FormFactor, Inc. (NASDAQ:FORM) Accelerates Probe-Card Momentum And Shows Near-Term Upside

FormFactor enters the coming weeks with constructive technical momentum and revenue mix gains while fundamental cash-generation lag threatens to cap market confidence. Near-term action should follow momentum signals tied to probe‑card strength.

Recent News

On July 30, 2025 the company issued a corporate release describing stronger-than-expected sequential revenue driven by probe‑card demand and confirmed the closed purchase of a Farmers Branch, Texas manufacturing facility; August releases announced participation in multiple investor conferences in late August and early September 2025.

Technical Analysis

ADX & Directional Indicators: ADX reads 32.16, which denotes a strong trend environment; DI+ at 35.51 and showing an increasing trend points to bullish directional pressure, while DI‑ at 15.64 shows a dip & reversal pattern that signals renewed bearish attempts that the dominant DI+ currently overwhelms. Together, trend strength favors continuation of the recent upside bias in price action.

MACD: MACD sits at 1.43 and trends higher with the MACD line above the 0.83 signal line, representing a bullish momentum cross; that cross supports continued upward price bias over the near term so long as the MACD stays above its signal.

MRO: MRO equals 9.2 and trends higher; the positive MRO indicates the market price stands above the modeled target, implying a greater probability of consolidation or pullback pressure from current levels despite positive momentum.

RSI: RSI at 53.82 and rising signals constructive momentum without overbought extremes, supporting the case for additional gains while leaving room for further upside before momentum exhaustion.

Price Versus Moving Averages and Ichimoku: Last close $35.28 sits above the 12‑day EMA $34.30 (increasing), above the 20‑day average $33.37 and above the 50‑day average $31.22; Ichimoku Tenkan at $33.94 and Kijun at $32.83 sit below price. Price trading above short and medium moving averages and the Tenkan/Kijun lines corroborates the bullish momentum and favors continuation into the coming weeks.

Bollinger Bands & Volatility: Price near the 1x upper band ($36.80) while 20‑day standard deviation equals $3.42 indicates moderately elevated intraday range; combined with a 42‑day beta of 2.45, expect sharper directional moves and higher intraperiod risk.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue & Margins: Total revenue $195,798,000. Reported revenue growth stands at 14.26% while year‑over‑year revenue growth registers -16.29%. Gross margin equals 37.25% and declined year‑over‑year by 15.35%. Operating margin equals 6.29%, with operating/EBIT margin improving QoQ by 229.40% but down YoY by 28.93%.

Earnings and Cash Flow: Reported EPS $0.27 versus an estimate of $0.30, a miss of $0.03 or -10.0% on the estimate. EBIT reached $12,306,000 and EBITDA $21,866,000. Free cash flow totaled negative $47,363,000 and free cash flow yield equals -1.97%, while operating cash flow registered $18,893,000; the operating-to-earnings relationship shows free cash flow lagging net income, with free cash to net income at -521.27%.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity: Cash and short‑term investments amount to $249,329,000 with cash $67,380,000; current ratio equals 4.24 and quick ratio 3.34, signaling ample near-term liquidity. Total debt remains modest at $35,915,000 with debt to assets of 3.04% and debt to EBITDA near 1.64, indicating low leverage.

Returns & Efficiency: Return on equity equals 0.92% and return on assets equals 0.78%, both depressed relative to typical semiconductor equipment returns; asset turnover equals 0.1675 and cash conversion cycle equals 90.94 days. Research & development investment $28,793,000 supports product leadership but current returns remain limited.

Peer Comparisons Where Available: Operating/EBIT margin at 6.29% sits well below the industry peer mean of 34.16% and industry peer median of 35.23%. Price-to-book at 2.43 lies below the industry peer mean of 8.25. Price-to-earnings at ~124.82 remains above the industry peer mean of ~79.69. Free cash flow yield at -1.97% trails the industry peer mean of 1.14%. These comparisons show valuation multiples and margin profiles that diverge from industry peer averages.

