Chord Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:CHRD) Accelerates Cash Returns Amid Strategic Funding Push

Chord Energy consolidates capital-return programs while funding a near-term Williston Basin acquisition, creating a clear corporate cash-allocation emphasis that shapes the immediate outlook.

Recent News

On August 6, 2025 Chord Energy reported second-quarter 2025 financial and operating results, declared a base dividend of $1.30 per share and announced an expanded share-repurchase program. On September 16, 2025 the company announced an upsized private placement of senior unsecured notes totaling $750 million to fund a pending Williston Basin asset acquisition from XTO Energy and for general corporate purposes. On October 2, 2025 Chord released its 2024 Sustainability Report highlighting operational execution, Enerplus integration and emissions-reduction initiatives.

Technical Analysis

ADX / DI+/DI-: ADX at 11.39 indicates absence of a sustained trend; DI+ shows a peak-and-reverse, signaling reduced bullish directional pressure, while DI- shows a peak-and-reverse, signaling reduced bearish directional pressure—the offsetting DI signals in the context of low ADX imply limited near-term directional conviction and favor range-bound price action unless trend strength increases.

MACD: MACD at -1.19 and decreasing with the MACD below the signal line (-0.71) signals bearish momentum; that momentum profile weighs against breakout attempts and supports a near-term bias toward consolidation beneath recent moving averages.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at -25.76 (negative) with a dip-and-reversal indicates the price sits below the model target and carries bullish mean-reversion potential toward fair-value references, which complements the fundamental valuation that labels the stock under-valued.

RSI: RSI at 49.43 and falling indicates momentum tipping lower from midrange levels, consistent with short-term seller tilt while not yet reaching oversold extremes.

Price Structure & Averages: Last close $99.69 sits below the 20-day average ($101.57), 50-day average ($103.82) and 200-day average ($102.59), creating technical resistance in the $101–$104 area. Price trades near the 1x lower Bollinger band ($98.84), suggesting limited immediate downside within the current volatility band. Ichimoku components (Tenkan $102.19; Kijun $104.47; SenkouA $104.03; SenkouB $102.30) place price below the conversion and baseline and below the cloud, reinforcing a short-term resistance ceiling while leaving room for mean reversion toward the cloud if momentum improves.

Volume & Volatility: Recent volume (707,307) sits below 10/50/200-day averages (796k–854k range) and 42-day volatility low (0.02), indicating lower conviction moves; absence of expanding volume reduces the chance of decisive trend breaks in the immediate window.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability & Earnings: Total revenue $1,180,560,000 and operating income $139,247,000 produce an operating margin of 11.80%. EBIT registered at -$316,901,000, yielding an EBIT margin of -26.84%, which compares to an industry peer mean of +36.68% and remains materially below peer metrics. Net income of -$389,905,000 reflects a significant non-cash goodwill impairment disclosed in the quarter, while adjusted operating cash flow measured at $419,810,000 supports operating liquidity despite GAAP loss.

Cash Flow & Returns: Free cash flow reported at $24,335,000 and operating cash flow of $419,810,000 indicate positive cash generation from operations; free-cash-flow yield at 0.41% declined sharply QoQ by 93.00%. Dividend payments totaled -$82,382,000; the company declared a $1.30 base dividend per the August release, and repurchased $55.0 million of common stock in 2Q25 with additional repurchases disclosed through early August, reflecting a strong cash-return emphasis in the quarter. WMDST notes the company’s cash returns align with the stated capital-allocation policy.

Balance Sheet & Leverage: Cash on hand $40,487,000 and net debt $878,414,000 produce conservative debt-to-assets of 8.69% and debt-to-equity of 13.47%, but debt-to-EBITDA registers at 18.15x due to depressed EBITDA scaling; interest coverage is negative at -16.87x, reflecting earnings weakness versus interest expense. Current ratio stands at 0.97 and quick ratio at 0.90, indicating limited short-term liquidity cushion absent ongoing operating cash generation.

Growth & Efficiency: Revenue growth at -2.84% year-over-year with QoQ revenue change unfavourable at -82.77% underscores sequential pressures; asset turnover at 0.092 (slightly below the industry peer mean of 0.1067) shows low capital velocity given asset base scale. Earnings growth shows a YoY increase of 592.79% in the provided series, but QoQ earnings growth reads -453.404%, highlighting quarter-to-quarter volatility driven by non-cash items and commodity exposures.

