollinger bands show a moderate 20-day band width (20-day avg $131.47, 1xStdDev band roughly $126–$137) consistent with contained volatility that can break decisively if momentum persists.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and margins: operating margin at 20.23% and EBIT margin at 21.38% outpace the industry peer mean operating/EBIT margin measures, with EBIT margin above the industry peer mean (20.39%) but below the industry peer median (24.86%); QoQ EBIT margin improved ~17.42% and YoY improved ~16.87%, indicating recent margin recovery supporting the current valuation stance.

Revenue and growth: total revenue stands at $4,855,000,000 with YoY revenue growth of 21.55% and QoQ growth shown as 142.97% in the provided metric; YoY top-line expansion materially contributes to operating leverage and links to the improved EBIT margin trajectory.

Cash flow and liquidity: operating cash flow of $1,009,000,000 and free cash flow of $842,000,000 produce a free cash flow yield of 1.13%, slightly below the industry peer mean free cash flow yield of 1.21%. Cash and short-term investments total $1,544,000,000 while net debt equals $11,572,000,000, yielding a debt-to-EBITDA roughly 9.71x and an interest coverage ratio of 4.29x; those leverage metrics exceed industry peer means and suggest balance-sheet capacity has tightened versus peers.

Returns and efficiency: return on equity at 3.14% and return on assets at 1.51% trail industry peer mean returns, yet YoY and QoQ signals show recent improvements (ROE QoQ +6.34%, ROA QoQ +8.58%), implying operational gains are translating into incremental return expansion.

Capital allocation and shareholder metrics: dividend payout ratio near 46.70% and dividend coverage about 2.14 support ongoing distributions. Book value per share about $36.04 and price-to-book at 3.68 sit below the industry peer mean price-to-book of 4.84, while price-to-earnings at 81.95 remains below the industry peer mean P/E of 95.08. Forward P/E near 83.62 and forward EPS $1.58 reflect muted near-term earnings growth expectations embedded in multiples.

Earnings and surprises: reported EPS came in at $1.62 with an EPS surprise ratio of 0.28%, matching the consensus estimate of $1.62; that alignment reduces near-term earnings-based repricing catalysts but preserves the company’s reported operating performance figures.

