Dorian LPG Ltd. (NYSE:LPG) Accelerates Cash Returns As Chartering Rates Remain Elevated

Dorian LPG delivers sizable cash distributions while forward chartering shows strong rate coverage; near-term momentum looks range-bound with modest upside potential.

Recent News

On January 30, 2026 the Board declared an irregular cash dividend of $0.70 per share, payable on or about February 24, 2026 to shareholders of record as of February 9, 2026; the company also scheduled its third-quarter fiscal 2026 results and investor call for early February. On March 26, 2026 the company published forward chartering estimates for the quarter ending March 31, 2026, reporting that it had fixed approximately 99% of calendar days at rates in excess of $58,000 per day.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 20.77 indicates an emerging strength in the market’s directional momentum, supporting the view that recent price action has moved beyond noise but has not yet established a very strong trend; this context aligns with the stock trading above its long-term average and supports a valuation narrative that values realized cash returns.

Directional indicators show DI+ at 24.88 and DI- at 16.26; DI+ has decreased while DI- has also decreased. The net configuration—DI+ above DI-—still implies directional bias toward bulls, but the recent decrease in DI+ signals waning upward conviction and the potential for consolidation against the current valuation.

MACD exhibits a peak-and-reversal pattern, which signals a shift toward bearish momentum despite MACD’s current positive reading; momentum indicators therefore caution that prior upside may be losing force and that near-term price action may test support near moving-average levels.

MRO stands at -9.13, which places the price below the model target and implies upward pressure toward convergence; the negative MRO points to modest potential for price appreciation as valuation gaps close.

RSI at 56.45 with a peak-and-reversal profile shows momentum moderating from a recent high rather than collapsing, consistent with a setup that favors range-bound trading with occasional tests of resistance rather than sustained breakouts.

Price sits above key averages: the 12-day EMA at $35.29 (increasing), the 26-day EMA at $34.58, and the 200-day average at $29.65. The 20-day band places price nearer the upper band (upper1σ $36.02), indicating the market trades in the upper portion of its short-term range; that dynamic supports an outlook of limited near-term upside unless fresh bullish momentum arrives.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and cash generation remain central to the valuation case. EBIT equals $54,255,176 and EBITDA $72,384,512, producing an EBIT margin of 45.23%, which sits above the industry peer mean of 23.22% and the industry peer median of 20.65%. QoQ the EBIT margin contracted by 10.91%, while YoY it expanded by 20.62%, signaling stronger operating leverage year-over-year even as recent quarter-to-quarter pressure emerged.

Revenue totaled $119,964,287 with YoY revenue growth of 54.22% and a reported overall revenue growth figure of -3.31%; QoQ revenue shows a decline of 106.98% by the supplied metric. Operating margin stands at 43.32% with operating margin YoY improvement of 15.54% and QoQ contraction of 9.44%, reflecting meaningful year-over-year recovery in rates and utilization despite short-term quarter-to-quarter variability.

EPS for the reported period came in at $1.11 versus an estimate of $1.16, a miss of $0.05 or -4.31% on the EPS surprise ratio. Trailing PE equals 24.55 while forward PE sits near 35.70; the trailing PE sits below the industry peer mean of 81.03 and below the industry peer median of 61.89, indicating comparatively lower market multiple versus peers.

Balance-sheet and cash metrics support capital returns. Cash and short-term investments total $294,492,379, net debt $218,691,032, and the cash ratio registers 1.81 with a current ratio of 2.41. Debt to assets equals 37.89%—above the industry peer mean of 30.43% but within the industry peer range—and debt-to-equity stands at 0.62. Interest coverage runs 7.68x, below the industry peer mean of 12.03x but above critical distress levels.

Free cash flow reached $67,422,628, producing a free cash flow yield of 5.79%, which compares favorably to the industry peer mean of 2.47% (industry peer mean shown for context). Dividends reflect active capital return: dividend rate $0.6479 and a dividend payout ratio of 58.69% with dividend coverage of 1.70; recent irregular cash distributions total roughly $29.9 million tied to the January declaration. These cash returns, combined with a strong cash position, underpin WMDST’s valuation stance.

