Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. (NYSE:SPH) Signals Modest Rebound Supported By Cash Flow

Distribution continuity and strong free cash flow underpin a constructive near-term view even as margin compression and leverage present headwinds. Technical momentum shows weakness, while valuation metrics and cash generation suggest upside potential over several weeks.

Recent News

On July 24, 2025 the Board declared a quarterly distribution of $0.325 per common unit for the three months ended June 28, 2025, an annualized rate of $1.30 per common unit, payable August 12, 2025 to holders of record as of August 5, 2025.

Technical Analysis

ADX / DI+/DI-: ADX at 11.93 indicates no established trend; directional indicators diverge from that backdrop: DI+ shows a peak-and-reversal while DI- shows a dip-and-reversal, both mapping to near-term bearish directional pressure. That directional weakness increases the chance of sideways-to-lower price action despite supportive valuation signals.

MACD: MACD sits at 0.02 below its signal line (0.05) and shows a peak-and-reversal, signaling bearish momentum. The lack of a MACD cross above the signal line reduces conviction for immediate bullish follow-through.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at -14.71 indicates the model target lies above the current price, implying potential upward pressure toward fair-value levels; that suggests mean-reversion upside even while momentum indicators trend lower.

RSI: RSI near 49.9 with a peak-and-reversal indicates falling relative strength from the midpoint, reinforcing near-term bearish momentum rather than overbought conditions.

Price vs. Moving Averages & Bands: Close at $18.17 trades below the 200-day average ($18.81) and near shorter-term EMAs/averages ($18.36–$18.47) which show peak-and-reversal behavior. The price sits just below the 1x lower Bollinger band ($18.25) but above the 2x lower band ($18.04), suggesting limited immediate downside under current volatility. Volume runs slightly above the 10-day average while below the 200-day average, supporting a consolidation-biased near-term profile.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability: EBIT of $4,288,000 produces an EBIT margin of 1.65%. That margin sits notably below the industry peer mean of 28.69% and industry peer median of 28.28%, reflecting lower operating profitability versus peers. Year-over-year, EBIT margin improved by 183.16%.

Earnings & Coverage: Reported EPS equaled -$0.23 versus an estimate of -$0.19, an EPS surprise of -21.05% and an EPS difference of -$0.04. Forward EPS stands at $0.5375, yielding a forward P/E of 35.60, while the reported trailing P/E appears negative due to the current loss.

Cash Flow & Distribution: Operating cash flow equals $95,543,000 and free cash flow equals $80,863,000, translating to a free cash flow yield of 6.75%, which sits above the industry peer mean of 1.60%. Free cash flow generation supports the declared quarterly distribution ($0.325 per unit) and aligns with WMDST’s valuation stance.

Leverage and Liquidity: Total debt equals $1,348,011,000 with net debt of $1,224,003,000 and debt-to-EBITDA of 58.6x, indicating heavy leverage relative to operating cash flow. Debt-to-assets equals 58.24%, above the industry peer mean of 50.61%. Interest coverage near 0.23x signals narrow margin to service interest expense. Current ratio at 0.70 sits below the industry peer mean of 0.83, while quick ratio of 0.46 approximates the industry peer low, highlighting compressed near-term liquidity.

Revenue and Margins Dynamics: Total revenue equals $260,150,000. Revenue growth year-over-year measures +14.01%, while revenue growth quarter-over-quarter registers -197.07%, reflecting large seasonal or period-to-period swings. Operating margin equals 2.15% with operating margin QoQ down -91.99% but operating margin YoY improved by 269.24%.

