Genmab A/S (NASDAQ:GMAB) Shows Under-Valuation Amid Near-Term Bearish Momentum

Strong cash generation and an under-valued WMDST appraisal contrast with compressed profitability and weakening short-term momentum; technical indicators signal elevated downside risk over the coming weeks. Fundamental cash flow and a sizable pipeline sustain valuation support despite mixed operational trends.

Recent News

On February 17, 2026 Genmab published its 2025 Annual Report, outlining revenue growth and product performance for the year. On February 23, 2026 the company reported initial transactions under a share buy-back program announced February 17, 2026 to repurchase shares to meet RSU obligations. On January 26, 2026 Genmab paused enrollment in an early-stage trial for a program acquired via the ProfoundBio transaction. Regulatory filings later in February disclosed management and related-party transactions.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 14.63 indicates no trend; this low trend strength reduces confidence that technical momentum will sustain a directional break despite other signals. The lack of a clear ADX trend tempers the immediacy of any breakout or breakdown and aligns with the valuation cushion WMDST assigns.

Directional indicators show DI+ peak-and-reversal while DI- increases, a bearish configuration that favors downside pressure against the current valuation support. These DI moves amplify near-term risk for price weakness rather than confirm a trend extension.

MACD exhibits a peak-and-reversal; the oscillator sits near zero with the signal line slightly negative, signaling bearish momentum rather than a fresh bullish crossover. That bearish MACD tone reinforces the near-term downward bias implied by the directional indicators.

MRO reads 19.04 and shows increasing momentum; the positive MRO indicates price sits above the model target and therefore carries a propensity to drift lower toward fair-value anchors, which may compress upside near term despite the stock’s valuation status.

RSI at 45.96 with a peak-and-reversal describes waning short-term buying pressure rather than oversold support; this RSI configuration supports a biased move lower before a corrective bounce becomes likely.

Price trades below short-term and long-term averages: the 20-day average sits at $28.10 and the 200-day average at $28.64 while the close registers $26.98. The 12-day EMA and 20-day averages show peak-and-reversal characteristics, aligning price action with the bearish oscillator and directional signals and implying resistance at the moving averages for any near-term rallies.

Breadth of volatility appears contained but biased: price sits below the 1x lower Bollinger band ($27.36), implying elevated short-term volatility and a move outside the typical one-standard-deviation range. Short-term beta (42-day) at 1.37 versus the 52-week beta of 0.92 indicates more volatile behavior recently, which can magnify near-term directional moves against the valuation backdrop.

Volume participation runs below recent averages (today’s volume 1,041,588 versus a 10-day average around 1.83 million), signaling lighter conviction in intraday moves and increasing the chance of higher intraperiod swings rather than sustained trending moves.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Cash and liquidity stand out: cash and short-term investments total $1,715,000,000 and the cash ratio equals 1.20, providing substantial buffer relative to current liabilities and supporting financial flexibility. Net debt registers $3,559,000,000, producing an enterprise value of $5,660,247,239 against a market capitalization of $1,949,247,239.

Profitability shows mixed signals. EBIT equals $99,000,000 producing an EBIT margin of 9.36%, which sits above the industry peer mean of -0.88% and above the industry peer median of 0.21%. However, EBIT margin contracted sharply quarter-over-quarter by -80.28% and year-over-year by -83.52%, reflecting compressed operating leverage despite a strong gross margin of 92.34%.

Earnings and estimates reflect downward pressure: reported EPS of $0.21 missed the $0.37 estimate by $0.16, a -43.24% earnings surprise. Forward EPS equals $0.44 with a forward PE of 67.65 versus a trailing PE of 150.69, implying expectations for earnings improvement but a valuation that still prices material future growth.

Growth metrics show weakness in short windows: revenue growth QoQ declined -66.40% and revenue growth YoY declined -78.34%, while reported total revenue equals $1,058,000,000. R&D spend sits at $526,000,000, underscoring continued investment in the pipeline even as near-term revenue momentum softens.

Balance-sheet leverage and capital efficiency present contrasts. Debt-to-equity equals 0.93 and debt-to-EBITDA stands elevated at 45.22; asset turnover equals 0.106, slightly below the industry peer mean of 0.116, and asset growth remains strong at 83.35%. Free cash flow equals $288,000,000 with a free cash flow yield of 14.78%, a metric that supports valuation upside relative to the industry peer mean for free cash flow yield.

