Charter Communications, Inc. (NASDAQ:CHTR) Accelerates Momentum While Leverage Keeps Valuation Stretched

Charter enters the next few weeks with bullish technical momentum amid mixed fundamentals: operating profitability shows incremental improvement while balance-sheet leverage and a missed EPS print pressure headline valuation. Near-term price action should respond to technical impulses against clear resistance levels.

Recent News

On August 18, Charter priced $2.0 billion of senior secured notes to refinance near-term maturities and for general corporate purposes. On September 4 the company presented at the BofA Media, Communications & Entertainment conference (CFO Jessica Fischer). On September 22 a securities-law firm announced a class-action filing related to a recent share decline.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 35.44 signals a very strong trend magnitude in play; that strength magnifies the directional bias implied by the directional indicators. DI+ registered a dip-and-reversal while DI− sits at 25.99 and is decreasing; the DI+ reversal therefore shifts directional pressure toward upside momentum against the still-elevated DI− level.

MACD currently reads −7.33 and has been increasing; the MACD sits above its signal line (signal = −10.23), which constitutes a bullish momentum confirmation even though the absolute MACD value remains negative.

MRO stands at −19.16 and is increasing; the negative reading indicates price sits below the model target and therefore contains upward potential, while the rising MRO suggests that potential has been strengthening recently.

RSI at 37.47 shows a dip-and-reversal pattern; that pattern reflects a recovery attempt off lower momentum and aligns with the MACD crossover in supporting near-term upside attempts.

Price behavior versus moving averages shows the close at $266.13 trading above the 20-day average ($262.89) and the 12-day EMA ($263.98), while remaining below the 50-day ($289.00) and 200-day ($351.53) averages. The 12-day EMA’s dip-and-reversal aligns with short-term bullish pressure, but longer-term averages define overhead resistance. Bollinger bands place the one‑sigma upper band near $265.38 and two‑sigma near $267.86; a successful push above the bands would increase short-term momentum signals. The super trend upper boundary sits at $277.11, marking a nearer resistance line for swing horizons.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $13,766,000,000 with YoY revenue growth of 4.14%; operating cash flow reached $3,600,000,000 and free cash flow totaled $999,000,000, producing a free cash flow yield of 2.28% (WMDST valuation: over-valued).

EBIT amounted to $3,172,000,000 and EBIT margin registered 23.04%. That margin sits slightly above the industry peer mean of 22.857% and improved QoQ by 2.254% while showing a modest YoY decline of 0.779%. Operating margin of 24.41% improved QoQ by 8.316% and YoY by 5.103%, supporting the view that core profitability shows incremental improvement even as top-line expansion stays modest.

Reported EPS came in at $9.18 versus an estimate of $9.66, producing an EPS surprise of −4.97%. Forward EPS sits at $8.945 with a forward PE of 43.16x; the trailing PE reads 42.55x. Those multiples reflect stretched earnings valuation relative to free cash flow yield and the company’s capital structure.

Balance sheet and leverage highlight key valuation constraints: total debt stands at $96,283,000,000 with net debt near $95,677,000,000; debt to EBITDA reads roughly 18.0x and debt to assets about 63.52%. Interest coverage equals 2.51x. The company priced $2.0 billion of senior secured notes in August for refinancing and other purposes, which modifies near-term liability sizing but leaves leverage materially elevated.

Cash and short-term investments total $606,000,000 and the current ratio measures 0.33, reflecting tight near-term liquidity headroom versus total current liabilities of $14,556,000,000. Return on equity sits at 8.03% and return on assets at 0.86%; QoQ improvements appear, but YoY returns show pressure. Free cash flow growth trends negative year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter, signaling that discretionary capital levers require careful monitoring.

