Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:UVE) Projects Continued Cash Returns Amid Technical Momentum

Universal Insurance presents a mixed operational picture but continues to deliver cash returns while technical indicators favor upside pressure over the near term.

Recent News

On July 9, 2025 the Board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share, payable August 8, 2025 to holders of record August 1, 2025.

Public filings and alerts through August showed institutional repositioning: Point72 Asset Management closed its UVE position in filings reported August 14, 2025, and Vanguard reduced its stake in a report dated August 27, 2025.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators: ADX at 17.82 signals no established trend, while DI+ at 30.93 registers as increasing, a bullish directional reading; DI- at 21.31 shows a peak-and-reversal, which aligns with the bullish DI+ behavior and supports continuation of upward pressure toward short-term resistance.

MACD: MACD sits at 0.26, above the signal line at 0.17, and the MACD trend shows increasing momentum; the cross above the signal line functions as a bullish momentum confirmation for near-term price bias.

MRO: MRO at -5.98 indicates the price sits below the model target, implying upward potential as the oscillator’s negative value suggests mean reversion toward target levels.

RSI: RSI at 51.46 with an increasing trend places momentum in neutral-to-favorable territory, supporting limited upside without overbought pressure.

Price vs. averages and overlays: Last close $25.61 trades above the 12-day EMA ($25.13), the 20-day average ($25.07) and the 50-day average ($24.35), while the 200-day average rests at $23.03; Ichimoku Tenkan at $25.07 and Kijun at $24.69 sit below the close, reinforcing near-term bullish alignment. The close slightly exceeds the 1x Bollinger upper band ($25.56), signaling compression breakout risk-reward with proximate resistance near the upper band.

Volume and volatility: Session volume of 251,900 exceeds the 10-day average (159,710) and the 200-day average (202,148), supporting the directional move; 42-day and 52-week volatility at ~2% indicate contained price swings consistent with the low-beta profile (42-day beta 0.57, 52-week beta 0.55).

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings and per-share metrics: Reported EPS of $1.23 exceeded the $1.09 estimate by 12.84%, a positive earnings surprise that supports short-term sentiment. Forward EPS equals $0.57 with a forward P/E of 44.68, implying higher multiple compression versus trailing P/E of 20.58.

Profitability and margins: EBIT stands at $47,817,000 with an EBIT margin of 11.95%, down QoQ by 17.06% and down YoY by 7.94%. The EBIT margin sits below the industry peer mean of 19.77% and below the industry peer median of 18.42%, indicating room for margin recovery relative to peers.

Growth and cash flow: Revenue showed large negative quarter- and year-over-year deltas (revenue growth QoQ -48.89%, YoY -59.89%), while free cash flow equals $105,246,000 producing a free cash flow yield of 15.41%, materially above the industry peer mean of 2.96%. Free cash flow growth reads negative QoQ but positive YoY, highlighting variable operating timing with strong cash conversion relative to reported net income (free cash to net income ≈ 300%).

Returns and capital structure: Return on equity equals 7.67%, above the industry peer mean of 6.59% and above the peer median of 5.57%; return on assets equals 1.17%, slightly below the industry peer mean of 1.71%. Debt-to-assets at 3.08% sits below the industry peer mean of 5.47%, and interest coverage near 33.4x indicates low leverage and ample coverage.

