Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. (NYSE:SPH) Debt Burden Pressures Cash Flow While Momentum Remains Weak

Near-term bias favors consolidation with downside vulnerability as leverage and negative free cash flow limit upside catalysts. Technical indicators point to fading trend strength even as valuation metrics outpace select peer benchmarks.

Recent News

Suburban Propane served as title sponsor of the Suburban Propane 300 at Bristol Motor Speedway on April 11, 2026, after the sponsorship announcement in late February.

The company promoted an executive to lead its renewable energy division in February–March 2026, signaling continued focus on RNG and renewable propane initiatives.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators (ADX/DI+/DI-): ADX at 19.21 classifies the market as lacking a strong trend. DI- sits at 19.91 and is increasing while DI+ peaked and has reversed from 11.95, which together indicate directional pressure toward sellers and a bearish breadth bias that reduces confidence in a sustained breakout.

MACD: MACD at -0.12 with a peak-and-reversal trend and a signal line at -0.05 shows negative, declining momentum; MACD remains below its signal line, indicating bearish momentum rather than a bullish crossover.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO equals -28.74, which means the price sits below the model target and suggests potential upward mean reversion pressure; however, the MRO’s recent peak-and-reversal tempers that potential into a conditional recovery scenario rather than a clear buy signal.

RSI: RSI at 50.82 registers near neutral but shows a peak-and-reversal pattern, implying that prior short-term gains exhausted and upside momentum has weakened.

Price vs moving averages and cloud: Last close $19.63 trades above the 200-day average ($18.88) yet below the 20-day average ($19.98); the 12-day EMA displays a peak-and-reversal, so the longer-term average offers mild support while short-term averages and the Ichimoku configuration (Tenkan $19.79, Kijun $19.90, Senkou A $20.14, Senkou B $19.34) place the price inside the cloud—consistent with consolidation and limited directional conviction.

Bands, trend & volume context: Price sits near the lower Bollinger band (lower 1σ $19.64) and above the super-trend support at $19.57, suggesting compressed volatility and short-term support; volume currently runs below 10-, 50- and 200-day averages, which weakens breakout prospects.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability & margins: EBIT equals $65,767,000 and EBIT margin stands at 17.76%, below the industry peer mean of 31.04% and median of 30.26% but well above the industry peer low of 1.26%, indicating acceptable operating conversion but less efficiency than typical peers.

Revenue and earnings trends: YoY revenue growth registers -4.70%, showing slight contraction versus the prior year. Reported EPS equaled $0.70 against an estimate of $0.75, producing an EPS surprise of -6.67%. Year-over-year earnings growth reads 60.045%, though quarterly comparisons show some softness; these mixed signals pair a weak top-line trend with residual profitability improvements.

Cash flow and liquidity: Free cash flow totals $-67,471,000 and free cash flow yield equals -5.33%, both reflective of cash drainage; operating cash flow totaled $-47,666,000 and the cash conversion ratio equals -10.12%, underscoring cash-generation stress. Cash on hand remains minimal at $1,284,000 and the cash ratio equals 0.47%.

Leverage and coverage: Total debt reached $1,434,945,000 with net debt $1,321,221,000; debt-to-equity stands at 229.14%, above the industry peer mean of 163.09% and inside the industry peer range low–high. Interest coverage equals 3.33x, below the industry peer mean of 4.25x, which tightens sensitivity to rate moves and operating setbacks.

Working capital and efficiency: Cash conversion cycle sits at 55.12 days (within an industry peer range that extends substantially lower and higher), inventory turns near 1.83 and asset turnover at 0.158 slightly above the industry peer mean of 0.1138—operations generate revenue from assets but at modest velocity relative to revenue scale.

Dividend & payout: Quarterly distribution continues with a dividend rate of $0.32263 and a dividend payout ratio of 46.74%; dividend coverage reads 2.14x, which supports distribution sustainability in the absence of further cash deterioration.

