Albany International Corp. (NYSE:AIN) Trades Lower Amid Operational Headwinds, Under-Valued

Albany International shows momentum weakness after a missed quarter and company-reported operational timing issues, while fundamentals and WMDST valuation indicate intrinsic under-valuation. Near-term technicals favor sellers, even as cash and liquidity metrics provide a financial cushion.

Recent News

On July 30, 2025 the company reported second-quarter results, citing that performance “lagged our expectations” and attributing the shortfall to “certain timing and operational issues”; the release included non‑GAAP EPS of $0.57. In the days after the report multiple plaintiff firms announced investigations into the company’s disclosures; law‑firm notices and investor alerts appeared in late July and August. The company announced an appointment to the senior finance role effective September 1, 2025.

Technical Analysis

ADX / DI+ / DI-: ADX at 32.15 shows a strong trend environment; DI‑negative sits at 33.23 with a dip‑and‑reversal pattern while DI‑positive reads 13.85 and is decreasing, producing a directional bias favoring sellers and strengthening the near‑term downside bias.

MACD: MACD at -2.06, declining and below its signal line (-1.66), signals bearish momentum and confirms selling pressure in short‑term momentum studies.

MRO: MRO registers -36.07 and trends downward; the negative value indicates price sits below the model target, implying potential for a corrective increase versus the target even as momentum indicators stay bearish.

RSI: RSI at 40.97 and decreasing places the stock below neutral momentum without reaching oversold extremes, consistent with continued consolidation and downside bias rather than exhausted selling.

Price Vs. Moving Averages & Bands: Last close $54.33 sits below the 20‑day average ($57.70), 50‑day average ($62.41) and 200‑day average ($69.67); the 12‑day EMA shows a decreasing trend. Price lies just under the 1x lower Bollinger band ($55.14), indicating short‑term volatility to the downside and potential for mean reversion attempts while trend indicators remain negative. Ichimoku components (Tenkan 58.15, Kijun 59.80, Senkou A 61.49, Senkou B 61.53) place price beneath short and base lines, reinforcing bearish structure.

Volume & Volatility: Daily volume (~299,893) sits slightly above the 10‑day average (~287,415) and near the 50‑day average, matching the heightened trading seen around the earnings release; 42‑day beta at 1.71 indicates elevated short‑term sensitivity versus the market.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings & Revenue: Reported EPS $0.57 missed the estimate of $0.73, an EPS surprise of -21.92%. Total revenue $311,399,000 and reported YoY revenue growth of 31.53% with QoQ growth of 11.04% show top‑line expansion while profitability contracted.

Margins & Profitability: EBIT (operating) margin stands at 8.50%, down 18.11% QoQ and down 37.34% YoY; that margin sits below the industry peer mean of 22.01% and below the industry peer median of 23.11% but above the industry peer low of 3.95%, indicating compressed operating leverage relative to peers.

Cash, Liquidity & Cash Flow: Cash and short‑term investments $106,689,000 support a current ratio of 3.51 and quick ratio of 2.78, both well above the industry peer mean (current ratio mean 1.16). Operating cash flow $32,714,000 and free cash flow $17,780,000 produce a free cash flow yield of 0.90%, which exceeds the industry peer mean of 0.43%.

Capital Structure & Coverage: Net debt $337,997,000 yields debt‑to‑EBITDA of 9.23; interest coverage near 3.33 sits below the industry peer mean (~12.03). Debt‑to‑assets at 25.80% slightly exceeds the industry peer mean of 22.70%, while debt‑to‑equity 0.50 lies below the industry peer mean of 1.26. Dividend payout ratio registers ~89.97% with dividend coverage 1.11, indicating a high payout relative to earnings.

