PENN Entertainment, Inc (NASDAQ:PENN) Prioritizes Deleveraging And Cash Returns Amid Overvaluation

PENN pivots toward retail cash generation and shareholder returns while WMDST classifies the shares as over-valued. Management projects deleveraging and improved cash flow through 2026 as physical-property expansions come online.

Recent News

March 12, 2026 — PENN set June 12, 2026 as the grand opening for the new hotel tower at Hollywood Casino Columbus, with room bookings opening April 15. March 25, 2026 — a credit analyst cited improving financial metrics for PENN and suggested a firmer 2026 outlook for leverage and cash generation given recent retail openings and interactive segment adjustments.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators register a low-strength environment: ADX reads 14.07, indicating no established trend, while DI+ registers 26.91 and trends increasing, and DI– registers 19.59 and trends decreasing. The DI configuration favors short-term bullish directional pressure despite the lack of a strong trend.

MACD registers 0.41 with the MACD line above the signal line at 0.31 and the MACD trend increasing; that cross above the signal line signals bullish momentum on recent price action.

MRO reads 27.99 with a dip & reversal. The positive MRO reading places price above the model target, implying potential mean reversion risk even as the oscillator recently reversed upward.

RSI sits at 53.61 and trends increasing, consistent with neutral-to-mild bullish momentum without overbought conditions.

Price relationships show mixed short- and medium-term bias: closing price registers $15.85, above the 20‑day average of $15.26 and the 50‑day average of $14.26, but below the 200‑day average of $16.07. Bollinger band structure places one-standard-deviation upper band near $15.91 and lower band near $14.61, suggesting recent trading inside a contained range.

Volume runs slightly above the 10‑day average (current volume 3.53M; 10‑day avg 3.12M) but below the 50‑ and 200‑day averages, so conviction behind the recent move remains modest. Near-term technical bias favors episodic strength, yet the low ADX and a positive MRO argue for a higher probability of consolidation or a corrective leg toward structural support levels if momentum fades.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability shows contrast between operating cash generation and reported earnings. EBITDA registers $107.9M while EBIT records a loss of $6.3M, yielding an EBIT margin of -0.35%. That EBIT margin sits below the industry peer mean (13.38%) and industry peer median (8.84%) but remains above the industry peer low (-2.20%).

EPS arrived at -$0.55 versus an estimate of -$0.13, producing an EPS surprise of approximately -323.08% and an EPS difference of -$0.42. Net income for the period records a loss of $72.9M while operating cash flow totals $107.2M, reflecting operating cash generation despite reported GAAP losses.

Leverage and liquidity metrics show material stress relative to capital structure. Total debt stands at $11.272B, net debt near $2.201B, and debt to equity measures 6.15x. Debt to EBITDA reads about 104.47x. Debt to assets registers 79.00%, which remains below the industry peer high (84.63%) but above the industry peer mean (51.12%) and median (41.71%). Free cash flow records a negative $91.6M with a free cash flow yield of -4.94%, positioned above the industry peer low but below the industry peer mean and median.

Revenue and margins show pockets of improvement: total revenue registers $1.806B with reported revenue growth of 5.18% and a reported revenue growth year‑over‑year figure of 184.76% in the supplied metrics. Gross margin measures 33.47% and operating margin registers 4.86%, with operating margin showing a strong QoQ improvement (operating margin QoQ +71.77%).