Valuation: WMDST values the stock as over-valued. Price/earnings equals 27.27 while price/book equals 2.02, both below some peer means but combined with negative free cash flow and elevated leverage these multiples reflect stretched fundamentals against near-term cash constraints.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-07
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 11.8 M
 Operating Cash Flow -47.67 M
 Capital Expenditures -19.80 M
 Change In Working Capital -115.39 M
 Dividends Paid -21.40 M
 Cash Flow Delta -196.00 K
 End Period Cash Flow 11.6 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 370.4 M
 Forward Revenue 68.8 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 130.8 M
 Depreciation 16.9 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 16.9 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 302.7 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 239.5 M
 EBITDA 82.6 M
 EBIT 65.8 M
 Operating Income 67.7 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 19.8 M
 Net Interest Income -19.76 M
 Income Before Tax 46.0 M
 Tax Provision 231.0 K
 Tax Rate 0.502 %
 Net Income 45.8 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 45.8 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.75
 EPS Actual 0.70
 EPS Difference -0.05
 EPS Surprise -6.667 %
 Forward EPS 0.51
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 2.4 B
 Intangible Assets 1.3 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.26 B
 Total Current Assets 236.0 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 1.3 M
 Cash 1.3 M
 Net Receivables 129.3 M
 Inventory 69.3 M
 Long-Term Investments 79.4 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 47.9 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 272.6 M
 Net Debt 1.3 B
 Total Debt 1.4 B
 Total Liabilities 1.8 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 626.2 M
 Retained Earnings
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 9.44
 Shares Outstanding 66.329 M
 Revenue Per-Share 5.58
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.3 B
 Enterprise Value 2.7 B
 Enterprise Multiple 32.673
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -98.42 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -29.889 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 59.048
mean: 41.654
median: 39.238
SPH: 32.673
low: 10.34
 EV/R 7.289
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 3.826
 Asset To Liability 1.354
 Debt To Capital 0.696
 Debt To Assets 0.599
Debt To Assets QoQ 3.43 %
Debt To Assets YoY -0.864 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.856
SPH: 0.599
mean: 0.514
median: 0.496
low: 0.268
 Debt To Equity 2.291
Debt To Equity QoQ 3.146 %
Debt To Equity YoY -13.297 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 5.354
SPH: 2.291
mean: 1.631
median: 1.459
low: 0.379
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.022
Price To Book QoQ 0.674 %
Price To Book YoY -8.588 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 5.955
mean: 3.071
median: 2.341
SPH: 2.022
low: 1.712
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 27.27
Price To Earnings QoQ -180.657 %
Price To Earnings YoY -56.244 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 113.155
mean: 65.051
median: 49.431
SPH: 27.27
low: 17.853
 PE/G Ratio -0.119
 Price To Sales (P/S) 3.418
Price To Sales QoQ -39.892 %
Price To Sales YoY 5.843 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 39.081
mean: 12.438
median: 9.865
SPH: 3.418
low: 0.334
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 36.437
Forward PE/G -0.159
Forward P/S 18.415
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -6.358
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.158
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 72.189 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -1.522 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.21
SPH: 0.158
mean: 0.114
median: 0.096
low: 0.031
 Receivables Turnover 3.727
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 31.712 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -4.393 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 8.839
SPH: 3.727
mean: 2.769
median: 2.393
low: 0.769
 Inventory Turnover 1.83
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 64.469 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -27.884 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 11.616
mean: 5.287
median: 3.642
low: 2.914
SPH: 1.83
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 24.485
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 55.118
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -9.312 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 218.475 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 71.269
SPH: 55.118
median: 13.243
mean: 1.851
low: -82.244
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -10.117
 CapEx To Revenue -0.053
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.174
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.9 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.9 B
 Invested Capital 1.9 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.26 B
 Net Working Capital -36.61 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.005
 Current Ratio 0.866
Current Ratio QoQ 57.664 %
Current Ratio YoY 23.986 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 1.43
mean: 0.891
SPH: 0.866
median: 0.783
low: 0.531
 Quick Ratio 0.612
Quick Ratio QoQ 100.118 %
Quick Ratio YoY 18.9 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 1.176
