Dealertrack Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:TRAK) Signals Near-Term Rebound Amid Improving Momentum

Strong margins and a large cash cushion underpin resilience at Dealertrack, while short-term technical momentum points toward a constructive near-term price setup despite lofty valuation multiples.

Technical Analysis

ADX / DI+/DI-: ADX at 19.15 indicates no established trend, yet directional readings show a bullish tilt: DIpositive displays a dip & reversal and DInegative exhibits a peak & reversal, which together bias the near-term price outlook upward even without a strong trend baseline.

MACD: MACD sits at -$0.05 and has crossed above its signal line (-$0.18), with the MACD trend increasing; that crossover constitutes a bullish momentum signal that supports the introduction of upside pressure relative to recent consolidation.

MRO: MRO equals -7.5, a negative value that implies the price sits below the model target and therefore carries potential to rise toward that target; the MRO trend shows a dip & reversal, reinforcing the short-term upside potential indicated by momentum metrics.

RSI: RSI at 43.65 with a dip & reversal signals recovery from a lower momentum state and room for additional upside before overbought territory; this complements the MACD crossover and MRO profile for a near-term constructive bias.

Price vs. Moving Averages & Bands: The $17.13 close trades above the 12-day EMA ($16.91) and 20-day average ($16.81) while remaining marginally below the 50-day average ($17.19) and well below the 200-day average ($20.11). Price action shows a dip & reversal inside the -2x Bollinger band envelope (lower bands near $15.85–$16.33), which frames current activity as a short-term recovery inside a longer-term consolidation band. Short-term support aligns with the superTrend lower level at $16.12; initial resistance clusters near the 50‑day average and the $20.11 200‑day level.

Volatility & Beta: 42‑day volatility reads low at 2%, while the 42‑day beta of 2.33 signals elevated sensitivity to recent market moves; that combination favors momentum-driven intramarket swings rather than steady directional trends.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability: EBIT equals $2,128,536 and EBIT margin sits at 35.99%, above the industry peer mean of 4.495% and below the peer high of 47.583%. Operating margin matches at 35.99%, and return on equity equals 4.02% while return on assets equals 3.59%. Those margins provide clear operating strength and support the valuation premium embedded in market multiples.

Liquidity & Leverage: Cash and short-term investments total $28,134,321 and the current ratio equals 6.03x, both well above typical peer averages; total debt stands at $777,625, producing a debt-to-assets ratio of 1.42% and debt-to-equity of 1.59%, indicating a conservative leverage profile and ample liquidity to absorb near-term shocks.

Growth & Cash Flow: Trailing revenue totaled $5,913,732 with YoY revenue growth at -10.65% and QoQ revenue growth at 7.42%. EBITDA equals $2,473,293 and free cash flow equals $1,425,946, producing a free cash flow yield of 0.37% (slightly above the industry peer mean of 0.313%). Operating cash flow stands at $1,434,741 and cash flow to earnings equals 105.78%, showing conversion of earnings into cash.

Earnings & Estimates: Reported EPS was $0.10 versus an estimate of $0.09, an EPS surprise of +11.11%. Forward EPS equals $0.0975 and forward PE about 210.54, which sits slightly above the industry peer mean forward PE of ~208.43; the trailing PE reads ~208.46. Those multiples reflect high market expectations relative to absolute earnings and limited free cash flow yield.