Valuation Summary: Enterprise multiple sits at 110.55 and market cap approximates $1.198 billion. WMDST values the stock as under-valued, driven primarily by a comparatively high free cash flow yield and continued distributions, offset by low trailing profitability and elevated leverage.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-08-07
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-11-05
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 3.9 M
 Operating Cash Flow 95.5 M
 Capital Expenditures -14.68 M
 Change In Working Capital 88.7 M
 Dividends Paid -21.11 M
 Cash Flow Delta -2.54 M
 End Period Cash Flow 1.3 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 260.1 M
 Forward Revenue -154.16 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 99.6 M
 Depreciation 18.7 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 18.7 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 254.6 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 160.6 M
 EBITDA 23.0 M
 EBIT 4.3 M
 Operating Income 5.6 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 18.9 M
 Net Interest Income -18.88 M
 Income Before Tax -14.59 M
 Tax Provision 242.0 K
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income -14.84 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -14.84 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.19
 EPS Actual -0.23
 EPS Difference -0.04
 EPS Surprise -21.053 %
 Forward EPS 0.54
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 2.3 B
 Intangible Assets 1.2 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.25 B
 Total Current Assets 175.2 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 1.3 M
 Cash 1.3 M
 Net Receivables 79.9 M
 Inventory 60.4 M
 Long-Term Investments 80.7 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 26.9 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 250.6 M
 Net Debt 1.2 B
 Total Debt 1.3 B
 Total Liabilities 1.7 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 646.1 M
 Retained Earnings
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 9.95
 Shares Outstanding 65.420 M
 Revenue Per-Share 4.00
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.2 B
 Enterprise Value 2.5 B
 Enterprise Multiple 110.548
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 616.183 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 62.441 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA SPH: 110.548
high: 57.658
mean: 45.162
median: 44.572
low: 7.055
 EV/R 9.783
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 3.582
 Asset To Liability 1.387
 Debt To Capital 0.676
 Debt To Assets 0.582
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.774 %
Debt To Assets YoY 1774.445 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.875
SPH: 0.582
mean: 0.506
median: 0.493
low: 0.045
 Debt To Equity 2.086
Debt To Equity QoQ -1.497 %
Debt To Equity YoY 1685.341 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 4.919
SPH: 2.086
mean: 1.489
median: 1.487
low: -2.559
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.855
Price To Book QoQ -3.143 %
Price To Book YoY -2.004 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 5.728
mean: 2.867
median: 2.262
SPH: 1.855
low: -1.71
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -81.58
Price To Earnings QoQ -958.785 %
Price To Earnings YoY 22.742 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 130.319
mean: 74.892
median: 61.799
low: 11.891
SPH: -81.58
 PE/G Ratio 0.735
 Price To Sales (P/S) 4.607
Price To Sales QoQ 110.425 %
Price To Sales YoY 2.051 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 33.78
mean: 12.909
median: 12.041
SPH: 4.607
low: 0.375
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 35.603
Forward PE/G -0.321
Forward P/S -7.829
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 1.746
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.11
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -55.074 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 0.154 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.153
SPH: 0.11
mean: 0.098
median: 0.073
low: 0.031
 Receivables Turnover 2.258
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -47.053 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -12.743 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 8.107
mean: 2.517
SPH: 2.258
median: 2.07
low: 0.998
 Inventory Turnover 1.678
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -58.87 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -2.907 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 14.263
mean: 5.044
median: 3.833
low: 2.539
SPH: 1.678
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 40.413
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 50.312
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 160.308 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 18.24 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 77.024
SPH: 50.312
mean: 13.913
median: 10.228
low: -44.381
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -3.45
 CapEx To Revenue -0.056
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.784
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.9 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.9 B
 Invested Capital 1.9 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.25 B
 Net Working Capital -75.41 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.005
 Current Ratio 0.699
Current Ratio QoQ -34.125 %
Current Ratio YoY 7.106 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 3.867
mean: 0.834
median: 0.773
SPH: 0.699
low: 0.536
 Quick Ratio 0.458
Quick Ratio QoQ -43.732 %
Quick Ratio YoY 1.914 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 3.73
