Newmont Corporation (NYSE:NEM) Navigates Near-Term Technical Weakness Despite Undervalued Fundamentals

Near-term technical signals point to pressure while company fundamentals and WMDST valuation indicate material intrinsic strength. The setup suggests consolidation with fundamental upside potential if momentum indicators turn constructive.

Recent News

Feb 19, 2026 — Newmont reported 2025 mineral reserves at 118.2 million attributable gold ounces and 12.5 million tonnes of copper, reflecting portfolio changes including divestments.

Feb 16, 2026 — Newmont secured a supply agreement to purchase roughly one-third of Papua New Guinea’s planned domestic quicklime output beginning in 2026.

Apr 24, 2026 — Company announced an estimated ordinary distribution of $0.26 per share for the quarter ending March 31, 2026, payable June 22, 2026.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 14.18 indicates no trend strength; directional movement measures show pressure as DI+ registered a peak-and-reversal while DI- produced a dip-and-reversal, a combination that reads bearish for near-term directional conviction.

MACD sits at -0.01 below its signal line (0.32) with a peak-and-reversal pattern, which signals bearish momentum and no bullish MACD cross to support immediate upside.

MRO stands at 6.71 and shows a dip-and-reversal; the MRO positive reading signals price presently sits above the WMDST target and therefore exhibits downward potential until regression narrows.

RSI at 50.3 with a peak-and-reversal implies stalled momentum near neutral territory but leaning toward downside pressure rather than renewed strength.

Price sits below the 20-day and 50-day averages (20-day: $114.36; 50-day: $114.12) while remaining above the 200-day average ($95.14). The 12-day EMA shows a peak-and-reversal near $112.89, placing the market under short-term resistance but supported by longer-term trend exposure.

Ichimoku components place Tenkan at $114.39 and Kijun at $108.17; with the last close at $107.61, price trades just beneath the Kijun, implying short-term vulnerability with a nearby support band near the super-trend lower level at $106.45. Bollinger boundaries span roughly $104.93 (lower 2x) to $123.79 (upper 2x), indicating current compression in a mid-volatility range.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $7,307,000,000 with operating income of $4,485,000,000 and EBIT of $4,622,000,000; WMDST records an EBIT margin near 63.25%, substantially above the industry peer mean of 10.57% and well outside the industry peer range provided, reflecting unusually high operating profitability by comparison.

Net income reached $3,262,000,000 while free cash flow amounted to $3,144,000,000, producing a free cash flow yield of 2.62%, above the industry peer mean of 0.64% for the metric and reinforcing strong cash generation on a market-cap of $120,009,481,130.

EPS came in at $2.90 versus an estimate of $2.17, generating an EPS surprise of +33.64%, which supports the elevated profitability measures and the company’s capacity to fund distributions and capital allocation moves.

Balance sheet metrics show cash and short-term investments of $8,779,000,000, total debt of $5,532,000,000, debt-to-EBITDA of 1.05, and an interest coverage ratio near 118.5—together indicating low leverage and strong debt service capacity relative to earnings.

Liquidity and working capital remain healthy: current ratio of 2.44 and quick ratio of 1.95. Return on equity of 9.34% and return on invested capital of 7.97% reflect profitable capital deployment with positive year-over-year lifts across returns.

Top-line growth shows mixed timing: reported revenue growth of 7.17% (annual framing) contrasts with a sharp quarter-over-quarter decline of -69.38%, and a year-over-year revenue change of -163.14% in the provided QoQ/YoY fields; those period-to-period swings warrant monitoring through the coming reports for normalization. Earnings growth recorded at 15.08% while free cash growth shows decline metrics on recent quarter comparisons.

Capital allocation developments: the company publicly confirmed increased share repurchase authorization and continued distributions alongside the first-quarter reports, reflecting active return-of-capital initiatives concurrent with the strong cash position.

