Liberty Media Corporation Series C Liberty Formula One (NASDAQ:FWONK) Signals Near-Term Weakness Despite Strong Cash Cushion

Liberty Formula One shows short-term technical deterioration while fundamentals reveal solid cash resources offset by sharply lower year-over-year margins and revenue recognition driven by calendar effects.

Recent News

Published August 6, 2026, Liberty Media reported second-quarter 2026 results that cited fewer races year-over-year as the primary driver of lower primary F1 revenue and reduced hospitality and freight income; the release noted higher cash balances and reduced total debt during the quarter. On June 26, 2026, Formula 1 and ServusTV announced a multi-year extension of free-to-air broadcast rights in Austria through the 2029 season.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show an emerging trend: ADX at 23.05 indicates trend strength near the emerging range, while DI+ at 27.22 decreasing signals weakening upside pressure and DI- at 18.23 showing a dip-and-reverse pattern signals renewed downside influence; together these dynamics point to an emerging bearish directional bias against the current valuation.

MACD currently sits at 1.43 below its signal line at 1.71 with a peak-and-reversal pattern; that configuration indicates momentum has rolled over and bearish momentum currently dominates short-term price action.

MRO reads 25.59 and shows a peak-and-reversal. The positive MRO implies the price sits above the model target and, with a peak-and-reversal, indicates elevated probability of downward reversion toward valuation-support levels.

RSI at 57.92 with a peak-and-reversal shows momentum loss from recent highs rather than oversold conditions; the indicator suggests reduced upward conviction and room for consolidation or pullback before selling pressure would exhaust.

Price sits at $101.80 below the 12-day EMA of $103.08 and under the 20-day average of $103.56, while remaining above the 200-day average of $92.23. The 20-day band places the close marginally below the lower 1x Bollinger band ($101.98), signaling short-term weakness near the lower volatility boundary rather than an extreme breakdown. The 12/26-day EMA spacing and the 12-day EMA peak-and-reversal reinforce a short-term loss of bullish momentum while the 200-day average continues to provide longer-run support.

Volume contracted: today’s volume of 933,113 sits below the 10-day average of 1,467,224 and far below the 50/200-day averages, implying recent moves lack conviction from higher participation and that price moves may remain susceptible to reversal on renewed volume.

SuperTrend lower support at $100.43 sits modestly below the close and acts as a near-term technical floor; the price target mean at $112.02 versus the current close shows analyst dispersion but does not negate the technical signals that favor consolidation with downside bias in the near term.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Total revenue for the period equals $934,000,000 while EBIT sits at $101,000,000 and EBITDA at $213,000,000. YoY revenue growth shows a steep decline of -84.32% and QoQ revenue growth equals -156.20%, reflecting seasonality and the reported calendar variance that reduced the number of recognized events this quarter.

Margins contracted sharply: EBIT margin equals 10.81% and fell -38.98% quarter-over-quarter and -71.23% year-over-year, underscoring the impact of fewer events and one-time comparatives in the prior year. Operating margin equals 9.42% with a year-over-year decline of -55.35%.

Cash generation and liquidity present stabilizing factors. Cash and short-term investments total $1,465,000,000 and operating cash flow reached $316,000,000, while free cash flow totaled $271,000,000 with a free-cash-flow yield of 1.14% and year-over-year improvement of +31.83% in free-cash-flow yield. The cash conversion ratio equals 2.1036 and cash conversion cycle days sit at -78.70, reflecting efficient working-capital dynamics.

Leverage and coverage metrics highlight structural pressure: total debt stands at $4,924,000,000 with net debt of $3,459,000,000 and debt-to-EBITDA at 23.12x, while interest coverage equals 1.49x and declined markedly year-over-year. Debt-to-assets equals 31.01%, which sits above the industry peer mean of 25.439% but remains within the peer range; the company therefore carries higher leverage relative to the average peer but not outside the reported peer extremes.

