Zions Bancorporation, N.A. (NASDAQ:ZION) Enters Near-Term Rebound After Credit-Related Headline Shock

Momentum indicators and a recent earnings beat support a short-term recovery narrative, while credit headlines and WMDST's over-valued verdict temper the intermediate outlook.

Recent News

Sept. 10, 2025: Zions scheduled a presentation at the Barclays Global Financial Services Conference. Mid‑October 2025: Zions disclosed a $50 million third‑quarter charge related to two C&I loans from its California unit, prompting legal action and sector scrutiny. Oct. 31, 2025: the board declared a regular quarterly common dividend of $0.45 per share payable Nov. 20, 2025.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 16.81 indicates no established trend; the lack of trend strength reduces conviction for extended directional moves and makes short-term signals more dependency-driven on momentum and headline flow.

DI+ reads 21.18 with a dip & reversal, while DI– reads 28.12 and shows decreasing — both directional indicators align with a bullish tilt that supports the introduction’s near-term recovery narrative.

MACD stands at -0.77, trending increasing and above its signal line (-0.91); the MACD crossing above the signal line signals a shift toward bullish momentum and complements the DI+/DI– alignment for a probable short-term lift.

MRO registers -29.38 with a peak & reversal; the negative MRO indicates the price sits below the oscillator’s target and implies potential for price to move upward toward balance with valuation targets, which supports a rebound thesis tied to the earnings beat.

RSI at 47.83 with a dip & reversal suggests momentum recovered from a recent pullback and permits additional upside without immediate overbought risk, supporting a controlled bounce scenario tied to the MACD signal.

Price sits at $52.61, above the 200‑day average ($51.49) and near the 12‑day EMA ($52.11) which shows a dip & reversal; this position versus moving averages favors stability around current levels and aligns with the modest bullish momentum in oscillators. Bollinger bands compress near $50.81–$53.24, indicating contained volatility that may favor range-bound recovery unless headlines expand volatility.

 


Fundamental Analysis

WMDST values the stock as over‑valued. Quarterly results showed EPS of $1.48 versus an estimate of $1.40, an EPS surprise of 5.71%, which underpins the short-term bullish technical signals by confirming earnings resilience.

Profitability metrics: return on equity stands at 3.74% and return on assets at 0.276%; both show QoQ improvement (ROE QoQ +37.64%, ROA QoQ +43.75%) and place ROE above the industry peer mean of 2.687% and above the industry peer median of 2.83%.

Revenue and earnings growth: revenue growth year‑over‑year ran 60.55% while revenue growth QoQ shows a contraction; earnings growth year‑over‑year equals 28.72% with a large QoQ deceleration. Strong YoY expansion contrasts with short‑term sequential softness, which supports the recovery thesis only if sequential trends stabilize.

Valuation multiples: trailing P/E equals 31.21, below the industry peer mean P/E of 44.70 and below the peer median of 43.99; price‑to‑book sits at 1.20, slightly below the industry peer mean of 1.256 and effectively in line with the industry peer median of 1.1918. Forward P/E near 39.53 sits below the industry peer mean forward P/E of 46.09. These relative positions indicate valuation compression versus peers despite WMDST’s over‑valued determination, which reflects WMDST’s internal criteria beyond simple multiples.

Capital, liquidity and credit: cash totals $2.561B, total assets $88.893B, and tangible equity stands at $5.5B. Net interest income of $648M against interest income of $1.051B and interest expense of $403M shows persistent yield capture but elevated funding costs. Provisioning and the disclosed $50M charge highlight credit monitoring as the principal fundamental risk near term.

