CVR Energy, Inc (NYSE:CVI) Counters Recent Losses While Showing Early Technical Stabilization

CVR Energy enters the coming weeks with underlying operating weakness but with several technical indicators signaling a nascent stabilization that could limit downside volatility. Fundamentals continue to reflect loss-making refining and fertilizer operations, while price action shows short-term recovery beneath longer-term resistance.

Recent News

May 6, 2026 — Icahn Enterprises reported first-quarter results that referenced an increased mark-to-market value of its long position in CVR Energy. June 4, 2026 — CVR Energy conducted its 2026 virtual annual meeting and solicited shareholder votes on board and governance items. Late June 2026 — UBS maintained a price target and adjusted near-term earnings estimates for CVR Energy, reflecting analyst re‑forecasting; company filings also confirm ongoing consideration of strategic transactions by the controlling shareholder.

Technical Analysis

ADX / DI+ / DI-: ADX at 25.94 indicates a strong directional environment. DI- (29.84) exceeds DI+ (16.65), signaling that negative direction still dominates, but DI- shows a peak & reversal while DI+ shows a dip & reversal, which together denote an early directional shift toward bullish participation despite prevailing negative directional readings.

MACD: MACD sits at -1.25 with a dip & reversal trend, which signals returning bullish momentum; MACD remains below the signal line (-1.13) and has not completed a bullish crossover, so momentum improvement remains incomplete.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at -23.87 with a decreasing trend implies the current price sits below WMDST’s target and carries measurable upward potential, though the decreasing MRO cautions that that potential may moderate if momentum weakens further.

RSI: RSI 45.94 with a dip & reversal indicates a recent bounce from oversold impulses; the reading remains below 50, consistent with neutral-to-mild bullish pressure rather than a decisive uptrend.

Price vs. Moving Averages and Bands: Last close $28.65 trades slightly above the 20‑day average ($28.15) and 12‑day EMA ($28.37, dip & reversal) but remains below the 50‑day ($31.76) and 200‑day ($30.73) averages, leaving mid‑term resistance intact. Bollinger bands place the 1x upper at $29.47 and 2x upper at $30.79; the super trend upper near $30.03 marks a nearby technical cap.

Volume & Volatility: Daily volume (876,976) sits below the 10‑, 50‑ and 200‑day averages, indicating muted participation behind the recent bounce. 42‑day and 52‑week volatility remain low at 3% on the provided scale; short‑term beta readings are slightly negative (42‑day -0.26, 52‑week -0.12), reflecting limited correlation with broad market moves.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Operating Results: CVR reported EBIT of -$131,000,000 and EBITDA of -$52,000,000, producing an EBIT margin of -6.62%. The company recorded a net loss of -$192,000,000. QoQ the EBIT margin improved by 27.40%, while YoY the EBIT margin declined by 15.58%.

Profitability & Cash Flow: Gross margin stands at -5.30% and operating margin at -7.32%, both negative and reflecting refining and fertilizer segment pressure. Operating cash flow totaled $64,000,000 with free cash flow $17,000,000 and a free cash flow yield of 0.57%; free cash flow growth shows contraction YoY. EPS actual reported -$1.24 versus an estimate of -$0.62, an EPS surprise of -100%.

Liquidity & Working Capital: Cash and short‑term investments total $512,000,000 and the current ratio measures 1.44 (quick ratio 0.89). Cash conversion cycle sits at about 14.9 days. Change in working capital provided $30,000,000 of benefit during the period presented.

Leverage & Coverage: Total debt equals $1,801,000,000 with net debt ~$1,218,000,000. Debt‑to‑equity registers 3.35 (334.8%), materially above the industry peer mean and median for debt‑to‑equity; debt‑to‑assets measures 46.65%, slightly below the industry peer mean. Interest coverage stands at -2.26x, signaling negative earnings relative to interest expense and constrained coverage capacity.

Operational Efficiency: Asset turnover registers 0.523x and inventory turnover 4.07x. Receivables turnover sits at 7.02x. Return on assets and return on equity register negative values (ROA -5.08%, ROE -35.69%), though QoQ improvements in return metrics appear pronounced on the provided QoQ factors.