Valuation summary: WMDST values the stock as under-valued. Key valuation metrics show an enterprise multiple of 61.35 and an EVR of 17.91, with price target mean near $129.58 from aggregate analyst inputs; multiples sit below several industry peer mean benchmarks, while leverage metrics sit above peer means, producing a valuation that reflects both discounted multiples and elevated balance-sheet obligations.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-04
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 2.2 B
 Operating Cash Flow 1.0 B
 Capital Expenditures -168.00 M
 Change In Working Capital 71.0 M
 Dividends Paid -297.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta -675.00 M
 End Period Cash Flow 1.5 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 4.9 B
 Forward Revenue 1.7 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 2.3 B
 Depreciation 98.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 379.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 3.9 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 2.5 B
 EBITDA 1.4 B
 EBIT 1.0 B
 Operating Income 982.0 M
 Interest Income 150.0 M
 Interest Expense 242.0 M
 Net Interest Income -92.00 M
 Income Before Tax 796.0 M
 Tax Provision 160.0 M
 Tax Rate 20.101 %
 Net Income 636.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 636.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.62
 EPS Actual 1.62
 EPS Difference 0.00
 EPS Surprise 0.28 %
 Forward EPS 1.58
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 42.0 B
 Intangible Assets 27.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets -7.37 B
 Total Current Assets 8.6 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 1.5 B
 Cash 1.5 B
 Net Receivables 3.1 B
 Inventory 2.2 B
 Long-Term Investments 238.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 1.4 B
 Short-Term Debt 4.8 B
 Total Current Liabilities 9.8 B
 Net Debt 11.6 B
 Total Debt 13.8 B
 Total Liabilities 21.7 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 20.3 B
 Retained Earnings 40.6 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 36.04
 Shares Outstanding 562.800 M
 Revenue Per-Share 8.63
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 74.7 B
 Enterprise Value 86.9 B
 Enterprise Multiple 61.351
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -15.393 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 34.36 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 115.779
median: 77.621
mean: 70.254
EMR: 61.351
low: -88.558
 EV/R 17.906
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.069
 Asset To Liability 1.937
 Debt To Capital 0.404
 Debt To Assets 0.328
Debt To Assets QoQ -6.245 %
Debt To Assets YoY 2627.787 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA EMR: 0.328
high: 0.325
mean: 0.193
median: 0.152
low: 0.004
 Debt To Equity 0.678
Debt To Equity QoQ -9.345 %
Debt To Equity YoY 2658.764 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 0.875
EMR: 0.678
mean: 0.368
median: 0.234
low: 0.004
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 3.684
Price To Book QoQ -1.661 %
Price To Book YoY 30.472 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 9.111
mean: 4.839
median: 4.037
EMR: 3.684
low: -1.835
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 81.953
Price To Earnings QoQ -6.07 %
Price To Earnings YoY 13.206 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 157.791
median: 97.671
mean: 95.081
EMR: 81.953
low: -33.071
 PE/G Ratio 12.457
 Price To Sales (P/S) 15.39
Price To Sales QoQ -5.866 %
Price To Sales YoY 16.362 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 27.527
median: 22.453
mean: 17.339
EMR: 15.39
low: 0.983
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 83.623
Forward PE/G 12.711
Forward P/S 44.03
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 3.801
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.115
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 6.653 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 11.766 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.442
mean: 0.186
median: 0.12
EMR: 0.115
low: 0.045
 Receivables Turnover 1.616
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 3.084 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -0.506 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.824
mean: 1.884
median: 1.755
EMR: 1.616
low: 1.017
 Inventory Turnover 1.038
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 8.22 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 3.499 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.883
mean: 1.112
median: 1.066
EMR: 1.038
low: 0.236
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 56.47
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 95.441
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -4.649 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -2.688 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 328.786
median: 97.226
EMR: 95.441
mean: 92.631
low: 31.961
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -3.999
 CapEx To Revenue -0.035
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.714
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 28.6 B
 Net Invested Capital 33.4 B
 Invested Capital 33.4 B
 Net Tangible Assets -7.37 B
 Net Working Capital -1.21 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.158
 Current Ratio 0.876
Current Ratio QoQ 3.639 %
Current Ratio YoY -50.643 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 8.334
mean: 1.712
low: 1.155
median: 1.155
EMR: 0.876
 Quick Ratio 0.65
Quick Ratio QoQ 2.859 %
Quick Ratio YoY -53.402 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 7.533
mean: 1.105
low: 0.72
median: 0.72
EMR: 0.65
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 9.71
 Cost Of Debt 0.505 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 4.289
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -50.847 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -15.738 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 40.476
median: 20.897
mean: 17.18
EMR: 4.289
low: -1.556
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.103
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 56.102
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 2.141
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.467
 Dividend Rate 0.53
 Dividend Yield 0.004
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -1.301 %
 Revenue Growth 6.633 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 142.967 %
Revenue Growth YoY 21.55 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 20.96 %
EMR: 6.633 %
median: 6.444 %
mean: 3.408 %
low: -27.734 %
 Earnings Growth 6.579 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 143.396 %
Earnings Growth YoY 88.133 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 52.778 %
EMR: 6.579 %
median: 6.18 %
mean: -1.386 %
low: -35.625 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 51.885 %
Gross Margin QoQ -1.282 %
Gross Margin YoY 1.079 %
Gross Margin IPRWA EMR: 51.885 %
high: 48.879 %
mean: 37.262 %
median: 36.253 %
low: 7.158 %
 EBIT Margin 21.38 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 17.421 %
EBIT Margin YoY 16.869 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 30.674 %
median: 24.858 %
EMR: 21.38 %
mean: 20.389 %
low: -20.823 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 20.227 %
Return On Sales QoQ 1.424 %
Return On Sales YoY 10.566 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 25.804 %
median: 25.804 %
mean: 21.205 %
EMR: 20.227 %
low: -21.186 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 842.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.127 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -14.166 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -24.817 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 5.505 %
mean: 1.208 %
EMR: 1.127 %
median: 0.988 %
low: -2.711 %
 Free Cash Growth -13.818 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -102.586 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 68.184 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 383.949 %
mean: 27.753 %
median: 27.328 %
EMR: -13.818 %
low: -142.754 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.324
 Cash Flow Margin 20.783 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.586
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.506 %
Return On Assets QoQ 8.58 %
Return On Assets YoY -32.07 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.472 %
mean: 2.481 %
median: 2.362 %
EMR: 1.506 %
low: -3.882 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 3.227 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.031
Return On Equity QoQ 6.341 %
Return On Equity YoY -31.871 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.147
mean: 0.045
median: 0.035
EMR: 0.031
low: -0.055
 DuPont ROE 3.168 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.483 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 29.256 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -111.504 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 5.346 %
mean: 3.468 %
median: 3.002 %
EMR: 2.483 %
low: -1.351 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term price action should track technical momentum rather than fundamentals: directional indicators, a declining MACD, and a positive MRO that signals price above intrinsic target all favor limited upside and heightened reversion risk in the coming six weeks. The valuation gap—WMDST’s under-valued assessment and multiples below industry peer means—creates a structural support level, but momentum signals and elevated leverage increase the probability of sideways-to-downward price consolidation before any sustainable re-acceleration. Traders focusing on swing horizons should monitor MACD for a crossover above the signal line or a clear DI+ recovery as confirmations of momentum improvement; absent those, expect volatility within the current Bollinger band range and potential lower re-tests toward the 200-day average region.

About Emerson Electric Co.

Emerson Electric Co. (NYSE:EMR) is a global powerhouse in technology and software, renowned for delivering innovative solutions across diverse industries. Headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri, and established in 1890, Emerson has a rich history of pioneering advancements that enhance operational efficiency and safety. The company operates through seven dynamic segments: Final Control, Measurement & Analytical, Discrete Automation, Safety & Productivity, Control Systems & Software, Test & Measurement, and AspenTech. Emerson’s Final Control segment specializes in delivering precision control and safety solutions, including valves and actuators, crucial for process and hybrid industries. The Measurement & Analytical segment offers advanced instrumentation that assesses critical physical properties like pressure, temperature, and flow, ensuring optimal performance and safety. In the realm of automation, the Discrete Automation segment provides cutting-edge solutions such as solenoid and pneumatic valves, enhancing industrial productivity. Emerson’s Safety & Productivity segment is dedicated to empowering professionals with robust tools for various applications. The company’s Control Systems & Software segment delivers sophisticated control and cybersecurity solutions, while Test & Measurement offers automated systems to ensure quality and reliability. Lastly, AspenTech, a segment of Emerson, provides asset optimization software that leverages decades of expertise in modeling and simulation, driving industrial excellence. Emerson’s commitment to innovation and excellence continues to shape industries worldwide.



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