Valuation conclusion: WMDST values the stock as under-valued. The valuation case rests on above-peer operating margins, robust free cash flow yield, a substantial cash balance, and recurring irregular dividends, offset by moderate leverage metrics and a forward PE that implies slower near-term earnings growth embedded in market pricing.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-07
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 268.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow 80.8 M
 Capital Expenditures -13.35 M
 Change In Working Capital 4.5 M
 Dividends Paid -27.69 M
 Cash Flow Delta 26.2 M
 End Period Cash Flow 294.6 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 120.0 M
 Forward Revenue 23.3 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 57.9 M
 Depreciation 18.1 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 18.1 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 68.0 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 62.1 M
 EBITDA 72.4 M
 EBIT 54.3 M
 Operating Income 52.0 M
 Interest Income 2.7 M
 Interest Expense 7.1 M
 Net Interest Income -4.33 M
 Income Before Tax 47.2 M
 Tax Provision
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income 47.2 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 47.2 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.16
 EPS Actual 1.11
 EPS Difference -0.05
 EPS Surprise -4.31 %
 Forward EPS 0.86
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 1.8 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 1.1 B
 Total Current Assets 392.3 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 294.5 M
 Cash 294.5 M
 Net Receivables 1.6 M
 Inventory 2.3 M
 Long-Term Investments 3.1 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 6.7 M
 Short-Term Debt 97.7 M
 Total Current Liabilities 162.5 M
 Net Debt 218.7 M
 Total Debt 673.6 M
 Total Liabilities 692.1 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.1 B
 Retained Earnings 348.9 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 25.40
 Shares Outstanding 42.744 M
 Revenue Per-Share 2.81
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.2 B
 Enterprise Value 1.5 B
 Enterprise Multiple 21.332
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 4.099 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 25.09 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 144.859
median: 51.908
mean: 51.36
LPG: 21.332
low: -65.226
 EV/R 12.871
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.638
 Asset To Liability 2.569
 Debt To Capital 0.383
 Debt To Assets 0.379
Debt To Assets QoQ -3.425 %
Debt To Assets YoY 1180.135 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.127
LPG: 0.379
mean: 0.304
median: 0.212
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.62
Debt To Equity QoQ -5.254 %
Debt To Equity YoY 1130.399 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 3.344
mean: 0.843
LPG: 0.62
median: 0.446
low: -3.329
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.073
Price To Book QoQ -6.778 %
Price To Book YoY 5.692 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 8.357
mean: 3.681
median: 2.592
LPG: 1.073
low: -0.575
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 24.553
Price To Earnings QoQ 12.235 %
Price To Earnings YoY -58.341 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 504.154
mean: 81.032
median: 61.889
LPG: 24.553
low: -287.212
 PE/G Ratio -1.608
 Price To Sales (P/S) 9.711
Price To Sales QoQ -1.866 %
Price To Sales YoY -27.791 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 30.237
LPG: 9.711
mean: 9.211
median: 8.204
low: 0.004
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 35.703
Forward PE/G -2.339
Forward P/S 58.794
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 4.192
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.067
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.082 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 53.867 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.449
mean: 0.16
median: 0.156
LPG: 0.067
low: -0.007
 Receivables Turnover 59.099
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -5.294 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -25.815 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA LPG: 59.099
high: 5.354
mean: 2.366
median: 1.431
low: -0.071
 Inventory Turnover 24.964
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 12.26 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 18.186 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA LPG: 24.964
high: 22.314
mean: 3.065
median: 1.549
low: 0.0
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 1.544
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -5.889
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -52.524 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -53.679 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 241.381
mean: 70.076
median: 50.09
LPG: -5.889
low: -110.041
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.522
 CapEx To Revenue -0.111
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.737
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.5 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.6 B
 Invested Capital 1.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.1 B
