BJ’s Restaurants, Inc (NASDAQ:BJRI) Poised To Reaccelerate Sales While Valuation Looks Undervalued

Revenue momentum and a WMDST-determined undervaluation create a constructive near-term backdrop; operational leverage and elevated leverage metrics present the primary risk to upside realization.

Recent News

March 12, 2026 — BJ’s announced a seasonal menu launch, the Monster Pizookie, expanding promotional mix and limited-time merchandising.

April 2, 2026 — An analyst note lowered BJRI’s price target while maintaining a Neutral view, reflecting muted sentiment among sell-side coverage.

April 21, 2026 — The company filed its proxy statement setting the 2026 Annual Meeting for June 11, 2026, and disclosed governance and meeting logistics.

Late April / early May 2026 — Annual report and related filings reinforced the company’s footprint (219 restaurants as of Feb 27, 2026) and operating focus on menu innovation and craft beer.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 10.76 signals no established directional trend; directional indicators present a constructive tilt as both DI+ and DI- recently triggered reversal patterns (DI+ dip-and-reversal; DI- peak-and-reversal), which together indicate bullish directional pressure despite the weak ADX reading.

MACD sits at 0.14 with a signal line at 0.16; the MACD has recently dipped and reversed, signalling bullish momentum building, but the oscillator remains below its signal line and therefore awaits a confirmed bullish cross to validate momentum acceleration.

MRO reads 29.3 and is increasing, indicating the current price sits above the model target and that mean-reversion risk exists until momentum cools; MRO strength suggests a material over-target gap that could check near-term gains.

RSI at 49.92 has peaked and reversed, indicating near-term weakening of short-term breadth even as other momentum indicators turn constructive; this divergence points to a period of chop unless momentum indicators align.

Price sits above its 200-day average ($36.74) and slightly above the 20-day average ($38.01), with the 12-day EMA trending as a dip-and-reversal — a short-term bullish configuration. Ichimoku components show Tenkan above Kijun, supporting near-term bias, but the Senkou cloud offers mixed support with Senkou B above price.

Bollinger bands place the close near the upper 1x band, and recent volume outpaced the 10-day average while remaining below the 200-day average, which aligns with a selective participation advance rather than broad conviction.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Top line and margins: Total revenue totaled $355,399,000 with YoY revenue growth of 33.61% and QoQ change of -1.79%, indicating strong annual comps alongside some quarter-to-quarter moderation. Gross margin stands at 16.10% and YoY improved modestly.

Profitability metrics present a mixed profile. Operating income registers $11,887,000 with an operating margin of 3.345% and an EBIT margin of 3.357%. EBIT margin improved sharply QoQ (+58.95%) but sits meaningfully below the industry peer mean (≈23.006%) and median (≈17.352%), highlighting a material earnings margin gap relative to peers.

Earnings: Reported EPS was $0.66 versus an estimate of $0.62, producing an EPS surprise of +6.45%. That beat supports the recent valuation signal and shows continued ability to exceed near-term consensus. (Earnings discussed here as part of fundamentals, not in Recent News.)

Cash flow and liquidity: Free cash flow totaled $7,455,000 with a free cash flow yield of 0.86%, slightly below the industry peer mean of 1.08%. Operating cash flow reached $18,554,000, but the company maintains a working capital deficit (net working capital negative $112,850,000) and a current ratio of 0.399, both reflecting a tight near-term liquidity posture.

Leverage and coverage: Total debt stands at $490,758,000 with net debt of $61,219,000. Debt-to-equity equals 1.34 (134.0%) while interest coverage of 11.25x exceeds the industry peer mean, indicating manageable interest serviceability despite elevated nominal leverage.

Efficiency and returns: Asset turnover sits at 0.349 with return on equity of 3.45% and return on assets of 1.24%; returns improved QoQ but remain modest in absolute terms. Cash conversion cycle at -5.48 days supports short operating float.

