California Resources Corporation (NYSE:CRC) Accelerates Expansion Through All-Stock Berry Acquisition Driving Near-Term Production Growth

California Resources Corporation (NYSE:CRC) positions for higher output and tighter leverage after a material asset acquisition; near-term price action will hinge on integration progress and short-term momentum indicators.

Recent News

On September 15–22, 2025 CRC announced an all‑stock agreement to acquire Berry Corp. for roughly $717 million, offering Berry shareholders a 15% premium and issuing CRC stock such that CRC holders would own about 94% of the combined company; the deal targets early‑2026 close, promises roughly 20,000 barrels per day of additional oil production, adds ~20,000 net acres, and forecasts $80–$90 million of annual synergies within a year.

Technical Analysis

ADX and Directional Indicators: ADX at 32.35 signals a strong directional market structure. DI+ at 24.43 shows a decreasing trend while DI‑ at 18.22 shows an increasing trend, producing a bearish directional bias despite the strong ADX reading; that bias could mute upside from corporate catalysts until DI+ stabilizes.

MACD: MACD sits at 0.67 and falls below the signal line at 1.14 with a decreasing MACD trend, indicating waning bullish momentum; the technical momentum profile does not support an immediate acceleration higher absent a MACD cross above the signal line.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at 3.96 and showing a peak & reversal suggests the price sits above modeled target levels and faces pressure to correct; that condition limits near-term upside potential following the acquisition announcement.

RSI and Short-Term Strength: RSI at 57.21 with a decreasing trend reflects modest bullishness that has lost steam; RSI remains below overbought territory but points toward consolidation or a pullback if selling accelerates.

Price vs Moving Averages and Ichimoku: Closing price $53.61 sits above the 200‑day average $45.91, supporting a constructive longer-term valuation narrative, while the price trades slightly below the 20‑day average $54.43, signaling short-term pressure. The 12‑day EMA shows a dip & reversal pattern consistent with a recent bounce, and Ichimoku lines (Tenkan 54.38 above Kijun 53.62) imply short‑term strength that conflicts with broader bearish momentum, suggesting mixed near‑term forces around the acquisition catalyst.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and Margins: EBIT $267,000,000 and EBITDA $395,000,000 underpin an EBIT margin of 32.72%. That EBIT margin sits above the industry peer mean of 17.19%. EBIT margin expanded QoQ by 55.81% and widened YoY by 483.16%, supporting the valuation case and reinforcing free cash generation expectations tied to operational efficiency.

Earnings and Cash Flow: Reported EPS $1.10 versus an estimate $0.92 produced an EPS surprise of 19.57%, which reinforces recent earnings strength. Free cash flow $165,000,000 yields 4.20%, above the industry peer mean free cash flow yield of 1.26%, while free cash flow to net income stands at 95.93%, indicating strong conversion of earnings into cash available for deleveraging or capital deployment.

Capital Structure and Leverage: Total debt $1,092,000,000 produces net debt $938,000,000 and a debt‑to‑assets ratio of 16.27%, below the industry peer mean of 23.62%; debt‑to‑equity at 32.05% stays well under the industry peer mean of 72.60%. Interest coverage at 10.68 provides sizable buffer on interest expense. Pro forma effects of the Berry acquisition and stated intent to refinance or keep leverage below 1.0x will materially determine near‑term credit flexibility.

Liquidity and Working Capital: Current ratio 0.78 and quick ratio 0.68 sit beneath the industry peer means (current ratio mean ~1.20, quick ratio mean ~0.94), reflecting tighter near‑term liquidity that merits monitoring as integration and seasonal cash flows evolve. Cash and short‑term investments $72,000,000 plus operating cash flow $165,000,000 provide runway but working capital remains negative $200,000,000.

Growth and Returns: Revenue totaled $816,000,000. YoY revenue growth and QoQ metrics show mixed signals: revenue growth QoQ equals 259.38% and revenue growth YoY equals 154.44% (values reported), but trailing revenueGrowth reads -9.33%, which highlights variability across reporting windows and the material impact of recent deals and operational adjustments. Return on equity 5.05% and return on assets 2.54% sit above respective industry peer means (ROE mean ~2.85%, ROA mean ~1.20%), supporting the WMDST valuation stance.