Valuation Summary: WMDST values the stock as over‑valued, reflecting rich earnings multiples, negative free cash flow yield, and margins that trail the industry peer mean despite revenue mix gains in probe cards and HBM shipments.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-07-30
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-10-29
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 133.3 M
 Operating Cash Flow 18.9 M
 Capital Expenditures -66.26 M
 Change In Working Capital -15.81 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -62.40 M
 End Period Cash Flow 70.9 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 195.8 M
 Forward Revenue 173.4 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 122.9 M
 Depreciation 8.9 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 9.6 M
 Research and Development 28.8 M
 Total Operating Expenses 183.5 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 72.9 M
 EBITDA 21.9 M
 EBIT 12.3 M
 Operating Income 12.3 M
 Interest Income 2.6 M
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income 2.6 M
 Income Before Tax 14.9 M
 Tax Provision 2.4 M
 Tax Rate 15.9 %
 Net Income 9.1 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 9.1 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.30
 EPS Actual 0.27
 EPS Difference -0.03
 EPS Surprise -10.0 %
 Forward EPS 0.42
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 1.2 B
 Intangible Assets 209.9 M
 Net Tangible Assets 780.1 M
 Total Current Assets 525.3 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 249.3 M
 Cash 67.4 M
 Net Receivables 115.2 M
 Inventory 110.8 M
 Long-Term Investments 5.6 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 59.9 M
 Short-Term Debt 1.1 M
 Total Current Liabilities 124.0 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 35.9 M
 Total Liabilities 191.6 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 990.0 M
 Retained Earnings 136.4 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 12.84
 Shares Outstanding 77.111 M
 Revenue Per-Share 2.54
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 2.4 B
 Enterprise Value 2.2 B
 Enterprise Multiple 100.39
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -43.885 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -38.383 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 246.222
FORM: 100.39
mean: 66.14
median: 62.513
low: -86.607
 EV/R 11.211
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.194
 Asset To Liability 6.168
 Debt To Capital 0.035
 Debt To Assets 0.03
Debt To Assets QoQ -6.231 %
Debt To Assets YoY 3134.043 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.594
mean: 0.243
median: 0.206
FORM: 0.03
low: 0.006
 Debt To Equity 0.036
Debt To Equity QoQ -6.519 %
Debt To Equity YoY 3054.783 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.065
mean: 0.383
median: 0.307
FORM: 0.036
low: -0.023
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.433
Price To Book QoQ -3.142 %
Price To Book YoY -46.07 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 12.365
mean: 8.246
median: 6.565
FORM: 2.433
low: -3.361
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 124.819
Price To Earnings QoQ -8.793 %
Price To Earnings YoY -21.045 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 442.069
FORM: 124.819
mean: 79.692
median: 68.389
low: -85.349
 PE/G Ratio 7.177
 Price To Sales (P/S) 12.301
Price To Sales QoQ -13.114 %
Price To Sales YoY -43.192 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 73.382
mean: 24.788
median: 23.58
FORM: 12.301
low: 2.027
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 77.454
Forward PE/G 4.454
Forward P/S 13.887
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 19.381
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.168
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 12.536 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -3.464 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.318
mean: 0.209
median: 0.207
FORM: 0.168
low: 0.091
 Receivables Turnover 1.832
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 8.436 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -2.759 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.444
FORM: 1.832
median: 1.435
mean: 1.385
low: 0.524
 Inventory Turnover 1.113
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 10.254 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 12.537 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.171
FORM: 1.113
median: 0.585
mean: 0.547
low: 0.176
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 49.821
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 90.941
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 4.038 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 1.616 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 481.513
mean: 209.612
median: 192.207
FORM: 90.941
low: -16.885
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.488
 CapEx To Revenue -0.338
 CapEx To Depreciation -7.449
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.0 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.0 B
 Invested Capital 1.0 B
 Net Tangible Assets 780.1 M
 Net Working Capital 401.3 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 2.011
 Current Ratio 4.237
Current Ratio QoQ -4.676 %
Current Ratio YoY -5.073 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 9.593
FORM: 4.237
mean: 2.681
median: 2.452
low: 0.842
 Quick Ratio 3.343
Quick Ratio QoQ -6.038 %
Quick Ratio YoY -8.093 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 7.858
FORM: 3.343
mean: 1.922
median: 1.696
low: 0.609
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 1.643
 Cost Of Debt 3.89 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 7.252
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 276.445 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -29.527 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 120.949
median: 35.147
mean: 33.843
FORM: 7.252
low: -14.178
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.027
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 53.156
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 2.2 %
 Revenue Growth 14.264 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -249.096 %
Revenue Growth YoY -16.286 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 44.515 %
FORM: 14.264 %
mean: 3.642 %
median: 3.318 %
low: -23.04 %
 Earnings Growth 17.391 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -217.388 %
Earnings Growth YoY -81.586 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 144.444 %
FORM: 17.391 %
mean: 11.369 %
median: 8.654 %
low: -127.273 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 37.252 %
Gross Margin QoQ -1.068 %
Gross Margin YoY -15.348 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 89.444 %
mean: 52.929 %
median: 50.078 %
FORM: 37.252 %
low: 11.321 %
 EBIT Margin 6.285 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 229.403 %
EBIT Margin YoY -28.927 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 44.159 %
median: 35.228 %
mean: 34.16 %
FORM: 6.285 %
low: -45.219 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 6.285 %
Return On Sales QoQ 229.403 %
Return On Sales YoY -28.927 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 42.579 %
median: 33.668 %
mean: 33.294 %
FORM: 6.285 %
low: -49.982 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -47.36 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -1.966 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -1063.725 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -724.127 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 2.8 %
mean: 1.136 %
median: 0.925 %
FORM: -1.966 %
low: -5.198 %
 Free Cash Growth -1055.863 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 1180.455 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 3290.697 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 408.013 %
mean: 67.467 %
median: 57.007 %
low: -301.396 %
FORM: -1055.863 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -5.213
 Cash Flow Margin -1.724 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -0.372
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.777 %
Return On Assets QoQ 39.748 %
Return On Assets YoY -54.401 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 8.327 %
mean: 6.533 %
median: 6.382 %
FORM: 0.777 %
low: -19.735 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.164 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.009
Return On Equity QoQ 38.462 %
Return On Equity YoY -55.132 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.256
mean: 0.155
median: 0.152
FORM: 0.009
low: -0.233
 DuPont ROE 0.929 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 1.032 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 260.839 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -123.412 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 12.291 %
median: 11.998 %
mean: 9.727 %
FORM: 1.032 %
low: -9.445 %

