ARS Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:SPRY) Charts Near-Term Rebound With Emerging Momentum

Commercial traction for neffy and a WMDST valuation labeling the stock under-valued create a constructive backdrop; technical signals point to early-stage bullish pressure while price structure still faces material moving-average resistance.

Recent News

On August 13, 2025 ARS Pharmaceuticals announced second-quarter 2025 results: $15.7M total revenue, including $12.8M in U.S. net product revenue for neffy, 93% commercial coverage, and increased prescriptions driving commercial momentum. The release noted EURneffy approval in the U.K. and a Germany launch. On August 4, 2025 the company scheduled a conference call for the Q2 results on August 13, 2025. On August 28, 2025 ARS disclosed planned investor presentations at the Cantor Global Healthcare Conference (Sept. 3) and the Stifel Immunology and Inflammation Summit (Sept. 15).

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show bullish pressure: ADX at 50.9 signals a very strong trend, DI+ registered a dip-and-reversal (bullish) at 10.98, and DI– fell to 34.18 (decreasing, bullish). That combination suggests directional strength favors upward moves, which could align with WMDST’s under-valued assessment in the near term.

MACD sits at -1.24 with the signal at -1.35 and the MACD trend increasing; MACD has crossed above its signal line, indicating bullish momentum emergence even while the oscillator remains below zero. This pattern points to early-stage momentum that may accelerate if follow-through appears.

MRO equals -27.88 (negative), indicating the market price lies below the reference target and therefore carries potential for an increase; the negative MRO magnitude implies meaningful upside reversion potential relative to that target.

RSI at 35.73 and trending lower signals weakening price momentum and proximity to oversold territory, which tempers immediate upside and suggests any rally could encounter short-term corrective pressure before a sustained move.

Price closed at $9.63 beneath the 12-day EMA ($10.13), the 20-day average ($9.98), and substantially below the 50-day ($14.14) and 200-day ($13.55) averages; that alignment creates medium-term resistance above current levels. Price sits near the lower Bollinger band (~$9.59), indicating limited immediate downside room. Ichimoku components (Tenkan $10.07, Kijun $12.23, Senkou A $16.47, Senkou B $16.09) lie above price and therefore act as overhead resistance. SuperTrend upper boundary at $11.16 provides a defined near-term resistance level price must overcome to shift the moving-average bias.

Volume averaged recently below the 10-day mean (current volume 1.24M vs. 10-day avg 2.47M), and short-term beta (42-day) at 0.36 signals muted sensitivity to market swings; lower volume suggests any breakout requires higher participation to sustain gains.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Top-line and product traction: total revenue reached $15,717,000 with gross profit of $10,733,000; year-over-year revenue growth measured +97.13% while quarter-over-quarter revenue change registered -206.98%.

Profitability and margins: gross margin equals 68.29%, below the industry peer mean of 77.85% and industry peer median of 80.10%. Operating (EBIT) margin equals -302.95%, which sits below the industry peer mean of -74.85% and the industry peer median of 23.76%, reflecting heavy operating expense load versus revenue.

Cash flow and liquidity: cash and short-term investments total $240,130,000 while operating cash flow stands at -$39,592,000 and free cash flow at -$39,643,000 (free cash flow yield -2.61%, below the industry peer mean of -0.335%). Current liquidity metrics remain strong on a balance-sheet basis: current ratio 6.17 and quick ratio 5.98, while debt levels stay minimal (total debt $1,661,000; debt-to-assets 0.53%).

R&D and operating structure: research and development expense $4,035,000 against total operating expenses $63,331,000, consistent with a commercial-stage biopharma balancing launch investment and product commercialization costs. Reported EPS came at -$0.46, beating the -$0.51 estimate by $0.05 (9.80% surprise).