Valuation: WMDST values the stock as under‑valued. Current P/E 41.78 and P/B 1.15 sit below the industry peer mean P/E 52.01 and slightly below the industry peer mean P/B 1.55, while enterprise multiple 12.53 and free cash flow yield 4.20% provide a valuation profile consistent with an under‑valued classification given CRC’s margin expansion and above‑peer cash conversion.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-08-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-11-04
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 214.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 165.0 M
 Capital Expenditures
 Change In Working Capital -56.00 M
 Dividends Paid -35.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta -142.00 M
 End Period Cash Flow 72.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 816.0 M
 Forward Revenue 111.2 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 469.0 M
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 708.0 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 347.0 M
 EBITDA 395.0 M
 EBIT 267.0 M
 Operating Income 108.0 M
 Interest Income 5.0 M
 Interest Expense 25.0 M
 Net Interest Income -20.00 M
 Income Before Tax 242.0 M
 Tax Provision 70.0 M
 Tax Rate 28.926 %
 Net Income 172.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 172.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.92
 EPS Actual 1.10
 EPS Difference 0.18
 EPS Surprise 19.565 %
 Forward EPS 1.12
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 6.7 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 3.4 B
 Total Current Assets 728.0 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 72.0 M
 Cash 72.0 M
 Net Receivables 297.0 M
 Inventory 93.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 53.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 329.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 122.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 928.0 M
 Net Debt 938.0 M
 Total Debt 1.1 B
 Total Liabilities 3.3 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 3.4 B
 Retained Earnings 1.9 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 40.71
 Shares Outstanding 83.680 M
 Revenue Per-Share 9.75
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 3.9 B
 Enterprise Value 4.9 B
 Enterprise Multiple 12.531
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -11.2 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -56.508 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 75.659
mean: 30.381
median: 28.835
CRC: 12.531
low: -7.608
 EV/R 6.066
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.97
 Asset To Liability 2.031
 Debt To Capital 0.243
 Debt To Assets 0.163
Debt To Assets QoQ 1.339 %
Debt To Assets YoY 3746.099 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.609
mean: 0.236
median: 0.212
CRC: 0.163
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.321
Debt To Equity QoQ 2.823 %
Debt To Equity YoY 3361.339 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.807
mean: 0.726
median: 0.442
CRC: 0.321
low: 0.002
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.153
Price To Book QoQ 11.608 %
Price To Book YoY -29.257 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 3.756
median: 1.768
mean: 1.552
CRC: 1.153
low: 0.005
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 41.78
Price To Earnings QoQ 9.705 %
Price To Earnings YoY -49.145 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 185.623
mean: 52.008
median: 48.382
CRC: 41.78
low: -96.671
 PE/G Ratio -3.29
 Price To Sales (P/S) 4.816
Price To Sales QoQ 19.28 %
Price To Sales YoY -28.173 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 30.921
mean: 6.058
median: 5.84
CRC: 4.816
low: 0.012
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 38.551
Forward PE/G -3.036
Forward P/S 35.354
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -4.422
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.121
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -6.5 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 1.456 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.422
median: 0.165
mean: 0.154
CRC: 0.121
low: 0.002
 Receivables Turnover 2.698
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.388 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -0.803 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 6.047
CRC: 2.698
mean: 1.939
median: 1.804
low: 0.322
 Inventory Turnover 5.098
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -9.003 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 14.293 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 23.002
CRC: 5.098
mean: 3.297
median: 2.469
low: 0.051
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 33.827
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -9.818
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -110.929 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -57.973 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 82.233
median: 6.538
mean: 2.352
CRC: -9.818
low: -110.2
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -4.08
 CapEx To Revenue
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 4.3 B
 Net Invested Capital 4.4 B
 Invested Capital 4.4 B
 Net Tangible Assets 3.4 B
 Net Working Capital -200.00 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.078
 Current Ratio 0.784
Current Ratio QoQ -5.647 %
Current Ratio YoY -67.672 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 5.453
median: 1.249
mean: 1.198
CRC: 0.784
low: 0.329
 Quick Ratio 0.684
Quick Ratio QoQ -7.121 %
Quick Ratio YoY -70.66 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 3.791
