Rocky Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ:RCKY) Poised To Extend Momentum On Improving Technicals

Momentum from recent quarterly results and above-average free cash flow underpins a constructive near-term bias. Technical indicators signal emerging bullish strength, while fundamentals show valuation disconnects that support WMDST’s under-valued assessment.

Recent News

On February 24, 2026 Rocky Brands released fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, reporting net sales of $139.7M and EPS that exceeded analyst estimates; management cited a strong retail contribution and continued e-commerce investment. On February 17, 2026 the company declared a quarterly cash dividend. Management guided toward roughly 6% revenue growth for 2026 while allocating incremental spend to digital marketing and direct-to-consumer initiatives.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show a bullish tilt: DI+ registers 27.39 and trends higher while DI- sits at 17.92 and trends lower, creating a clear DI+ advantage that supports upward price bias. ADX at 20.82 signals an emerging trend rather than a well-established directional move, so momentum requires confirmation.

MACD reads 0.91 with the MACD line above the signal at 0.70, and the MACD trend moving higher; that cross constitutes a bullish momentum signal and aligns with the DI+ strength for near-term continuation potential.

MRO stands at 23.05 and registers a dip & reversal. The positive MRO implies price presently sits above the model target and carries moderate pullback risk, but the recent dip & reversal pattern suggests momentum attempting to re-accelerate from a short-term correction.

RSI at 57.85 with a peak & reversal pattern suggests recent overreach into higher momentum followed by a short-term top formation; that condition increases the likelihood of mean-reversion episodes before any sustained leg higher.

Price structure favors bulls: the close at $43.12 sits above the 12-day EMA ($42.30), the 20-day average ($41.76), the 50-day average ($40.17) and the 200-day average ($31.66), with the 12-day EMA trending up. Price occupies the upper Bollinger band band range but remains below the 1x upper band ($43.86), leaving room for continuation without an immediate volatility squeeze. Ichimoku components (Tenkan/Kijun at $41.06; Senkou A $40.30; Senkou B $38.52) place price above the cloud, reinforcing the constructive technical backdrop. SuperTrend lower support sits near $39.99, offering a visible near-term support level.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth shows strength: total revenue reached $139.7M with revenue growth at 14.02% and revenue growth year‑over‑year at 18.94%, reflecting healthy top-line expansion. QoQ revenue growth dipped by 12.34%, indicating seasonal or quarter-specific variability; the YoY gain provides the more relevant momentum signal for valuation context.

Profitability metrics present mixed signals. Operating (EBIT) margin stands at 6.864%, up 3.34% YoY but down 28.32% QoQ. That margin sits below the industry peer mean of 13.665% and slightly below the industry peer median of 8.095%, indicating room for operational improvement relative to average peers while remaining modestly competitive versus the median.

Net income totaled $6.51M and EBITDA reached $12.11M. EPS reported at $0.94 versus an estimate of $0.49, producing a $0.45 beat and an EPS surprise of 91.84%, confirming the quarter’s bottom-line strength relative to consensus expectations.

Cash generation stands out: operating cash flow measured $17.59M and free cash flow reached $16.72M, yielding a free cash flow yield of 7.06%, which sits above the industry peer mean of 2.10% and the industry peer median of 0.39%, supporting valuation upside under a cash-focused lens. Cash flow to earnings equals 255.70%, indicating strong conversion of earnings into cash.

Balance sheet and working capital dynamics show adequate liquidity and elevated working capital absorption. Current ratio reads 2.82 and quick ratio 0.93, with the current ratio above the industry peer mean of 2.09. Total debt equals $127.02M with net debt at $119.74M; debt-to-assets stands at 26.60%, slightly below the industry peer mean of 31.13% and debt-to-equity at 50.39%, below the industry peer mean of 71.45%, signaling moderate leverage relative to peers. Cash conversion cycle runs long at 213 days versus the industry peer mean of 103 days, reflecting elevated inventory and receivables duration that ties up capital.

Return metrics remain modest: return on equity equals 2.58% while return on assets equals 1.34%, both below typical peer averages and highlighting limited capital efficiency gains to date. Gross margin at 41.32% supports healthy product-level economics and contributes to the company’s above‑average cash generation.