Valuation: WMDST values the stock as under-valued. Key inputs that support that view include rapid year-over-year revenue growth, a large cash position relative to operating deficits, and early commercial uptake for neffy; offsetting considerations include deeply negative operating margin and negative free cash flow yield versus industry peer averages.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-08-13
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-11-12
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 39.9 M
 Operating Cash Flow -39.59 M
 Capital Expenditures -51.00 K
 Change In Working Capital -1.05 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 11.7 M
 End Period Cash Flow 51.5 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 15.7 M
 Forward Revenue 1.6 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 5.0 M
 Depreciation 279.0 K
 Depreciation and Amortization -1.19 M
 Research and Development 4.0 M
 Total Operating Expenses 63.3 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 10.7 M
 EBITDA -47.61 M
 EBIT -47.61 M
 Operating Income -47.61 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income
 Income Before Tax -44.88 M
 Tax Provision
 Tax Rate
 Net Income -44.88 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -44.88 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.51
 EPS Actual -0.46
 EPS Difference 0.05
 EPS Surprise 9.804 %
 Forward EPS -0.19
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 313.5 M
 Intangible Assets 13.2 M
 Net Tangible Assets 179.2 M
 Total Current Assets 281.4 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 240.1 M
 Cash 51.5 M
 Net Receivables 25.1 M
 Inventory 8.7 M
 Long-Term Investments 13.4 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 15.6 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 45.6 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 1.7 M
 Total Liabilities 121.2 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 192.3 M
 Retained Earnings -202.13 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 1.95
 Shares Outstanding 98.698 M
 Revenue Per-Share 0.16
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.5 B
 Enterprise Value 1.3 B
 Enterprise Multiple -26.887
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -2.02 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -42.049 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 47.216
median: 14.143
mean: 5.504
SPRY: -26.887
low: -68.907
 EV/R 81.453
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.63
 Asset To Liability 2.587
 Debt To Capital 0.009
 Debt To Assets 0.005
Debt To Assets QoQ 2309.091 %
Debt To Assets YoY 268.056 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.995
mean: 0.195
median: 0.062
SPRY: 0.005
low: 0.0
 Debt To Equity 0.009
Debt To Equity QoQ 2600.0 %
Debt To Equity YoY 479.866 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.577
mean: 0.256
median: 0.059
SPRY: 0.009
low: -1.039
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 7.896
Price To Book QoQ 39.531 %
Price To Book YoY 82.73 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 16.592
SPRY: 7.896
median: 6.295
mean: 5.273
low: -9.599
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -35.642
Price To Earnings QoQ -5.534 %
Price To Earnings YoY -51.711 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 44.732
mean: -11.102
median: -18.972
SPRY: -35.642
low: -73.374
 PE/G Ratio -1.134
 Price To Sales (P/S) 96.626
Price To Sales QoQ -40.548 %
Price To Sales YoY -94.806 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 517.227
SPRY: 96.626
mean: 56.19
median: 19.711
low: 0.25
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E -76.187
Forward PE/G -2.424
Forward P/S 925.069
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 0.289
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.049
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 108.766 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 2109.91 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.388
mean: 0.115
median: 0.113
SPRY: 0.049
low: -0.001
 Receivables Turnover 0.913
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.072 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 14.035 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 7.487
median: 1.422
mean: 1.41
SPRY: 0.913
low: 0.012
 Inventory Turnover 0.623
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 255.234 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.946
SPRY: 0.623
mean: 0.606
median: 0.415
low: 0.006
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 99.944
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -52.111
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -339.098 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 1258.184
median: 205.05
mean: 203.238
SPRY: -52.111
low: -1350.846
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.067
 CapEx To Revenue -0.003
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.183
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 192.3 M
 Net Invested Capital 192.3 M
 Invested Capital 192.3 M
 Net Tangible Assets 179.2 M
 Net Working Capital 235.8 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 5.266
 Current Ratio 6.172
Current Ratio QoQ -43.894 %
Current Ratio YoY -81.196 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 25.128
SPRY: 6.172
mean: 3.945
median: 2.52
low: 0.021
 Quick Ratio 5.98
Quick Ratio QoQ -44.304 %
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 14.041
SPRY: 5.98
mean: 2.967
median: 2.158
low: 0.021
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -0.035
 Cost Of Debt 341.878 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -12.69
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 28.074 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 210.391 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 940.414
mean: 45.494
median: 2.742
SPRY: -12.69
low: -1465.352
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -1.138
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 819.665
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -4.23 %
 Revenue Growth 97.128 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -206.98 %
Revenue Growth YoY
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 269.352 %
SPRY: 97.128 %
mean: 20.514 %
median: 12.272 %
low: -259.856 %
 Earnings Growth 31.429 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -118.334 %
Earnings Growth YoY 72.858 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 155.0 %
SPRY: 31.429 %
median: 11.33 %
mean: 2.321 %
low: -181.25 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 68.289 %
Gross Margin QoQ -20.851 %
Gross Margin YoY -29.161 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 100.0 %
median: 80.103 %
mean: 77.845 %
SPRY: 68.289 %
low: -77.751 %
 EBIT Margin -302.946 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -35.03 %
EBIT Margin YoY -90.126 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 338.783 %
median: 23.755 %
mean: -74.846 %
SPRY: -302.946 %
low: -5123.44 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -302.946 %
Return On Sales QoQ -35.03 %
Return On Sales YoY -90.126 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 89.247 %
median: 28.85 %
mean: -78.669 %
SPRY: -302.946 %
low: -5698.0 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -39.64 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -2.61 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -17.169 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 231.639 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 36.371 %
median: 0.516 %
mean: -0.335 %
SPRY: -2.61 %
low: -74.318 %
 Free Cash Growth -2.914 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -98.528 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -137.775 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 157.51 %
median: 13.562 %
mean: 3.876 %
SPRY: -2.914 %
low: -183.577 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.883
 Cash Flow Margin -330.203 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.156
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added
 Return On Assets (ROA) -14.009 %
Return On Assets QoQ 40.02 %
Return On Assets YoY 151.598 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 36.544 %
median: 1.616 %
mean: -1.358 %
SPRY: -14.009 %
low: -68.545 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -17.775 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.233
Return On Equity QoQ 57.445 %
Return On Equity YoY 301.341 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 1.141
median: 0.04
mean: 0.008
SPRY: -0.233
low: -1.572
 DuPont ROE -21.309 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC)
Return On Invested Capital QoQ
Return On Invested Capital YoY
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA

Six-Week Outlook

Near term carries competing forces. Directional indicators and a bullish MACD crossover suggest the probability of upward pressure that could push price toward short-term resistance around the SuperTrend upper boundary near $11.16 and the 12–20-day moving-average band. Simultaneously, price sits below longer-term moving averages and RSI remains weak, which may cap rally amplitude and favor range-bound behavior unless volume and momentum accelerate. Low short-term volatility and below-average volume increase the importance of any follow-through buying to sustain moves; absent that participation, expect choppy trading with support near the lower Bollinger band around $9.59 and potential tests of short-term lows.

About ARS Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

ARS Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:SPRY) develops innovative biopharmaceutical solutions for severe allergic reactions. The company focuses on creating neffy, a needle-free, low-dose intranasal epinephrine spray designed for emergency intervention in Type I allergic reactions, including anaphylaxis. This product aims to provide a convenient and accessible alternative to traditional injectable treatments, enhancing patient compliance and safety. ARS Pharmaceuticals serves healthcare professionals, patients, and caregivers, offering a critical option for managing life-threatening allergic events. Founded in 2015, the company operates from its headquarters in San Diego, California, leveraging cutting-edge research to address unmet medical needs in allergy treatment.



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