Valuation context: enterprise-value-to-revenue (EVR) stands near 15.98 with an enterprise multiple around 22.22 and trailing PE about 38.57x; forward PE approximates 40.17x. Given robust free cash flow generation, low leverage, and a WMDST assessment that the security trades under-valued, valuation appears stretched on earnings multiples but supported by cash metrics and superior margins.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-04-23
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-07-23
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 7.7 B
 Operating Cash Flow 3.8 B
 Capital Expenditures -641.00 M
 Change In Working Capital -202.00 M
 Dividends Paid -282.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta 1.1 B
 End Period Cash Flow 8.8 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 7.3 B
 Forward Revenue 1.7 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 2.6 B
 Depreciation 632.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 632.0 M
 Research and Development 45.0 M
 Total Operating Expenses 2.8 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 4.7 B
 EBITDA 5.3 B
 EBIT 4.6 B
 Operating Income 4.5 B
 Interest Income 84.0 M
 Interest Expense 39.0 M
 Net Interest Income 45.0 M
 Income Before Tax 4.6 B
 Tax Provision 1.4 B
 Tax Rate 31.0 %
 Net Income 3.3 B
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 3.3 B
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 2.17
 EPS Actual 2.90
 EPS Difference 0.73
 EPS Surprise 33.641 %
 Forward EPS 2.83
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 57.7 B
 Intangible Assets 2.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets 32.3 B
 Total Current Assets 13.5 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 8.8 B
 Cash 8.8 B
 Net Receivables 1.1 B
 Inventory 2.7 B
 Long-Term Investments 4.0 B
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 828.0 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 5.5 B
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 5.5 B
 Total Liabilities 22.6 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 34.9 B
 Retained Earnings 5.0 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 32.55
 Shares Outstanding 1.073 B
 Revenue Per-Share 6.81
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 120.0 B
 Enterprise Value 116.8 B
 Enterprise Multiple 22.224
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -23.917 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 24.321 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 41.742
median: 41.742
NEM: 22.224
mean: -79.866
low: -349.904
 EV/R 15.98
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.651
 Asset To Liability 2.555
 Debt To Capital 0.137
 Debt To Assets 0.096
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.952 %
Debt To Assets YoY -33.308 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.383
median: 0.352
mean: 0.32
NEM: 0.096
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.158
Debt To Equity QoQ -4.024 %
Debt To Equity YoY -38.025 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.219
median: 0.763
mean: 0.685
NEM: 0.158
low: 0.001
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 3.436
Price To Book QoQ -1.26 %
Price To Book YoY 102.917 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 9.819
mean: 4.293
NEM: 3.436
median: 1.748
low: 1.223
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 38.567
Price To Earnings QoQ -10.196 %
Price To Earnings YoY 2.064 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 59.841
median: 59.841
NEM: 38.567
mean: -14.864
low: -165.681
 PE/G Ratio 2.558
 Price To Sales (P/S) 16.424
Price To Sales QoQ -4.987 %
Price To Sales YoY 55.505 %
Price To Sales IPRWA NEM: 16.424
high: 7.057
mean: 3.713
median: 3.613
low: 1.889
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 40.168
Forward PE/G 2.664
Forward P/S 72.981
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 5.711
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.127
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 4.387 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 42.135 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.413
mean: 0.144
low: 0.141
median: 0.141
NEM: 0.127
 Receivables Turnover 6.631
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 2.796 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 28.577 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA NEM: 6.631
high: 2.396
median: 2.161
mean: 2.151
low: 1.406
 Inventory Turnover 0.951
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -9.233 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -21.241 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.777
median: 1.777
mean: 1.768
NEM: 0.951
low: 0.943
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 13.762
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 77.437
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 2.547 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 29.09 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 87.054
median: 87.054
NEM: 77.437
mean: -14716.892
low: -48791.375
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.916
 CapEx To Revenue -0.088
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.014
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 40.0 B
 Net Invested Capital 40.0 B
 Invested Capital 40.0 B
 Net Tangible Assets 32.3 B
 Net Working Capital 8.0 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.587
 Current Ratio 2.443
Current Ratio QoQ 6.79 %