Valuation: WMDST values the stock as under-valued. Key valuation multiples display elevated P/E and enterprise multiple context (P/E ≈ 61.88; enterprise multiple ≈ 40.47) while forward metrics compress modestly; combined with the company’s margin gap versus the industry peer mean and the positive EPS surprise, the WMDST valuation implies upside if margins and free cash flow scale toward peer norms.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-25
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-27
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 25.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow 18.6 M
 Capital Expenditures -11.10 M
 Change In Working Capital -24.63 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -1.65 M
 End Period Cash Flow 23.8 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 355.4 M
 Forward Revenue 98.8 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 298.2 M
 Depreciation 20.9 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 20.9 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 343.5 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 57.2 M
 EBITDA 32.8 M
 EBIT 11.9 M
 Operating Income 11.9 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 1.1 M
 Net Interest Income -1.06 M
 Income Before Tax 10.9 M
 Tax Provision -1.77 M
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income 12.6 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 12.6 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.62
 EPS Actual 0.66
 EPS Difference 0.04
 EPS Surprise 6.452 %
 Forward EPS 0.67
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 1.0 B
 Intangible Assets 4.7 M
 Net Tangible Assets 361.5 M
 Total Current Assets 74.9 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 23.8 M
 Cash 23.8 M
 Net Receivables 12.3 M
 Inventory 13.1 M
 Long-Term Investments 48.2 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 38.4 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 187.8 M
 Net Debt 61.2 M
 Total Debt 490.8 M
 Total Liabilities 649.3 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 366.2 M
 Retained Earnings 291.2 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 17.34
 Shares Outstanding 21.114 M
 Revenue Per-Share 16.83
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 862.4 M
 Enterprise Value 1.3 B
 Enterprise Multiple 40.468
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -32.9 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -71.035 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 130.17
median: 81.693
mean: 80.096
BJRI: 40.468
low: -2.827
 EV/R 3.74
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.773
 Asset To Liability 1.564
 Debt To Capital 0.573
 Debt To Assets 0.483
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.379 %
Debt To Assets YoY 0.505 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.609
median: 0.72
mean: 0.688
BJRI: 0.483
low: 0.019
 Debt To Equity 1.34
Debt To Equity QoQ -4.69 %
Debt To Equity YoY -0.945 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 12.912
BJRI: 1.34
mean: 0.492
median: 0.252
low: -8.585
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.355
Price To Book QoQ 19.776 %
Price To Book YoY 8.153 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 26.123
median: 6.554
BJRI: 2.355
mean: 1.526
low: -26.316
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 61.883
Price To Earnings QoQ -92.495 %
Price To Earnings YoY -18.063 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 247.068
mean: 107.66
median: 88.315
BJRI: 61.883
low: -96.27
 PE/G Ratio 0.04
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2.426
Price To Sales QoQ 14.391 %
Price To Sales YoY 3.705 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 31.537
median: 21.736
mean: 19.239
BJRI: 2.426
low: 0.273
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 54.733
Forward PE/G 0.035
Forward P/S 8.608
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 834.966
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.349
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 8.164 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 5.511 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.603
BJRI: 0.349
mean: 0.188
median: 0.123
low: 0.063
 Receivables Turnover 25.038
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 28.891 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 9.116 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 47.268
BJRI: 25.038
mean: 7.6
median: 5.657
low: 0.996
 Inventory Turnover 23.285
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.66 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 2.688 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 66.458
median: 51.345
mean: 38.884
BJRI: 23.285
low: 0.802
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 3.644
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -5.48
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -5.996 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -27.832 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 84.283
mean: 4.653
median: 2.075
BJRI: -5.48
low: -80.186
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -3.149
 CapEx To Revenue -0.031
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.531
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 451.2 M
 Net Invested Capital 451.2 M
 Invested Capital 451.2 M
 Net Tangible Assets 361.5 M
 Net Working Capital -112.85 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.127
 Current Ratio 0.399
Current Ratio QoQ 9.447 %
Current Ratio YoY -1.552 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.73
