Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp (NYSE:ESP) Extends Margin Gains Pointing To Near-Term Upside

Strong margin expansion and cash reserves underpin a constructive bias, while momentum indicators flag near-term profit-taking risk. Fundamentals show improving profitability but cash-generation weakness limits conviction on sustained rerating.

Recent News

March 9, 2026: Board update released summarizing results for the first six months of fiscal 2026. March–May 2026: Company filed periodic reports disclosing March 31, 2026 quarter results, balance sheet cash and investment balances, and a noted share repurchase authorization size. Multiple summaries and filings in April–May 2026 restated higher margins and reiterated management’s expectation that full-year revenue and net income will exceed prior-year levels.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 31.45 signals a strong prevailing trend; because directional indicators diverge, trend strength increases the importance of directionally bearish signals that follow.

DI+ at 22.23 is decreasing while DI– at 12.61 is increasing; that pattern reads as growing downside directional pressure despite recent price gains.

MACD sits at 2.44 below its signal line at 2.74 and the MACD trend is decreasing, indicating bearish momentum and a recent loss of upside acceleration.

MRO at 35.56 with a peak-and-reversal pattern indicates price currently sits above target levels and carries material downside pressure from momentum mean reversion.

RSI at 60.54 with a peak-and-reversal pattern points to a recent momentum high and elevated risk of short-term pullback even though the reading remains below overbought extremes.

Price sits at $70.50, above the 12-day EMA ($70.18, increasing) and above the 26-day EMA ($67.80), supporting short-term strength; the 20-day average at $70.27 and upper 1× band near $71.73 keep the stock within a tight upper-range band rather than a breakout. Volume today (164,623) well exceeds the 10-day average (46,392), suggesting institutional participation during recent moves.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Operating profitability drives the narrative: EBIT of $3,071,141 yields an EBIT margin of 25.30%, up 11.38% QoQ and 70.10% YoY. That 25.3% margin sits above the industry peer mean and median while remaining below the peer high, supporting valuation upside if margins persist.

Revenue dynamics show a YoY increase of 10.44% with a QoQ decline of about 7.38%, indicating mixed top-line momentum even as margin leverage improved over the comparable period.

Earnings per share of $0.99 beat the consensus estimate of $0.80 by $0.19, an EPS surprise of 23.75%, signaling near-term operational outperformance versus expectations.

Cash and liquid investments total $43,168,359 ($17,757,632 held as cash), and the current ratio stands at 2.53, above the industry peer mean; ample liquidity coexists with stretched working capital: the cash conversion cycle runs roughly 342 days, materially longer than the industry peer mean, driven by very high days-in-inventory (~342 days) and elongated receivables timing.

Free cash flow was negative at -$4,133,110, with a free cash flow yield around -2.93% and year-over-year free cash contraction; negative operating cash flow (-$2,811,403) contrasts with strong accounting earnings and limits the durability of margin-driven valuation gains until cash generation improves.

Valuation multiples present mixed signals: P/E ~48.6 and P/B ~2.65 rank below the industry peer mean for P/E and below peer mean for P/B, while PS at ~11.62 also sits under the peer mean. Return metrics—ROE ~5.27% and ROA ~3.30%—exceed peer means modestly, reflecting efficient capital deployment but at a modest absolute level.

Dividend yield near 0.49% with a payout ratio ~24.49% confirms a sustainable but small cash return to shareholders given current negative free cash flow.

