FirstEnergy Corp. (NYSE:FE) Accelerates Grid Investments While Leverage Keeps Valuation Pressured

FirstEnergy steps up capital deployment to modernize transmission and distribution while balance-sheet leverage and negative free cash flow keep the company in an over-valued posture. Near-term operational activity should lift regulated rate base even as technical indicators favor continued downside pressure.

Recent News

Feb. 11, 2026 — Board declares a quarterly dividend of $0.465 per share payable June 1, 2026; company projects $1.86 per share in dividends for 2026. Mar. 2, 2026 — FirstEnergy Transmission selected by PJM to build multiple reliability projects, with ~ $950 million of planned investment. Mar. 14–17, 2026 — widespread windstorm outages prompted extensive restoration efforts across service territories; major restoration progress reported. Mar. 30, 2026 — Moody’s changed FirstEnergy’s outlook to positive while affirming ratings. Apr. 9, 2026 — company appointed Brian Harrell as Vice President and Chief Security Officer.

Technical Analysis

Directional Indicators (ADX/DI+/DI-): ADX at 37.1 signals a strong trend; DI- (32.97) increasing indicates dominant bearish directional pressure while DI+ (10.78) declines, reinforcing a trend-biased downside risk that ties to the broader valuation pressure.

MACD: MACD sits at -1.29 with the MACD trend decreasing and the signal at -0.86; negative, falling MACD indicates bearish momentum with no bullish cross above the signal line.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at -15.21 (negative and declining) indicates price below the target model, implying technical scope for a corrective uptick, but the ongoing decrease in MRO reduces the odds of a strong immediate reversal.

RSI and Momentum: RSI 42.84 and trending down shows weakening momentum without reaching oversold extremes; combined with the MACD and DI structure, this favors continuation of selling pressure rather than a durable bounce.

Price vs. Moving Averages and Bands: Closing price $44.71 sits below the 12-day EMA ($46.27, decreasing), the 20-day average ($47.03) and the 50-day average ($49.49), and it trades essentially at the lower Bollinger band (1x lower ≈ $44.75); that alignment signals short-term negative bias with limited room before two-standard-deviation support (~$42.46).

 


Fundamental Analysis

Operating Performance: Total revenue $4,202,000,000 with operating income $828,000,000 and EBIT $876,000,000. YoY revenue growth stands at -42.49% while the reported revenue growth metric reads 10.67%; operating margin equals 19.70% and EBIT margin equals 20.85% (EBIT margin QoQ change +196.46%, EBIT margin YoY -0.65%).

Profitability & Returns: Net income $405,000,000 and EPS actual $0.72 (EPS estimate $0.72; EPS surprise ~0.63%). Return on equity 3.20% and return on assets 0.72% indicate low incremental returns on capital versus historical utility norms.

Cash Flow & Capital: Operating cash flow $148,000,000 contrasts with free cash flow of -$1,107,000,000 (free cash flow yield -3.87%), reflecting heavy capital deployment and working-capital dynamics; free cash growth YoY is +75.06% but absolute free cash remains negative, and capital expenditures totaled -$1,255,000,000.

Leverage & Coverage: Total debt $28,060,000,000, net debt ~$28,008,000,000; debt-to-equity 2.22x (≈222%), debt-to-assets 49.30%, and debt-to-EBITDA ~21.63x. Interest coverage roughly 3.22x, broadly in line with the industry peer mean interest coverage of ~3.18x but paired with very high leverage and elevated net debt.

Valuation Multiples: P/E ~68.63 and forward P/E ~66.09; price-to-book ~2.26 (P/B QoQ +5.89%, P/B YoY +22.58%). Enterprise multiple ~43.63. WMDST values the stock as over-valued given these multiple levels combined with negative free cash flow and elevated leverage.

Peer Comparisons Where Available: EBIT margin at ~20.85% sits below the industry peer mean EBIT margin of ~28.25% and below the industry peer median of ~25.79%, though above the industry peer low of ~12.97%. Price-to-book at ~2.26 sits below the industry peer mean P/B of ~2.66 and below the industry peer median of ~2.86. Interest coverage aligns with the industry peer mean.