Valuation: Price multiples show P/E ~121.8x and forward P/E ~70.9x; P/B at 2.23x. WMDST values the stock as under-valued. Enterprise value metrics—EV/Revenue ~7.46 and enterprise multiple ~48.21—reflect a premium multiple structure versus some reference sets, while free cash flow yield sits above the industry peer mean, supporting a valuation disconnect between market multiples and cash conversion metrics.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-07-30
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-10-29
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 119.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow 32.7 M
 Capital Expenditures -14.93 M
 Change In Working Capital 3.8 M
 Dividends Paid -8.26 M
 Cash Flow Delta -12.66 M
 End Period Cash Flow 106.7 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 311.4 M
 Forward Revenue 240.5 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 213.9 M
 Depreciation 20.5 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 21.8 M
 Research and Development 12.6 M
 Total Operating Expenses 284.9 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 97.5 M
 EBITDA 48.2 M
 EBIT 26.5 M
 Operating Income 26.5 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income -5.15 M
 Income Before Tax 13.6 M
 Tax Provision 4.3 M
 Tax Rate 31.3 %
 Net Income 9.2 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 9.3 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.73
 EPS Actual 0.57
 EPS Difference -0.16
 EPS Surprise -21.918 %
 Forward EPS 0.96
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 1.7 B
 Intangible Assets 221.7 M
 Net Tangible Assets 666.9 M
 Total Current Assets 775.1 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 106.7 M
 Cash 106.7 M
 Net Receivables 248.7 M
 Inventory 161.9 M
 Long-Term Investments 112.3 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 96.8 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 220.8 M
 Net Debt 338.0 M
 Total Debt 444.7 M
 Total Liabilities 829.3 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 888.6 M
 Retained Earnings 1.1 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 29.42
 Shares Outstanding 29.468 M
 Revenue Per-Share 10.31
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 2.0 B
 Enterprise Value 2.3 B
 Enterprise Multiple 48.211
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 1.35 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 24.286 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 98.192
median: 98.192
mean: 85.496
AIN: 48.211
low: 43.071
 EV/R 7.463
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.939
 Asset To Liability 2.078
 Debt To Capital 0.334
 Debt To Assets 0.258
Debt To Assets QoQ 4.593 %
Debt To Assets YoY 16439.744 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.579
AIN: 0.258
mean: 0.227
low: 0.151
median: 0.151
 Debt To Equity 0.5
Debt To Equity QoQ 8.152 %
Debt To Equity YoY 17645.745 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 3.2
mean: 1.26
median: 0.987
AIN: 0.5
low: 0.251
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.235
Price To Book QoQ -6.044 %
Price To Book YoY -20.736 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 18.78
median: 14.299
mean: 12.245
AIN: 2.235
low: 0.685
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 121.817
Price To Earnings QoQ 25.462 %
Price To Earnings YoY 24.179 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 141.405
median: 141.405
AIN: 121.817
mean: 117.917
low: 44.486
 PE/G Ratio -5.558
 Price To Sales (P/S) 6.378
Price To Sales QoQ -13.97 %
Price To Sales YoY -22.388 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 30.12
median: 24.823
mean: 21.479
AIN: 6.378
low: 0.34
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 70.872
Forward PE/G -3.233
Forward P/S 8.059
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -1.493
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.183
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 5.471 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -2.395 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.198
AIN: 0.183
mean: 0.109
median: 0.088
low: 0.06
 Receivables Turnover 1.234
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 4.083 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 2.497 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.944
mean: 1.614
median: 1.395
AIN: 1.234
low: 1.015
 Inventory Turnover 1.325
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 5.718 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -1.185 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.718
AIN: 1.325
mean: 0.785
median: 0.628
low: 0.616
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 73.964
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 107.931
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -5.003 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -3.619 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 125.082
median: 123.927
AIN: 107.931
mean: 97.052
low: 17.502
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.562
 CapEx To Revenue -0.048
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.728
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.3 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.3 B
 Invested Capital 1.3 B
 Net Tangible Assets 666.9 M
 Net Working Capital 554.3 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.483
 Current Ratio 3.511
Current Ratio QoQ -4.986 %
Current Ratio YoY -2.2 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 3.906
AIN: 3.511
mean: 1.164
median: 1.037
low: 0.464
 Quick Ratio 2.778
Quick Ratio QoQ -4.886 %
Quick Ratio YoY -3.229 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.9
AIN: 2.778
mean: 0.844
median: 0.727
low: 0.34
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 9.225
 Cost Of Debt 1.266 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 3.335
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -11.697 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -78.144 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 16.12
median: 16.12
mean: 12.032
AIN: 3.335
low: 1.207
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.233
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 42.659
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 1.111
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.9
 Dividend Rate 0.27
 Dividend Yield 0.004
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 2.096 %
 Revenue Growth 7.835 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 1103.533 %
Revenue Growth YoY 31.526 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 13.692 %
median: 10.952 %
mean: 8.232 %
AIN: 7.835 %
low: -0.8 %
 Earnings Growth -21.918 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -184.75 %
Earnings Growth YoY 1872.817 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 44.0 %
median: 11.409 %
mean: 9.351 %
AIN: -21.918 %
low: -31.765 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 31.313 %
Gross Margin QoQ -6.282 %
Gross Margin YoY -7.498 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 69.222 %
mean: 43.977 %
median: 37.888 %
AIN: 31.313 %
low: 9.995 %
 EBIT Margin 8.495 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -18.113 %
EBIT Margin YoY -37.339 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 29.039 %
median: 23.108 %
mean: 22.006 %
AIN: 8.495 %
low: 3.949 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 8.495 %
Return On Sales QoQ -18.113 %
Return On Sales YoY -37.339 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 28.211 %
mean: 19.609 %
median: 19.044 %
AIN: 8.495 %
low: 4.902 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 17.8 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.895 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -242.063 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -61.621 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 1.617 %
AIN: 0.895 %
median: 0.701 %
mean: 0.43 %
low: -1.442 %
 Free Cash Growth -231.919 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 88.99 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -50.454 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 268.889 %
mean: 72.883 %
median: 47.502 %
AIN: -231.919 %
low: -452.267 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.936
 Cash Flow Margin 16.492 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 5.593
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.538 %
Return On Assets QoQ -48.269 %
Return On Assets YoY -61.211 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 3.214 %
mean: 1.661 %
median: 1.626 %
AIN: 0.538 %
low: 0.032 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.76 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.01
Return On Equity QoQ -46.421 %
Return On Equity YoY -59.411 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.169
median: 0.106
mean: 0.097
AIN: 0.01
low: 0.008
 DuPont ROE 1.027 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 1.363 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -18.432 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -104.776 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 5.614 %
median: 5.614 %
mean: 4.578 %
AIN: 1.363 %
low: 0.612 %

