M/I Homes, Inc. (NYSE:MHO) Projects Near-Term Pressure Despite WMDST Valuation Edge

M/I Homes enters the near term with operating and margin compression offset by strong liquidity and a WMDST valuation that classifies the stock as under-valued; technical setup signals limited trend strength and mixed momentum for price action.

Recent News

April 10, 2026 — Notice of the 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders and proxy materials posted; meeting logistics and board matters highlighted. March 12, 2026 — An official municipal district statement noted M/I Homes as the active homebuilder within a Texas development, specifying project status and delivery counts through early 2026.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show no strong trend: ADX sits at 19.73, indicating a lack of durable directional strength and implying price likely remains range-bound until trend strength increases. DI+ currently measures 25.63 with a peak-and-reversal reading, which signals waning bullish pressure; DI- at 21.52 shows a dip-and-reversal, signaling rising bearish pressure. Together, these readings bias short-term price momentum to the downside absent renewed DI+ strength.

MACD currently sits at 1.14 with the signal line at 0.24, which constitutes a bullish crossover historically, yet the MACD trend reads peak-and-reversal; the coexistence of a positive crossover and a peak-and-reversal suggests the recent bullish momentum may be rolling over and any bullish MACD signal risks failing without renewed upward momentum.

MRO registers 17.8 and reads peak-and-reversal. Because MRO is positive, price sits above the model target and the indicator implies net downside pressure toward target levels unless the oscillator dips. RSI at 48.38 and rising points to neutral-to-slightly constructive short-term momentum but lacks the level needed for a clear bullish bias.

Price structure: last close $130.09 sits above the 20-day average ($129.25) but below the 200-day average ($134.19), indicating short-term support around the 20–50 day band while longer-term bias remains below the 200-day mean. Ichimoku components place Senkou A at $133.29 and Senkou B at $135.00, leaving the price beneath the cloud and implying resistance in the low-$130s. Bollinger bands range roughly $123.45–$135.05 (1x), with current price centered inside the band—consistent with the ADX reading of no strong trend.

Volatility and liquidity context: 42-day beta 1.34 and 52-week beta 1.05 show elevated sensitivity to market moves over the near term; volume recently tracks below the 10- and 50-day averages, suggesting thinner conviction behind recent moves.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings and revenue: Reported EPS of $2.55 beat the estimate of $2.51 by $0.04, an EPS surprise of 1.59%, while total revenue came in at $920.7M. Operating income totaled $86.1M and net income $67.8M for the period, with operating (EBIT) margin at 9.35% and gross margin at 22.00%. These results reflect margin compression versus the year-ago period: operating margin declined by 35.25% YoY and by 6.52% QoQ.

Profitability and returns: Return on equity measures 2.13% and return on assets 1.42%, both showing large YoY declines (ROE down ~42.57% YoY, ROA down ~41.77% YoY), indicating near-term pressure on capital efficiency despite positive absolute returns. EBIT/operating margin at 9.35% sits above the industry peer mean operating margin of roughly 5.10% and above the industry peer median of 6.50%, providing a relative profitability edge versus peers on a margin basis.

Balance sheet and liquidity: Cash and short-term investments total $767.4M with a cash ratio of 2.79 and a current ratio of 16.09, both materially above the industry peer mean (current ratio mean ~6.37), indicating ample short-term liquidity and strong capacity to fund development or weather cyclical strains. Net debt stands at $189.4M and debt-to-equity at 0.317, maintaining conservative leverage metrics by homebuilder standards; interest coverage near 12.9x supports low solvency risk.

Working capital and operations: Inventory sits at $3.315B and a cash conversion cycle of ~316 days exceeds the industry peer mean of ~158 days, signalling a materially longer convert-to-cash profile typical for a large land-and-build homebuilder but one that elevates working-capital intensity. Asset turnover registers 19.25% and trended lower QoQ and YoY, consistent with revenue and delivery cadence shifts.