Valuation Summary: Strong capital investment and regulatory-driven rate-base growth support medium-term earnings potential, but the combination of negative free cash flow, very high debt-to-EBITDA, and elevated P/E multiples leaves the current WMDST valuation categorized as over-valued.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-04-28
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-07-28
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 99.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 148.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -1.25 B
 Change In Working Capital -437.00 M
 Dividends Paid -257.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta -19.00 M
 End Period Cash Flow 80.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 4.2 B
 Forward Revenue 1.1 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.6 B
 Depreciation 117.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 117.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 3.4 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 2.6 B
 EBITDA 1.3 B
 EBIT 876.0 M
 Operating Income 828.0 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 272.0 M
 Net Interest Income -272.00 M
 Income Before Tax 604.0 M
 Tax Provision 138.0 M
 Tax Rate 22.848 %
 Net Income 405.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 466.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.72
 EPS Actual 0.72
 EPS Difference 0.00
 EPS Surprise 0.63 %
 Forward EPS 0.74
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 56.9 B
 Intangible Assets 5.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 7.0 B
 Total Current Assets 3.0 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 52.0 M
 Cash 52.0 M
 Net Receivables 1.0 B
 Inventory 582.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 1.3 B
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 2.0 B
 Short-Term Debt 1.7 B
 Total Current Liabilities 5.8 B
 Net Debt 28.0 B
 Total Debt 28.1 B
 Total Liabilities 42.8 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 12.7 B
 Retained Earnings 171.0 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 21.88
 Shares Outstanding 578.431 M
 Revenue Per-Share 7.26
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 28.6 B
 Enterprise Value 56.6 B
 Enterprise Multiple 43.631
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -43.559 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 9.603 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 73.668
mean: 56.685
median: 51.966
FE: 43.631
low: 34.15
 EV/R 13.467
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 4.498
 Asset To Liability 1.329
 Debt To Capital 0.689
 Debt To Assets 0.493
Debt To Assets QoQ 3.783 %
Debt To Assets YoY 4.963 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA FE: 0.493
high: 0.484
median: 0.472
mean: 0.461
low: 0.295
 Debt To Equity 2.217
Debt To Equity QoQ 4.461 %
Debt To Equity YoY 12.431 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.477
FE: 2.217
median: 1.891
mean: 1.86
low: 0.697
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.259
Price To Book QoQ 5.885 %
Price To Book YoY 22.584 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 3.412
median: 2.862
mean: 2.659
FE: 2.259
low: 1.206
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 68.627
Price To Earnings QoQ -21.239 %
Price To Earnings YoY 14.602 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 116.866
median: 79.575
mean: 75.768
FE: 68.627
low: 40.323
 PE/G Ratio 1.914
 Price To Sales (P/S) 6.802
Price To Sales QoQ -3.219 %
Price To Sales YoY 10.596 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 28.12
mean: 17.432
median: 12.653
FE: 6.802
low: 5.549
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 66.088
Forward PE/G 1.844
Forward P/S 25.856
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 21.384
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.074
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 9.657 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 3.689 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.093
FE: 0.074
mean: 0.062
median: 0.054
low: 0.031
 Receivables Turnover 4.227
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 5.155 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 6.161 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 4.808
FE: 4.227
median: 3.005
mean: 2.881
low: 1.645
 Inventory Turnover 2.744
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 15.405 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 23.768 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 5.019
FE: 2.744
mean: 1.892
median: 1.383
low: 1.101
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 21.586
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -73.785
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 39.885 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 10.547 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 40.945
mean: -39.81
median: -54.561
FE: -73.785
low: -81.754
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -1.504
 CapEx To Revenue -0.299
 CapEx To Depreciation -10.726
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 39.0 B
 Net Invested Capital 40.7 B
 Invested Capital 40.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets 7.0 B
 Net Working Capital -2.79 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.009
 Current Ratio 0.522
Current Ratio QoQ -7.668 %
Current Ratio YoY 25.458 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 1.21
mean: 0.753
median: 0.74
low: 0.526
FE: 0.522
 Quick Ratio 0.422
