Matthews International Corporation (NASDAQ:MATW) Poised For Near-Term Pullback Despite Bullish Momentum

Mixed technical momentum meets stretched fundamental valuation: momentum indicators show short-term strength while valuation and cash-flow dynamics signal capped upside.

Recent News

January 28, 2026 — Board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.255 per share, payable February 23, 2026. February 19, 2026 — Company held its 2026 Annual Meeting; four directors re‑elected, J. Michael Nauman named Chairman, and amendments to the Articles of Incorporation adopted to enhance governance. March 10, 2026 — Company announced an arbitration ruling that reaffirmed Matthews’ right to develop and sell its proprietary dry battery electrode (DBE) equipment. March 19, 2026 — Matthews Engineering announced a cooperation with hs‑tumbler to advance trajectory mixing for high‑speed dry electrode manufacturing.

Technical Analysis

Directional strength: ADX at 26.81 signals a strong underlying trend strength without indicating direction; the directional indicators show DI+ at 29.7 with a dip‑and‑reversal (bullish) and DI‑ at 13.69 decreasing (bullish), implying the positive directional move carries momentum into the near term.

MACD momentum: MACD at 0.60 sits above the signal line at 0.44 and the MACD trend reads increasing, indicating bullish momentum and a momentum crossover that supports continuation of the short-term advance.

Momentum/Regression Oscillator: MRO at 33.83 sits positive, indicating the current price sits above the target implied by momentum and therefore presents measurable downside potential if momentum cools.

Relative strength and moving averages: RSI at 56.8 and rising indicates room for further upward movement but not overbought extremes. Price $28.22 trades above the 12‑day EMA $27.58, 20‑day average $27.48, 50‑day average $26.16 and 200‑day average $25.25, which aligns shorter‑term strength with longer‑term support levels. Ichimoku Tenkan‑Sen ($27.49) above Kijun‑Sen ($26.27) further supports a bullish short‑term bias.

Bollinger context and volume: Price sits near the upper 1× standard deviation band ($28.13) and below the 2× band ($28.77), indicating intraday proximity to the recent short‑term trading range ceiling. Average 10‑day volume (150,339) and 50‑day average volume (176,169) exceed current session volume (105,370), suggesting limited conviction behind the latest tick higher.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability profile: EBIT equals $99,051,000 and EBITDA equals $111,747,000. EBIT margin at 34.78% exceeds the industry peer mean (22.36%) and industry peer median (23.45%) and sits below the industry peer high (37.29%), reflecting strong underlying operating profit before non‑operating items relative to peers. Operating margin, however, reads negative at -5.51%, signaling recent operating cost pressure after non‑operating adjustments.

Earnings and estimates: Reported EPS came in at -$0.19 versus an estimate of $0.05, producing an EPS difference of -$0.24 and an EPS surprise of -480%. Forward EPS stands at $0.30 with a forward P/E of 83.55x while the trailing P/E remains negative at -136.82x due to the reported loss per share.

Revenue and growth: Total revenue $284,763,000. YoY revenue growth equals 6.44% while QoQ revenue growth equals 22.29%, showing recent sequential pickup alongside modest year‑over‑year expansion.

Balance sheet and cash flow: Cash and short‑term investments total $31,357,000 against total debt $586,355,000 and net debt $505,670,000. Debt to assets stands at 37.76%, above the industry peer mean of 21.41%, and debt to equity equals 1.079 (107.9%), indicating leverage above peer averages. Operating cash flow was negative at -$51,992,000 and free cash flow was negative at -$57,249,000, yielding a free cash flow yield of -7.08% and free cash flow year‑over‑year growth showing deterioration. Interest coverage sits at 6.77x, below the industry peer mean of 14.66x, constraining financial flexibility despite planned debt reduction actions noted in recent corporate communications.

Liquidity and working capital: Current ratio 1.51 slightly exceeds the industry peer mean of 1.43 and quick ratio 0.91 sits near the peer median, suggesting adequate near‑term liquidity to support operations but limited cushion given the negative operating cash flow.

