Trip.com Group Limited (NASDAQ:TCOM) Poised For Near-Term Stabilization Despite Regulatory Scrutiny

Trip.com Group shows operational strength and an undervalued WMDST valuation, but recent regulatory and governance headlines create a narrow window for price consolidation. Technical indicators point to limited trend strength and mixed short-term momentum.

Recent News

On February 25, 2026 the company released unaudited fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results. On February 26, 2026 Trip.com announced that founders Fan Min and Ji Qi resigned from the board and new independent directors joined. On April 14, 2026 the company disclosed receipt of a notice of investigation from China’s State Administration for Market Regulation. Several firms issued shareholder-class-action reminders with May filing deadlines in April 2026.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show no clear trend: ADX at 17.12 signals no established trend, limiting conviction for sustained directional moves and favoring sideways action against the current valuation.

Both DI+ and DI- display reversal patterns that imply short-term bullish pressure: DI+ shows a dip-and-reversal (DI+ increasing) while DI- shows a peak-and-reversal (DI- decreasing), a configuration that supports momentary upside attempts but not a strong trending advance.

MACD registered a peak-and-reversal (bearish momentum), though the MACD level (0.21) sits above its signal line (0.10), indicating recent momentum loss after a short-lived bullish phase; expect momentum to remain fragile relative to the WMDST valuation backdrop.

MRO at 5.82 (positive and modest) indicates the price sits modestly above the model target and therefore carries a mild downward bias if momentum fades; the strength is weak, so any mean reversion should be limited in magnitude.

RSI at 46.15 with a peak-and-reversal reads as mild bearish momentum; combined with the 12-day EMA peaking and reversing, short-term pressure likely persists until price reclaims the 20-day average at $53.80.

Price sits at $52.81 near the lower Bollinger band ($52.77) and below the 20-day average, which constrains immediate downside but leaves upside capped by the super-trend upper level at $55.24 and the 200-day average at $64.43. Volume remains roughly in line with recent averages, offering no clear breakout fuel.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and margins: EBIT at $5,251,000,000 produces an EBIT margin of 34.10%, above the industry peer mean (13.73%) and median (12.79%) and below the industry peer high (42.40%). QoQ, EBIT margin fell by 73.14%; YoY, EBIT margin improved by 62.11%, indicating volatile near-term margin swings but materially stronger year-over-year operating profitability.

Revenue and growth: Total revenue totaled $15,398,000,000 with reported revenue growth of -16.03% and revenue growth YoY reported at -166.03%. Earnings growth shows a QoQ contraction of 128.99% but a YoY increase of 63.00%, reflecting large sequential variability around a stronger annual comparison.

Liquidity and leverage: Cash stands at $39,848,000,000 and cash and short-term investments at $71,855,000,000, supporting a current ratio of 1.55 and a cash ratio of 0.92. Total debt of $31,614,000,000 produces debt-to-assets of 11.82% and debt-to-EBITDA of 6.02x; interest coverage runs at 45.66x, indicating substantial capacity to service debt.

