Comstock Resources, Inc. (NYSE:CRK) Projects Production-Led Rebound While Valuation Stays Extended

Q1 operational activity points to a near-term production recovery driven by Haynesville drilling; WMDST values the stock as over-valued. The immediate technical picture shows momentum weakness even as a strong trend persists.

Recent News

On March 23, 2026 Comstock announced its Western Haynesville acreage as the selected site to host a Texas natural gas‑fired power generation hub, a project structured under a U.S.–Japan investment framework and developed with NextEra Energy; the facility could reach up to 5.2 GW and Comstock may supply as much as ~1 Bcf/day by 2031.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 32.53 indicates a strong trend presence; trend strength favors continuation rather than range-bound chop.

Directional indicators conflict: DI+ shows a peak & reversal (bearish) while DI– shows a peak & reversal (bullish); this mix implies directional disagreement despite overall trend strength and raises the probability of short-term volatility around the prevailing trend.

MACD sits negative at -0.97 with a recent peak‑and‑reversal and trades below its signal (-0.95), signaling bearish momentum and that downside pressure retains technical control until momentum indicators reverse.

MRO at -38.85 (decreasing) indicates the price sits meaningfully below the model target, implying material mean‑reversion potential; magnitude implies a sizable move would be required to close that gap.

RSI at 39.44 and decreasing reads as bearish momentum without reaching oversold extremes; the indicator supports further consolidation or additional downside rather than an immediate relief rally.

Price sits below major averages: the close at $14.11 falls under the 20‑day average ($15.09), 50‑day average ($17.96) and 200‑day average ($19.76), aligning moving‑average pressure with the negative MACD and RSI trends.

Bollinger positioning places price near the lower band (1x lower = $13.87), suggesting limited immediate downside room inside the band structure but leaving scope for continued weakness if bands expand. Ichimoku components and the SuperTrend upper band (~$16.07) sit above price, reinforcing a technically bearish bias until price clears those levels.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Q1 operational and financials show production activity and cash flow but leave valuation stretched. Total revenue for the period registers at $585,534,000 with operating cash flow of $271,965,000 and net income of $107,450,000; EPS came in at $0.15 versus an estimate of $0.23, a shortfall of $0.08 (a -34.78% surprise).

Margins and profitability: EBIT margin equals 30.32%, slightly below the industry peer mean of 33.05% and materially below the industry peer median of 38.78%, while gross margin stands at 34.27% and operating margin at 29.56%—margins show operating strength but trail the central peer benchmarks.

Leverage and liquidity: total debt reached $3,034,315,000 with net debt of $2,932,822,000 and debt/EBITDA of 9.51x, indicating elevated leverage. Interest coverage equals 3.35x, materially below the industry peer mean (~30.33x), and the current ratio sits at 0.41 versus an industry peer mean of 1.42, signaling tight near‑term liquidity relative to peers.

Cash generation and valuation signals: free cash flow totaled negative $143,847,000 and free cash flow yield equals -2.54%, below the industry peer mean free cash flow yield (~2.40%). Price multiples run high: trailing PE equals 128.63x and forward PE about 60.03x, both well above the industry peer mean/median; the price‑to‑book ratio near 2.06 sits marginally above the industry peer mean of 2.04 but below the peer median of 2.27.

Growth dynamics show mixed periodicity: QoQ revenue growth equals +79.80% while YoY revenue growth reads -54.43%; earnings growth YoY registers sharply negative, reflecting timing and comparability effects across periods rather than clear sustainable acceleration.