Valuation Context: Price-to-book at 0.73 sits below the industry peer mean of 2.15, and EV/Revenue (EVR) measures 5.91. Forward P/E runs near 28.04 while trailing P/E shows 57.71; those multiples reflect earnings variability and the recent impairment. The current valuation, as determined by WMDST, classifies the stock as under-valued relative to its operational cash-generation potential and reported capital returns, subject to balance-sheet and commodity-price risk.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-08-06
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-11-04
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 35.8 M
 Operating Cash Flow 419.8 M
 Capital Expenditures -395.48 M
 Change In Working Capital -49.73 M
 Dividends Paid -82.38 M
 Cash Flow Delta 4.7 M
 End Period Cash Flow 40.5 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.2 B
 Forward Revenue -152.95 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.0 B
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.0 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 171.8 M
 EBITDA 60.1 M
 EBIT -316.90 M
 Operating Income 139.2 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 18.8 M
 Net Interest Income -18.79 M
 Income Before Tax -335.69 M
 Tax Provision 54.2 M
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income -389.90 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -389.90 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.88
 EPS Actual 1.79
 EPS Difference -0.09
 EPS Surprise -4.787 %
 Forward EPS 3.50
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 12.5 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 8.1 B
 Total Current Assets 1.5 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 40.5 M
 Cash 40.5 M
 Net Receivables 1.0 B
 Inventory 102.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 49.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 74.0 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 1.6 B
 Net Debt 878.4 M
 Total Debt 1.1 B
 Total Liabilities 4.5 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 8.1 B
 Retained Earnings 2.0 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 140.44
 Shares Outstanding 57.649 M
 Revenue Per-Share 20.48
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 5.9 B
 Enterprise Value 7.0 B
 Enterprise Multiple 116.188
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 1013.875 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 516.654 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA CHRD: 116.188
high: 97.326
mean: 23.391
median: 22.553
low: -28.513
 EV/R 5.915
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.55
 Asset To Liability 2.819
 Debt To Capital 0.119
 Debt To Assets 0.087
Debt To Assets QoQ 17.267 %
Debt To Assets YoY 1802.188 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.47
mean: 0.163
median: 0.099
CHRD: 0.087
low: 0.003
 Debt To Equity 0.135
Debt To Equity QoQ 19.943 %
Debt To Equity YoY 1884.094 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.386
mean: 0.321
median: 0.157
CHRD: 0.135
low: -0.274
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 0.733
Price To Book QoQ 6.352 %
Price To Book YoY -36.187 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 40.027
median: 2.223
mean: 2.152
CHRD: 0.733
low: -0.64
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 57.709
Price To Earnings QoQ 131.631 %
Price To Earnings YoY 65.915 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 164.776
CHRD: 57.709
mean: 55.097
median: 50.88
low: 8.944
 PE/G Ratio -1.036
 Price To Sales (P/S) 5.025
Price To Sales QoQ 2.823 %
Price To Sales YoY -37.598 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 47.131
median: 12.14
mean: 11.788
CHRD: 5.025
low: 1.605
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 28.036
Forward PE/G -0.503
Forward P/S -38.786
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 71.386
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.092
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.998 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -26.226 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.326
median: 0.115
mean: 0.107
CHRD: 0.092
low: 0.002
 Receivables Turnover 1.154
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.936 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -18.866 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.676
median: 2.09
mean: 2.061
CHRD: 1.154
low: 1.041
 Inventory Turnover 9.802
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 15.278 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -14.288 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 18.977
CHRD: 9.802
mean: 3.353
median: 2.08
low: 1.193
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 79.064
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 81.332
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 2.816 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 18.154 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA CHRD: 81.332
high: 65.565
mean: -17.64
low: -24.944
median: -24.944
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -22.296
 CapEx To Revenue -0.335
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 9.0 B
 Net Invested Capital 9.0 B
 Invested Capital 9.0 B
 Net Tangible Assets 8.1 B
 Net Working Capital -52.95 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.026
 Current Ratio 0.966
Current Ratio QoQ 9.1 %
Current Ratio YoY 1.083 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 6.346
median: 1.786
mean: 1.467
CHRD: 0.966
low: 0.065
 Quick Ratio 0.902
Quick Ratio QoQ 8.869 %
Quick Ratio YoY -0.743 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.235
median: 1.606
mean: 1.539
CHRD: 0.902
low: 0.814
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 18.149
