Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (NYSE:MSGE) Poised To Extend Upside As Momentum Strengthens

MSG Entertainment shows accelerating momentum across trend indicators while fundamentals point to strong profitability and meaningful leverage — a mix that supports the WMDST valuation of the stock as under-valued and implies a near-term continuation of the upward bias, tempered by mean-reversion risk.

Recent News

March 18, 2026 — MSG Entertainment and Sphere Entertainment named Allen Lo Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer, expanding corporate legal leadership. March 29, 2026 — Garden Of Dreams Foundation announced an exclusive charity auction and a star-studded presenter lineup ahead of the Garden Of Laughs benefit at Radio City Music Hall.

Technical Analysis

Directional Indicators (ADX / DI+ / DI-): ADX at 31.66 signals a strong underlying trend. DI+ at 30.77 with an increasing trend establishes a bullish directional bias; DI- at 13.29 shows a dip-and-reversal pattern that, by itself, carries bearish implications, but DI+ dominance supports a near-term bullish price bias tied to valuation upside.

MACD: MACD reads 1.72, the signal line 1.36, and the MACD trend increases; the MACD sits above its signal line, which constitutes a bullish momentum signal that aligns with the immediate upward price bias.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO of 34.93 registers positive and materially above zero, indicating price sits above WMDST’s target and therefore carries a tendency toward mean reversion; this creates a countervailing pressure that could limit near-term gains despite bullish momentum.

RSI and Price Strength: RSI at 59.56 and rising shows constructive, non-overbought momentum. Price at $66.95 trades above the 12- and 26-day EMAs and above the 20-, 50- and 200-day averages, reinforcing trend continuation toward analyst target medians while keeping short-term pullback risk intact.

Bands, Ichimoku, Support: Price sits marginally above the 1x Bollinger upper band and above the Tenkan-Sen (64.62), with the SuperTrend lower at $63.57 acting as a nearby technical support. Elevated same-day volume versus 10/50/200-day averages supports conviction behind recent moves.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability: EBIT equals $163.96M and EBIT margin registers 35.65%, which stands above the industry peer mean (22.17%), median (24.91%), and even the peer high (32.69%). Operating margin at 35.861% and gross margin at 53.764% reinforce a high-margin operating profile that supports the current valuation.

Revenue and Earnings Trends: Total revenue reached $459.94M with YoY revenue growth of 1.91% and an asset-turnover ratio of 0.2626. EPS came in at $1.97 versus an estimate of $2.51, a $0.54 miss representing a -21.51% earnings surprise; treat the EPS miss as an earnings-period outcome rather than an operational deterioration given strong operating margins and positive YoY earnings growth of 4.995%.

Cash Flow & Valuation Signals: Free cash flow totals $156.06M with a free-cash-flow yield of 6.14%, above the industry peer mean of 0.57%, supporting WMDST’s under-valued determination. Enterprise value metrics (EVR ~7.79; enterprise multiple ~20.13) and a market capitalization of $2.543B align with a valuation profile that emphasizes strong cash generation versus book equity.

Leverage & Balance Sheet: Total debt stands at $1.195B with debt-to-assets at 65.57% and net debt of $427.98M; interest coverage near 15.73 provides ample buffer for servicing costs. Book value per share remains minimal at $0.76, producing a P/B of 70.64 which exceeds the industry peer mean of 13.64 and signals accounting book equity compression rather than operating distress.