Cash flow and dividends: free cash flow totaled negative $93M with a free cash flow yield of -1.19% and free cash growth showing material YoY weakness; the board maintained a quarterly common dividend of $0.45 (dividend yield ~0.83%), supported by a payout ratio of ~26.64% and dividend coverage of 3.75x, indicating payout sustainability under current earnings levels.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-10-20
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-01-19
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 833.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow -62.00 M
 Capital Expenditures -31.00 M
 Change In Working Capital -322.00 M
 Dividends Paid -65.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta -53.00 M
 End Period Cash Flow 780.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 838.0 M
 Forward Revenue 154.9 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue
 Depreciation 29.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 29.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit
 EBITDA
 EBIT
 Operating Income
 Interest Income 1.1 B
 Interest Expense 403.0 M
 Net Interest Income 648.0 M
 Income Before Tax 312.0 M
 Tax Provision 68.0 M
 Tax Rate 21.8 %
 Net Income 244.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 244.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.40
 EPS Actual 1.48
 EPS Difference 0.08
 EPS Surprise 5.714 %
 Forward EPS 1.22
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 88.9 B
 Intangible Assets 1.1 B
 Net Tangible Assets 5.5 B
 Total Current Assets
 Cash and Short-Term Investments
 Cash 2.6 B
 Net Receivables
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 970.0 M
 Total Liabilities 82.3 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 6.5 B
 Retained Earnings 7.0 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 44.24
 Shares Outstanding 147.603 M
 Revenue Per-Share 5.68
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 7.8 B
 Enterprise Value 8.8 B
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R 10.487
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 13.613
 Asset To Liability 1.08
 Debt To Capital 0.129
 Debt To Assets 0.011
Debt To Assets QoQ -0.456 %
Debt To Assets YoY -83.085 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.165
median: 0.063
mean: 0.061
ZION: 0.011
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.149
Debt To Equity QoQ -3.52 %
Debt To Equity YoY -85.319 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.774
mean: 0.612
median: 0.553
ZION: 0.149
low: -0.158
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.197
Price To Book QoQ 2.364 %
Price To Book YoY 6.638 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 2.06
mean: 1.256
ZION: 1.197
median: 1.192
low: 0.014
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 31.213
Price To Earnings QoQ -28.924 %
Price To Earnings YoY -5.166 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 85.266
mean: 44.7
median: 43.985
ZION: 31.213
low: 29.155
 PE/G Ratio 0.705
 Price To Sales (P/S) 9.33
Price To Sales QoQ 1.284 %
Price To Sales YoY 14.118 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 24.824
mean: 13.279
median: 12.564
ZION: 9.33
low: 0.128
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 39.531
Forward PE/G 0.893
Forward P/S 50.462
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.009
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 5.451 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 7.973 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.016
mean: 0.01
median: 0.01
ZION: 0.009
low: 0.006
 Receivables Turnover
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio
 CapEx To Revenue -0.037
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.069
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 7.6 B
 Net Invested Capital 7.5 B
 Invested Capital 7.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets 5.5 B
 Net Working Capital
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio
 Current Ratio
Current Ratio QoQ
Current Ratio YoY
Current Ratio IPRWA
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA
 Cost Of Debt 32.59 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 3.754
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.266
 Dividend Rate 0.44
 Dividend Yield 0.008
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.024 %
 Revenue Growth 5.409 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -277.402 %
Revenue Growth YoY 60.552 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 19.743 %
ZION: 5.409 %
mean: 3.939 %
median: 3.469 %
low: -10.94 %
 Earnings Growth 44.248 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -382.338 %
Earnings Growth YoY 28.721 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 62.857 %
ZION: 44.248 %
mean: 13.103 %
median: 13.068 %
low: -39.535 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin
Gross Margin QoQ
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin
EBIT Margin QoQ
EBIT Margin YoY
EBIT Margin IPRWA
 Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Sales QoQ
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -93.00 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -1.19 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -157.322 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -131.886 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 8.216 %
mean: 2.464 %
median: 2.071 %
ZION: -1.19 %
low: -4.487 %
 Free Cash Growth -161.184 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 133.885 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -12508.314 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 603.019 %
median: 1.088 %
mean: -24.254 %
ZION: -161.184 %
low: -480.617 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.381
 Cash Flow Margin 32.578 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.119
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.07
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.276 %
Return On Assets QoQ 43.75 %
Return On Assets YoY 20.0 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 0.612 %
mean: 0.287 %
median: 0.279 %
ZION: 0.276 %
low: -0.094 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.037
Return On Equity QoQ 37.643 %
Return On Equity YoY 3.834 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.044
ZION: 0.037
median: 0.028
mean: 0.027
low: -0.015
 DuPont ROE 3.817 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC)
Return On Invested Capital QoQ
Return On Invested Capital YoY
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a consolidation-biased recovery driven by regained momentum: MACD crossover and DI+/DI– alignment favor upside retracement, while ADX below 20 warns that moves lack trending strength and could remain range‑bound around current moving averages. MRO negative and RSI dip & reversal suggest additional catch‑up exists toward implied targets, but credit headline risk and compressed free cash flows cap conviction. Volatility sits muted; price action near the 12‑day EMA and above the 200‑day average suggests the next several weeks will likely feature measured gains interspersed with headline-driven pullbacks rather than a strong trending breakout.

About Zions Bancorporation, N.A.

Zions Bancorporation, N.A. (NASDAQ:ZION) delivers a wide range of banking products and services, primarily across the Western and Southwestern United States. Headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah, the company operates through several regional brands, including Zions Bank, California Bank & Trust, Amegy Bank, National Bank of Arizona, Nevada State Bank, Vectra Bank Colorado, and The Commerce Bank of Washington. Zions Bancorporation serves small- and medium-sized businesses with commercial and industrial lending, owner-occupied lending, and leasing options. It provides municipal and public finance services, along with depository accounts, cash management, and merchant processing services. The company also extends corporate trust, correspondent banking, and international lending services. In the capital markets arena, Zions Bancorporation offers loan syndications, foreign exchange services, and interest rate derivatives. It engages in fixed income securities underwriting, advisory services, and capital raising. The company supports commercial real estate ventures with term and construction financing. For individual clients, the company provides retail banking services, including residential mortgages, home equity lines, personal loans, and credit cards. Its wealth management division offers investment management, fiduciary services, and advanced business succession planning. Founded in 1873, Zions Bancorporation continues to support its communities with comprehensive financial solutions.



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