Church & Dwight Co., Inc (NYSE:CHD) Poised To Rebound After Momentum Reversal

Church & Dwight presents slower margin dynamics amid modest revenue growth while valuation sits at fair value; recent market action and short-term momentum readings suggest stabilization with a tilt toward recovery over the coming weeks.

Recent News

On July 30, 2025 the Board declared the regular quarterly dividend at $0.295 per share payable September 2, 2025 to holders of record August 15, 2025; the announcement noted this as the company’s 498th consecutive quarterly dividend. Analysts adjusted targets and commentary in late July, with several firms issuing revised price targets and outlook notes through July 25–29, 2025.

Technical Analysis

ADX registers 20.88, indicating an emerging trend strength that supports a directional move without confirming a sustained trend; this aligns with the near-term stabilization implied by fair valuation.

Directional indicators show a DI+ peak-and-reversal, a bearish signal, while DI- trends downward, a bullish signal; those opposing directional patterns produce a consolidation-to-cautious-bounce bias against the current valuation.

MACD sits at -1.16 with a recent peak-and-reversal reading (bearish momentum), yet the MACD line trades above its signal (-1.22), which functions as a short-term bullish crossover and supports near-term positive price pressure toward fair value.

MRO reads -26.97, indicating the price sits below the MRO target and therefore carries upward potential toward regression targets; that technical underpricing interacts with the fair-valued assessment to favor mean reversion.

RSI at 42.85 with a dip-and-reversal trend produces a bullish short-term momentum signal that reinforces the potential for a bounce from recent supports rather than a fresh downtrend.

Price action shows $87.25 close below the 200-day average ($98.55) but near the 20-day average ($87.73); short-term exponential averages (12-day EMA $87.63, 26-day EMA $88.79) trend downward, suggesting any rebound may face resistance near the 26-day EMA and the 50-day average ($90.91). Bollinger band lower edges cluster around $85.32–$86.53, supplying nearby technical support consistent with the super trend lower at $85.91.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Top line expanded YoY by 4.08% while quarter-to-quarter sales contracted steeply (-136.79% QoQ), reflecting seasonal and timing effects on revenue recognition; the YoY growth supports steady demand but QoQ movement requires monitoring. Total revenue registers $1,506,300,000 and free cash flow registers $208,300,000, producing a free-cash-flow yield of 0.90%.

Profitability shows EBIT of $274,000,000 and an EBIT margin of 18.19%, below the industry peer mean of 21.43% and below the industry peer median of 22.66%, a gap that narrowed relative to peers on absolute terms but widened QoQ (-12.62%) and YoY (-20.02%). Operating margin stands at 17.37%, down QoQ (-16.54%) and YoY (-23.61%). Gross margin registers 42.95%, below the industry peer mean of 48.91%.

Earnings per share delivered $0.78 against a $0.75 estimate, an EPS surprise of 4.00%, while forward EPS sits at $0.9325. The reported PE ratio reads 104.11x, slightly above the industry peer mean of 100.49x and near the industry peer median of 107.83x; forward PE measures 106.01x. Price-to-book records 5.28x, below the industry peer mean of 23.42 and below the industry peer median of 7.19x.

Leverage and coverage show total debt $2,205,800,000 with debt-to-EBITDA at 6.67x and interest coverage at 11.66x, signaling adequate coverage though elevated leverage relative to historical norms. Cash and short-term investments stand at $923,200,000 while net debt totals $1,282,600,000.

Returns register modestly: return on equity 4.35% and return on assets 2.15%, both lower YoY. Dividend economics show a dividend rate near $0.298 per share with a payout ratio of 38.01% and dividend yield of 0.31%; dividend coverage registers 2.63x.