mean: 0.717
median: 0.678
SPH: 0.612
low: 0.48
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 17.366
 Cost Of Debt 1.422 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 3.329
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -429.47 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 64.888 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 8.945
mean: 4.245
median: 3.764
SPH: 3.329
low: 1.765
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.037
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 56.803
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 2.139
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.467
 Dividend Rate 0.32
 Dividend Yield 0.017
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 4.333 %
 Revenue Growth 75.226 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -501.248 %
Revenue Growth YoY -4.698 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA SPH: 75.226 %
high: 44.343 %
mean: 11.814 %
median: 9.408 %
low: -7.231 %
 Earnings Growth -229.63 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -270.37 %
Earnings Growth YoY 60.045 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 442.105 %
mean: 21.241 %
median: 3.774 %
low: -30.921 %
SPH: -229.63 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 64.675 %
Gross Margin QoQ -0.034 %
Gross Margin YoY 6.758 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 78.864 %
SPH: 64.675 %
median: 43.607 %
mean: 39.896 %
low: 5.66 %
 EBIT Margin 17.756 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -315.905 %
EBIT Margin YoY 67.415 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 61.514 %
mean: 31.035 %
median: 30.257 %
SPH: 17.756 %
low: 1.264 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 18.265 %
Return On Sales QoQ -330.415 %
Return On Sales YoY 72.214 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 50.481 %
median: 30.257 %
mean: 28.648 %
SPH: 18.265 %
low: 1.212 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -67.47 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -5.329 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -331.293 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 326.661 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 4.487 %
median: 1.434 %
mean: 0.926 %
SPH: -5.329 %
low: -6.341 %
 Free Cash Growth -343.569 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 422.594 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 85.728 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 380.46 %
median: -117.647 %
mean: -156.426 %
SPH: -343.569 %
low: -694.761 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -1.474
 Cash Flow Margin 2.726 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.221
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.951 %
Return On Assets QoQ -228.018 %
Return On Assets YoY 133.933 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 7.511 %
mean: 2.033 %
SPH: 1.951 %
median: 1.466 %
low: 0.664 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 3.098 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.073
Return On Equity QoQ -224.549 %
Return On Equity YoY 105.25 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.091
SPH: 0.073
median: 0.055
mean: 0.05
low: 0.023
 DuPont ROE 7.476 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 3.358 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -542.424 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 25.345 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 7.82 %
SPH: 3.358 %
mean: 2.833 %
median: 2.504 %
low: 1.695 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a consolidation regime with downside skew until free cash flow turns positive or leverage metrics show clear improvement. Technical momentum sits weak: directional indicators favor sellers, MACD remains negative, and RSI has rolled over, while MRO signals latent mean-reversion potential that could produce short-lived rallies. Attention should remain on liquidity flows, interest coverage stability, and volume-backed moves above short-term averages; absent a clear reversal in cash generation or a de-leveraging event, the near-term bias points to choppy, range-bound action with limited upside follow-through.

About Suburban Propane Partners, L.P.

Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. (NYSE:SPH) distributes and markets propane, renewable propane, fuel oil, and refined fuels across the United States. Through its Propane segment, the company supplies propane for residential uses such as space heating, water heating, cooking, and clothes drying, as well as for industrial applications including motor fuel for vehicles and equipment. The Fuel Oil and Refined Fuels segment delivers fuel oil, diesel, kerosene, and gasoline to residential and commercial customers, primarily for heating purposes. In the Natural Gas and Electricity segment, Suburban Propane markets natural gas and electricity to customers in deregulated markets in New York and Pennsylvania. The All Other segment provides sales, installation, and maintenance services for home comfort equipment, including heating systems, air cleaners, and space heaters. Serving a diverse customer base, including residential, commercial, industrial, and agricultural sectors, Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. maintains a strong presence on the east and west coasts, as well as in the Midwest and Alaska. Founded in 1945, the company is headquartered in Whippany, New Jersey.



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