 Cost Of Debt 1.442 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -16.867
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -186.395 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -167.831 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 249.305
median: 35.333
mean: 28.306
CHRD: -16.867
low: -50.859
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.24
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 8.883
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio -4.733
 Dividend Payout Ratio -0.211
 Dividend Rate 1.43
 Dividend Yield 0.014
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -3.921 %
 Revenue Growth -2.838 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -82.772 %
Revenue Growth YoY -117.558 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 12.94 %
CHRD: -2.838 %
median: -8.336 %
mean: -9.393 %
low: -36.994 %
 Earnings Growth -55.693 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -453.404 %
Earnings Growth YoY 592.785 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 144.444 %
mean: -11.633 %
median: -19.164 %
low: -55.556 %
CHRD: -55.693 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 14.551 %
Gross Margin QoQ -52.579 %
Gross Margin YoY -48.63 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 80.13 %
median: 64.444 %
mean: 54.57 %
low: 18.757 %
CHRD: 14.551 %
 EBIT Margin -26.843 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -205.615 %
EBIT Margin YoY -211.474 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 114.608 %
mean: 36.683 %
median: 33.651 %
CHRD: -26.843 %
low: -68.326 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 11.795 %
Return On Sales QoQ -53.592 %
Return On Sales YoY -51.017 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 93.565 %
median: 31.354 %
mean: 29.604 %
CHRD: 11.795 %
low: 4.668 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 24.3 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.41 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -93.003 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -71.147 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 7.604 %
mean: 0.991 %
CHRD: 0.41 %
median: 0.368 %
low: -7.353 %
 Free Cash Growth -93.007 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -395.899 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 326.364 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 28.866 %
mean: -60.088 %
median: -70.347 %
CHRD: -93.007 %
low: -203.311 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.062
 Cash Flow Margin -32.094 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.972
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) -3.046 %
Return On Assets QoQ -280.772 %
Return On Assets YoY -244.019 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 22.476 %
median: 2.884 %
mean: 2.664 %
CHRD: -3.046 %
low: -11.591 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -2.889 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.048
Return On Equity QoQ -288.789 %
Return On Equity YoY -299.586 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.39
median: 0.046
mean: 0.043
CHRD: -0.048
low: -0.277
 DuPont ROE -4.665 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -2.777 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -212.886 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -98.284 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 8.04 %
median: 4.145 %
mean: 3.931 %
CHRD: -2.777 %
low: -28.291 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect range-bound trading unless a catalyst expands trend strength. Key market-moving items within six weeks include formal closing or progress on the XTO-related funding and any updates from the $750 million note offering; confirmation of further repurchases or dividend adjustments would alter cash-return signals. Technically, watch the $101–$104 band as the primary resistance zone (20/50-day averages and Ichimoku baseline); immediate support aligns near the 1x lower Bollinger band at $98.84 and the recent intraday lows. Momentum indicators—MACD below its signal and a falling RSI—favor continued consolidation under resistance, while a negative MRO with a dip-and-reversal suggests mean-reversion upside toward fair-value models if operational cash flow holds. Volume expansion accompanying a break of the $101 level would provide the clearest sign of directional follow-through; absent that, expect oscillation around current levels as the market digests financing and strategic integration developments.

About Chord Energy Corporation

Chord Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:CHRD) develops and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids, primarily in the Williston Basin. Based in Houston, Texas, Chord Energy focuses on acquiring and managing energy resources efficiently, utilizing advanced technologies and sustainable practices. The company, formerly known as Oasis Petroleum Inc., rebranded in July 2022 to reflect its commitment to innovation in energy production. Chord Energy’s strategic operations involve leveraging the rich resources of the Williston Basin, ensuring responsible extraction and production processes. The company maintains a robust market presence by selling its products to a diverse customer base, including refiners and marketers, through a well-established network of pipelines and rail facilities. This strategic infrastructure enables Chord Energy to meet the growing demands of the global energy market effectively. By emphasizing expertise and adaptability, Chord Energy positions itself for continued growth and success in the evolving energy industry, focusing on delivering reliable energy solutions while adhering to sustainable practices.



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