Valuation context presents a disconnect: price-to-book registers 0.94, well below the industry peer mean of 6.09 and the industry peer median of 6.99, while enterprise value to revenue and enterprise multiple reflect conservative market pricing versus cash flow strength. WMDST values the stock as under-valued given above-average free cash flow yield, EPS outperformance, and conservative price/book metrics despite below‑median profitability metrics.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-24
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-26
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 3.3 M
 Operating Cash Flow 17.6 M
 Capital Expenditures -867.00 K
 Change In Working Capital 4.7 M
 Dividends Paid -1.16 M
 Cash Flow Delta -417.00 K
 End Period Cash Flow 2.9 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 139.7 M
 Forward Revenue 41.2 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 82.0 M
 Depreciation 2.5 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 2.5 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 130.1 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 57.7 M
 EBITDA 12.1 M
 EBIT 9.6 M
 Operating Income 9.6 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 2.6 M
 Net Interest Income -2.64 M
 Income Before Tax 7.0 M
 Tax Provision 438.0 K
 Tax Rate 6.302 %
 Net Income 6.5 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 6.5 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.49
 EPS Actual 0.94
 EPS Difference 0.45
 EPS Surprise 91.837 %
 Forward EPS 1.02
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 477.5 M
 Intangible Assets 150.9 M
 Net Tangible Assets 101.2 M
 Total Current Assets 270.7 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 2.9 M
 Cash 2.9 M
 Net Receivables 77.1 M
 Inventory 181.1 M
 Long-Term Investments 1.8 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 53.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 8.4 M
 Total Current Liabilities 96.1 M
 Net Debt 119.7 M
 Total Debt 127.0 M
 Total Liabilities 225.4 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 252.1 M
 Retained Earnings 176.0 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 33.59
 Shares Outstanding 7.505 M
 Revenue Per-Share 18.62
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 236.8 M
 Enterprise Value 360.9 M
 Enterprise Multiple 29.813
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 22.975 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 78.557 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 85.499
median: 85.499
mean: 60.818
RCKY: 29.813
low: -26.368
 EV/R 2.583
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.894
 Asset To Liability 2.118
 Debt To Capital 0.335
 Debt To Assets 0.266
Debt To Assets QoQ -6.947 %
Debt To Assets YoY 1355.252 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.701
mean: 0.311
median: 0.299
RCKY: 0.266
low: 0.034
 Debt To Equity 0.504
Debt To Equity QoQ -12.198 %
Debt To Equity YoY 1299.639 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 5.089
median: 0.801
mean: 0.714
RCKY: 0.504
low: 0.045
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 0.939
Price To Book QoQ 11.522 %
Price To Book YoY 22.411 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 9.303
median: 6.991
mean: 6.088
RCKY: 0.939
low: 0.492
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 33.566
Price To Earnings QoQ 24.894 %
Price To Earnings YoY 67.087 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 125.538
median: 125.538
mean: 88.68
RCKY: 33.566
low: -7.846
 PE/G Ratio -3.841
 Price To Sales (P/S) 1.695
Price To Sales QoQ 0.193 %
Price To Sales YoY 21.79 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 15.231
median: 7.923
mean: 7.448
RCKY: 1.695
low: 0.408
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 28.757
Forward PE/G -3.291
Forward P/S 5.753
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -1.304
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.288
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 13.258 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 4.707 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.496
mean: 0.342
median: 0.331
RCKY: 0.288
low: 0.029
 Receivables Turnover 1.751
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 6.383 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 1.926 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 15.778
mean: 4.438
median: 2.323
RCKY: 1.751
low: 0.99
 Inventory Turnover 0.438
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 13.616 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -1.076 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.07
median: 0.932
mean: 0.82
RCKY: 0.438
low: 0.402
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 52.124
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 213.084
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -12.12 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 10.425 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 338.107
RCKY: 213.084
mean: 103.453
median: 95.506
low: 21.797
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.8
 CapEx To Revenue -0.006
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.345
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 366.4 M
 Net Invested Capital 374.7 M
 Invested Capital 374.7 M
 Net Tangible Assets 101.2 M
 Net Working Capital 174.6 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.03
 Current Ratio 2.816
Current Ratio QoQ 2.825 %
Current Ratio YoY 3.309 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 4.224
RCKY: 2.816
mean: 2.086
median: 2.063
low: 0.217
 Quick Ratio 0.932
Quick Ratio QoQ 5.916 %