Valuation and cash flow: Price-to-earnings sits near 50.66 with forward PE around 34.31; price-to-book near 1.04 and free-cash-flow yield roughly 4.10%. WMDST values the stock as under-valued given the combination of above-peer operating margin, substantial liquidity, and a cash-generative free-cash-flow profile, though the valuation reflects expected near-term earnings headwinds and capital intensity.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-04-22
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-07-22
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 689.2 M
 Operating Cash Flow 135.7 M
 Capital Expenditures -154.00 K
 Change In Working Capital 14.9 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 78.2 M
 End Period Cash Flow 767.4 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 920.7 M
 Forward Revenue 335.6 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 718.1 M
 Depreciation 4.1 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 4.4 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 834.6 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 202.6 M
 EBITDA 90.5 M
 EBIT 86.1 M
 Operating Income 86.1 M
 Interest Income 3.1 M
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income 3.1 M
 Income Before Tax 89.2 M
 Tax Provision 21.3 M
 Tax Rate 23.93 %
 Net Income 67.8 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 67.8 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 2.51
 EPS Actual 2.55
 EPS Difference 0.04
 EPS Surprise 1.594 %
 Forward EPS 3.87
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 4.8 B
 Intangible Assets 16.4 M
 Net Tangible Assets 3.2 B
 Total Current Assets 4.4 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 767.4 M
 Cash 767.4 M
 Net Receivables
 Inventory 3.3 B
 Long-Term Investments 185.8 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 215.8 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 275.3 M
 Net Debt 189.4 M
 Total Debt 1.0 B
 Total Liabilities 1.6 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 3.2 B
 Retained Earnings 3.3 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 124.75
 Shares Outstanding 25.590 M
 Revenue Per-Share 35.98
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 3.3 B
 Enterprise Value 3.6 B
 Enterprise Multiple 39.242
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 22.374 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 68.317 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 116.565
mean: 62.736
median: 57.842
MHO: 39.242
low: -118.214
 EV/R 3.856
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.5
 Asset To Liability 3.0
 Debt To Capital 0.241
 Debt To Assets 0.211
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.995 %
Debt To Assets YoY -1.372 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.454
median: 0.279
mean: 0.276
MHO: 0.211
low: 0.125
 Debt To Equity 0.317
Debt To Equity QoQ -2.567 %
Debt To Equity YoY -3.006 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.328
mean: 0.559
median: 0.545
MHO: 0.317
low: 0.166
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.036
Price To Book QoQ -5.747 %
Price To Book YoY -1.84 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 2.383
mean: 1.471
MHO: 1.036
median: 1.019
low: 0.533
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 50.662
Price To Earnings QoQ -8.988 %
Price To Earnings YoY 70.204 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 163.31
mean: 84.288
median: 78.468
MHO: 50.662
low: -11.736
 PE/G Ratio 7.567
 Price To Sales (P/S) 3.591
Price To Sales QoQ 18.42 %
Price To Sales YoY 10.504 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 4.265
median: 4.004
mean: 3.658
MHO: 3.591
low: 0.929
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 34.307
Forward PE/G 5.124
Forward P/S 9.85
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 1.265
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.193
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -19.908 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -9.916 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.39
mean: 0.204
MHO: 0.193
median: 0.189
low: 0.116
 Receivables Turnover
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Inventory Turnover 0.217
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -19.973 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -7.78 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.338
mean: 0.344
MHO: 0.217
median: 0.16
low: 0.155
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 315.875
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 595.457
MHO: 315.875
mean: 158.44
median: 59.459
low: 24.92
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.222
 CapEx To Revenue -0.0
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.038
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 4.1 B
 Net Invested Capital 4.1 B
 Invested Capital 4.1 B
 Net Tangible Assets 3.2 B
 Net Working Capital 4.2 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 2.788
 Current Ratio 16.088
Current Ratio QoQ -14.817 %
Current Ratio YoY 17.275 %
Current Ratio IPRWA MHO: 16.088
high: 15.178
mean: 6.368
median: 3.242
low: 1.659
 Quick Ratio 4.044
Quick Ratio QoQ -12.535 %
