Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) Trades Higher As Momentum Reasserts, Valuation Pressures Persist

Price action shows renewed momentum against a stretched valuation backdrop; fundamentals display cash strength but compressed growth metrics that complicate near-term upside.

Recent News

April–June 2026 coverage highlights Tesla accelerating robotaxi and Optimus deployment plans with factory conversions underway and Gen‑3 hardware moving toward volume runs. Regulators and safety filings drew attention after localized robotaxi incidents and NHTSA visibility probes received renewed scrutiny in May. Tesla also adjusted production footprint, pausing Model S/X runs in some lines as facilities repurpose toward new programs. Industry reports note ongoing delivery and regional sales shifts through June.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators (ADX / DI+ / DI-): ADX at 17.14 signals no strong trend; DI+ shows a dip & reversal while DI- shows a peak & reversal, both implying bullish directional pressure but without ADX confirmation.

MACD: MACD trades at -1.13 with a dip & reversal and sits above its signal line (-2.78), indicating bullish momentum that has recently crossed to the upside.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO reads 8.46 (positive), implying price sits above the model target and faces mean‑reversion pressure even as the oscillator shows a dip & reversal pattern.

RSI: RSI at 52.04 with a dip & reversal reads neutral‑tilting‑bullish, consistent with recent upward price drift but not yet overbought.

Price vs. averages and bands: Last close at $425.30 sits above the 12‑ and 26‑day EMAs (~$403), the 20‑ and 50‑day averages (~$399.5 and $406.28), and the 200‑day average ($418.69), placing price near the upper Bollinger band and supported by the supertrend lower at $385.39; elevated short‑term beta (42‑day 2.41) implies outsized sensitivity to market moves.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability & margins: EBIT $840.0M and EBITDA $2.43B translate to an EBIT margin of 3.75%, up 6.68% year‑over‑year but down 26.20% quarter‑over‑quarter; operating margin sits at 4.20%. Gross margin measured 21.08%, rising 29.29% YoY.

Earnings: Reported EPS $0.41 versus an estimate of $0.35 produced an EPS surprise of 17.14%.

Revenue & growth: Total revenue $22.387B shows revenue growth of -10.10% QoQ and -59.27% YoY, reflecting a marked contraction on the annual comparison.

Cash, liquidity, leverage: Cash and short‑term investments total $44.743B with a cash ratio of 1.31 and current ratio 2.04, indicating strong liquidity. Total debt stands at $15.89B with debt‑to‑equity 0.1889 and interest coverage ~9.13x.

Returns and efficiency: Return on equity 0.57% and return on assets 0.34% remain low; asset turnover 0.159 (15.9%) sits slightly below the industry peer mean of 0.16366.

Valuation multiples: Price/earnings ~958.39x and forward P/E ~617.23x, price/book 17.54x versus an industry peer mean near 0.995x, and price/sales ~65.91x versus a peer mean near 1.95674x — all materially above peer central tendencies. Free cash flow yield sits at ~0.10% despite positive free cash flow $1.444B.

