360 DigiTech, Inc (NASDAQ:QFIN) Poised To Rebound Amid Improving Momentum

Momentum indicators recently shifted from a sell-phase toward a coordinated short-term recovery setup, while fundamentals show deep value metrics that support a re-rating catalyst if momentum sustains.

Recent News

On August 14, 2025 the company posted a corporate update that included a semi-annual dividend increase and progress against its $450 million share-repurchase authorization, reporting aggregate repurchases of approximately 7.1 million ADSs for about $277 million to date.

Technical Analysis

ADX / DI+/DI-: ADX at 30.58 indicates a strong directional environment. DI+ shows a clear dip-and-reversal, and DI- shows a peak-and-reversal; those directional shifts together signal a bullish directional rotation that supports a near-term rebound narrative tied to the valuation gap.

MACD: MACD reads -1.11 while the signal line reads -1.55, with MACD increasing and sitting above the signal line; that cross provides a bullish momentum confirmation that aligns with a short-term recovery toward valuation-support levels.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at -11.13 sits below zero, indicating price below target and potential upward pressure; the oscillator shows a dip-and-reversal, reinforcing upward potential for the coming weeks.

RSI: RSI at 37.94 shows prior downside exhaustion and a dip-and-reversal pattern, pointing toward renewed buying interest without yet reaching overbought territory—this supports a measured rally scenario consistent with the WMDST valuation.

Price Versus Moving Averages and Bollinger Bands: Price closed at $30.76, above the 20-day average ($28.58) and the 12-day EMA ($29.03), with the 12-day EMA showing a dip-and-reversal; the price trend shows a dip-and-reversal inside the lower Bollinger band (within -2× standard deviation), indicating a classic bounce pattern that favors near-term upside while longer-term resistance sits near the 50-day average ($32.96) and the 200-day average ($37.85).

Ichimoku / Chikou Span: The Chikou span remains below the cloud and Senkou lines sit at $37.15 and $38.26, which implies longer-term resistance that would need to break for a durable trend change; short-term momentum can still drive a swing move even while the longer-term cloud resists.

Volume & Volatility: Today’s volume at 4,181,722 exceeds 10-/50-/200-day averages, suggesting accumulation during the reversal; 42-day and 52-week volatility both at 3% indicate a relatively low volatility regime for the size of the move, which favors orderly mean-reversion rather than panic-driven swings.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability & Earnings: Reported EPS came in at $12.76 versus an estimate of $12.67, producing an EPS surprise of +0.71%. Net income for the period reached $1,733,994,000, and net income from continuing operations matched that level. WMDST treats the earnings result as supportive of the near-term valuation gap when combined with positive cash generation.

Valuation Multiples: Trailing PE stands at 3.07 and the price-to-book ratio reads 0.40. WMDST values the stock as under-valued. Forward PE sits materially higher at 29.81, reflecting market expectations for lower forward earnings per share; forward revenue and forward PS show elevated forward multiples that warrant monitoring as management updates guidance.

Cash Flow & Liquidity: Operating cash flow and free cash flow both read $2,622,004,000; free cash flow yield equals 27.40%. Free cash flow to net income equals 151.21%, and cash on hand totals $5,287,926,000 against total debt of $6,320,765,000, producing net debt of $1,032,839,000. Those cash metrics support shareholder actions reported in recent corporate news.

Growth Rates: YoY revenue growth sits at 4.03% while QoQ revenue growth shows 197.71% (per supplied QoQ figure). YoY earnings growth reads -94.68% and QoQ earnings growth reads -216.49% per the provided figures; recognize those QoQ and YoY percentages reflect the supplied periodic comparisons and indicate sizable recent variability in reported earnings behavior.

Returns & Efficiency: Return on equity equals 7.21% and return on assets equals 3.01%. Asset turnover sits at 7.50%. Book value per share measures $90.84 and invested capital near $30.38 billion. The low trailing PE and elevated free cash flow yield create a valuation disconnect versus longer-term forward multiples, a gap that underpins the WMDST valuation classification.

Balance Sheet Structure: Debt-to-assets equals 10.58% and debt-to-equity equals 26.27%, with a cost of debt near 0.987%. Asset-to-equity reads 2.48, indicating leverage consistent with a platform lender model. Short-term debt equals $1,463,522,000 while total equity equals $24,058,376,000, preserving ample equity cushion relative to operating scale.

Peer Comparisons Where Available: Price-to-book at 0.40 sits below the industry peer mean of 4.91 and the industry peer median of 6.59; free cash flow yield at 27.40% sits well above the industry peer mean of 1.96. Return on equity at 7.21% sits modestly above the industry peer mean of 6.17%. Those contrasts show valuation markedly lower than peer averages while returns place the company near or slightly above peer central tendency without overstating that gap.