Quick Ratio YoY 14.269 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA MHO: 4.044
high: 2.567
mean: 1.461
median: 1.177
low: 0.585
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 11.183
 Cost Of Debt 0.498 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 12.884
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -24.983 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -38.928 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 200.692
mean: 54.882
MHO: 12.884
median: 6.082
low: -16.158
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.367
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 20.137
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 0.236 %
 Revenue Growth -19.75 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -1540.554 %
Revenue Growth YoY 3.865 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 12.753 %
median: -9.393 %
mean: -15.942 %
MHO: -19.75 %
low: -45.05 %
 Earnings Growth 6.695 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -117.153 %
Earnings Growth YoY -143.196 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 30.435 %
MHO: 6.695 %
mean: -25.846 %
median: -28.333 %
low: -97.143 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 22.004 %
Gross Margin QoQ 1.88 %
Gross Margin YoY -15.033 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 100.0 %
mean: 22.638 %
MHO: 22.004 %
median: 17.524 %
low: 11.098 %
 EBIT Margin 9.348 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -6.52 %
EBIT Margin YoY -35.254 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA MHO: 9.348 %
high: 6.525 %
median: 6.503 %
mean: 5.099 %
low: -37.813 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 9.348 %
Return On Sales QoQ -6.52 %
Return On Sales YoY -35.254 %
Return On Sales IPRWA MHO: 9.348 %
high: 6.003 %
median: 5.883 %
mean: 4.494 %
low: -37.916 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 135.6 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 4.101 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -1199.464 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 104.641 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 18.514 %
MHO: 4.101 %
mean: 0.362 %
median: -0.295 %
low: -11.415 %
 Free Cash Growth -1145.796 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 775.596 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 2923.368 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 159.804 %
mean: -88.263 %
median: -113.735 %
low: -356.13 %
MHO: -1145.796 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.999
 Cash Flow Margin 10.981 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.49
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.418 %
Return On Assets QoQ 5.821 %
Return On Assets YoY -41.766 %
Return On Assets IPRWA MHO: 1.418 %
high: 1.07 %
median: 0.777 %
mean: 0.71 %
low: -3.949 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.907 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.021
Return On Equity QoQ 5.198 %
Return On Equity YoY -42.568 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.03
MHO: 0.021
mean: 0.014
median: 0.013
low: -0.068
 DuPont ROE 2.134 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 1.578 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -28.305 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -42.177 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 2.102 %
MHO: 1.578 %
median: 1.261 %
mean: 1.184 %
low: -6.4 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a low-momentum environment with structural downside bias unless technical trend strength returns. The lack of ADX-confirmed trend, DI+/DI- readings that favor sellers, a positive but peaking MACD, and an MRO above target collectively point toward range-bound trading with possible pullbacks into the low-$120s if selling accelerates; any decisive move above the mid-$130s, confirmed by rising ADX and renewed DI+ strength, would shift the outlook. Liquidity and healthy cash reserves reduce the probability of fundamental stress, but margin compression and a long cash conversion cycle may keep price action muted until clearer demand signs appear.

About M/I Homes, Inc.

M/I Homes, Inc. (NYSE:MHO) constructs and sells single-family residential homes across several U.S. states, including Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Minnesota, Michigan, Florida, Texas, North Carolina, and Tennessee. The company operates through its Northern Homebuilding, Southern Homebuilding, and Financial Services segments. M/I Homes designs and markets single-family homes and attached townhomes under its brand, catering to a diverse range of buyers such as first-time purchasers, millennials, move-up buyers, empty-nesters, multi-generational families, and those seeking luxury homes. In addition to home construction, M/I Homes acquires undeveloped land to develop into residential lots, both for its own projects and for sale to other developers. The company also provides financial services, including mortgage origination and sales, and acts as a title insurance agent, offering title insurance policies, examination, and closing services to its homebuyers. Founded in 1976, M/I Homes maintains its headquarters in Columbus, Ohio.



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