Six-Week Outlook

Short‑term technicals favor a seller’s market: a strong ADX paired with rising DI‑ and falling DI+ and a declining MACD suggest continuation of downward momentum and consolidation beneath the 20‑day average and Ichimoku baselines. RSI under 50 leaves room for further downside before classical oversold conditions. Offsetting those signals, a materially negative MRO indicates the market price trades below modeled target values and free cash flow yield runs above the industry peer mean, creating a valuation anchor for episodic rebounds. Expect compressing price action with a downside bias and intermittent mean‑reversion attempts; volatility and volume are likely to remain elevated around company news and disclosure updates over the next six weeks.

About Albany International Corp.

Albany International Corp. (NYSE:AIN) stands as a pioneering force in the realm of advanced textiles and engineered materials. Founded in 1895 and based in Rochester, New Hampshire, Albany International operates through two core segments: Machine Clothing (MC) and Albany Engineered Composites (AEC). The MC division excels in producing high-performance fabrics and belts that play a pivotal role in the paper production industry. These innovative products optimize the forming, pressing, and drying processes, thereby enhancing the efficiency and quality of paper manufacturing. Beyond paper, these materials also serve a range of industrial applications, including textiles, nonwovens, and fiber cement. On the other hand, the AEC segment pushes the boundaries of composite technology, specializing in 3D-woven and injected composite components. These materials are indispensable to the aerospace sector, catering to both military and commercial needs. By providing lightweight and durable components, AEC contributes significantly to the production of aircraft engines and airframes. With a global presence spanning the United States, Europe, South America, and Asia, Albany International remains committed to innovation and excellence. The company leverages over a century of expertise to deliver tailored solutions, continually advancing the field of engineered materials and textiles worldwide.



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