Valuation: WMDST values the stock as over‑valued. Price closed at $28.22 against a consensus price target mean of $31.08 and a WMDST MRO signal indicating the market price currently sits above the momentum‑implied target and therefore carries downside potential if momentum fades. Key valuation multiples show price‑to‑sales at 2.84x and a negative trailing P/E driven by the latest EPS result; forward multiples imply elevated expectations versus recent cash‑flow generation.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-03
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-05
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 32.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow -51.99 M
 Capital Expenditures -5.26 M
 Change In Working Capital -2.05 M
 Dividends Paid -9.47 M
 Cash Flow Delta -1.08 M
 End Period Cash Flow 31.4 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 284.8 M
 Forward Revenue 15.2 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 185.1 M
 Depreciation 9.7 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 12.7 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 300.4 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 99.7 M
 EBITDA 111.7 M
 EBIT 99.1 M
 Operating Income -15.69 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 14.6 M
 Net Interest Income -14.63 M
 Income Before Tax 84.4 M
 Tax Provision 40.8 M
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income 43.6 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 43.6 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.05
 EPS Actual -0.19
 EPS Difference -0.24
 EPS Surprise -480.0 %
 Forward EPS 0.30
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 1.6 B
 Intangible Assets 525.6 M
 Net Tangible Assets 17.7 M
 Total Current Assets 489.1 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 31.4 M
 Cash 31.4 M
 Net Receivables 115.5 M
 Inventory 192.4 M
 Long-Term Investments 7.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 94.7 M
 Short-Term Debt 7.3 M
 Total Current Liabilities 324.9 M
 Net Debt 505.7 M
 Total Debt 586.4 M
 Total Liabilities 1.0 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 543.2 M
 Retained Earnings 600.5 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 17.45
 Shares Outstanding 31.126 M
 Revenue Per-Share 9.15
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 809.1 M
 Enterprise Value 1.4 B
 Enterprise Multiple 12.207
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -95.409 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -52.403 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 142.564
median: 101.918
mean: 77.528
MATW: 12.207
low: -99.977
 EV/R 4.79
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.859
 Asset To Liability 1.538
 Debt To Capital 0.519
 Debt To Assets 0.378
Debt To Assets QoQ -16.266 %
Debt To Assets YoY 9223.457 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.671
MATW: 0.378
mean: 0.214
median: 0.144
low: 0.009
 Debt To Equity 1.079
Debt To Equity QoQ -32.061 %
Debt To Equity YoY 6046.982 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 4.556
MATW: 1.079
mean: 0.538
median: 0.324
low: -2.644
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.49
Price To Book QoQ -2.405 %
Price To Book YoY -28.071 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 10.907
median: 4.48
mean: 3.559
MATW: 1.49
low: -1.952
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -136.818
Price To Earnings QoQ -387.007 %
Price To Earnings YoY -169.29 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 200.469
mean: 119.772
median: 95.223
low: -94.98
MATW: -136.818
 PE/G Ratio 0.991
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2.841
Price To Sales QoQ 23.423 %
Price To Sales YoY 33.374 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 15.262
mean: 6.061
median: 5.144
MATW: 2.841
low: 0.129
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 83.55
Forward PE/G -0.605
Forward P/S 53.104
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 105.262
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.175
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -6.479 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -20.861 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.436
median: 0.264
mean: 0.212
MATW: 0.175
low: 0.052
 Receivables Turnover 2.293
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 4.921 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 15.614 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.25
MATW: 2.293
mean: 2.076
median: 1.927
low: 0.992
 Inventory Turnover 0.937
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.636 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -18.683 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 38.326
mean: 5.478
MATW: 0.937
median: 0.845
low: 0.405
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 39.801
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 85.215
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -0.042 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 2.292 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 193.343
median: 125.577
MATW: 85.215
mean: 72.274
low: -135.154
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.733
 CapEx To Revenue -0.018
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.54
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.1 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.1 B
 Invested Capital 1.1 B
 Net Tangible Assets 17.7 M
 Net Working Capital 164.3 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.097
 Current Ratio 1.506
Current Ratio QoQ 1.454 %
Current Ratio YoY -4.422 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 3.816
MATW: 1.506
mean: 1.429
median: 1.026
low: 0.302
 Quick Ratio 0.914
Quick Ratio QoQ 0.893 %
Quick Ratio YoY -5.302 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 3.798
mean: 1.023
MATW: 0.914
median: 0.905
low: 0.26
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 5.247
 Cost Of Debt 1.712 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 6.769
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -1187.044 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 977.458 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 23.386
median: 17.726
mean: 14.665
MATW: 6.769
low: -34.429
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.248
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 43.407
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 4.605
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.217
 Dividend Rate 0.30
 Dividend Yield 0.012
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -8.355 %
 Revenue Growth -10.688 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 22.288 %
Revenue Growth YoY 6.444 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 31.015 %
mean: 6.664 %
median: 3.012 %
MATW: -10.688 %
low: -35.435 %
 Earnings Growth -138.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -275.637 %
Earnings Growth YoY 85.123 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 45.161 %
median: 0.833 %
mean: -4.864 %
low: -115.753 %
MATW: -138.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 35.002 %
Gross Margin QoQ -3.653 %
Gross Margin YoY 11.903 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 89.385 %
median: 50.446 %
mean: 48.072 %
MATW: 35.002 %
low: -10.605 %
 EBIT Margin 34.784 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -1247.608 %
EBIT Margin YoY 1318.597 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 37.289 %
MATW: 34.784 %
median: 23.449 %
mean: 22.363 %
low: -61.357 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -5.508 %
Return On Sales QoQ 86.902 %
Return On Sales YoY -324.633 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 37.289 %
mean: 23.902 %
median: 23.418 %
MATW: -5.508 %
low: -54.444 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -57.25 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -7.075 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -5852.033 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 75.341 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 12.861 %
mean: 1.108 %
median: 0.553 %
MATW: -7.075 %
low: -18.966 %
 Free Cash Growth -6439.867 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 6099.81 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 2534.162 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 321.059 %
median: 35.98 %
mean: 27.125 %
low: -171.538 %
MATW: -6439.867 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -1.312
 Cash Flow Margin 28.253 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.844
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.687 %
Return On Assets QoQ -266.275 %
Return On Assets YoY -1506.806 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 5.205 %
median: 3.906 %
mean: 3.417 %
MATW: 2.687 %
low: -5.228 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 8.066 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.08
Return On Equity QoQ -240.616 %
Return On Equity YoY -1056.19 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.245
MATW: 0.08
mean: 0.068
median: 0.064
low: -0.22
 DuPont ROE 8.52 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 7.244 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -1230.109 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -132.173 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 8.039 %
MATW: 7.244 %
mean: 4.548 %
median: 3.706 %
low: -10.593 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical landscape: Short‑term indicators favor continuation of the recent rally—DI+ reversal, rising MACD, and Price above key EMAs—but MRO positive and price near the upper Bollinger band imply heightened risk of a corrective pullback or consolidation. ADX indicates the trend strength remains significant, so any retracement may unfold as a consolidation rather than a rapid trend reversal unless momentum collapses.