WMDST values the stock as over-valued. That valuation reflects compressed cash conversion performance and negative free cash flow which temper upside implied by improved margins and EPS beats; sustained re-rating depends on a demonstrable turnaround in cash generation and working capital efficiency.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-10
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-12
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 22.2 M
 Operating Cash Flow -2.81 M
 Capital Expenditures -1.32 M
 Change In Working Capital -5.89 M
 Dividends Paid -686.88 K
 Cash Flow Delta -4.46 M
 End Period Cash Flow 17.8 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 12.1 M
 Forward Revenue 2.9 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 7.9 M
 Depreciation 127.5 K
 Depreciation and Amortization 127.5 K
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 9.1 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 4.2 M
 EBITDA 3.2 M
 EBIT 3.1 M
 Operating Income 3.1 M
 Interest Income 436.9 K
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income 436.9 K
 Income Before Tax 3.5 M
 Tax Provision 710.7 K
 Tax Rate 20.215 %
 Net Income 2.8 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 2.8 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.80
 EPS Actual 0.99
 EPS Difference 0.19
 EPS Surprise 23.75 %
 Forward EPS 0.91
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 85.2 M
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 53.2 M
 Total Current Assets 80.9 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 43.2 M
 Cash 17.8 M
 Net Receivables 8.2 M
 Inventory 22.9 M
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 3.6 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 32.0 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt
 Total Liabilities 32.0 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 53.2 M
 Retained Earnings 33.1 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 18.14
 Shares Outstanding 2.937 M
 Revenue Per-Share 4.14
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 141.0 M
 Enterprise Value
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.601
 Asset To Liability 2.665
 Debt To Capital
 Debt To Assets
Debt To Assets QoQ
Debt To Assets YoY
Debt To Assets IPRWA
 Debt To Equity
Debt To Equity QoQ
Debt To Equity YoY
Debt To Equity IPRWA
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.651
Price To Book QoQ 14.522 %
Price To Book YoY 49.888 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 9.542
mean: 4.316
median: 3.877
ESP: 2.651
low: -1.578
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 48.558
Price To Earnings QoQ -8.239 %
Price To Earnings YoY
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 155.616
mean: 108.524
median: 96.494
ESP: 48.558
low: -59.489
 PE/G Ratio 1.605
 Price To Sales (P/S) 11.62
Price To Sales QoQ -10.449 %
Price To Sales YoY 99.53 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 29.146
mean: 18.138
median: 18.088
ESP: 11.62
low: 0.291
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 50.887
Forward PE/G 1.681
Forward P/S 54.364
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 1.454
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.143
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 28.735 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -38.19 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.367
mean: 0.153
ESP: 0.143
median: 0.124
low: 0.004
 Receivables Turnover 1.664
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 27.686 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -14.343 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.952
ESP: 1.664
mean: 1.62
median: 1.431
low: 0.513
 Inventory Turnover 0.36
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 19.218 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -36.136 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.152
mean: 0.951
median: 0.891
ESP: 0.36
low: 0.204
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 54.846
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 342.062
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 4.437 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 49.473 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA ESP: 342.062
high: 188.199
mean: 101.481
median: 99.751
low: -9.339
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.248
 CapEx To Revenue -0.109
 CapEx To Depreciation -10.363
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 53.2 M
 Net Invested Capital 53.2 M
 Invested Capital 53.2 M
 Net Tangible Assets 53.2 M
 Net Working Capital 48.9 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.351
 Current Ratio 2.531
Current Ratio QoQ 6.166 %
Current Ratio YoY -29.968 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 16.218
ESP: 2.531
mean: 1.333
median: 1.062
low: 0.841
 Quick Ratio 1.813
Quick Ratio QoQ 2.889 %
Quick Ratio YoY -26.555 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 13.927
ESP: 1.813
mean: 0.89
median: 0.673
low: 0.617
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA
 Cost Of Debt
 Interest Coverage Ratio 21.063
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 48.671 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 51.703 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 21.707
ESP: 21.063
mean: 12.095
median: 11.688
low: -37.803
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.018
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 54.516
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 4.084
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.245
 Dividend Rate 0.23
 Dividend Yield 0.005
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 0.377 %
 Revenue Growth 33.477 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -738.265 %
Revenue Growth YoY 10.441 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA ESP: 33.477 %
high: 18.039 %
mean: -4.885 %
median: -9.111 %
low: -33.18 %
 Earnings Growth 30.263 %
Earnings Growth QoQ
Earnings Growth YoY
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 222.925 %
ESP: 30.263 %
mean: 24.396 %
median: -8.466 %
low: -55.556 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 34.709 %
Gross Margin QoQ -1.894 %
Gross Margin YoY 49.299 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 67.596 %
median: 48.266 %
mean: 44.562 %
ESP: 34.709 %
low: -20.898 %
 EBIT Margin 25.304 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 11.383 %
EBIT Margin YoY 70.099 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 27.289 %
ESP: 25.304 %
median: 20.502 %
mean: 19.012 %
low: -50.815 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 25.304 %
Return On Sales QoQ 11.383 %
Return On Sales YoY 70.099 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 27.289 %
ESP: 25.304 %
median: 19.88 %
mean: 18.877 %
low: -42.371 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -4.13 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -2.931 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -178.077 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -151.693 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 3.828 %
mean: 0.768 %
median: 0.766 %
ESP: -2.931 %
low: -13.435 %
 Free Cash Growth -193.308 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -150.347 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -137.171 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 351.098 %
mean: -23.037 %
median: -28.504 %
ESP: -193.308 %
low: -318.157 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -1.473
 Cash Flow Margin -4.836 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -0.209
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.3 %
Return On Assets QoQ 24.669 %
Return On Assets YoY 1.852 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 6.193 %
ESP: 3.3 %
median: 2.472 %
mean: 2.078 %
low: -12.999 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 5.772 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.053
Return On Equity QoQ 23.872 %
Return On Equity YoY 23.814 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.093
ESP: 0.053
mean: 0.045
median: 0.037
low: -0.087
 DuPont ROE 5.385 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 4.605 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 33.944 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -177.317 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 5.302 %
ESP: 4.605 %
median: 3.236 %
mean: 3.096 %
low: -14.79 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect range-bound trading with elevated volatility: technicals show a strong trend backdrop but existing momentum indicators (MACD below signal, MRO peak-and-reversal, RSI peak-and-reversal) favor an initial pullback or consolidation phase. Short-term supports appear near the super trend lower ($64.78) and the 26-day EMA (~$67.80); resistance clusters near the 20-day band and recent highs. Fundamental catalysts over the next six weeks include any operational updates that narrow the cash-conversion gap or confirm backlog conversion; absent such improvement, price action likely tests the lower end of the range while maintaining the possibility of bounce attempts driven by margin strength and high cash reserves.

About Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.

Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. (NYSE:ESP) designs and manufactures power electronics with a primary focus on military and industrial applications. Established in 1928 and based in Saratoga Springs, New York, the company produces a range of electronic equipment, including power supplies, converters, transformers, and distribution equipment. These products support systems used in locomotives, shipboard power, radar, and mobile power solutions. Espey provides a comprehensive array of services, covering design, development, environmental testing, and metal fabrication. The company excels in delivering customized solutions that meet stringent specifications, catering to a diverse clientele that includes industrial manufacturers, defense contractors, and government agencies both in the U.S. and internationally. In addition to complete systems, Espey manufactures individual components such as inductors and printed circuit boards. Their commitment to quality and innovation ensures they remain a reliable partner in the defense and industrial sectors, offering dependable and efficient solutions that support critical operations worldwide.



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