Valuation context: WMDST values the stock as over-valued. High leverage, elevated trailing and forward P/E multiples, and sub‑3% free cash flow yield underpin the stretched valuation despite improving operating margins and positive cash generation.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-07-25
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-10-23
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 866.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 3.6 B
 Capital Expenditures -2.60 B
 Change In Working Capital -299.00 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -217.00 M
 End Period Cash Flow 649.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 13.8 B
 Forward Revenue 3.2 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 6.9 B
 Depreciation 2.2 B
 Depreciation and Amortization 2.2 B
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 10.4 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 6.8 B
 EBITDA 5.3 B
 EBIT 3.2 B
 Operating Income 3.4 B
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 1.3 B
 Net Interest Income -1.26 B
 Income Before Tax 1.9 B
 Tax Provision 414.0 M
 Tax Rate 21.687 %
 Net Income 1.3 B
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 1.5 B
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 9.66
 EPS Actual 9.18
 EPS Difference -0.48
 EPS Surprise -4.969 %
 Forward EPS 8.95
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 151.6 B
 Intangible Assets 97.8 B
 Net Tangible Assets -81.61 B
 Total Current Assets 4.8 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 606.0 M
 Cash 606.0 M
 Net Receivables 3.5 B
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 4.8 B
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 967.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 3.1 B
 Total Current Liabilities 14.6 B
 Net Debt 95.7 B
 Total Debt 96.3 B
 Total Liabilities 131.2 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 16.2 B
 Retained Earnings -5.23 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 118.67
 Shares Outstanding 136.591 M
 Revenue Per-Share 100.78
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 43.8 B
 Enterprise Value 139.4 B
 Enterprise Multiple 26.071
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -4.647 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 0.225 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 69.499
CHTR: 26.071
mean: 22.332
median: 10.916
low: -28.512
 EV/R 10.129
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 9.352
 Asset To Liability 1.155
 Debt To Capital 0.856
 Debt To Assets 0.635
Debt To Assets QoQ 0.338 %
Debt To Assets YoY -3.252 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.096
CHTR: 0.635
median: 0.394
mean: 0.376
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 5.94
Debt To Equity QoQ 0.996 %
Debt To Equity YoY -21.588 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 6.354
CHTR: 5.94
mean: 0.935
median: 0.906
low: -6.665
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.699
Price To Book QoQ -11.395 %
Price To Book YoY -17.53 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 4.743
CHTR: 2.699
mean: 1.538
median: 1.295
low: -1.801
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 42.548
Price To Earnings QoQ 1.6 %
Price To Earnings YoY 22.323 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 151.482
CHTR: 42.548
mean: 11.527
median: 2.323
low: -46.484
 PE/G Ratio 4.714
 Price To Sales (P/S) 3.178
Price To Sales QoQ -11.801 %
Price To Sales YoY 3.183 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 13.385
mean: 5.313
median: 4.139
CHTR: 3.178
low: 0.016
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 43.165
Forward PE/G 4.782
Forward P/S 13.537
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 11.023
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.091
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.296 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -1.366 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.395
CHTR: 0.091
mean: 0.078
median: 0.061
low: 0.05
 Receivables Turnover 4.013
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -6.378 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -11.96 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA CHTR: 4.013
high: 3.399
median: 2.516
mean: 2.347
low: 0.453
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 22.736
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -1.413
 CapEx To Revenue -0.189
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.195
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 109.4 B
 Net Invested Capital 112.5 B
 Invested Capital 112.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets -81.61 B
 Net Working Capital -9.74 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.042
 Current Ratio 0.331
Current Ratio QoQ -9.021 %
Current Ratio YoY -14.206 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.91
median: 2.353
mean: 2.067
CHTR: 0.331
low: 0.33
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 18.004
 Cost Of Debt 1.031 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 2.511
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 0.702 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 4.948 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 14.255
mean: 3.611
CHTR: 2.511
median: 1.225
low: -14.768
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.225
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 12.317
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 0.421 %
 Revenue Growth 0.226 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -116.472 %
Revenue Growth YoY 413.636 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 48.424 %
CHTR: 0.226 %
median: -1.631 %
mean: -1.739 %
low: -28.571 %
 Earnings Growth 9.026 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -154.262 %
Earnings Growth YoY -27.502 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 168.182 %
median: 50.0 %
mean: 41.506 %
CHTR: 9.026 %
low: -70.652 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 49.535 %
Gross Margin QoQ 1.365 %
Gross Margin YoY 22.983 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 97.687 %
CHTR: 49.535 %
mean: 43.903 %
median: 38.764 %
low: 32.486 %
 EBIT Margin 23.042 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 2.254 %
EBIT Margin YoY -0.779 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 51.965 %
CHTR: 23.042 %
mean: 22.857 %
median: 18.227 %
low: -20.463 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 24.408 %
Return On Sales QoQ 8.316 %
Return On Sales YoY 5.103 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 36.461 %
CHTR: 24.408 %
mean: 10.532 %
median: 8.334 %
low: -23.166 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 999.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.283 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -27.753 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -9.477 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 33.482 %
median: 3.588 %
mean: 3.066 %
CHTR: 2.283 %
low: -18.193 %
 Free Cash Growth -36.125 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -112.331 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -118.344 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 533.794 %
mean: -14.737 %
median: -16.937 %
CHTR: -36.125 %
low: -550.476 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.768
 Cash Flow Margin 23.805 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.519
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.02
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.86 %
Return On Assets QoQ 6.304 %
Return On Assets YoY 3.614 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.632 %
mean: 1.038 %
CHTR: 0.86 %
median: 0.196 %
low: -7.182 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 2.315 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.08
Return On Equity QoQ 7.142 %
Return On Equity YoY -16.028 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.154
CHTR: 0.08
mean: 0.025
median: 0.005
low: -0.133
 DuPont ROE 8.017 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.208 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 4.943 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -12.416 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 5.987 %
CHTR: 2.208 %
mean: 1.853 %
median: 0.978 %
low: -5.481 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical indicators align for a short-term constructive bias: MACD crossover, MRO moving toward zero from negative, DI+ dip-and-reversal, and RSI recovery all point to upward pressure into nearby resistance. Expect price attempts to test the one- to two-week resistance zone defined by the Bollinger upper bands and the super trend upper near $277; failure to clear those levels could produce a mean-reversion back toward the 20‑ to 50‑day averages. Fundamental constraints—high leverage, modest free cash flow yield, and a negative EPS surprise—create a valuation ceiling that will cap durable strength absent material deleveraging or a stronger earnings revision. Monitor liquidity metrics and debt servicing updates closely over the next six weeks for catalytic changes to risk perception.

About Charter Communications, Inc.

Charter Communications, Inc. (NASDAQ:CHTR) delivers broadband connectivity and cable services across the United States, reaching approximately 32 million customers in 41 states. Headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut, Charter provides a comprehensive range of services under the Spectrum brand, including internet, video, mobile, and voice solutions. The company designs these offerings to enhance connectivity and communication for both residential and commercial clients. Charter’s advanced broadband solutions encompass fixed internet, WiFi, and mobile services, featuring innovative options like Spectrum Security Shield and Advanced WiFi to boost security and performance. The company ensures seamless connectivity with in-home and out-of-home WiFi solutions, catering to customers’ needs wherever they may be. For businesses, Charter delivers robust broadband communications solutions, including internet access, data networking, fiber connectivity, and business telephone services. Their voice communications utilize voice over internet protocol technology, ensuring reliable and efficient communication. In the media sector, Charter offers video programming and sells local advertising across prominent networks. Their Audience App enables local advertisers to create targeted, data-driven TV campaigns. Charter Communications remains a significant player in the telecommunications industry, focusing on innovation and customer satisfaction.



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