Valuation Summary: WMDST values the stock as under-valued. Market-cap equals $380,883,129 and enterprise value equals $353,526,433, yielding an enterprise multiple of 142.94. Price-to-book stands at 7.79, below the industry peer mean of 14.54. The combination of above‑peer margins, strong cash, low leverage and subdued free cash flow yield explains why multiples appear elevated yet the WMDST assessment signals an under-valued profile under the current model assumptions.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2025-05-15
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-09-29
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 28.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 1.4 M
 Capital Expenditures
 Change In Working Capital -1.13 M
 Dividends Paid -510.34 K
 Cash Flow Delta -1.13 M
 End Period Cash Flow 28.1 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 5.9 M
 Forward Revenue 1.3 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 911.7 K
 Depreciation 344.8 K
 Depreciation and Amortization 344.8 K
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 4.1 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 5.0 M
 EBITDA 2.5 M
 EBIT 2.1 M
 Operating Income 1.8 M
 Interest Income 326.4 K
 Interest Expense 12.8 K
 Net Interest Income 313.6 K
 Income Before Tax 2.1 M
 Tax Provision 149.9 K
 Tax Rate 7.087 %
 Net Income 2.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 2.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.09
 EPS Actual 0.10
 EPS Difference 0.01
 EPS Surprise 11.111 %
 Forward EPS 0.10
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 54.8 M
 Intangible Assets 21.1 M
 Net Tangible Assets 27.8 M
 Total Current Assets 32.8 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 28.1 M
 Cash 28.1 M
 Net Receivables 3.6 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 22.4 K
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 286.8 K
 Short-Term Debt 230.2 K
 Total Current Liabilities 5.4 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 777.6 K
 Total Liabilities 5.9 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 48.9 M
 Retained Earnings -14.18 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 2.68
 Shares Outstanding 18.276 M
 Revenue Per-Share 0.32
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 380.9 M
 Enterprise Value 353.5 M
 Enterprise Multiple 142.938
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -19.705 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 9.888 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 1453.395
median: 577.313
mean: 506.527
TRAK: 142.938
low: -99.555
 EV/R 59.781
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.121
 Asset To Liability 9.273
 Debt To Capital 0.016
 Debt To Assets 0.014
Debt To Assets QoQ 144.905 %
Debt To Assets YoY 238.425 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.598
mean: 0.164
median: 0.079
TRAK: 0.014
low: 0.009
 Debt To Equity 0.016
Debt To Equity QoQ 140.545 %
Debt To Equity YoY 243.413 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.667
mean: 0.337
median: 0.103
TRAK: 0.016
low: -0.235
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 7.786
Price To Book QoQ -4.336 %
Price To Book YoY 31.91 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 29.088
mean: 14.541
median: 11.419
TRAK: 7.786
low: -1.447
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 208.455
Price To Earnings QoQ -21.954 %
Price To Earnings YoY 3.45 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 389.149
median: 389.149
mean: 342.284
TRAK: 208.455
low: -53.638
 PE/G Ratio 8.338
 Price To Sales (P/S) 64.407
Price To Sales QoQ -9.347 %
Price To Sales YoY 19.404 %
Price To Sales IPRWA TRAK: 64.407
high: 53.47
median: 53.47
mean: 46.711
low: 0.089
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 210.541
Forward PE/G 8.422
Forward P/S 284.278
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 3.129
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.108
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 5.235 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 7.908 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.352
mean: 0.165
median: 0.163
TRAK: 0.108
low: 0.037
 Receivables Turnover 1.696
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 3.025 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 26.316 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 13.447
median: 10.297
mean: 9.675
TRAK: 1.696
low: 0.165
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 53.815
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 27.479
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 137.944
TRAK: 27.479
mean: -25.45
median: -28.714
low: -119.371
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.216
 CapEx To Revenue
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 49.3 M
 Net Invested Capital 49.5 M
 Invested Capital 49.5 M
 Net Tangible Assets 27.8 M
 Net Working Capital 27.3 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 5.177
 Current Ratio 6.027
Current Ratio QoQ 16.338 %
Current Ratio YoY -2.887 %
Current Ratio IPRWA TRAK: 6.027
high: 3.706
median: 3.394
mean: 3.228
low: 0.295
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 0.314
 Cost Of Debt 1.393 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 166.071
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 16.506 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -17.542 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA TRAK: 166.071
high: 17.131
median: -0.015
mean: -4.483
low: -44.012
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.383
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 26.336
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 3.852
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.26
 Dividend Rate 0.03
 Dividend Yield 0.001
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 0.178 %
 Revenue Growth 7.7 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 741.53 %
Revenue Growth YoY -1064.912 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 10.846 %
TRAK: 7.7 %
mean: -9.901 %
median: -16.074 %
low: -38.876 %
 Earnings Growth 25.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ
Earnings Growth YoY 272.356 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA TRAK: 25.0 %
high: 12.903 %
mean: -30.544 %
median: -35.897 %
low: -300.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 84.583 %
Gross Margin QoQ 3.476 %
Gross Margin YoY 1.129 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 85.657 %
TRAK: 84.583 %
mean: 56.415 %
median: 49.534 %
low: 4.549 %
 EBIT Margin 35.993 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 15.226 %
EBIT Margin YoY 13.082 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 47.583 %
TRAK: 35.993 %
median: 8.602 %
mean: 4.495 %
low: -26.748 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 35.993 %
Return On Sales QoQ 15.226 %
Return On Sales YoY 13.082 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 47.583 %
TRAK: 35.993 %
median: 8.602 %
mean: 4.495 %
low: -26.748 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1.4 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.374 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -57.835 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -58.166 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 4.477 %
TRAK: 0.374 %
mean: 0.313 %
median: 0.288 %
low: -9.681 %
 Free Cash Growth -58.784 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -169.059 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -135.346 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 63.925 %
mean: -33.422 %
median: -40.589 %
TRAK: -58.784 %
low: -332.287 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.725
 Cash Flow Margin 35.162 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.058
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.588 %
Return On Assets QoQ 23.852 %
Return On Assets YoY 17.639 %
Return On Assets IPRWA TRAK: 3.588 %
high: 2.512 %
mean: -3.351 %
median: -8.345 %
low: -12.639 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 4.309 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.04
Return On Equity QoQ 24.197 %
Return On Equity YoY 20.438 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.288
TRAK: 0.04
mean: -0.054
median: -0.094
low: -0.386
 DuPont ROE 4.059 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 3.997 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -170.944 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -162.171 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 25.587 %
TRAK: 3.997 %
median: 1.502 %
mean: 1.326 %
low: -12.371 %

Six-Week Outlook

Short-term bias favors a measured recovery. Momentum indicators (MACD crossover, improving RSI and an MRO that suggests price below target) point to upside attempts toward near-term resistance at the 50‑day average (~$17.19) and the more substantive $20.11 200‑day level. Primary support rests near $16.12 (superTrend lower) and the lower Bollinger band area ($15.85–$16.33); breach of those levels would weaken the constructive momentum picture. Elevated 42‑day beta implies outsized reaction to market moves, so expect sharper, volatility-driven swings during the six-week horizon rather than a steady trend extension.

About Dealertrack Technologies, Inc.

DealerTrack Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:TRAK) develops and provides a comprehensive suite of software solutions for the automotive retail industry. The company offers dealer management systems that streamline operations for automotive dealerships, enhancing efficiency in sales, finance, and service departments. DealerTrack’s software facilitates vehicle inventory management, customer relationship management, and electronic contracting, enabling dealerships to optimize their business processes. Additionally, the company provides digital marketing tools that assist in driving customer engagement and increasing sales opportunities. DealerTrack’s solutions also include compliance and registration services, ensuring that dealerships meet regulatory requirements and maintain accurate records. By integrating various functions within a single platform, DealerTrack Technologies supports automotive retailers in improving productivity and profitability. The company’s offerings cater to a wide range of clients, including franchise and independent dealerships, lending institutions, and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). DealerTrack Technologies, Inc. maintains a commitment to innovation and customer service, delivering technology-driven solutions that address the evolving needs of the automotive industry.



© 2025 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.