Valuation: Price‑to‑book equals 5.55 while price‑to‑sales equals 1.51; forward P/E sits near 113.9. WMDST values the stock as over‑valued given elevated P/B, a negative trailing P/E, minimal free cash flow yield, and forward multiples that demand materially improved profitability to justify current market pricing.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-04-29
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-07-29
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 511.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 64.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -47.00 M
 Change In Working Capital -30.00 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 1.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 512.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 2.0 B
 Forward Revenue -131.61 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 2.1 B
 Depreciation 79.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 79.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 2.1 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit -105.00 M
 EBITDA -52.00 M
 EBIT -131.00 M
 Operating Income -145.00 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 58.0 M
 Net Interest Income -58.00 M
 Income Before Tax -189.00 M
 Tax Provision -29.00 M
 Tax Rate 15.344 %
 Net Income -192.00 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -160.00 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.62
 EPS Actual -1.24
 EPS Difference -0.62
 EPS Surprise -100.0 %
 Forward EPS 0.51
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 3.9 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 538.0 M
 Total Current Assets 1.5 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 512.0 M
 Cash 512.0 M
 Net Receivables 329.0 M
 Inventory 553.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 364.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 532.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 11.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 1.0 B
 Net Debt 1.2 B
 Total Debt 1.8 B
 Total Liabilities 3.1 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 538.0 M
 Retained Earnings -969.00 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 5.35
 Shares Outstanding 100.531 M
 Revenue Per-Share 19.70
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 3.0 B
 Enterprise Value 4.3 B
 Enterprise Multiple -82.161
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -206.15 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 59.863 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 22.866
median: 22.866
mean: 10.964
CVI: -82.161
low: -108.139
 EV/R 2.158
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 7.177
 Asset To Liability 1.235
 Debt To Capital 0.77
 Debt To Assets 0.466
Debt To Assets QoQ -2.936 %
Debt To Assets YoY 2.53 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.497
mean: 0.512
median: 0.509
CVI: 0.466
low: 0.008
 Debt To Equity 3.348
Debt To Equity QoQ 37.211 %
Debt To Equity YoY 0.393 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA CVI: 3.348
high: 1.847
median: 1.847
mean: 1.094
low: -2.235
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 5.545
Price To Book QoQ 51.192 %
Price To Book YoY 69.629 %
Price To Book IPRWA CVI: 5.545
high: 1.433
median: 1.433
mean: 0.667
low: -2.529
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -23.932
Price To Earnings QoQ -28.112 %
Price To Earnings YoY -26.403 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 36.446
median: 22.283
mean: 12.718
CVI: -23.932
low: -73.938
 PE/G Ratio -0.435
 Price To Sales (P/S) 1.507
Price To Sales QoQ 1.859 %
Price To Sales YoY 30.802 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 3.158
CVI: 1.507
median: 1.119
mean: 1.111
low: 0.157
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 113.921
Forward PE/G 2.071
Forward P/S -46.843
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 4.191
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.523
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 11.285 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 35.344 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.738
CVI: 0.523
mean: 0.451
median: 0.365
low: 0.063
 Receivables Turnover 7.021
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -5.348 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 31.169 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 15.455
CVI: 7.021
mean: 5.74
median: 4.574
low: 3.331
 Inventory Turnover 4.068
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 6.768 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 27.149 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 7.64
mean: 4.619
CVI: 4.068
median: 3.927
low: 0.995
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 12.996
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 14.9
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -9.955 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -2.828 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 34.634
CVI: 14.9
mean: 13.278
median: 9.044
low: -19.051
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 4.449
 CapEx To Revenue -0.024
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.595
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 2.3 B
 Net Invested Capital 2.3 B
 Invested Capital 2.3 B
 Net Tangible Assets 538.0 M
 Net Working Capital 445.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.504
 Current Ratio 1.438
Current Ratio QoQ -19.848 %
Current Ratio YoY 9.386 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 4.309
mean: 1.494
CVI: 1.438
median: 1.395
low: 0.088
 Quick Ratio 0.894
Quick Ratio QoQ -20.644 %
Quick Ratio YoY 5.318 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 1.309
mean: 0.994
median: 0.917
CVI: 0.894
low: 0.061
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -34.635
 Cost Of Debt 2.742 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -2.259
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -30.319 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -56.228 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 4.378
median: 4.378
mean: 2.502
CVI: -2.259
low: -5.611
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.168
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 23.118
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 4.182 %
 Revenue Growth 9.392 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -236.254 %
Revenue Growth YoY -160.75 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 42.18 %
median: 24.302 %
mean: 12.379 %
CVI: 9.392 %
low: -7.85 %
 Earnings Growth 55.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -118.333 %
Earnings Growth YoY -84.111 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 350.0 %
median: 142.857 %
mean: 77.837 %
CVI: 55.0 %
low: -450.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin -5.303 %
Gross Margin QoQ 62.669 %
Gross Margin YoY -6.142 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 52.892 %
median: 13.124 %
mean: 11.125 %
CVI: -5.303 %
low: -8.498 %
 EBIT Margin -6.616 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 27.402 %
EBIT Margin YoY -15.58 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 20.466 %
median: 8.232 %
mean: 2.555 %
CVI: -6.616 %
low: -37.676 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -7.323 %
Return On Sales QoQ 33.876 %
Return On Sales YoY -6.559 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 16.837 %
median: 8.092 %
mean: 3.99 %
CVI: -7.323 %
low: -16.636 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 17.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.57 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -127.247 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -103.74 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 12.723 %
mean: 3.634 %
median: 2.131 %
CVI: 0.57 %
low: -9.916 %
 Free Cash Growth -130.357 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -11.12 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -85.56 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 69.817 %
median: 9.442 %
mean: -48.693 %
CVI: -130.357 %
low: -443.068 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.089
 Cash Flow Margin -8.636 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.891
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) -5.075 %
Return On Assets QoQ 77.572 %
Return On Assets YoY 75.666 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 7.987 %
median: 1.337 %
mean: -0.098 %
CVI: -5.075 %
low: -11.646 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -4.603 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.357
Return On Equity QoQ 136.846 %
Return On Equity YoY 68.284 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.304
mean: 0.077
median: 0.047
low: -0.048
CVI: -0.357
 DuPont ROE -30.284 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -4.89 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 34.6 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 36.174 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 16.658 %
median: 3.746 %
mean: 0.954 %
CVI: -4.89 %
low: -20.876 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical indicators point to a cautious, range‑bound near term. The directional system shows a strong trend environment (ADX ~25.9) with early bullish shifts (DI+ dip & reversal, DI- peak & reversal) but DI- remains dominant; MACD momentum has turned toward bullishness but has not yet cleared the signal line. Short‑term price strength may test upper resistance in the $29–$31 zone (20‑ to 50‑day/ super trend levels), but participation remains light, reducing conviction for a sustained breakout.

