Calavo Growers, Inc (NASDAQ:CVGW) Advances Toward Deal Closure While Momentum Softens

Calavo enters a near-term phase defined by transaction progress and mixed market momentum: operational metrics show margin compression even as liquidity and low leverage provide a defensive buffer.

Recent News

On April 13, 2026 the board amended the record date for a previously declared $0.20 quarterly cash dividend from April 1 to April 24, 2026; the payment remains set for April 29, 2026. On April 17, 2026 the Hart‑Scott‑Rodino waiting period tied to the proposed merger cleared, removing a key statutory timing obstacle to the Mission Produce–Calavo combination.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show a bullish directional bias: ADX at 27.04 signals a strong trend, with DI+ at 33.33 increasing and DI‑ at 17.61 decreasing, which favors upside directional momentum relative to the valuation.

MACD sits slightly above its signal (MACD 0.55 vs signal 0.50), producing a bullish cross; however, the MACD reading shows a peak-and-reversal that signals waning momentum and cautions that the current crossover may lack follow‑through.

MRO at 28.1 places the price above WMDST’s target and implies downward pressure on the price toward fair-value alignment; the magnitude suggests notable mean-reversion potential that contrasts with the directional indicators.

RSI at 58.1 with a peak-and-reversal pattern indicates prior buying pressure fading; the level remains below overbought but flags loss of upward conviction for the immediate horizon.

Price sits above short- and medium-term averages: close $27.99 exceeds the 12‑day EMA $27.69 and the 20‑day average $27.60, while the 200‑day average stands at $24.85; the 12‑day EMA shows an increasing short-term bias that supports a constructive near-term posture despite momentum warnings.

Bollinger bands center near $27.60 with the 1× upper band at $28.18 and 2× upper at $28.77; intraday range and a super‑trend lower at $26.74 provide proximate technical reference points for short‑term traders evaluating risk placement relative to the current valuation.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Top-line and margin dynamics: total revenue $122,202,000 with YoY revenue growth −78.30% and QoQ −93.43%, reflecting sharp period-to-period contraction. Gross margin at 12.43% contracted YoY but improved QoQ; gross margin remains below the industry peer range low of 17.89% and well under the industry peer mean of 27.73%.

Profitability: EBIT $1,950,000 yields an EBIT margin of 1.60%, down −43.30% QoQ and −51.12% YoY, positioning EBIT margin below the industry peer range (industry peer low 5.40%, mean 11.29%, median 12.17%). Operating income shows a loss of $1,447,000 and operating margin −1.18%, which contrasts with typical peer operating margins and reduces short-term valuation support.

Earnings and cash flow: GAAP EPS $0.27 beat the estimate $0.22 by $0.05, a surprise of +22.73%. Net income $732,000 versus operating cash flow negative $8,658,000; free cash flow −$9,446,000 producing a free cash flow yield of −2.13%. The negative operating and free cash flow, together with retained earnings of $24,996,000, create a working-capital profile that requires monitoring despite healthy cash on hand.

Balance sheet and leverage: cash and short-term investments $47,670,000 support a current ratio of 2.21 and quick ratio 1.66. Total debt $22,396,000 produces debt-to-assets 7.51% and debt-to-equity 10.89%; debt-to-EBITDA stands at ~6.05x, indicating elevated leverage relative to recent EBITDA but still modest absolute debt levels given cash balances.

Returns and valuation multiples: return on equity 0.36% and return on assets 0.25% remain well below the industry peer mean and median. P/E at 91.7x and forward P/E ~60.9x sit above the industry peer mean (P/E mean ~65.13x, median ~70.03x), consistent with the WMDST assessment that the current valuation appears over‑valued. Book value per share $11.51 with price-to-book ~2.15x (slightly above the industry peer mean of 2.09x) further underscores premium valuation relative to peers.