Valuation conclusion: WMDST values the stock as fair-valued, with enterprise value $24,468,589,567 against market cap $23,185,989,567; given the combination of modest revenue growth, compressed margins versus industry peer mean, positive cash generation, and an elevated PE multiple, the fundamental picture supports limited near-term multiple expansion absent margin recovery.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-08-01
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-10-30
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 1.1 B
 Operating Cash Flow 230.8 M
 Capital Expenditures -22.50 M
 Change In Working Capital -71.90 M
 Dividends Paid -72.60 M
 Cash Flow Delta -151.30 M
 End Period Cash Flow 923.2 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.5 B
 Forward Revenue 447.8 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 859.3 M
 Depreciation 22.5 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 56.6 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.2 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 647.0 M
 EBITDA 330.6 M
 EBIT 274.0 M
 Operating Income 261.7 M
 Interest Income 9.2 M
 Interest Expense 23.5 M
 Net Interest Income -14.30 M
 Income Before Tax 250.5 M
 Tax Provision 59.5 M
 Tax Rate 23.8 %
 Net Income 191.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 191.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.75
 EPS Actual 0.78
 EPS Difference 0.03
 EPS Surprise 4.0 %
 Forward EPS 0.93
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 8.8 B
 Intangible Assets 5.2 B
 Net Tangible Assets -855.70 M
 Total Current Assets 2.2 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 923.2 M
 Cash 923.2 M
 Net Receivables 611.0 M
 Inventory 622.4 M
 Long-Term Investments 374.2 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 703.0 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 1.2 B
 Net Debt 1.3 B
 Total Debt 2.2 B
 Total Liabilities 4.4 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 4.4 B
 Retained Earnings 6.6 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 18.04
 Shares Outstanding 243.559 M
 Revenue Per-Share 6.18
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 23.2 B
 Enterprise Value 24.5 B
 Enterprise Multiple 74.013
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 0.348 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 20.903 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA CHD: 74.013
high: 72.282
median: 72.282
mean: 68.222
low: -24.065
 EV/R 16.244
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.0
 Asset To Liability 2.0
 Debt To Capital 0.334
 Debt To Assets 0.251
Debt To Assets QoQ 1.937 %
Debt To Assets YoY 35757.143 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.518
mean: 0.336
low: 0.283
median: 0.283
CHD: 0.251
 Debt To Equity 0.502
Debt To Equity QoQ 3.61 %
Debt To Equity YoY 35254.93 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 12.476
mean: 3.005
median: 0.692
CHD: 0.502
low: -1.548
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 5.277
Price To Book QoQ -7.224 %
Price To Book YoY -9.746 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 100.047
mean: 23.421
median: 7.192
CHD: 5.277
low: -4.02
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 104.11
Price To Earnings QoQ -10.011 %
Price To Earnings YoY -5.858 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 107.828
median: 107.828
CHD: 104.11
mean: 100.486
low: -14.797
 PE/G Ratio 31.577
 Price To Sales (P/S) 15.393
Price To Sales QoQ -12.762 %
Price To Sales YoY -7.598 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 17.639
median: 17.639
mean: 15.865
CHD: 15.393
low: 1.198
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 106.007
Forward PE/G 32.153
Forward P/S 51.779
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -3.848
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.17
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 3.222 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -2.688 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.359
mean: 0.2
CHD: 0.17
low: 0.168
median: 0.168
 Receivables Turnover 2.493
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.805 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -6.527 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.39
median: 3.39
mean: 3.164
CHD: 2.493
low: 1.745
 Inventory Turnover 1.37
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 5.643 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 4.824 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.838
median: 1.422
mean: 1.372
CHD: 1.37
low: 0.806
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 36.605
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 28.135
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -2.501 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -2.117 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 139.24
CHD: 28.135
mean: -24.059
median: -42.682
low: -51.568
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.475
 CapEx To Revenue -0.015
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.0
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 6.6 B
 Net Invested Capital 6.6 B
 Invested Capital 6.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets -855.70 M
 Net Working Capital 1.0 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.764
 Current Ratio 1.845
Current Ratio QoQ -5.516 %
Current Ratio YoY 20.848 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 3.558
CHD: 1.845
mean: 0.776
low: 0.704
median: 0.704
 Quick Ratio 1.33
Quick Ratio QoQ -6.966 %
Quick Ratio YoY 35.567 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.28
CHD: 1.33
mean: 0.531
low: 0.495
median: 0.495
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 6.672
 Cost Of Debt 0.812 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 11.66
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -11.045 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -21.297 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 22.325
median: 22.325
mean: 19.725
CHD: 11.66
low: -10.856
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.203
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 79.339
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 2.631
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.38
 Dividend Rate 0.30
 Dividend Yield 0.003
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -1.873 %
 Revenue Growth 2.672 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -136.789 %
Revenue Growth YoY 407.985 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 23.563 %
median: 5.628 %
mean: 4.382 %
CHD: 2.672 %
low: -13.988 %
 Earnings Growth 3.297 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -81.867 %
Earnings Growth YoY -205.504 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 97.931 %
CHD: 3.297 %
mean: 0.021 %
median: -3.896 %
low: -15.544 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 42.953 %
Gross Margin QoQ -4.462 %
Gross Margin YoY -8.845 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 60.059 %
median: 49.107 %
mean: 48.907 %
CHD: 42.953 %
low: 24.094 %
 EBIT Margin 18.19 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -12.619 %
EBIT Margin YoY -20.023 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 22.658 %
median: 22.658 %
mean: 21.434 %
CHD: 18.19 %
low: -7.521 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 17.374 %
Return On Sales QoQ -16.539 %
Return On Sales YoY -23.611 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 21.135 %
median: 20.844 %
mean: 20.136 %
CHD: 17.374 %
low: 9.147 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 208.3 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.898 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 37.309 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 9.379 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 12.123 %
mean: 1.178 %
median: 1.083 %
CHD: 0.898 %
low: -5.047 %
 Free Cash Growth 23.109 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -180.189 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -595.795 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 365.854 %
mean: 65.927 %
median: 40.162 %
CHD: 23.109 %
low: -537.486 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.091
 Cash Flow Margin 16.292 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.285
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.153 %
Return On Assets QoQ -12.763 %
Return On Assets YoY -23.408 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 5.997 %
mean: 3.192 %
median: 2.913 %
CHD: 2.153 %
low: 0.404 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 3.615 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.043
Return On Equity QoQ -10.112 %
Return On Equity YoY -23.144 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 1.058
mean: 0.263
median: 0.071
CHD: 0.043
low: 0.017
 DuPont ROE 4.271 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 3.166 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -10.235 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -105.886 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 12.603 %
mean: 5.302 %
median: 4.427 %
CHD: 3.166 %
low: 1.276 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical and fundamental signals favor stabilization with an asymmetric upward tilt. Short-term momentum indicators (RSI dip-and-reversal; MACD crossover) support a bounce toward short-term moving-average resistance near the 26-day EMA and the 50-day average. MRO negative suggests scope for mean reversion toward valuation targets, while ADX at ~21 signals an emerging move rather than a confirmed trend.