Six-Week Outlook

Momentum indicators and price above short-to-medium moving averages favor a continued upward tilt over the next six weeks, with MACD positive cross and ADX signaling trend strength. Elevated MRO and negative free cash flow create a tether that increases the likelihood of short, sharp pullbacks during consolidation. Given high beta and above‑average volatility, expect range expansions on sector news or execution updates; technicals support a bullish bias but fundamentals and valuation suggest any rally may meet resistance without sustained cash‑flow improvement.

About FormFactor, Inc.

FormFactor, Inc. (NASDAQ:FORM) is a leading innovator in the semiconductor industry, specializing in the design and production of advanced testing and measurement technologies. Headquartered in Livermore, California, FormFactor serves a global clientele, including semiconductor companies and scientific institutions. The company’s operations are divided into two main segments: Probe Cards and Systems. FormFactor’s probe cards are integral to the testing of a wide array of semiconductor devices, from mobile application processors and microcontrollers to dynamic random access memory and flash memory devices. These cards ensure the reliability and performance of systems on chips, radio frequency components, and more. Beyond probe cards, FormFactor offers a suite of analytical probes and probe systems, which are pivotal for device characterization, failure analysis, and prototype debugging. In addition to these, the company provides cutting-edge metrology and thermal systems, which are essential for the precision and quality control in semiconductor manufacturing. Their cryogenic systems further enhance the capabilities of semiconductor testing and measurement. FormFactor’s commitment to innovation and quality is supported by a robust global distribution network, encompassing direct sales, manufacturers’ representatives, and distributors across major markets in the U.S., Asia, and Europe. Since its inception in 1993, FormFactor has been at the forefront of advancing semiconductor technology.



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