Profitability returns remain depressed: return on equity equals 0.066% with a YoY deterioration of -98.64%, while return on assets equals 0.031% with a YoY contraction of -99.00%. Net income for the period totaled $5,000,000, reflecting near-breakeven GAAP earnings despite positive EBITDA and cash flows.

Balance-sheet ratios show the current ratio at 1.27, equaling the industry peer high of 1.26667 and signaling relative short-term liquidity strength versus the broader peer set. Asset turnover remains very low at 5.88%, and intangible assets constitute a material portion of total assets.

The current valuation as determined by WMDST reads “over-valued.” Market multiples show a price-to-sales ratio of 25.47 and a forward P/E near 168.09, while enterprise multiple stands at 127.91; those multiples reflect the market pricing of recurring media rights, long-duration intangible assets, and the seasonality embedded in revenue recognition.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-08-26
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-11-25
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 1.3 B
 Operating Cash Flow 316.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -45.00 M
 Change In Working Capital 175.0 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 133.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 1.5 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 934.0 M
 Forward Revenue 5.5 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 605.0 M
 Depreciation 112.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 112.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 846.0 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 329.0 M
 EBITDA 213.0 M
 EBIT 101.0 M
 Operating Income 88.0 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 68.0 M
 Net Interest Income -68.00 M
 Income Before Tax 33.0 M
 Tax Provision 25.0 M
 Tax Rate 40.0 %
 Net Income 5.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 8.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate
 EPS Actual
 EPS Difference
 EPS Surprise
 Forward EPS 0.47
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 15.9 B
 Intangible Assets 11.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets -4.10 B
 Total Current Assets 2.1 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 1.5 B
 Cash 1.5 B
 Net Receivables 255.0 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 640.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 417.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 72.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 1.7 B
 Net Debt 3.5 B
 Total Debt 4.9 B
 Total Liabilities 7.5 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 7.6 B
 Retained Earnings 7.8 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 30.39
 Shares Outstanding 250.708 M
 Revenue Per-Share 3.73
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 23.8 B
 Enterprise Value 27.2 B
 Enterprise Multiple 127.908
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 17.788 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 201.48 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 199.373
FWONK: 127.908
mean: 55.199
median: 38.756
low: 20.96
 EV/R 29.17
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.084
 Asset To Liability 2.117
 Debt To Capital 0.393
 Debt To Assets 0.31
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.852 %
Debt To Assets YoY 27.776 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.694
FWONK: 0.31
mean: 0.254
low: 0.225
median: 0.225
 Debt To Equity 0.646
Debt To Equity QoQ -0.49 %
Debt To Equity YoY 67.478 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 5.987
FWONK: 0.646
mean: 0.578
median: 0.418
low: 0.41
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 3.122
Price To Book QoQ 8.933 %
Price To Book YoY -1.504 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 7.128
FWONK: 3.122
mean: 1.975
median: 1.574
low: 1.449
 Price To Earnings (P/E)
Price To Earnings QoQ
Price To Earnings YoY
Price To Earnings IPRWA
 PE/G Ratio
 Price To Sales (P/S) 25.466
Price To Sales QoQ -18.277 %
Price To Sales YoY 37.219 %
Price To Sales IPRWA FWONK: 25.466
high: 23.402
mean: 8.796
median: 6.858
low: 2.279
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 168.094
Forward PE/G
Forward P/S 3.821
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -0.633
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.059
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 29.373 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -46.129 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.244
median: 0.123
mean: 0.119
FWONK: 0.059
low: 0.059
 Receivables Turnover 3.613
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.208 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -61.471 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 12.742
FWONK: 3.613
mean: 2.278
low: 1.745
median: 1.745
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 25.255
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -78.699
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 278.761 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 44.696
FWONK: -78.699
median: -78.699
mean: -91.881
low: -277.48
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 2.104
 CapEx To Revenue -0.048
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.402
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 12.5 B
 Net Invested Capital 12.5 B
 Invested Capital 12.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets -4.10 B