Returns: Return on assets equals 5.29% and return on equity equals 2.57%, both positive but modest relative to the company’s high margins; return on invested capital at 15.84% indicates efficient capital use. WMDST values the stock as under-valued based on cash flow yield and enterprise multiples in the context of strong margins and positive ROIC.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-03
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-05
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 30.5 M
 Operating Cash Flow 164.4 M
 Capital Expenditures -8.33 M
 Change In Working Capital 16.6 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 127.1 M
 End Period Cash Flow 157.6 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 459.9 M
 Forward Revenue 37.7 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 212.7 M
 Depreciation 14.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 14.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 295.0 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 247.3 M
 EBITDA 177.9 M
 EBIT 164.0 M
 Operating Income 164.9 M
 Interest Income 813.0 K
 Interest Expense 10.4 M
 Net Interest Income -9.61 M
 Income Before Tax 153.5 M
 Tax Provision 60.8 M
 Tax Rate 40.0 %
 Net Income 92.7 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 92.7 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 2.51
 EPS Actual 1.97
 EPS Difference -0.54
 EPS Surprise -21.514 %
 Forward EPS 0.64
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 1.8 B
 Intangible Assets 132.8 M
 Net Tangible Assets -96.83 M
 Total Current Assets 420.1 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 157.1 M
 Cash 157.1 M
 Net Receivables 120.9 M
 Inventory 3.8 M
 Long-Term Investments 2.8 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 27.6 M
 Short-Term Debt 30.5 M
 Total Current Liabilities 618.5 M
 Net Debt 428.0 M
 Total Debt 1.2 B
 Total Liabilities 1.8 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 36.0 M
 Retained Earnings 224.1 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 0.76
 Shares Outstanding 47.274 M
 Revenue Per-Share 9.73
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 2.5 B
 Enterprise Value 3.6 B
 Enterprise Multiple 20.132
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -109.586 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 79.181 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 127.537
mean: 61.327
median: 54.791
MSGE: 20.132
low: -21.888
 EV/R 7.789
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 50.631
 Asset To Liability 1.02
 Debt To Capital 0.971
 Debt To Assets 0.656
Debt To Assets QoQ -9.369 %
Debt To Assets YoY 4171.336 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.015
MSGE: 0.656
median: 0.26
mean: 0.237
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 33.196
Debt To Equity QoQ -279.739 %
Debt To Equity YoY 1306.564 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA MSGE: 33.196
high: 6.397
mean: 0.628
median: 0.543
low: -0.569
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 70.638
Price To Book QoQ -328.787 %
Price To Book YoY -58.168 %
Price To Book IPRWA MSGE: 70.638
high: 21.787
median: 15.962
mean: 13.635
low: -1.972
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 27.316
Price To Earnings QoQ -118.416 %
Price To Earnings YoY 16.856 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 190.063
median: 179.68
mean: 134.93
MSGE: 27.316
low: -245.884
 PE/G Ratio -0.035
 Price To Sales (P/S) 5.531
Price To Sales QoQ -56.912 %
Price To Sales YoY 29.205 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 35.254
median: 35.254
mean: 27.483
MSGE: 5.531
low: 0.642
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 75.712
Forward PE/G -0.097
Forward P/S 67.401
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -3.451
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.263
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 177.892 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 3.082 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.671
MSGE: 0.263
mean: 0.222
median: 0.218
low: 0.049
 Receivables Turnover 4.553
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 112.82 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 5.57 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 15.907
median: 6.478
mean: 5.937
MSGE: 4.553
low: 1.249
 Inventory Turnover 50.723
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 107.188 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -8.398 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 97.531
median: 97.531
mean: 55.504
MSGE: 50.723
low: 6.173
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 20.043
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 5.129
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -85.175 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 156.091 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 52.471
MSGE: 5.129
median: -14.214
mean: -15.784
low: -82.149
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -2.319
 CapEx To Revenue -0.018
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.596
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 590.6 M
 Net Invested Capital 621.1 M
 Invested Capital 621.1 M
 Net Tangible Assets -96.83 M
 Net Working Capital -198.34 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.254
 Current Ratio 0.679
Current Ratio QoQ 40.804 %
Current Ratio YoY 26.299 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 3.462
mean: 1.346
median: 1.186
MSGE: 0.679
low: 0.322
 Quick Ratio 0.673
Quick Ratio QoQ 42.018 %
Quick Ratio YoY 26.586 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.656
mean: 1.605
median: 1.23
MSGE: 0.673
low: 0.299
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 6.719
 Cost Of Debt 0.519 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 15.73
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -690.22 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 47.327 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 53.302
MSGE: 15.73
mean: 14.625
median: 12.808
low: -11.957
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.131
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 18.651
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 8.546 %
 Revenue Growth 190.619 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 7023.281 %
Revenue Growth YoY -1.596 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA MSGE: 190.619 %
high: 15.22 %
median: 4.695 %
mean: 4.461 %
low: -7.315 %
 Earnings Growth -779.31 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 1486.446 %
Earnings Growth YoY 59.043 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 231.25 %
median: -5.085 %
mean: -12.071 %
low: -300.0 %
MSGE: -779.31 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 53.764 %
Gross Margin QoQ 52.237 %
Gross Margin YoY 4.137 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 87.583 %
MSGE: 53.764 %
median: 45.874 %
mean: 42.299 %
low: 7.235 %
 EBIT Margin 35.647 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -291.95 %
EBIT Margin YoY 4.995 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA MSGE: 35.647 %
high: 32.693 %
median: 24.912 %
mean: 22.169 %
low: -15.289 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 35.861 %
Return On Sales QoQ -484.321 %
Return On Sales YoY 5.626 %
Return On Sales IPRWA MSGE: 35.861 %
high: 30.945 %
median: 24.535 %
mean: 20.554 %
low: -9.632 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 156.1 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 6.135 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 799.56 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 3.3 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA MSGE: 6.135 %
high: 4.96 %
mean: 0.567 %
median: 0.441 %
low: -20.509 %
 Free Cash Growth 1026.359 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -809.885 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -349.503 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA MSGE: 1026.359 %
high: 143.75 %
mean: -21.813 %
median: -29.625 %
low: -153.391 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.683
 Cash Flow Margin 17.646 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.875
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 5.293 %
Return On Assets QoQ -509.358 %
Return On Assets YoY 11.549 %
Return On Assets IPRWA MSGE: 5.293 %
high: 4.376 %
median: 4.376 %
mean: 3.463 %
low: -1.589 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 13.607 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 2.574
Return On Equity QoQ 682.282 %
Return On Equity YoY -64.965 %
Return On Equity IPRWA MSGE: 2.574
high: 0.244
mean: 0.092
median: 0.091
low: -0.022
 DuPont ROE -622.555 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 15.84 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -472.706 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -105.778 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA MSGE: 15.84 %
high: 8.298 %
median: 6.386 %
mean: 5.66 %
low: -2.08 %