Market multiples and WMDST valuation: Reported EPS of $4.97 exceeded estimate $4.67, a 6.42% EPS surprise. Trailing P/E stands at 12.89 and P/B at 0.24; forward P/E reads higher at about 61.56 driven by lower forward EPS. WMDST values the stock as under-valued, a view that aligns with conservative multiples versus capital and cash metrics.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-25
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-27
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow
 Operating Cash Flow 4.4 B
 Capital Expenditures
 Change In Working Capital -4.28 B
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta
 End Period Cash Flow
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 15.4 B
 Forward Revenue 680.5 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 3.2 B
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development 4.0 B
 Total Operating Expenses 11.5 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 12.2 B
 EBITDA 5.3 B
 EBIT 5.3 B
 Operating Income 3.9 B
 Interest Income 679.0 M
 Interest Expense 115.0 M
 Net Interest Income 564.0 M
 Income Before Tax 5.1 B
 Tax Provision 835.0 M
 Tax Rate 16.258 %
 Net Income 4.3 B
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 4.3 B
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 4.67
 EPS Actual 4.97
 EPS Difference 0.30
 EPS Surprise 6.424 %
 Forward EPS 1.17
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 267.4 B
 Intangible Assets 75.3 B
 Net Tangible Assets 95.7 B
 Total Current Assets 121.0 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 71.9 B
 Cash 39.8 B
 Net Receivables 15.2 B
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 49.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 19.1 B
 Short-Term Debt 19.3 B
 Total Current Liabilities 78.2 B
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 31.6 B
 Total Liabilities 94.8 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 170.9 B
 Retained Earnings 76.6 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 261.68
 Shares Outstanding 649.584 M
 Revenue Per-Share 23.57
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 41.9 B
 Enterprise Value 1.6 B
 Enterprise Multiple 0.307
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -382.204 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -88.381 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 218.425
mean: 73.821
median: 54.381
TCOM: 0.307
low: -170.05
 EV/R 0.105
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.564
 Asset To Liability 2.821
 Debt To Capital 0.156
 Debt To Assets 0.118
Debt To Assets QoQ 0.169 %
Debt To Assets YoY -28.871 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.249
mean: 0.168
median: 0.14
TCOM: 0.118
low: 0.007
 Debt To Equity 0.185
Debt To Equity QoQ -2.581 %
Debt To Equity YoY -34.621 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.351
median: 0.253
mean: 0.21
TCOM: 0.185
low: -3.459
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 0.245
Price To Book QoQ -10.454 %
Price To Book YoY -20.078 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 24.873
mean: 4.301
median: 2.768
TCOM: 0.245
low: -14.242
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 12.89
Price To Earnings QoQ 401.755 %
Price To Earnings YoY -16.112 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 224.995
mean: 61.453
median: 21.251
TCOM: 12.89
low: -221.643
 PE/G Ratio -0.157
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2.718
Price To Sales QoQ 8.371 %
Price To Sales YoY -20.675 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 26.155
mean: 10.622
median: 10.103
TCOM: 2.718
low: 0.013
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 61.557
Forward PE/G -0.751
Forward P/S 61.099
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 4.831
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.057
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -18.354 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 9.36 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.018
mean: 0.22
median: 0.199
low: 0.107
TCOM: 0.057
 Receivables Turnover 0.975
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -18.233 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 0.6 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 55.301
mean: 7.135
median: 3.311
TCOM: 0.975
low: 0.82
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 93.588
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 152.367
TCOM: 0
mean: -38.879
median: -48.654
low: -234.398
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.359
 CapEx To Revenue
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 182.4 B
 Net Invested Capital 201.7 B
 Invested Capital 201.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets 95.7 B
 Net Working Capital 42.9 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.919
 Current Ratio 1.549
Current Ratio QoQ 4.312 %
Current Ratio YoY 2.221 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 4.195
TCOM: 1.549
median: 1.331
mean: 1.319
low: 0.114
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 6.021
 Cost Of Debt 0.437 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 45.661
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -64.108 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 450.11 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 50.5
TCOM: 45.661
mean: 22.274
median: 10.337
low: -23.347
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.056
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 533.795
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -1.179 %
 Revenue Growth -16.032 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -168.088 %
Revenue Growth YoY -166.03 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 51.954 %
median: 14.951 %
mean: 14.657 %
TCOM: -16.032 %
low: -40.64 %
 Earnings Growth -81.967 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -128.986 %
Earnings Growth YoY 63.002 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 309.709 %
median: 42.564 %
mean: 40.204 %
TCOM: -81.967 %
low: -450.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 78.958 %
Gross Margin QoQ -3.336 %
Gross Margin YoY -0.411 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 90.408 %
TCOM: 78.958 %
median: 48.469 %
mean: 45.162 %
low: 14.291 %
 EBIT Margin 34.102 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -73.139 %
EBIT Margin YoY 62.105 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 42.403 %
TCOM: 34.102 %
mean: 13.729 %
median: 12.786 %
low: -40.164 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 25.166 %
Return On Sales QoQ -17.206 %
Return On Sales YoY 19.627 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 31.974 %
TCOM: 25.166 %
median: 11.705 %
mean: 10.705 %
low: -34.176 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF)
 Free Cash Flow Yield
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA
 Free Cash Growth
Free Cash Growth QoQ
Free Cash Growth YoY
Free Cash Growth IPRWA
 Free Cash To Net Income
 Cash Flow Margin 28.478 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.024
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.592 %
Return On Assets QoQ -79.069 %
Return On Assets YoY 79.684 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 8.14 %
median: 2.742 %
mean: 1.992 %
TCOM: 1.592 %
low: -11.211 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 2.775 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.025
Return On Equity QoQ -78.821 %
Return On Equity YoY 65.499 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.249
median: 0.042
mean: 0.029
TCOM: 0.025
low: -0.636
 DuPont ROE 2.525 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.18 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -78.145 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 90.559 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 13.791 %
median: 4.659 %
mean: 3.474 %
TCOM: 2.18 %
low: -27.576 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a period of consolidation with limited directional conviction. Regulatory attention and recent governance changes increase headline sensitivity, which should keep volatility contained near current bands unless new material developments appear. Technicals favor range-bound movement between near-term resistance around $55–$56 and support near the lower Bollinger band and the $51.22 price-target mean; momentum indicators lean mild bearish to neutral. Liquidity and strong coverage metrics reduce risk of financial stress, supporting a scenario where price stabilizes rather than trends decisively higher over the next six weeks.

About Trip.com Group Limited

Trip.com Group Limited (NASDAQ:TCOM) delivers comprehensive travel services through its subsidiaries, catering to both domestic and international markets. The company manages accommodation reservations and transportation ticketing, including air, train, long-distance bus, and ferry services. Trip.com Group also provides travel insurance products covering flight delays, air accidents, and baggage loss. In addition, the company facilitates bundled packaged-tour products for independent leisure travelers, offering group, semi-group, and customized tours with diverse transportation options such as air travel, cruises, buses, and car rentals. It enhances travel experiences with integrated transportation and accommodation services, destination transportation, activity tickets, insurance, visa, and tour guide services. For corporate clients, Trip.com Group delivers business visit arrangements, incentive trips, meetings, conferences, travel data analysis, and industry benchmarking solutions. The Corporate Travel Management System offers an online platform for information management, booking, authorization, inquiries, and travel reporting. Trip.com Group also engages in online advertising and financial services, providing marketing planning and travel media services. The company operates under the Ctrip, Qunar, Trip.com, and Skyscanner brands, having been founded in 1999 and based in Singapore.



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