Support clusters reside near the lower Bollinger band and the super trend lower (around $85.3–$86.0), while overhead technical resistance and the fair valuation framework constrain rapid upside. Traders should expect a consolidation-biased range with potential tests higher if margin metrics and operating cash flow hold steady in upcoming releases; conversely, widening margin pressure would reintroduce downside vulnerability toward the lower support band.

About Church & Dwight Co., Inc.

Church & Dwight Co., Inc. (NYSE:CHD) develops a wide array of consumer goods, primarily known for its ARM & HAMMER brand. This brand extends across several categories, including baking soda, laundry detergents, and cat litters. Headquartered in Ewing, New Jersey, Church & Dwight maintains a significant presence in the household and personal care sectors. The company’s portfolio features brands such as TROJAN, which offers sexual wellness products, and OXICLEAN, recognized for its stain removal and cleaning solutions. Additionally, SPINBRUSH provides advanced oral care products, while FIRST RESPONSE, VITAFUSION, and WATERPIK address health and wellness needs with pregnancy tests, gummy vitamins, and oral hygiene products, respectively. Church & Dwight also serves the specialty products market by delivering solutions that enhance animal and food productivity. The company distributes its products through various retail and e-commerce channels, emphasizing quality and sustainability. With a history dating back to 1846, Church & Dwight continues to uphold its reputation as a trusted provider of household essentials, consistently enhancing consumer experiences through its innovative product offerings.



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