 Net Working Capital 444.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.88
 Current Ratio 1.267
Current Ratio QoQ -5.955 %
Current Ratio YoY -55.485 %
Current Ratio IPRWA FWONK: 1.267
high: 1.267
mean: 0.77
median: 0.709
low: 0.42
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 23.117
 Cost Of Debt 0.821 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 1.485
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -19.841 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -85.56 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 9.775
median: 8.873
mean: 7.359
FWONK: 1.485
low: -6.887
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.01
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 103.954
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.082 %
 Revenue Growth 31.364 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -156.197 %
Revenue Growth YoY -84.318 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 323.735 %
FWONK: 31.364 %
mean: 17.143 %
median: 0.318 %
low: -18.833 %
 Earnings Growth
Earnings Growth QoQ
Earnings Growth YoY
Earnings Growth IPRWA
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 35.225 %
Gross Margin QoQ -15.957 %
Gross Margin YoY -0.345 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 91.297 %
median: 40.17 %
mean: 40.045 %
FWONK: 35.225 %
low: 15.903 %
 EBIT Margin 10.814 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -38.98 %
EBIT Margin YoY -71.227 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 21.585 %
median: 16.271 %
mean: 14.369 %
FWONK: 10.814 %
low: -18.167 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 9.422 %
Return On Sales QoQ 4.677 %
Return On Sales YoY -55.354 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 21.705 %
median: 18.853 %
mean: 16.157 %
FWONK: 9.422 %
low: -19.43 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 271.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.139 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -25.115 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 31.829 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 8.448 %
median: 1.774 %
mean: 1.707 %
FWONK: 1.139 %
low: -2.219 %
 Free Cash Growth -19.585 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -99.77 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -50.969 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA FWONK: -19.585 %
high: -19.585 %
median: -37.826 %
mean: -56.34 %
low: -613.769 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 54.2
 Cash Flow Margin 1.82 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 3.4
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.031 %
Return On Assets QoQ -91.484 %
Return On Assets YoY -99.003 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 3.133 %
median: 1.287 %
mean: 1.04 %
FWONK: 0.031 %
low: -2.345 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.711 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.001
Return On Equity QoQ -91.045 %
Return On Equity YoY -98.643 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.035
median: 0.024
mean: 0.019
FWONK: 0.001
low: -0.024
 DuPont ROE 0.065 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.483 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -46.512 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -87.577 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 6.849 %
median: 2.054 %
mean: 1.82 %
FWONK: 0.483 %
low: -1.136 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a consolidation window with a downside bias over the next six weeks. Technical indicators—DI+ declining, DI- showing a dip-and-reverse, ADX near an emerging-trend threshold, MACD below its signal, positive MRO with peak reversal, and RSI rolling over—collectively favor short-term retracement or sideways action rather than renewed momentum higher. The company’s strong cash balance and positive free-cash-flow provide support against rapid deterioration, but the material YoY margin and revenue contractions tied to calendar effects and elevated leverage increase the probability that any rebound will show limited conviction without fresh event-count or revenue catalysts. Volume patterns suggest any directional move requires a pickup in participation to sustain itself.

About Liberty Media Corporation Series C Liberty Formula One

Liberty Media Series C Liberty Formula One (NASDAQ:FWONK) is a dynamic force in the world of motorsports, driving the excitement of Formula 1 racing across the globe. As a subsidiary of Liberty Media Corporation, the company holds the commercial rights to the prestigious FIA Formula One World Championship. This thrilling competition spans approximately nine months, where elite teams and drivers vie for the coveted constructors’ and drivers’ championships. Beyond the racetrack, Liberty Formula One enhances the fan experience through its exclusive Formula 1 Paddock Club hospitality program, offering unparalleled access and luxury to enthusiasts. The company also plays a pivotal role in the logistics of the sport, providing essential freight, travel, and logistical services to teams and partners, ensuring seamless operations across the globe. Headquartered in Englewood, Colorado, Liberty Formula One extends its influence beyond the flagship F1 series, supporting the development of emerging talent through the F2 and F3 race series. With a legacy dating back to 1950, the company continues to innovate and expand the reach of Formula 1, captivating audiences and fostering a global community of motorsport fans.



© 2026 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.