mean: 0.98
median: 0.955
BJRI: 0.399
low: 0.36
 Quick Ratio 0.329
Quick Ratio QoQ 9.733 %
Quick Ratio YoY -3.245 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.688
mean: 0.956
median: 0.941
BJRI: 0.329
low: 0.162
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 14.94
 Cost Of Debt 0.169 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 11.255
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 7135.901 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -277.13 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 21.419
BJRI: 11.255
mean: 8.582
median: 5.827
low: -12.905
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.16
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 13.17
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.645 %
 Revenue Growth 7.645 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -178.863 %
Revenue Growth YoY 33.607 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 27.02 %
BJRI: 7.645 %
median: -1.058 %
mean: -1.259 %
low: -38.858 %
 Earnings Growth 1550.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -1716.672 %
Earnings Growth YoY -435.834 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA BJRI: 1550.0 %
high: 256.238 %
median: -8.333 %
mean: -9.339 %
low: -219.355 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 16.096 %
Gross Margin QoQ 28.603 %
Gross Margin YoY 4.798 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 82.469 %
mean: 40.029 %
median: 39.908 %
BJRI: 16.096 %
low: -4.539 %
 EBIT Margin 3.357 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 5894.643 %
EBIT Margin YoY -223.601 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 58.736 %
mean: 23.006 %
median: 17.352 %
BJRI: 3.357 %
low: -35.819 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 3.345 %
Return On Sales QoQ -2713.281 %
Return On Sales YoY -223.159 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 45.049 %
mean: 23.579 %
median: 18.17 %
BJRI: 3.345 %
low: -37.15 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 7.5 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.864 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 68.093 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -55.828 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 7.195 %
mean: 1.076 %
BJRI: 0.864 %
median: 0.802 %
low: -9.377 %
 Free Cash Growth 106.911 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -216.968 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 0.386 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 149.518 %
BJRI: 106.911 %
mean: -9.128 %
median: -31.246 %
low: -365.169 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.59
 Cash Flow Margin 8.453 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.376
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.241 %
Return On Assets QoQ 2657.778 %
Return On Assets YoY -345.257 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 6.953 %
mean: 2.313 %
median: 1.828 %
BJRI: 1.241 %
low: -1.777 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.441 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.035
Return On Equity QoQ 2535.878 %
Return On Equity YoY -342.656 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.437
median: 0.035
BJRI: 0.035
mean: 0.024
low: -0.363
 DuPont ROE 3.5 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.089 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 6230.303 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -234.168 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 20.375 %
mean: 6.432 %
median: 6.096 %
BJRI: 2.089 %
low: -5.359 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a conditional, momentum-driven range: technicals favor constructive continuation if MACD completes a cross above its signal line and MRO begins to contract from current levels; those developments would align price above short-term averages and support testing of higher analyst targets. Offsetting that path, RSI’s recent peak-and-reversal and the positive MRO signal that price sits above model targets create a mean-reversion risk zone. Liquidity metrics and elevated leverage keep implied volatility elevated, so price action likely stays choppy until a confirmed MACD bullish cross or a clear improvement in cash flow yield and margins.

About BJ’s Restaurants, Inc.

BJ’s Restaurants, Inc. (NASDAQ:BJRI) delivers a distinctive dining experience in the American casual dining sector. Established in 1978 and based in Huntington Beach, California, BJ’s Restaurants have built a reputation for their inviting atmosphere and diverse culinary offerings. The company crafts a menu that includes its signature deep-dish pizzas, a variety of entrees, and their renowned Pizookie dessert. BJ’s places a strong emphasis on quality ingredients and innovative dishes to cater to a wide range of palates. Beyond food, BJ’s Restaurants also brew a selection of handcrafted beers in-house, enhancing the dining experience with unique beverage options. This dedication to craft beer complements their culinary offerings and attracts beer enthusiasts. BJ’s Restaurants consistently expand their presence across the United States, adapting to changing consumer preferences while maintaining a commitment to exceptional service. The company creates family-friendly environments that appeal to a broad audience, including families, friends, and food lovers. Through their focus on quality, innovation, and customer satisfaction, BJ’s Restaurants continue to thrive in the competitive casual dining landscape.



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