Valuation summary: WMDST values the stock as over‑valued, driven by exceptionally high price multiples, negative free cash flow in the period, and elevated leverage relative to peer benchmarks; operating cash flow provides some offset but not enough to normalize multiples against peer means and medians.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-05-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-08-04
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 23.9 M
 Operating Cash Flow 272.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -415.81 M
 Change In Working Capital 80.1 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -9.14 M
 End Period Cash Flow 14.8 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 585.5 M
 Forward Revenue 120.6 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 384.9 M
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 412.5 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 200.6 M
 EBITDA 319.1 M
 EBIT 177.6 M
 Operating Income 173.1 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 53.1 M
 Net Interest Income -53.06 M
 Income Before Tax 124.5 M
 Tax Provision 12.0 M
 Tax Rate 9.631 %
 Net Income 107.5 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 112.5 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.23
 EPS Actual 0.15
 EPS Difference -0.08
 EPS Surprise -34.783 %
 Forward EPS 0.30
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 7.2 B
 Intangible Assets 335.9 M
 Net Tangible Assets 2.4 B
 Total Current Assets 290.1 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 14.8 M
 Cash 14.8 M
 Net Receivables 169.1 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 553.0 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 711.9 M
 Net Debt 2.9 B
 Total Debt 3.0 B
 Total Liabilities 4.2 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 2.8 B
 Retained Earnings 1.2 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 9.39
 Shares Outstanding 293.696 M
 Revenue Per-Share 1.99
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 5.7 B
 Enterprise Value 8.7 B
 Enterprise Multiple 27.223
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 65.327 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -111.403 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 123.054
CRK: 27.223
mean: 22.805
median: 19.556
low: -41.967
 EV/R 14.835
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.625
 Asset To Liability 1.736
 Debt To Capital 0.524
 Debt To Assets 0.419
Debt To Assets QoQ 1.01 %
Debt To Assets YoY -12.221 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA CRK: 0.419
high: 0.38
mean: 0.184
median: 0.156
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 1.1
Debt To Equity QoQ 0.175 %
Debt To Equity YoY -25.938 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.275
CRK: 1.1
mean: 0.338
median: 0.269
low: -0.686
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.055
Price To Book QoQ -16.773 %
Price To Book YoY -20.169 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 14.381
median: 2.269
CRK: 2.055
mean: 2.043
low: -0.213
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 128.629
Price To Earnings QoQ -7.714 %
Price To Earnings YoY 24.186 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA CRK: 128.629
high: 51.672
median: 38.452
mean: 36.82
low: 22.342
 PE/G Ratio -1.522
 Price To Sales (P/S) 9.678
Price To Sales QoQ -26.642 %
Price To Sales YoY -9.117 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 165.408
median: 10.377
mean: 9.747
CRK: 9.678
low: 2.831
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 60.028
Forward PE/G -0.71
Forward P/S 45.699
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -3.141
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.082
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 14.885 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 4.051 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.234
median: 0.129
mean: 0.126
CRK: 0.082
low: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 2.845
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 19.317 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 6.337 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.885
CRK: 2.845
median: 2.153
mean: 2.116
low: 0.956
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 32.072
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 61.127
CRK: 0
median: -4.124
mean: -19.409
low: -57781.763
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -1.388
 CapEx To Revenue -0.71
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 5.7 B
 Net Invested Capital 5.7 B
 Invested Capital 5.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets 2.4 B
 Net Working Capital -421.86 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.021
 Current Ratio 0.407
Current Ratio QoQ -17.649 %
Current Ratio YoY 3.139 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 11.719
median: 1.716
mean: 1.423
CRK: 0.407
low: 0.019
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 9.51
 Cost Of Debt 1.467 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 3.346
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -54.747 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -190.022 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 74.441
median: 39.712
mean: 30.326
CRK: 3.346
low: -29.033
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.326
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 131.618
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 3.32 %
 Revenue Growth 18.198 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 79.804 %
Revenue Growth YoY -54.426 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 72.732 %
mean: 24.023 %
median: 19.547 %
CRK: 18.198 %
low: -63.35 %
 Earnings Growth -84.536 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 40.893 %
Earnings Growth YoY -776.288 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 85.484 %
mean: 53.318 %
median: 50.22 %
CRK: -84.536 %
low: -90.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 34.265 %
Gross Margin QoQ 30.787 %
Gross Margin YoY 26.062 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 83.151 %
median: 65.833 %
mean: 58.704 %
CRK: 34.265 %
low: 3.834 %
 EBIT Margin 30.323 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -63.762 %
EBIT Margin YoY -176.294 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 87.67 %
median: 38.784 %
mean: 33.05 %
CRK: 30.323 %
low: -56.023 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 29.558 %
Return On Sales QoQ 27.697 %
Return On Sales YoY -174.369 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 87.67 %
median: 36.89 %
mean: 36.458 %
CRK: 29.558 %
low: -33.573 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -143.85 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -2.538 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 17.446 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 12.202 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 7.049 %
mean: 2.404 %
median: 1.885 %
CRK: -2.538 %
low: -7.812 %
 Free Cash Growth 1.84 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -107.351 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -99.785 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 415.69 %
mean: 61.713 %
median: 38.14 %
CRK: 1.84 %
low: -234.458 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -1.339
 Cash Flow Margin 39.659 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.161
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.508 %
Return On Assets QoQ -65.82 %
Return On Assets YoY -180.728 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 13.756 %
median: 3.765 %
mean: 3.217 %
CRK: 1.508 %
low: -13.451 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 2.72 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.039
Return On Equity QoQ -66.239 %
Return On Equity YoY -168.165 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.237
median: 0.064
mean: 0.054
CRK: 0.039
low: -0.188
 DuPont ROE 3.977 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.812 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -53.735 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -218.901 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 6.716 %
median: 5.23 %
mean: 4.417 %
CRK: 2.812 %
low: -26.279 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near term, technical momentum favors consolidation or additional weakness: MACD negative with a recent peak‑and‑reversal, RSI below 50 and declining, and price trading under key moving averages present continued downside bias. The ADX reading implies the current trend carries strength, so expect trend persistence rather than rapid trend collapse.

Counterbalance exists via a large negative MRO that signals meaningful mean‑reversion potential; should momentum indicators stabilize or MACD move back above its signal line, price could attempt a reversion toward short‑term averages. Absent a durable shift in momentum, expect muted price action with directional risk biased to the downside given stretched valuation and balance‑sheet leverage over the next six weeks.

About Comstock Resources, Inc.

Comstock Resources, Inc. (NYSE:CRK) develops and produces natural gas and oil, with a primary focus on the Haynesville and Bossier shales located in North Louisiana and East Texas. Headquartered in Frisco, Texas, Comstock Resources leverages advanced technology and industry expertise to enhance the efficiency of resource extraction. The company, founded in 1919, brings over a century of experience to its operations, underscoring its resilience and adaptability in the energy sector. As a subsidiary of Arkoma Drilling, L.P., Comstock Resources prioritizes sustainable practices and responsible resource management to minimize environmental impact while addressing the increasing energy needs. The company maintains a strong portfolio and strategically manages its operations to deliver value to shareholders and support the energy security of the United States. Through continuous innovation and strategic partnerships, Comstock Resources positions itself as a key player in the natural gas and oil production industry, driving growth and setting industry standards.



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