WMDST valuation: The current valuation as determined by WMDST classifies the stock as over‑valued, reflecting elevated multiples against muted profitability and weakening YoY top‑line growth.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-04-22
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-07-22
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 17.6 B
 Operating Cash Flow 3.9 B
 Capital Expenditures -2.49 B
 Change In Working Capital 375.0 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 39.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 17.7 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 22.4 B
 Forward Revenue 27.6 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 17.7 B
 Depreciation 1.6 B
 Depreciation and Amortization 1.6 B
 Research and Development 1.9 B
 Total Operating Expenses 21.4 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 4.7 B
 EBITDA 2.4 B
 EBIT 840.0 M
 Operating Income 941.0 M
 Interest Income 434.0 M
 Interest Expense 92.0 M
 Net Interest Income 342.0 M
 Income Before Tax 748.0 M
 Tax Provision 257.0 M
 Tax Rate 34.0 %
 Net Income 477.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 491.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.35
 EPS Actual 0.41
 EPS Difference 0.06
 EPS Surprise 17.143 %
 Forward EPS 0.63
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 143.7 B
 Intangible Assets 786.0 M
 Net Tangible Assets 83.3 B
 Total Current Assets 69.7 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 44.7 B
 Cash 16.6 B
 Net Receivables 4.0 B
 Inventory 14.4 B
 Long-Term Investments 7.5 B
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 14.7 B
 Short-Term Debt 1.4 B
 Total Current Liabilities 34.1 B
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 15.9 B
 Total Liabilities 58.9 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 84.1 B
 Retained Earnings 39.5 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 22.40
 Shares Outstanding 3.755 B
 Revenue Per-Share 5.96
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.5 T
 Enterprise Value 1.4 T
 Enterprise Multiple 595.326
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 7.244 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 40.581 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA TSLA: 595.326
high: 87.663
median: 15.236
mean: 9.663
low: -138.184
 EV/R 64.62
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.709
 Asset To Liability 2.439
 Debt To Capital 0.159
 Debt To Assets 0.111
Debt To Assets QoQ 3.511 %
Debt To Assets YoY 5.365 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.644
mean: 0.285
median: 0.231
low: 0.123
TSLA: 0.111
 Debt To Equity 0.189
Debt To Equity QoQ 5.419 %
Debt To Equity YoY 7.427 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 6.121
mean: 1.453
median: 0.723
TSLA: 0.189
low: 0.185
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 17.541
Price To Book QoQ -12.37 %
Price To Book YoY 41.629 %
Price To Book IPRWA TSLA: 17.541
high: 4.594
mean: 0.995
median: 0.519
low: 0.005
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 958.394
Price To Earnings QoQ 9.324 %
Price To Earnings YoY -9.882 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA TSLA: 958.394
high: 294.586
mean: 59.038
median: 19.033
low: -29.095
 PE/G Ratio -53.244
 Price To Sales (P/S) 65.909
Price To Sales QoQ -0.181 %
Price To Sales YoY 37.827 %
Price To Sales IPRWA TSLA: 65.909
high: 14.645
mean: 1.957
median: 1.165
low: 0.017
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 617.234
Forward PE/G -34.291
Forward P/S 50.808
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 3.333
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.159
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -13.287 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 1.662 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.31
median: 0.175
mean: 0.164
TSLA: 0.159
low: 0.016
 Receivables Turnover 5.246
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -2.259 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 11.24 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 39.901
TSLA: 5.246
mean: 4.159
median: 1.832
low: 0.676
 Inventory Turnover 1.317
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -18.33 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 4.688 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.683
median: 2.199
mean: 1.75
TSLA: 1.317
low: 0.044
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 17.394
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 14.548
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 4.006 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -22.941 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 303.712
median: 83.035
mean: 44.63
TSLA: 14.548
low: -139.401
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.629
 CapEx To Revenue -0.111
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.568
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 91.8 B
 Net Invested Capital 93.1 B
 Invested Capital 93.1 B
 Net Tangible Assets 83.3 B
 Net Working Capital 35.6 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.311
 Current Ratio 2.043
Current Ratio QoQ -5.604 %
Current Ratio YoY 2.357 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.969
TSLA: 2.043
mean: 1.603
median: 1.281
low: 0.242
 Quick Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio QoQ -8.646 %
Quick Ratio YoY 5.529 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 3.597
TSLA: 1.62
mean: 1.306
median: 1.033
low: 0.306
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 6.539
 Cost Of Debt 0.397 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 9.13
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -38.698 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 22.187 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 54.646
TSLA: 9.13
mean: -4.452
median: -5.431
low: -66.626
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.058
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 64.375
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 4.294 %
 Revenue Growth -10.096 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -11.197 %
Revenue Growth YoY -59.269 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 136.323 %
mean: -4.41 %
median: -5.746 %
TSLA: -10.096 %
low: -75.561 %
 Earnings Growth -18.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -65.385 %
Earnings Growth YoY -71.435 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 407.692 %
median: 8.879 %
mean: 3.641 %
TSLA: -18.0 %
low: -567.5 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 21.084 %
Gross Margin QoQ 4.812 %
Gross Margin YoY 29.294 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 51.834 %
TSLA: 21.084 %
mean: 18.106 %
median: 8.617 %
low: -10.499 %
 EBIT Margin 3.752 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -26.2 %
EBIT Margin YoY 6.682 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 29.59 %
TSLA: 3.752 %
mean: -2.954 %
median: -11.141 %
low: -52.547 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 4.203 %
Return On Sales QoQ -33.381 %
Return On Sales YoY 19.505 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 29.878 %
TSLA: 4.203 %
mean: -5.3 %
median: -13.048 %
low: -63.794 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1.4 B
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.098 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 13.953 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 36.111 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 9.686 %
TSLA: 0.098 %
mean: -2.015 %
median: -2.104 %
low: -48.048 %
 Free Cash Growth 1.69 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -102.624 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -102.509 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 126.772 %
median: 42.126 %
TSLA: 1.69 %
mean: -17.629 %
low: -358.701 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 3.027
 Cash Flow Margin 8.786 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 4.124
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.339 %
Return On Assets QoQ -45.234 %
Return On Assets YoY 2.417 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 6.178 %
TSLA: 0.339 %
mean: -0.523 %
median: -1.532 %
low: -13.23 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.767 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.006
Return On Equity QoQ -44.575 %
Return On Equity YoY 3.467 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.435
TSLA: 0.006
mean: -0.013
median: -0.033
low: -0.197
 DuPont ROE 0.574 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.595 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -41.437 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 0.847 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 6.178 %
TSLA: 0.595 %
mean: -0.623 %
median: -1.526 %
low: -9.767 %

Six-Week Outlook

Momentum indicators recently flipped toward bullishness while trend strength remains weak, producing a constructive but cautious near‑term bias. Technical crossovers and price above key moving averages support continued upside attempts, though positive MRO and lofty valuation multiples indicate increased susceptibility to mean reversion. Liquidity and cash balances reduce short‑term solvency risk, but sharply negative YoY revenue change and compressed margins limit fundamental upside catalysts over the next six weeks. Expect volatility to remain above market averages given elevated short‑term beta and thinner 10‑day volume versus longer averages; directional moves likely depend on fresh operational or regulatory headlines rather than steady fundamental improvement.

About Tesla, Inc.

Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) designs, develops, and manufactures electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems, serving markets in the United States, China, and globally. The company operates through two primary segments: Automotive and Energy Generation and Storage. In the Automotive sector, Tesla produces electric vehicles, including sedans and SUVs, and offers automotive regulatory credits. It provides non-warranty vehicle services, used vehicle sales, body shop and parts services, supercharging, retail merchandise, and vehicle insurance. Tesla facilitates vehicle sales and leasing through direct channels, a network of Superchargers, and in-app upgrades. It supports its vehicles with company-owned service locations and mobile service technicians, while offering vehicle warranties and extended service plans. In the Energy Generation and Storage segment, Tesla designs, manufactures, installs, and sells solar energy products and energy storage solutions. It caters to residential, commercial, and industrial customers, as well as utilities, through its website, stores, galleries, and a network of channel partners. Tesla also provides service and repairs for energy products, including warranty services, and offers various financing options for solar customers. Founded in 2003 and headquartered in Austin, Texas, Tesla continues to expand its reach in the clean energy and electric vehicle markets.



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