Current Ratio YoY 23.413 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 88.72
mean: 28.781
NEM: 2.443
low: 2.384
median: 2.384
 Quick Ratio 1.952
Quick Ratio QoQ 7.472 %
Quick Ratio YoY 25.298 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.402
NEM: 1.952
mean: 0.657
low: 0.634
median: 0.634
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 1.053
 Cost Of Debt 0.484 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 118.513
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 19.272 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 267.157 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA NEM: 118.513
high: 6.722
median: 3.681
mean: 1.873
low: -3.498
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.689
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 27.863
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 11.567
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.086
 Dividend Rate 0.26
 Dividend Yield 0.002
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 0.961 %
 Revenue Growth 7.172 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -69.383 %
Revenue Growth YoY -163.139 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 19.139 %
NEM: 7.172 %
mean: -3.73 %
median: -3.843 %
low: -13.852 %
 Earnings Growth 15.079 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -68.166 %
Earnings Growth YoY -240.741 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 144.444 %
mean: 15.717 %
NEM: 15.079 %
low: -36.957 %
median: -36.957 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 64.842 %
Gross Margin QoQ 7.149 %
Gross Margin YoY 40.57 %
Gross Margin IPRWA NEM: 64.842 %
high: 32.848 %
median: 32.848 %
mean: 32.504 %
low: 9.553 %
 EBIT Margin 63.254 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 31.524 %
EBIT Margin YoY 24.276 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA NEM: 63.254 %
high: 13.903 %
median: 10.651 %
mean: 10.569 %
low: 3.952 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 61.379 %
Return On Sales QoQ 5.305 %
Return On Sales YoY 20.592 %
Return On Sales IPRWA NEM: 61.379 %
high: 13.329 %
median: 11.263 %
mean: 11.158 %
low: 3.928 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 3.1 B
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.62 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 9.761 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 15.064 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 3.277 %
NEM: 2.62 %
mean: 0.641 %
median: 0.566 %
low: -2.166 %
 Free Cash Growth 11.767 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -85.116 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -144.665 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 18.557 %
NEM: 11.767 %
median: -44.668 %
mean: -60.086 %
low: -234.051 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.964
 Cash Flow Margin 52.183 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.169
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 5.683 %
Return On Assets QoQ 144.22 %
Return On Assets YoY 68.086 %
Return On Assets IPRWA NEM: 5.683 %
high: 2.334 %
median: 0.989 %
mean: -0.423 %
low: -12.91 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 8.865 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.093
Return On Equity QoQ 143.166 %
Return On Equity YoY 54.329 %
Return On Equity IPRWA NEM: 0.093
high: 0.071
median: 0.021
mean: 0.008
low: -0.1
 DuPont ROE 9.484 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 7.972 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 19.97 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 63.73 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA NEM: 7.972 %
high: 3.834 %
mean: 1.965 %
median: 1.645 %
low: -2.913 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term outlook favors consolidation with downside bias until momentum indicators register a clear reversal. Technical compression between the 200-day support and the 20/50-day resistance suggests range-bound action absent a fresh MACD or DI shift; watch for confirmation of MACD turning up or DI+ recovering to signal a return of upward momentum. Given strong cash flow, low leverage, and elevated margins, fundamental tailwinds remain in place, so any extended weakness would likely reflect technical positioning rather than a change in underlying business strength.

About Newmont Corporation

Newmont Corporation (NYSE:NEM) produces and explores gold, positioning itself as a leading player in the global mining industry. The company also investigates and extracts other valuable minerals, including copper, silver, zinc, and lead. Headquartered in Denver, Colorado, Newmont operates a diverse portfolio of assets and projects across multiple continents. Its operations span the United States, Canada, Mexico, and the Dominican Republic in North America, as well as Peru, Suriname, Argentina, and Chile in South America. In the Asia-Pacific region, Newmont maintains a presence in Australia, Papua New Guinea, and Fiji. Additionally, the company extends its reach into Africa with operations in Ghana. Founded in 1916, Newmont leverages its extensive experience and expertise to manage and develop large-scale mining projects. The company remains committed to sustainable and responsible mining practices, ensuring environmental stewardship and community engagement in all its operational regions. Through strategic exploration and production activities, Newmont aims to deliver long-term value to its stakeholders.



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