Valuation view: The current valuation as determined by WMDST classifies the stock as under-valued. That appraisal draws support from a high free cash flow yield and a low price-to-book ratio of 0.33 versus an industry peer mean of 5.20, even as enterprise multiple metrics reflect the net-debt-adjusted premium implied by a $5.66 billion enterprise value. The combination of robust cash conversion and an ongoing pipeline of assets underpins the under-valued designation despite operating margin contraction and near-term growth weakness.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-17
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-19
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 1.8 B
 Operating Cash Flow 301.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -13.00 M
 Change In Working Capital 253.0 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -46.00 M
 End Period Cash Flow 1.7 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.1 B
 Forward Revenue 232.6 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 81.0 M
 Depreciation 16.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 21.0 M
 Research and Development 526.0 M
 Total Operating Expenses 815.0 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 977.0 M
 EBITDA 120.0 M
 EBIT 99.0 M
 Operating Income 243.0 M
 Interest Income 48.0 M
 Interest Expense 44.0 M
 Net Interest Income 4.0 M
 Income Before Tax 55.0 M
 Tax Provision 24.0 M
 Tax Rate 22.0 %
 Net Income 31.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 55.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.37
 EPS Actual 0.21
 EPS Difference -0.16
 EPS Surprise -43.243 %
 Forward EPS 0.44
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 12.9 B
 Intangible Assets 9.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets -3.63 B
 Total Current Assets 2.9 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 1.7 B
 Cash 1.7 B
 Net Receivables 1.1 B
 Inventory 18.0 M
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable
 Short-Term Debt 273.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 1.4 B
 Net Debt 3.6 B
 Total Debt 5.4 B
 Total Liabilities 7.0 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 5.8 B
 Retained Earnings 4.1 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 94.92
 Shares Outstanding 61.599 M
 Revenue Per-Share 17.18
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.9 B
 Enterprise Value 5.7 B
 Enterprise Multiple 47.169
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -1653.704 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -1049.503 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 67.346
GMAB: 47.169
median: 44.062
mean: 12.248
low: -114.076
 EV/R 5.35
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.202
 Asset To Liability 1.832
 Debt To Capital 0.481
 Debt To Assets 0.421
Debt To Assets QoQ 1983.539 %
Debt To Assets YoY 1776.67 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.032
GMAB: 0.421
mean: 0.122
median: 0.003
low: 0.0
 Debt To Equity 0.928
Debt To Equity QoQ 3658.607 %
Debt To Equity YoY 3209.558 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.524
GMAB: 0.928
mean: 0.136
median: 0.005
low: -0.893
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 0.333
Price To Book QoQ 10.066 %
Price To Book YoY 813.871 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 19.432
median: 6.164
mean: 5.198
GMAB: 0.333
low: -10.511
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 150.686
Price To Earnings QoQ 246.178 %
Price To Earnings YoY 507.943 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA GMAB: 150.686
high: 74.171
mean: -0.945
median: -16.894
low: -119.903
 PE/G Ratio -2.226
 Price To Sales (P/S) 1.842
Price To Sales QoQ 8.093 %
Price To Sales YoY 786.446 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 773.807
mean: 48.907
median: 20.207
GMAB: 1.842
low: -75.758
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 67.651
Forward PE/G -0.999
Forward P/S 8.198
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -22.594
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.106
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -29.832 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -29.432 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.406
mean: 0.116
median: 0.109
GMAB: 0.106
low: -0.066
 Receivables Turnover 0.981
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.946 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -1.809 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 7.397
mean: 1.448
median: 1.333
GMAB: 0.981
low: -1.505
 Inventory Turnover 5.062
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 17.834 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -0.102 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA GMAB: 5.062
high: 2.026
mean: 0.574
median: 0.471
low: 0.007
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 93.061
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 118.234
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 4.76 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 974.716
median: 189.511
mean: 189.071
GMAB: 118.234
low: -1689.26
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.726
 CapEx To Revenue -0.012
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.812
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 10.8 B
 Net Invested Capital 11.1 B
 Invested Capital 11.1 B
 Net Tangible Assets -3.63 B