Six-Week Outlook

Momentum indicators and moving-average structure favor continuation of the upward move in the near term: ADX shows a strong trend, DI+ is increasing, MACD momentum sits above its signal, and price trades above key EMAs and moving averages. Countervailing forces include a positive MRO (price above target, bias toward mean reversion) and price near the upper Bollinger band, which raise the probability of short-lived pullbacks. Key technical support clusters around $63.57 (SuperTrend lower) and the 12-day EMA (~$64.98); upside runs toward the $76.15 mean target and the $103.32 high target would resolve the present tension between momentum and mean-reversion pressure. Monitor volume and MRO changes for signs that bullish momentum either re-accelerates or yields to corrective consolidation.

About Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (NYSE:MSGE) delivers live entertainment experiences through its extensive network of iconic venues and productions. The company produces and hosts a diverse array of events, including concerts, sporting events, family shows, and performing arts. Key venues under its management include Madison Square Garden, The Theater at Madison Square Garden, Radio City Music Hall, the Beacon Theatre, and The Chicago Theatre. MSGE also owns and produces the renowned Christmas Spectacular Starring the Radio City Rockettes, showcasing its commitment to high-quality entertainment. Additionally, the company engages in entertainment and sports bookings, offering a wide range of concerts, family shows, special events, and sporting events to audiences. Established in 2022 and headquartered in New York, New York, Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. continues to play a significant role in the live entertainment industry, leveraging its historical venues and popular productions to attract diverse audiences.



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