Valuation Summary: Low trailing PE, low price-to-book, substantial free cash flow yield, and recent buybacks/dividend increases create a fundamental base for a re-rating if momentum persists and forward earnings stabilize. WMDST values the stock as under-valued given the combination of cash generation and depressed multiples.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-08-14
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-11-17
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 11.8 B
 Operating Cash Flow 2.6 B
 Capital Expenditures
 Change In Working Capital 888.0 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -3.60 B
 End Period Cash Flow 8.2 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 4.3 B
 Forward Revenue 233.5 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit
 EBITDA
 EBIT
 Operating Income
 Interest Income 2.3 B
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income 2.3 B
 Income Before Tax 2.2 B
 Tax Provision 441.5 M
 Tax Rate 20.328 %
 Net Income 1.7 B
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 1.7 B
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 12.67
 EPS Actual 12.76
 EPS Difference 0.09
 EPS Surprise 0.71 %
 Forward EPS 1.41
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 59.8 B
 Intangible Assets 999.8 M
 Net Tangible Assets 23.1 B
 Total Current Assets
 Cash and Short-Term Investments
 Cash 5.3 B
 Net Receivables 2.3 B
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable
 Short-Term Debt 1.5 B
 Total Current Liabilities
 Net Debt 1.0 B
 Total Debt 6.3 B
 Total Liabilities 35.6 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 24.1 B
 Retained Earnings
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 90.84
 Shares Outstanding 264.858 M
 Revenue Per-Share 16.34
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 9.6 B
 Enterprise Value 15.9 B
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R 3.671
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.484
 Asset To Liability 1.676
 Debt To Capital 0.208
 Debt To Assets 0.106
Debt To Assets QoQ -4.037 %
Debt To Assets YoY 369.507 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.235
mean: 0.266
median: 0.202
QFIN: 0.106
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.263
Debt To Equity QoQ -1.181 %
Debt To Equity YoY 460.192 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 11.194
median: 1.848
mean: 1.705
QFIN: 0.263
low: -2.069
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 0.398
Price To Book QoQ -16.611 %
Price To Book YoY 203.571 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 8.98
median: 6.594
mean: 4.91
QFIN: 0.398
low: -1.584
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 3.065
Price To Earnings QoQ 1.378 %
Price To Earnings YoY 46.926 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 193.721
mean: 100.044
median: 73.319
QFIN: 3.065
low: -8.702
 PE/G Ratio 2.764
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2.211
Price To Sales QoQ -18.429 %
Price To Sales YoY 151.807 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 35.853
mean: 12.778
median: 11.933
QFIN: 2.211
low: 0.623
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 29.807
Forward PE/G 26.877
Forward P/S 40.991
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.075
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.103 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 5.158 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.393
QFIN: 0.075
mean: 0.063
median: 0.062
low: 0.0
 Receivables Turnover 1.853
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 4.508 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 37.853 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 11.283
QFIN: 1.853
mean: 1.333
median: 0.101
low: 0.066
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 49.24
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio
 CapEx To Revenue
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 28.9 B
 Net Invested Capital 30.4 B
 Invested Capital 30.4 B
 Net Tangible Assets 23.1 B
 Net Working Capital
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio
 Current Ratio
Current Ratio QoQ
Current Ratio YoY
Current Ratio IPRWA
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA
 Cost Of Debt 0.987 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 7.42 %
 Revenue Growth 6.636 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 197.712 %
Revenue Growth YoY 402.727 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 47.528 %
mean: 7.288 %
QFIN: 6.636 %
median: 5.24 %
low: -40.995 %
 Earnings Growth 1.109 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -216.492 %
Earnings Growth YoY -94.68 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 230.0 %
mean: 13.997 %
median: 12.088 %
QFIN: 1.109 %
low: -239.394 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin
Gross Margin QoQ
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin
EBIT Margin QoQ
EBIT Margin YoY
EBIT Margin IPRWA
 Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Sales QoQ
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 2.6 B
 Free Cash Flow Yield 27.397 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 7.435 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -58.695 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 39.406 %
QFIN: 27.397 %
mean: 1.957 %
median: 1.758 %
low: -35.472 %
 Free Cash Growth -6.547 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 104.53 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -3928.655 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 229.412 %
mean: 0.082 %
QFIN: -6.547 %
median: -13.59 %
low: -326.967 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.512
 Cash Flow Margin 40.099 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.001
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.006 %
Return On Assets QoQ -13.372 %
Return On Assets YoY 2.769 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.096 %
QFIN: 3.006 %
mean: 1.055 %
median: 0.999 %
low: -3.164 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.072
Return On Equity QoQ -7.662 %
Return On Equity YoY 17.819 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.145
QFIN: 0.072
mean: 0.062
median: 0.061
low: -0.071
 DuPont ROE 7.36 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC)
Return On Invested Capital QoQ
Return On Invested Capital YoY
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA

Six-Week Outlook

Short-term technicals and elevated volume favor a rebound attempt over the next six weeks. Expect upside momentum to target the 50-day average near $32.96 first, with the Ichimoku cloud and the 200-day average near $37.85 presenting step-up resistance if momentum continues. A MACD-above-signal confirmation, RSI recovery from mid-30s, and a narrowing of the MRO deficit would increase the probability of a sustained swing move; conversely, failure to hold above the 20-day average would favor a return to the recent lower Bollinger boundary near $27.03–$27.80. Monitor free cash flow conversion and management’s share-repurchase cadence as fundamental catalysts that could accelerate re-rating.

About 360 DigiTech, Inc.

360 DigiTech, Inc. (NASDAQ:QFIN) develops a comprehensive credit-tech platform, operating under the 360 Jietiao brand in the People’s Republic of China. The company connects borrowers with financial institutions, facilitating customer acquisition, initial and credit screening, and advanced risk assessments. It also provides credit assessment, fund matching, and post-facilitation services. Their platform services extend to loan facilitation and post-facilitation support for financial institution partners, leveraging an intelligent credit engine, referral services, and risk management software-as-a-service. 360 DigiTech offers a range of financial products, including e-commerce loans, enterprise loans, and invoice loans, specifically catering to the needs of small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) owners. The company’s services benefit financial institutions, individual consumers, and small- to micro-enterprises. Founded in 2016 and headquartered in Shanghai, 360 DigiTech, Inc. rebranded as Qifu Technology, Inc. in March 2023, continuing its commitment to advancing financial technology solutions in the region.



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