mean: 0.939
median: 0.919
CRC: 0.684
low: 0.247
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 2.765
 Cost Of Debt 1.624 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 10.68
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 52.571 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 548.428 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 22.447
CRC: 10.68
mean: 6.954
median: 6.558
low: -20.714
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.183
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 60.203
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 4.914
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.203
 Dividend Rate 0.42
 Dividend Yield 0.009
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -1.684 %
 Revenue Growth -9.333 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 259.376 %
Revenue Growth YoY 154.444 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 43.755 %
median: -3.774 %
mean: -5.013 %
CRC: -9.333 %
low: -35.032 %
 Earnings Growth -12.698 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -172.222 %
Earnings Growth YoY -36.51 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 122.222 %
CRC: -12.698 %
median: -21.739 %
mean: -23.7 %
low: -180.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 42.525 %
Gross Margin QoQ -2.615 %
Gross Margin YoY -2.66 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 82.166 %
CRC: 42.525 %
mean: 24.862 %
median: 22.581 %
low: -39.892 %
 EBIT Margin 32.721 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 55.814 %
EBIT Margin YoY 483.158 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 95.08 %
CRC: 32.721 %
mean: 17.186 %
median: 13.652 %
low: -39.515 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 13.235 %
Return On Sales QoQ -36.976 %
Return On Sales YoY 135.876 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 90.781 %
mean: 13.921 %
CRC: 13.235 %
median: 11.212 %
low: -39.515 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 165.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 4.199 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -17.972 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 44.843 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 8.634 %
CRC: 4.199 %
median: 1.276 %
mean: 1.258 %
low: -11.931 %
 Free Cash Growth -11.29 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 16.284 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -198.225 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 300.833 %
CRC: -11.29 %
mean: -16.331 %
median: -24.008 %
low: -616.098 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.959
 Cash Flow Margin 20.833 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.988
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.541 %
Return On Assets QoQ 54.281 %
Return On Assets YoY 1237.368 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.797 %
CRC: 2.541 %
mean: 1.195 %
median: 0.982 %
low: -3.385 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 4.616 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.05
Return On Equity QoQ 54.326 %
Return On Equity YoY 1194.359 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.111
CRC: 0.05
mean: 0.029
median: 0.027
low: -0.087
 DuPont ROE 4.969 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 4.296 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 44.939 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -312.673 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 6.932 %
CRC: 4.296 %
mean: 2.632 %
median: 2.373 %
low: -4.078 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near‑term momentum should remain range‑bound to mildly positive provided integration updates and synergy milestones from the Berry transaction arrive on schedule; technical momentum indicators currently bias toward consolidation with downside risk if MACD and DI+ continue declining. Volatility around deal approvals, reported synergies, and liquidity maneuvers will likely produce episodic volume spikes. Monitor short‑term directional indicators for reversal—specifically DI+ stabilization and a MACD cross above its signal line—to signal renewed upside conviction; absent those, expect sideways to modest corrective price action while fundamentals absorb acquisition effects.

About California Resources Corporation

California Resources Corporation (NYSE:CRC) actively explores and produces oil and natural gas, while advancing carbon management solutions. Headquartered in Long Beach, California, CRC leverages the state’s abundant natural resources to support local economies and fulfill energy needs. The company efficiently produces and markets crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids, serving a diverse clientele that includes marketers, refineries, and purchasers. CRC’s operations benefit from extensive transportation and storage networks, ensuring reliable distribution. Beyond its primary activities, CRC contributes to the energy sector by generating and selling electricity to the wholesale power market and utility sector. The company prioritizes sustainable practices, investing in innovative carbon capture and storage projects to minimize emissions and promote environmental stewardship. Since its incorporation in 2014, California Resources Corporation has demonstrated a commitment to responsible energy production, balancing economic development with environmental care. Through its focus on innovation and sustainability, CRC aims to influence the future of energy in California and beyond.



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