Risk and key levels to watch (non‑actionable observations): the super trend lower figure at $26.72, the 50‑day average near $26.16, and Ichimoku Kijun‑Sen near $26.27 present converging technical support references; a sustained move above the recent range and the 2× Bollinger boundary near $28.77 would reinforce further momentum toward the consensus price target mean of $31.08, while weakening momentum alongside shrinking volume would raise the probability of a corrective phase toward the indicated support references.

Outlook summary: Near‑term price action should trade within a tension between bullish momentum and valuation‑driven downside risk; expect consolidation with episodes of volatility as the market digests recent governance actions, DBE legal clarity and commercialization partnerships alongside ongoing cash‑flow and leverage dynamics.

About Matthews International Corporation

Matthews International Corporation (NASDAQ:MATW) delivers comprehensive solutions across three primary segments: Memorialization, Industrial Technologies, and SGK Brand Solutions. In the Memorialization segment, the company crafts a range of products including bronze and granite memorials, burial vaults, cremation urns, and cemetery features. This segment also produces statues, plaques, and niche units, serving the needs of the memorialization industry. The Industrial Technologies segment innovates in the field of high-tech custom energy storage solutions and product identification technologies. Matthews International manufactures and distributes systems for order fulfillment, warehouse automation, and product tracking. This segment further provides engineered equipment for calendaring, laminating, and coating, alongside laser and ink-jet printing systems and marking products. Through SGK Brand Solutions, Matthews International offers brand management and pre-media services. This segment supports the consumer goods and retail industries with printing plates, cylinders, digital asset management, and merchandising display systems. Founded in 1850 and headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, Matthews International Corporation continues to serve a diverse global clientele with its extensive range of products and services.



© 2026 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.