Fundamentals act as a structural cap on upside over the coming six weeks: ongoing negative margins, large interest expense, and elevated leverage increase the odds that any rallies meet seller interest absent clear operational improvement or confirmed strategic action from the controlling shareholder. Expect contained volatility with episodic spikes tied to corporate disclosures or changes in crack spreads and fertilizer markets.

Risk considerations over the next six weeks center on refinancing and coverage dynamics, derivative settlements referenced in filings, and execution updates on any strategic transactions by the controlling shareholder; positive confirmation on those items would materially change the bias, while continued operating losses would likely preserve the current cautious range.

About CVR Energy, Inc.

CVR Energy, Inc. (NYSE:CVI), headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas, plays a significant role in the energy sector, concentrating on petroleum refining and nitrogen fertilizer production. Through its Petroleum segment, CVR Energy refines crude oil into essential products like gasoline, diesel, and other refined fuels. The company operates refineries strategically located in southeast Kansas and Wynnewood, Oklahoma, ensuring a steady supply to a wide range of clients, including retailers, railroads, and farm cooperatives. Its logistics network supports efficient distribution, enhancing its market reach. In the Nitrogen Fertilizer segment, CVR Energy utilizes pet coke gasification technology to manufacture nitrogen-based fertilizers. Facilities in North America and East Dubuque, Illinois, produce ammonia, urea ammonium nitrate (UAN), and other agricultural inputs vital for crop yield enhancement. These products serve both agricultural and industrial markets, underscoring their importance in the agricultural supply chain. As a subsidiary of Icahn Enterprises Holdings L.P., CVR Energy integrates a long-standing legacy with contemporary practices, contributing to the energy and agricultural sectors’ growth and sustainability.



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