Quick Ratio QoQ -7.354 %
Quick Ratio YoY 25.562 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 1.131
mean: 0.538
median: 0.441
FE: 0.422
low: 0.394
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 21.635
 Cost Of Debt 0.768 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 3.221
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 218.442 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 1.917 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 4.612
FE: 3.221
mean: 3.183
median: 3.013
low: 1.9
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.074
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 133.884
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 1.576
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.635
 Dividend Rate 0.44
 Dividend Yield 0.009
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.812 %
 Revenue Growth 10.666 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -226.046 %
Revenue Growth YoY -42.486 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 28.04 %
median: 16.362 %
mean: 10.875 %
FE: 10.666 %
low: -21.293 %
 Earnings Growth 35.849 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -199.181 %
Earnings Growth YoY -26.673 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 140.0 %
mean: 73.439 %
median: 55.128 %
FE: 35.849 %
low: -27.273 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 62.161 %
Gross Margin QoQ -2.63 %
Gross Margin YoY -7.423 %
Gross Margin IPRWA FE: 62.161 %
high: 58.946 %
mean: 48.835 %
median: 44.864 %
low: 20.314 %
 EBIT Margin 20.847 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 196.459 %
EBIT Margin YoY -0.648 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 37.099 %
mean: 28.253 %
median: 25.793 %
FE: 20.847 %
low: 12.969 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 19.705 %
Return On Sales QoQ 24.079 %
Return On Sales YoY -6.091 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 29.115 %
median: 27.212 %
mean: 25.648 %
FE: 19.705 %
low: 12.173 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -1.11 B
 Free Cash Flow Yield -3.873 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 3358.036 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 143.738 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 0.151 %
median: -0.308 %
mean: -0.897 %
low: -3.774 %
FE: -3.873 %
 Free Cash Growth 3590.0 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -3934.2 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 7505.932 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA FE: 3590.0 %
high: 236.766 %
median: 1.777 %
mean: -38.748 %
low: -309.386 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -2.733
 Cash Flow Margin 10.281 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.067
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.02
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.718 %
Return On Assets QoQ -915.909 %
Return On Assets YoY 4.512 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 1.529 %
median: 1.005 %
mean: 0.991 %
FE: 0.718 %
low: 0.34 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.715 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.032
Return On Equity QoQ -916.582 %
Return On Equity YoY 11.728 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.04
mean: 0.032
FE: 0.032
median: 0.03
low: 0.01
 DuPont ROE 3.219 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 1.66 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 207.407 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 2.406 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 2.499 %
FE: 1.66 %
mean: 1.339 %
median: 1.081 %
low: 0.869 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical indicators favor continued downside pressure: a strong ADX-led trend with rising DI- and falling MACD points to trend continuation, while price below key EMAs and the lower Bollinger band signals limited near-term upside. Offsetting this, a negative MRO suggests the price sits below modeled fair value and could allow short-lived relief rallies. Expect choppy, lower-biased trading with episodic relief attempts tied to operational or news catalysts (outage updates, project awards, or liquidity actions) rather than sustained recovery absent material balance-sheet improvement.

About FirstEnergy Corp.

FirstEnergy Corp. (NYSE:FE) delivers electricity to nearly 6 million customers across Ohio, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Maryland, New Jersey, and New York. Headquartered in Akron, Ohio, the company manages its operations through two primary segments: Regulated Distribution and Regulated Transmission. FirstEnergy ensures the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity through a diverse energy portfolio that includes coal-fired, nuclear, hydroelectric, wind, and solar facilities. The company’s infrastructure features an extensive network of transmission and distribution systems, including 24,080 circuit miles of transmission lines and 274,518 miles of distribution lines. This network facilitates the efficient delivery of energy to residential and commercial customers. Since its incorporation in 1996, FirstEnergy has prioritized grid reliability and customer satisfaction. The company invests in modern technologies and sustainable practices to adapt to the evolving energy landscape. By integrating both sustainable and traditional energy sources, FirstEnergy aims to meet increasing energy demands while promoting environmental stewardship and economic growth in the regions it serves.



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