Valuation summary: WMDST values the stock as over‑valued given compressed margins, negative cash conversion from operations, and elevated P/E multiples in the context of slowing revenue and operating profitability.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-01-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-03-12
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-06-11
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 61.2 M
 Operating Cash Flow -8.66 M
 Capital Expenditures -788.00 K
 Change In Working Capital -13.46 M
 Dividends Paid -3.58 M
 Cash Flow Delta -13.48 M
 End Period Cash Flow 47.7 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 122.2 M
 Forward Revenue 283.5 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 107.0 M
 Depreciation 1.8 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 1.8 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 123.6 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 15.2 M
 EBITDA 3.7 M
 EBIT 1.9 M
 Operating Income -1.45 M
 Interest Income 542.0 K
 Interest Expense 129.0 K
 Net Interest Income 413.0 K
 Income Before Tax 1.8 M
 Tax Provision 473.0 K
 Tax Rate 26.0 %
 Net Income 732.0 K
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 804.0 K
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.22
 EPS Actual 0.27
 EPS Difference 0.05
 EPS Surprise 22.727 %
 Forward EPS 0.38
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 298.2 M
 Intangible Assets 10.2 M
 Net Tangible Assets 195.4 M
 Total Current Assets 152.6 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 47.7 M
 Cash 47.7 M
 Net Receivables 40.6 M
 Inventory 37.8 M
 Long-Term Investments 494.0 K
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 27.0 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 69.1 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 22.4 M
 Total Liabilities 90.8 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 205.7 M
 Retained Earnings 25.0 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 11.51
 Shares Outstanding 17.874 M
 Revenue Per-Share 6.84
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 442.7 M
 Enterprise Value 417.4 M
 Enterprise Multiple 112.686
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 68.039 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 94.089 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 162.748
CVGW: 112.686
median: 45.48
mean: 28.317
low: -45.021
 EV/R 3.416
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.45
 Asset To Liability 3.282
 Debt To Capital 0.098
 Debt To Assets 0.075
Debt To Assets QoQ -6.452 %
Debt To Assets YoY -9.441 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.544
median: 0.431
mean: 0.424
CVGW: 0.075
low: 0.027
 Debt To Equity 0.109
Debt To Equity QoQ -3.968 %
Debt To Equity YoY -11.535 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.201
median: 1.495
mean: 1.387
CVGW: 0.109
low: 0.035
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.152
Price To Book QoQ 12.602 %
Price To Book YoY 1.025 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 2.56
median: 2.56
CVGW: 2.152
mean: 2.087
low: 1.017
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 91.724
Price To Earnings QoQ 3.501 %
Price To Earnings YoY 25.819 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA CVGW: 91.724
high: 78.756
median: 70.028
mean: 65.132
low: 44.5
 PE/G Ratio 11.466
 Price To Sales (P/S) 3.622
Price To Sales QoQ 14.171 %
Price To Sales YoY 30.322 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 5.965
median: 5.391
mean: 4.901
CVGW: 3.622
low: 2.978
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 60.882
Forward PE/G 7.61
Forward P/S 1.562
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 22.353
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.414
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.48 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -19.558 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA CVGW: 0.414
high: 0.212
mean: 0.147
low: 0.137
median: 0.137
 Receivables Turnover 3.385
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.753 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -2.436 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.501
CVGW: 3.385
mean: 2.715
low: 2.366
median: 2.366
 Inventory Turnover 2.999
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -15.193 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -19.946 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA CVGW: 2.999
high: 1.613
median: 1.613
mean: 1.476
low: 1.028
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 26.958
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 35.307
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 33.978 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 4.889 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 66.068
CVGW: 35.307
mean: 8.425
low: -15.604
median: -15.604
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.463
 CapEx To Revenue -0.006
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.449
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 205.7 M
 Net Invested Capital 205.7 M
 Invested Capital 205.7 M
 Net Tangible Assets 195.4 M
 Net Working Capital 83.6 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.69
 Current Ratio 2.209
Current Ratio QoQ -10.572 %
Current Ratio YoY -1.112 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 8.214
CVGW: 2.209
mean: 1.481
low: 0.563
median: 0.563
 Quick Ratio 1.663
Quick Ratio QoQ -13.177 %
Quick Ratio YoY -0.501 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 6.576
CVGW: 1.663
mean: 1.029
median: 0.361
low: 0.295
