Centene Corporation (NYSE:CNC) Accelerates Margin Recovery And Near-Term Upside

Recent corporate actions and improving operational cash generation position the company for continued margin recovery; technical momentum supports a near-term bullish bias, though momentum indicators flag short-term consolidation risk.

Recent News

Apr 6, 2026: Centene created two new executive leadership positions reporting to the CEO. Apr 2, 2026: Subsidiaries Carolina Complete Health and WellCare of North Carolina received approvals to combine into a provider-led managed care organization. Mar 27, 2026: The Centene Foundation and Carolina Complete Health announced a major affordable housing investment and groundbreaking in Winston‑Salem. May 12, 2026: Proxy materials and the 2025 Annual Report were distributed to shareholders.

Technical Analysis

ADX registers at 52.66, indicating a very strong trend underpinning recent price direction and amplifying the significance of directional signals.

DI+ shows a peak & reversal, which signals a bearish shift in directional strength; DI- is decreasing, which signals bullish directional pressure—this divergence suggests competing directional forces rather than a clean single-direction breakout.

MACD stands at 4.85 and sits above its signal line (4.02); MACD increasing and above the signal line constitutes a bullish momentum signal and supports near-term upside.

MRO at 13.47 (positive) indicates the current price sits above the short-term regression target, implying a measured risk of price compression toward target levels despite bullish momentum.

RSI at 65.43 and increasing shows bullish momentum approaching overbought territory; momentum may persist but leaves limited upside before short-term consolidation becomes more likely.

Price structure favors the bulls: the close at $58.70 sits above the 12‑day EMA ($54.61), 20‑day average ($54.29) and well above the 200‑day average ($38.02), confirming upward pressure across short and long horizons; the super trend lower at $54.27 provides a near-term support reference.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability: EBIT equals $2.263B, with an EBIT margin of 4.53%. That margin sits below the industry peer mean of 8.65% and below the industry peer median of 5.30%, while remaining above the industry peer low of 0.77%, indicating recovery but room to close the gap to peers.

Revenue and growth: Total revenue reached $49.944B. QoQ revenue growth printed at 5.29%, while YoY revenue change shows -96.91% per the provided figure; sequential recovery appears present but year-over-year comparators reflect prior-period adjustments embedded in the data set.

Earnings and cash generation: Reported EPS of $3.37 exceeded the estimate of $2.13 by $1.24, producing an EPS surprise of 58.22%. Operating cash flow totaled $4.366B and free cash flow reached $4.166B, producing a free cash flow yield of 21.95%, notably above the industry peer mean of 2.98% and supporting a stronger cash-based valuation narrative.

Balance sheet and leverage: Cash and short-term investments total $23.741B against total debt of $16.371B. Debt to assets sits at 20.17%, below the industry peer mean of 41.94%, while debt to equity equals 0.76, slightly above the industry peer median of 0.73. Interest coverage near 13.8x signals comfortable coverage of interest expense.

Operational efficiency: Asset turnover at 0.633 is above the industry peer mean of 0.393, supporting effective revenue generation from invested assets. Cash conversion cycle stands at ~4.88 days, better than the industry peer mean of 22.40 days, indicating efficient working capital management.