mean: 0.68
median: 0.619
SPH: 0.458
low: 0.457
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 58.551
 Cost Of Debt 1.077 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 0.227
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -97.038 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 182.616 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 5.431
mean: 3.797
median: 3.541
low: 1.487
SPH: 0.227
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.239
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 12.445
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio -0.703
 Dividend Payout Ratio -1.423
 Dividend Rate 0.32
 Dividend Yield 0.017
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -3.554 %
 Revenue Growth -55.731 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -197.072 %
Revenue Growth YoY 14.011 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 12.393 %
median: -8.459 %
mean: -10.049 %
low: -26.296 %
SPH: -55.731 %
 Earnings Growth -110.952 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -118.492 %
Earnings Growth YoY -4.102 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 116.923 %
mean: -7.364 %
median: -11.111 %
SPH: -110.952 %
low: -133.333 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 61.73 %
Gross Margin QoQ 5.058 %
Gross Margin YoY -1.898 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 79.612 %
SPH: 61.73 %
median: 43.651 %
mean: 39.055 %
low: 5.886 %
 EBIT Margin 1.648 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -93.858 %
EBIT Margin YoY 183.162 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 59.871 %
mean: 28.69 %
median: 28.278 %
SPH: 1.648 %
low: 1.289 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 2.149 %
Return On Sales QoQ -91.991 %
Return On Sales YoY 269.244 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 51.09 %
median: 28.278 %
mean: 26.117 %
SPH: 2.149 %
low: 1.309 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 80.9 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 6.747 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 317.512 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 65.855 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA SPH: 6.747 %
high: 3.713 %
median: 1.662 %
mean: 1.6 %
low: -0.418 %
 Free Cash Growth 288.895 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -221.354 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -1364.366 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA SPH: 288.895 %
high: 182.182 %
mean: 33.627 %
median: 4.038 %
low: -107.189 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -5.451
 Cash Flow Margin 23.032 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -4.039
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.02
 Return On Assets (ROA) -0.629 %
Return On Assets QoQ -110.973 %
Return On Assets YoY -15.457 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 3.884 %
mean: 1.53 %
median: 1.172 %
low: 0.663 %
SPH: -0.629 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.208 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.023
Return On Equity QoQ -111.249 %
Return On Equity YoY -18.898 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.113
mean: 0.042
median: 0.039
low: 0.023
SPH: -0.023
 DuPont ROE -2.251 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.181 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -97.144 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -89.78 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 5.254 %
mean: 2.516 %
median: 2.297 %
low: 1.457 %
SPH: 0.181 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical momentum favors consolidation with a slight downside bias: directional indicators and MACD point to near-term bearish pressure while RSI weakness reinforces that path. Offsetting those signals, a negative MRO and a free cash flow yield above the industry peer mean suggest scope for mean reversion toward fundamental fair value. Distribution stability and cash generation create potential catalysts for price stabilization; however, leverage and low interest coverage increase sensitivity to any deterioration in cash flow. Expect oscillation around $18 with potential episodic runs higher if momentum indicators stabilize or if free cash flow headlines reinforce valuation support.

About Suburban Propane Partners, L.P.

Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. (NYSE:SPH) distributes and markets propane, renewable propane, fuel oil, and refined fuels across the United States. Through its Propane segment, the company supplies propane for residential uses such as space heating, water heating, cooking, and clothes drying, as well as for industrial applications including motor fuel for vehicles and equipment. The Fuel Oil and Refined Fuels segment delivers fuel oil, diesel, kerosene, and gasoline to residential and commercial customers, primarily for heating purposes. In the Natural Gas and Electricity segment, Suburban Propane markets natural gas and electricity to customers in deregulated markets in New York and Pennsylvania. The All Other segment provides sales, installation, and maintenance services for home comfort equipment, including heating systems, air cleaners, and space heaters. Serving a diverse customer base, including residential, commercial, industrial, and agricultural sectors, Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. maintains a strong presence on the east and west coasts, as well as in the Midwest and Alaska. Founded in 1945, the company is headquartered in Whippany, New Jersey.



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