Quick Ratio YoY 5.654 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.869
median: 1.399
mean: 1.393
RCKY: 0.932
low: 0.111
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 10.492
 Cost Of Debt 1.41 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 3.633
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -22.829 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 30.013 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 701.0
mean: 107.276
RCKY: 3.633
median: -15.015
low: -165.305
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.173
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 72.414
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 5.599
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.179
 Dividend Rate 0.15
 Dividend Yield 0.005
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -3.345 %
 Revenue Growth 14.017 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -12.339 %
Revenue Growth YoY 18.939 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 61.21 %
RCKY: 14.017 %
mean: 13.096 %
median: 6.032 %
low: -12.568 %
 Earnings Growth -8.738 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -110.012 %
Earnings Growth YoY -116.02 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 223.077 %
mean: 21.336 %
median: 8.163 %
RCKY: -8.738 %
low: -44.737 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 41.316 %
Gross Margin QoQ 2.745 %
Gross Margin YoY -0.51 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 100.0 %
mean: 51.238 %
median: 42.431 %
RCKY: 41.316 %
low: 11.955 %
 EBIT Margin 6.864 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -28.321 %
EBIT Margin YoY 3.342 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 32.08 %
mean: 13.665 %
median: 8.095 %
RCKY: 6.864 %
low: -19.556 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 6.864 %
Return On Sales QoQ -28.321 %
Return On Sales YoY 3.342 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 31.384 %
mean: 13.746 %
median: 8.095 %
RCKY: 6.864 %
low: -19.556 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 16.7 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 7.06 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -383.307 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -45.058 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 25.352 %
RCKY: 7.06 %
mean: 2.097 %
median: 0.392 %
low: -22.722 %
 Free Cash Growth -423.679 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -456.185 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -175.335 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 1193.641 %
mean: 270.489 %
median: -38.231 %
RCKY: -423.679 %
low: -647.462 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 2.567
 Cash Flow Margin 11.918 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.557
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.341 %
Return On Assets QoQ -10.301 %
Return On Assets YoY 30.194 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 12.202 %
mean: 3.856 %
median: 2.109 %
RCKY: 1.341 %
low: -18.558 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 2.515 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.026
Return On Equity QoQ -11.873 %
Return On Equity YoY 24.964 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.238
mean: 0.068
median: 0.056
RCKY: 0.026
low: -0.206
 DuPont ROE 2.614 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.398 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 0.841 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -98.511 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 6.729 %
mean: 4.165 %
median: 3.609 %
RCKY: 2.398 %
low: -0.137 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical setup favors a bullish continuation while risk indicators warn of near-term pullback probability. Emerging trend strength (ADX 20.82), DI+ leadership, and a bullish MACD crossover support upside attempts, with immediate support near $39.99 (super trend) and the 20-day average. RSI peak & reversal and a positive MRO imply heightened short-term mean‑reversion risk that could produce corrective windows for rotation into the uptrend. Volatility and beta suggest above-market swings; traders should monitor MACD momentum and DI+ persistence for confirmation of continuation or failure of the emerging trend.

About Rocky Brands, Inc.

Rocky Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ:RCKY) designs, manufactures, and markets a diverse range of footwear and apparel, catering to various consumer needs across the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through three primary segments: Wholesale, Retail, and Contract Manufacturing. The Wholesale segment distributes products through sporting goods stores, outdoor retailers, independent shoe retailers, and other specialty and mass merchant outlets. The Retail segment reaches consumers directly through its branded websites, including rockyboots.com, georgiaboot.com, durangoboot.com, and several others, as well as through third-party marketplaces and Rocky Outdoor Gear Stores. The Contract Manufacturing segment handles private label sales and custom manufacturing for clients, including the U.S. Military. Rocky Brands serves a wide array of customers, from industrial and construction workers to hospitality staff, farmers, ranchers, and outdoor enthusiasts. The company markets its products under several well-known brand names, such as Rocky, Georgia Boot, Durango, Lehigh, Muck, XTRATUF, Servus, Ranger, and Michelin. Founded in 1932 and headquartered in Nelsonville, Ohio, Rocky Brands continues to deliver quality and durable products to its diverse clientele.



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