Valuation: WMDST values the stock as under-valued. Market capitalization equals $18.98B with an enterprise multiple of 4.53 and a PE ratio of 11.45; those multiples and the elevated free cash flow yield underpin WMDST’s under-valued determination while operating margins still lag peer medians, suggesting upside if margin recovery continues.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-04-28
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-07-28
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 18.0 B
 Operating Cash Flow 4.4 B
 Capital Expenditures -200.00 M
 Change In Working Capital 2.5 B
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 3.4 B
 End Period Cash Flow 21.4 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 49.9 B
 Forward Revenue 4.5 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 44.4 B
 Depreciation 134.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 300.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 48.1 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 5.6 B
 EBITDA 2.6 B
 EBIT 2.3 B
 Operating Income 1.9 B
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 164.0 M
 Net Interest Income -164.00 M
 Income Before Tax 2.1 B
 Tax Provision 560.0 M
 Tax Rate 26.679 %
 Net Income 1.5 B
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 1.5 B
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 2.13
 EPS Actual 3.37
 EPS Difference 1.24
 EPS Surprise 58.216 %
 Forward EPS 1.12
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 81.2 B
 Intangible Assets 15.2 B
 Net Tangible Assets 6.2 B
 Total Current Assets 45.0 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 23.7 B
 Cash 21.3 B
 Net Receivables 19.4 B
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 2.3 B
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 16.8 B
 Short-Term Debt 63.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 40.0 B
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 16.4 B
 Total Liabilities 59.6 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 21.4 B
 Retained Earnings 10.2 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 43.57
 Shares Outstanding 493.771 M
 Revenue Per-Share 101.56
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 19.0 B
 Enterprise Value 11.6 B
 Enterprise Multiple 4.529
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -126.166 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -67.7 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 82.342
mean: 36.48
median: 33.441
low: 10.495
CNC: 4.529
 EV/R 0.232
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 3.788
 Asset To Liability 1.361
 Debt To Capital 0.433
 Debt To Assets 0.202
Debt To Assets QoQ -14.777 %
Debt To Assets YoY -4.176 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.816
mean: 0.419
median: 0.31
CNC: 0.202
low: 0.154
 Debt To Equity 0.764
Debt To Equity QoQ -16.062 %
Debt To Equity YoY 16.425 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.744
CNC: 0.764
median: 0.732
mean: -1.26
low: -7.908
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 0.886
Price To Book QoQ -12.786 %
Price To Book YoY -18.264 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 6.333
mean: 1.914
median: 1.563
CNC: 0.886
low: -0.307
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 11.452
Price To Earnings QoQ -133.072 %
Price To Earnings YoY -45.381 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 165.793
mean: 46.022
median: 35.418
CNC: 11.452
low: -6.601
 PE/G Ratio -0.03
 Price To Sales (P/S) 0.38
Price To Sales QoQ -6.753 %
Price To Sales YoY -41.438 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 8.255
mean: 2.78
median: 1.367
CNC: 0.38
low: 0.151
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 38.694
Forward PE/G -0.101
Forward P/S 4.737
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -600.746
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.633
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.019 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 14.977 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.061
CNC: 0.633
median: 0.397
mean: 0.393
low: 0.15
 Receivables Turnover 2.661
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 10.297 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 20.312 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 9.342
mean: 3.602
CNC: 2.661
median: 2.236
low: 0.645
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 34.285
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 4.878
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 101.8
mean: 22.403
median: 19.637
CNC: 4.878
low: -49.905
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 10.102
 CapEx To Revenue -0.004
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.493
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 37.7 B
 Net Invested Capital 37.8 B
 Invested Capital 37.8 B
 Net Tangible Assets 6.2 B
 Net Working Capital 4.9 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.593
 Current Ratio 1.123
Current Ratio QoQ 2.122 %
Current Ratio YoY 1.067 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 1.711
CNC: 1.123
mean: 0.959
median: 0.834
low: 0.818
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 6.387
 Cost Of Debt 0.696 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 13.799
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -268.596 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 22.432 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 17.352
CNC: 13.799
mean: 6.33
median: 6.088
low: 1.286
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.093
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 29.407
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 5.77 %
 Revenue Growth 0.44 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 528.571 %
Revenue Growth YoY -96.912 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 21.958 %
CNC: 0.44 %
mean: -0.879 %
median: -2.07 %
low: -7.833 %
 Earnings Growth -383.193 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 13.371 %
Earnings Growth YoY -245.978 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 428.571 %
mean: 48.785 %
median: -3.589 %
low: -360.354 %
CNC: -383.193 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 11.128 %
Gross Margin QoQ 124.31 %
Gross Margin YoY -0.269 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 96.442 %
mean: 34.302 %
median: 32.815 %
CNC: 11.128 %
low: 9.466 %
 EBIT Margin 4.531 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -263.87 %
EBIT Margin YoY 10.243 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 37.528 %
mean: 8.654 %
median: 5.303 %
CNC: 4.531 %
low: 0.769 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 3.726 %
Return On Sales QoQ -250.363 %
Return On Sales YoY -9.343 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 37.538 %
median: 13.864 %
mean: 10.935 %
CNC: 3.726 %
low: 1.255 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 4.2 B
 Free Cash Flow Yield 21.951 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 1886.516 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 382.97 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA CNC: 21.951 %
high: 13.5 %
mean: 2.981 %
median: 2.266 %
low: -7.715 %
 Free Cash Growth 1759.821 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -2287.825 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -716.27 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA CNC: 1759.821 %
high: 298.093 %
median: 2.874 %
mean: -24.361 %
low: -455.219 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 2.703
 Cash Flow Margin 7.456 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.417
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.952 %
Return On Assets QoQ -240.837 %
Return On Assets YoY 26.18 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.991 %
CNC: 1.952 %
mean: 1.724 %
median: 1.426 %
low: -0.44 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 5.502 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.072
Return On Equity QoQ -230.337 %
Return On Equity YoY 53.152 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.146
CNC: 0.072
mean: 0.048
median: 0.039
low: 0.002
 DuPont ROE 7.447 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 4.39 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -267.302 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 40.705 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 7.1 %
CNC: 4.39 %
mean: 3.723 %
median: 2.946 %
low: 0.635 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term bias favors continuation of the recent uptrend supported by MACD above its signal and price above short-term EMAs; ADX strength adds conviction to trending moves. Watch for consolidation risk given a positive MRO and an RSI approaching overbought levels—expect higher-probability range-bound work if price compresses toward the regression target or the $54 area (super trend lower / 20-day band). Fundamental tailwinds—notably strong free cash flow yield and a favorable cash balance—support persistence of an upward bias if operating margin recovery sustains. Short-term traders should monitor DI+ behavior for confirmation: a renewed DI+ dip-and-reverse would reinforce bullish momentum, while DI+ continuing its peak & reversal would increase the likelihood of corrective pressure.

About Centene Corporation

Centene Corporation (NYSE:CNC) delivers comprehensive healthcare services, primarily targeting under-insured and uninsured populations across the United States. Established in 1984 and based in St. Louis, Missouri, Centene develops a wide array of health plans through its Medicaid, Medicare, and Commercial segments. The Medicaid segment offers expanded health plans, children’s health insurance programs, and long-term services. In the Medicare segment, Centene addresses the needs of seniors with special needs plans, Medicare supplements, and prescription drug plans. The Commercial segment provides marketplace insurance products for individuals and businesses, ensuring extensive access to healthcare services. Centene actively participates in government healthcare contracts, including the TRICARE program for military families, highlighting its dedication to diverse communities. The company also manages clinical healthcare services, pharmacies, and provides dental and speech therapy, promoting a holistic healthcare approach. By collaborating with primary and specialty care physicians, hospitals, and ancillary providers, Centene aims to deliver personalized, high-quality care to millions of Americans, emphasizing innovation and community well-being.



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