 Net Working Capital 1.5 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.202
 Current Ratio 2.022
Current Ratio QoQ -66.493 %
Current Ratio YoY -61.473 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 27.397
mean: 3.91
median: 2.827
GMAB: 2.022
low: 0.027
 Quick Ratio 2.009
Quick Ratio QoQ -66.597 %
Quick Ratio YoY -61.628 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 13.851
mean: 2.749
median: 2.452
GMAB: 2.009
low: 0.069
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 45.217
 Cost Of Debt 1.233 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 2.25
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -98.608 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -96.677 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 671.002
mean: 40.365
median: 3.11
GMAB: 2.25
low: -1571.333
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.013
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 83.35 %
 Revenue Growth 3.523 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -66.403 %
Revenue Growth YoY -78.339 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 443.939 %
mean: 13.07 %
GMAB: 3.523 %
median: 3.233 %
low: -242.388 %
 Earnings Growth -67.692 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -432.312 %
Earnings Growth YoY -135.055 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 204.0 %
median: -14.286 %
mean: -16.847 %
GMAB: -67.692 %
low: -237.5 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 92.344 %
Gross Margin QoQ -2.1 %
Gross Margin YoY -2.558 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 102.453 %
GMAB: 92.344 %
median: 78.702 %
mean: 78.512 %
low: -63.166 %
 EBIT Margin 9.357 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -80.283 %
EBIT Margin YoY -83.515 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 3501.566 %
median: 21.25 %
GMAB: 9.357 %
mean: -88.327 %
low: -7602.597 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 22.968 %
Return On Sales QoQ -48.86 %
Return On Sales YoY -59.536 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 1116.376 %
median: 27.297 %
GMAB: 22.968 %
mean: -98.64 %
low: -7602.597 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 288.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 14.775 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -51.802 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -92.123 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 21.452 %
GMAB: 14.775 %
median: 0.303 %
mean: 0.157 %
low: -51.848 %
 Free Cash Growth -46.067 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -104.97 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -273.844 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 177.21 %
median: -24.526 %
mean: -32.858 %
GMAB: -46.067 %
low: -201.25 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 9.29
 Cash Flow Margin -1.701 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -0.581
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.02
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.312 %
Return On Assets QoQ -94.754 %
Return On Assets YoY -96.532 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 33.814 %
median: 1.099 %
GMAB: 0.312 %
mean: -2.706 %
low: -65.985 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.865 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.005
Return On Equity QoQ -92.399 %
Return On Equity YoY -94.942 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.809
median: 0.036
GMAB: 0.005
mean: 0.001
low: -1.16
 DuPont ROE 0.535 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.694 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -90.108 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -104.885 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 50.944 %
median: 3.016 %
GMAB: 0.694 %
mean: -0.123 %
low: -58.737 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term directional bias favors downside: multiple technical indicators (DI configuration, MACD peak-and-reversal, EMA reversals, and an RSI peak-and-reversal) point to elevated downside risk over the next six weeks while low ADX suggests any move may lack strong follow-through. Valuation support—notably strong free cash flow generation and a substantial cash position—reduces the probability of a deep, sustained collapse, implying any decline could pause against fundamental anchors. Monitor momentum and directional indicators for confirmation of a return to upward bias; until those indicators shift, technical risk outweighs immediate upside catalysts.

About Genmab A/S

Genmab A/S (NASDAQ:GMAB) develops innovative antibody therapeutics targeting cancer and other serious diseases. Based in Copenhagen, Denmark, Genmab has introduced several significant therapies, including DARZALEX, a leading treatment for multiple myeloma, and teprotumumab for thyroid eye disease. The company’s pipeline includes advanced products like Amivantamab for gastric and esophageal cancers and Epcoritamab for blood cancers such as diffuse large B-cell lymphoma. Genmab employs proprietary technologies like DuoBody and HexaBody, which aim to address both solid tumors and hematological malignancies. Through strategic collaborations with industry leaders such as Seagen, argenx, and AbbVie, Genmab enhances its research and development efforts. Established in 1999, the company remains committed to advancing oncology treatment and improving patient outcomes through its innovative therapeutic solutions.



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