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 6.046
 Cost Of Debt 0.416 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 15.116
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -9.13 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -36.128 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 1383.808
mean: 155.643
CVGW: 15.116
median: 4.205
low: 3.453
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.106
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 20.461
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.205
 Dividend Payout Ratio 4.885
 Dividend Rate 0.20
 Dividend Yield 0.008
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 2.03 %
 Revenue Growth -1.988 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -93.434 %
Revenue Growth YoY -78.304 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA CVGW: -1.988 %
high: -6.421 %
mean: -8.702 %
median: -8.725 %
low: -13.326 %
 Earnings Growth 8.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -114.25 %
Earnings Growth YoY -98.571 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA CVGW: 8.0 %
high: -13.333 %
mean: -36.21 %
median: -41.818 %
low: -50.235 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 12.425 %
Gross Margin QoQ 33.001 %
Gross Margin YoY 21.957 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 30.809 %
median: 30.809 %
mean: 27.734 %
low: 17.885 %
CVGW: 12.425 %
 EBIT Margin 1.596 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -43.304 %
EBIT Margin YoY -51.118 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 12.169 %
median: 12.169 %
mean: 11.292 %
low: 5.395 %
CVGW: 1.596 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -1.184 %
Return On Sales QoQ -14.389 %
Return On Sales YoY -136.263 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 12.487 %
median: 12.487 %
mean: 11.148 %
low: 5.395 %
CVGW: -1.184 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -9.45 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -2.134 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -790.615 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 94.531 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 5.647 %
mean: 2.31 %
low: 1.235 %
median: 1.235 %
CVGW: -2.134 %
 Free Cash Growth -872.363 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 947.38 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 501.638 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 237.752 %
mean: 22.866 %
low: -56.268 %
median: -56.268 %
CVGW: -872.363 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -12.904
 Cash Flow Margin -6.018 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -10.046
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.248 %
Return On Assets QoQ -80.715 %
Return On Assets YoY -83.152 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 1.606 %
mean: 1.029 %
low: 0.933 %
median: 0.933 %
CVGW: 0.248 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.851 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.004
Return On Equity QoQ -80.694 %
Return On Equity YoY -83.759 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.032
median: 0.032
mean: 0.029
low: 0.019
CVGW: 0.004
 DuPont ROE 0.355 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.702 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -47.612 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -104.459 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 1.815 %
median: 1.754 %
mean: 1.704 %
low: 1.171 %
CVGW: 0.702 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near term, directional indicators and short-term EMAs favor a modest upside bias, but momentum signals and the MRO caution that price sits above intrinsic targets and faces mean-reversion risk. The recent HSR clearance reduces a major regulatory timing obstacle for the pending merger, which should remove transactional overhang; the dividend record-date amendment creates a defined cash-event window into late April. For swing-focused traders, the path over the next six weeks likely hinges on whether momentum stabilizes after the MACD/RSI peak-and-reversal and whether free-cash-flow dynamics show operational improvement; failure of momentum to recover would elevate the probability of downward reversion toward the super-trend lower near $26.74 and the 50‑day average, while sustained EMA strength would keep upside toward the analyst price target mean of $30.47 in scope.

About Calavo Growers, Inc.

Calavo Growers, Inc. (NASDAQ:CVGW) markets and distributes a diverse range of fresh and prepared food products. Established in 1924 and headquartered in Santa Paula, California, Calavo Growers sources premium avocados from California, Mexico, Peru, and Colombia, ensuring a consistent year-round supply. The company operates through two main segments: Grown and Prepared. In the Grown segment, Calavo distributes fresh produce, including avocados, tomatoes, and papayas. The Prepared segment delivers a variety of ready-to-eat and ready-to-heat products such as fresh-cut fruits and vegetables, prepared salads, wraps, and snacking solutions. These products cater to retail grocery, foodservice customers, and wholesale markets globally. Calavo Growers emphasizes quality and innovation, offering products under recognized brands like Calavo, Avo Fresco, and Garden Highway. The company maintains a commitment to sustainability and freshness, ensuring consumers receive high-quality produce and prepared foods. Calavo Growers continues to serve as a trusted provider in the fresh food industry, delivering its products to tables worldwide.



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