 Net Working Capital 229.8 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.813
 Current Ratio 2.415
Current Ratio QoQ -27.283 %
Current Ratio YoY -39.148 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 9.333
LPG: 2.415
mean: 1.867
median: 1.347
low: 0.134
 Quick Ratio 2.401
Quick Ratio QoQ -27.246 %
Quick Ratio YoY -39.153 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 4.561
LPG: 2.401
mean: 1.263
median: 0.986
low: 0.132
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 9.306
 Cost Of Debt 0.814 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 7.678
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -7.359 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 125.534 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 39.087
mean: 12.032
LPG: 7.678
median: 7.432
low: -33.464
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.408
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 11.4
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 1.704
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.587
 Dividend Rate 0.65
 Dividend Yield 0.024
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.136 %
 Revenue Growth -3.305 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -106.984 %
Revenue Growth YoY 54.223 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 34.86 %
mean: 4.85 %
median: 3.138 %
LPG: -3.305 %
low: -35.909 %
 Earnings Growth -15.267 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -103.964 %
Earnings Growth YoY -166.794 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 100.0 %
median: 8.725 %
mean: -2.802 %
LPG: -15.267 %
low: -180.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 51.736 %
Gross Margin QoQ -9.229 %
Gross Margin YoY 38.224 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 112.815 %
LPG: 51.736 %
mean: 33.239 %
median: 23.734 %
low: -55.164 %
 EBIT Margin 45.226 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -10.911 %
EBIT Margin YoY 20.619 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 89.962 %
LPG: 45.226 %
mean: 23.224 %
median: 20.651 %
low: -37.704 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 43.321 %
Return On Sales QoQ -9.435 %
Return On Sales YoY 15.538 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 89.962 %
LPG: 43.321 %
mean: 23.617 %
median: 17.014 %
low: -39.283 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 67.4 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 5.788 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 114.37 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 193.212 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 16.533 %
LPG: 5.788 %
median: 2.575 %
mean: 2.468 %
low: -11.389 %
 Free Cash Growth 103.385 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -106.55 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -267.863 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 667.847 %
mean: 120.651 %
LPG: 103.385 %
median: 100.993 %
low: -381.04 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.429
 Cash Flow Margin 55.264 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.405
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.653 %
Return On Assets QoQ -15.456 %
Return On Assets YoY 128.51 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 9.738 %
LPG: 2.653 %
median: 2.132 %
mean: 2.065 %
low: -7.028 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 3.359 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.043
Return On Equity QoQ -16.291 %
Return On Equity YoY 117.459 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.291
mean: 0.073
LPG: 0.043
median: 0.04
low: -0.247
 DuPont ROE 4.386 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.681 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -14.153 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -130.369 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 10.203 %
mean: 3.441 %
median: 2.72 %
LPG: 2.681 %
low: -9.387 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect consolidation within the near-term band defined by recent short-term averages; momentum metrics indicate the prior advance has moderated, while a negative MRO suggests modest upside as price converges toward target. Forward chartering coverage above $58,000 per day provides revenue visibility for the coming quarter and supports the view that distributions and cash generation can continue to underpin the valuation. Technicals favor range-bound action with periodic attempts higher; watch for renewed MACD strength or a rising DI+ to confirm a re-acceleration in price momentum.

About Dorian LPG Ltd.

Dorian LPG Ltd. (NYSE:LPG) transports liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) globally through its fleet of very large gas carriers (VLGCs). The company owns and operates a fleet of twenty-five VLGCs, which facilitate the efficient and safe movement of LPG across international waters. Established in 2013, Dorian LPG Ltd. maintains its headquarters in Stamford, Connecticut. The company leverages its modern fleet to provide reliable shipping solutions, catering to the growing demand for LPG transportation. Through strategic fleet management and operational expertise, Dorian LPG Ltd. supports the energy sector by ensuring the timely delivery of LPG to various global markets.



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