Valuation summary: Price/book at 1.49 sits well below the industry peer mean of 3.03 and the peer median of 2.40; price/sales at 1.71 and trailing P/E at 20.58 present a moderate earnings multiple. WMDST values the stock as under-valued, a view supported by elevated free cash flow yield and conservative leverage despite compressed revenue growth and QoQ margin declines.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-07-24
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-10-23
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 400.8 M
 Operating Cash Flow 106.2 M
 Capital Expenditures -977.00 K
 Change In Working Capital 71.1 M
 Dividends Paid -4.52 M
 Cash Flow Delta 34.9 M
 End Period Cash Flow 435.7 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 400.1 M
 Forward Revenue 45.2 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 353.8 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit
 EBITDA
 EBIT 47.8 M
 Operating Income
 Interest Income -177.00 K
 Interest Expense 1.4 M
 Net Interest Income -1.61 M
 Income Before Tax 46.4 M
 Tax Provision 11.3 M
 Tax Rate 24.346 %
 Net Income 35.1 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 35.1 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.09
 EPS Actual 1.23
 EPS Difference 0.14
 EPS Surprise 12.844 %
 Forward EPS 0.57
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 3.3 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 457.8 M
 Total Current Assets
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 563.4 M
 Cash 367.1 M
 Net Receivables 465.6 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 709.5 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 100.9 M
 Total Liabilities 2.8 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 457.8 M
 Retained Earnings 664.3 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 16.39
 Shares Outstanding 27.927 M
 Revenue Per-Share 14.33
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 683.1 M
 Enterprise Value 220.6 M
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R 0.551
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 7.155
 Asset To Liability 1.162
 Debt To Capital 0.181
 Debt To Assets 0.031
Debt To Assets QoQ -17.276 %
Debt To Assets YoY -18.846 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.141
median: 0.06
mean: 0.055
UVE: 0.031
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.22
Debt To Equity QoQ -7.908 %
Debt To Equity YoY -14.747 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 0.818
mean: 0.233
median: 0.223
UVE: 0.22
low: 0.003
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.492
Price To Book QoQ 2.814 %
Price To Book YoY 11.331 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 8.591
mean: 3.028
median: 2.405
UVE: 1.492
low: 0.349
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 20.585
Price To Earnings QoQ 36.315 %
Price To Earnings YoY 31.412 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 107.296
median: 54.538
mean: 51.654
UVE: 20.585
low: -63.287
 PE/G Ratio -1.412
 Price To Sales (P/S) 1.707
Price To Sales QoQ 9.967 %
Price To Sales YoY 23.158 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 22.821
median: 6.744
mean: 6.677
UVE: 1.707
low: 0.913
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 44.676
Forward PE/G -3.064
Forward P/S 15.12
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -11.942
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.134
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -6.009 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -15.7 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.263
UVE: 0.134
mean: 0.119
median: 0.088
low: 0.007
 Receivables Turnover 0.793
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 25.444 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -56.523 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.664
UVE: 0.793
mean: 0.695
median: 0.57
low: 0.075
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 115.008
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio
 CapEx To Revenue -0.002
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 558.7 M
 Net Invested Capital 558.7 M
 Invested Capital 558.7 M
 Net Tangible Assets 457.8 M
 Net Working Capital
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio
 Current Ratio
Current Ratio QoQ
Current Ratio YoY
Current Ratio IPRWA
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA
 Cost Of Debt 1.072 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 33.415
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -15.715 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -2.093 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 116.937
mean: 37.333
UVE: 33.415
median: 28.03
low: -3.125
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 7.769
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.129
 Dividend Rate 0.16
 Dividend Yield 0.007
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 20.669 %
 Revenue Growth 1.336 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -48.891 %
Revenue Growth YoY -59.892 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 26.578 %
mean: 6.36 %
median: 6.053 %
UVE: 1.336 %
low: -14.462 %
 Earnings Growth -14.583 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -103.064 %
Earnings Growth YoY -241.858 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 69.231 %
mean: 23.596 %
median: 4.946 %
UVE: -14.583 %
low: -133.505 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin
Gross Margin QoQ
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin 11.95 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -17.06 %
EBIT Margin YoY -7.935 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 56.115 %
mean: 19.768 %
median: 18.418 %
UVE: 11.95 %
low: -6.456 %
 Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Sales QoQ
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 105.2 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 15.407 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -49.098 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 13.345 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA UVE: 15.407 %
high: 9.624 %
mean: 2.955 %
median: 2.89 %
low: -2.404 %
 Free Cash Growth -43.276 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -84.626 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 331.896 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 452.291 %
mean: 7.42 %
median: -22.541 %
UVE: -43.276 %
low: -536.334 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 2.999
 Cash Flow Margin 176.66 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 20.143
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.172 %
Return On Assets QoQ -21.448 %
Return On Assets YoY -20.596 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 3.613 %
median: 1.769 %
mean: 1.71 %
UVE: 1.172 %
low: -2.104 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.077
Return On Equity QoQ -21.873 %
Return On Equity YoY -14.89 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.129
UVE: 0.077
mean: 0.066
median: 0.056
low: -0.085
 DuPont ROE 7.974 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 6.475 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -20.278 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -152.239 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 11.32 %
UVE: 6.475 %
mean: 5.549 %
median: 4.929 %
low: -2.574 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical indicators favor controlled upside: bullish DI+ behavior, MACD above its signal, price trading above short- and medium-term averages, and volume above recent averages all point to continued upward pressure toward nearby resistance near the upper Bollinger band and the analyst high-target area. Fundamental anchors — a material free cash flow yield, modest debt and an EPS beat — reduce headline risk but QoQ revenue and margin contractions represent primary near-term catalysts for volatility. Monitor short-term momentum and volume confirmation; a loss of EMA support or a falling MACD would alter the immediate directional bias.

About Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc.

Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:UVE) develops and markets a range of personal residential insurance products across the United States. The company underwrites policies for homeowners, renters, condo unit owners, and provides coverage for dwelling/fire risks. It also offers allied lines, covering additional structures, personal property, liability, and personal articles. Universal Insurance Holdings manages the entire insurance process, from policy administration and underwriting to claims payments and actuarial consulting. It advises on reinsurance negotiations and manages reinsurance programs for its insurance entities. Through Clovered.com, a digital agency, the company facilitates direct-to-consumer online solutions, utilizing digital applications for claims adjustments and partnering with various carriers. Universal Insurance Holdings distributes its products via a network of independent agents, enhancing its reach and accessibility. Originally incorporated in 1990 and headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, the company rebranded from Universal Heights, Inc. to its current name in January 2001.



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