Valuation context drives WMDST’s determination: enterprise value registers roughly $12.44B versus market capitalization near $1.856B, producing an enterprise multiple of 115.31 and a forward P/E near 35.88. WMDST values the stock as over‑valued, citing elevated leverage, negative free cash flow, and a stretched enterprise multiple relative to cash flow generation that must improve to justify present pricing.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-26
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-28
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 692.1 M
 Operating Cash Flow 107.2 M
 Capital Expenditures -198.80 M
 Change In Working Capital -154.80 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 22.7 M
 End Period Cash Flow 714.8 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.8 B
 Forward Revenue -299.69 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.2 B
 Depreciation 114.2 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 114.2 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.7 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 604.6 M
 EBITDA 107.9 M
 EBIT -6.30 M
 Operating Income 87.8 M
 Interest Income 2.1 M
 Interest Expense 101.9 M
 Net Interest Income -99.80 M
 Income Before Tax -108.20 M
 Tax Provision -34.80 M
 Tax Rate 32.163 %
 Net Income -72.90 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -73.40 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.13
 EPS Actual -0.55
 EPS Difference -0.42
 EPS Surprise -323.077 %
 Forward EPS 0.36
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 14.3 B
 Intangible Assets 3.2 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.36 B
 Total Current Assets 1.2 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 686.6 M
 Cash 686.6 M
 Net Receivables 94.1 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 223.9 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 54.2 M
 Short-Term Debt 38.2 M
 Total Current Liabilities 1.5 B
 Net Debt 2.2 B
 Total Debt 11.3 B
 Total Liabilities 12.4 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.8 B
 Retained Earnings -1.49 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 13.79
 Shares Outstanding 132.964 M
 Revenue Per-Share 13.58
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.9 B
 Enterprise Value 12.4 B
 Enterprise Multiple 115.307
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -675.969 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 238.136 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA PENN: 115.307
high: 83.415
mean: 57.313
median: 54.369
low: -0.171
 EV/R 6.888
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 7.78
 Asset To Liability 1.147
 Debt To Capital 0.86
 Debt To Assets 0.79
Debt To Assets QoQ 1.187 %
Debt To Assets YoY 31500.4 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.846
PENN: 0.79
mean: 0.511
median: 0.417
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 6.146
Debt To Equity QoQ 7.755 %
Debt To Equity YoY 45973.763 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 6.469
PENN: 6.146
median: 2.993
mean: 2.925
low: 0.001
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.012
Price To Book QoQ -19.681 %
Price To Book YoY -7.153 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 35.179
mean: 13.948
median: 12.322
PENN: 1.012
low: -14.263
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 199.409
Price To Earnings QoQ -6828.279 %
Price To Earnings YoY -958.749 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 362.992
PENN: 199.409
mean: 97.511
median: 89.054
low: -47.766
 PE/G Ratio -1.513
 Price To Sales (P/S) 1.028
Price To Sales QoQ -28.499 %
Price To Sales YoY -45.036 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 10.555
median: 8.023
mean: 7.618
PENN: 1.028
low: 0.207
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 35.877
Forward PE/G -0.272
Forward P/S -5.217
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -19.158
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.126
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 8.628 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 16.541 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.519
mean: 0.264
median: 0.162
PENN: 0.126
low: 0.057
 Receivables Turnover 11.112
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 56.293 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 12.947 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 29.881
median: 17.522
mean: 15.881
PENN: 11.112
low: 1.89
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 8.212
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 3.239
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -56.858 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 28.228
median: 5.208
PENN: 3.239
mean: -5.041
low: -51.149
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -5.838
 CapEx To Revenue -0.11
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.741
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 4.7 B
 Net Invested Capital 4.7 B
 Invested Capital 4.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.36 B
 Net Working Capital -309.40 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.465
 Current Ratio 0.79
Current Ratio QoQ 4.825 %
Current Ratio YoY -3.121 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.609
mean: 0.935
median: 0.798
PENN: 0.79
low: 0.542
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 104.469
 Cost Of Debt 0.616 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -0.062
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -99.212 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -80.046 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 21.506
mean: 7.995
median: 6.611
PENN: -0.062
low: -0.312
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.11
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 4.974
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.293 %
 Revenue Growth 5.177 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -291.528 %
Revenue Growth YoY 184.763 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 54.541 %
PENN: 5.177 %
median: 3.565 %
mean: 2.687 %
low: -32.046 %
 Earnings Growth -131.818 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -97.85 %
Earnings Growth YoY -149.432 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 61.905 %
median: -44.444 %
mean: -104.94 %
PENN: -131.818 %
low: -238.462 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 33.474 %
Gross Margin QoQ -1.008 %
Gross Margin YoY 2.248 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 80.422 %
median: 45.983 %
mean: 45.867 %
PENN: 33.474 %
low: 29.539 %
 EBIT Margin -0.349 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -99.214 %
EBIT Margin YoY -83.452 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 28.436 %
mean: 13.379 %
median: 8.837 %
PENN: -0.349 %
low: -2.202 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 4.861 %
Return On Sales QoQ 71.767 %
Return On Sales YoY -330.488 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 29.715 %
mean: 13.164 %
median: 8.688 %
PENN: 4.861 %
low: -1.666 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -91.60 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -4.935 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 11936.585 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 21.642 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 11.948 %
median: 1.724 %
mean: 1.501 %
PENN: -4.935 %
low: -5.28 %
 Free Cash Growth 9060.0 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -39359.869 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -787.766 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA PENN: 9060.0 %
high: 110.132 %
median: 4.143 %
mean: -39.509 %
low: -292.58 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.257
 Cash Flow Margin 9.008 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -2.232
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.01
 Return On Assets (ROA) -0.51 %
Return On Assets QoQ -91.294 %
Return On Assets YoY -41.109 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 2.98 %
median: 2.146 %
mean: 1.728 %
PENN: -0.51 %
low: -1.912 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -0.049 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.04
Return On Equity QoQ -90.994 %
Return On Equity YoY -14.626 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.444
mean: 0.125
median: 0.06
low: -0.036
PENN: -0.04
 DuPont ROE -3.844 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -0.091 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -99.276 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -101.922 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 5.727 %
mean: 3.696 %
median: 3.562 %
PENN: -0.091 %
low: -0.275 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near‑term price action likely enters a consolidation phase. Short‑term momentum shows bullish signals — MACD crossed above its signal line and DI+ trends higher while RSI sits in neutral territory — supporting intermittent upside back toward the price target mean near $16.65. However, the positive MRO and the low ADX increase the probability of rangebound trading and mean reversion toward structural support near the superTrend lower level of $14.70 or the 20‑day average at $15.26 if momentum wanes.

Balance between technical strength and fundamental strain will govern direction: the technical setup allows for short bursts of appreciation, but elevated leverage, negative free cash flow, and an over‑valued WMDST classification create asymmetric risk that favors consolidation or corrective moves absent clear cash flow improvement or deleveraging progress.

About PENN Entertainment, Inc.

PENN Entertainment, Inc. (NASDAQ:PENN) delivers integrated entertainment, sports content, and casino gaming experiences through its diverse portfolio. The company manages operations across five segments: Northeast, South, West, Midwest, and Interactive. PENN Entertainment develops online sports betting platforms across various jurisdictions and offers iCasino services under brands such as Hollywood Casino, L’Auberge, ESPN BET, and theScore Bet Sportsbook and Casino. The company’s loyalty program, PENN Play, provides customers with an array of rewards and experiences across its business channels. PENN Entertainment’s brand portfolio includes well-known names like Ameristar, Argosy, Boomtown, Hollywood Casino, Hollywood Gaming, L’Auberge, and M Resort. Founded in 1972 and headquartered in Wyomissing, Pennsylvania, the company continues to expand its reach in the gaming and entertainment industry. Through its strategic initiatives, PENN Entertainment maintains a significant presence in both physical and digital gaming markets, catering to a wide range of customer preferences and enhancing its competitive edge in the sector.



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