FirstEnergy Corp. (NYSE:FE) Signals Modest Near-Term Upside On Improving Momentum

FirstEnergy shows a mix of operational strain and technical momentum that points to limited near-term upside while fundamental headwinds persist; valuation by WMDST still classifies the stock as under-valued.

Recent News

March 16–17, 2026: FirstEnergy issued power restoration updates following a windstorm across its Ohio, Pennsylvania, West Virginia and Maryland service areas. February–March 2026: Court activity continued in trials related to the Ohio bribery allegations involving former executives, with jury deliberations reported March 17, 2026. January 21, 2026: FirstEnergy Transmission extended an exchange offer deadline for its 4.750% senior notes due 2033. Mid-January 2026: The Public Utilities Commission of Ohio approved a settlement providing customer bill credits; timing for credits and implementation details were published thereafter.

Technical Analysis

Directional Strength (ADX / DI+/DI-): ADX at 24.42 indicates an emerging trend strength. DI+ at 24.69 with an increasing trend reads as bullish; DI- at 19.03 with a decreasing trend reinforces the same directional bias. The combination implies momentum has room to develop but has not reached a mature, very-strong state.

MACD: MACD reads 0.34 with a dip & reversal pattern, indicating a shift toward bullish momentum. MACD and its signal line both sit at 0.34, so momentum has reversed upward but lacks a confirmed net crossover advantage over the signal line.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at 25.64 and labeled peak & reversal signals that price sits above its modeled target and the indicator has begun to roll over; the level implies meaningful downside potential if momentum softens.

RSI: RSI at 58.79 with a dip & reversal indicates renewed buying interest without overbought pressure; the reading aligns with a constructive short-term momentum backdrop rather than an extended advance.

Price vs. Moving Averages and Bands: Last close $51.02 trades above the 20-day average ($50.14), 50-day average ($49.43) and 200-day average ($45.24); the 12-day EMA is increasing. Price sits just under the 1x Bollinger upper band ($51.15), consistent with a modest bullish tilt rather than an extreme breakout.

Volume & Volatility: Session volume of 2,118,796 sits below the 10-, 50- and 200-day averages, suggesting recent moves lack conviction from broader participation. Low 42-day and 52-week betas (0.02 and 0.15) imply muted volatility relative to the market, reducing the probability of rapid directional shifts.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue & Margins: Total revenue $3,797,000,000 with YoY revenue decline of 42.94% and QoQ revenue growth of -137.24% signals a pronounced contraction on a year-over-year basis and volatile sequential dynamics. Gross margin stands at 63.84%; operating margin equals 15.88% and EBIT margin equals 7.03%. EBIT margin at 7.03% falls below the industry peer mean of 22.23% and the industry peer median of 22.44%, while remaining above the industry peer low of -6.94%. QoQ EBIT margin change of -66.51% and YoY change of -63.86% reflect substantial margin pressure over both horizons.

Profitability & Earnings: Reported EPS $0.53 matched the estimate ($0.53) with an EPS surprise of -0.91%. Net income registered a loss of $49,000,000 while operating income measured $603,000,000. Earnings growth shows mixed timing: an YoY increase of 70.69% contrasted with a QoQ decline of 160.63%.

Cash Flow & Liquidity: Operating cash flow $1,136,000,000 remains a positive cash source, but free cash flow was negative at -$30,000,000 and free cash flow yield measured -0.11%, down 89.58% YoY. Cash on hand $57,000,000 and a current ratio of 0.565 indicate constrained near-term liquidity relative to operating needs; quick ratio 0.456 mirrors tight working-capital liquidity. The cash conversion cycle at -52.75 days (better than some peers’ mean) shows effective working-capital timing despite low cash balances.

Capital Structure & Coverage: Total debt $26,556,000,000 with net debt $26,499,000,000 yields debt-to-assets 47.50% and debt-to-equity 212.28%; debt-to-assets sits near the top of the industry peer high of 47.57% per the peer range. Interest coverage at 1.01 rounds to roughly one times operating income over interest, materially below the industry peer mean (~3.34x), indicating thin coverage margins and sensitivity to interest cost changes.

Returns & Efficiency: Return on equity -0.39% and return on assets -0.088% remain negative, reflecting the recent net loss and heavy leverage. Asset turnover 0.0679 slightly exceeds the industry peer mean of 0.0631, indicating reasonable revenue generation from asset base but not enough to offset high financial obligations.

Dividends: Quarterly dividend rate $0.44475 yields 0.963%. Dividend payout ratio at -524.49% and dividend coverage ratio -19.07% indicate dividends exceeded net income in the period measured; the cash-and-distribution relationship warrants monitoring given negative net earnings and negative free cash flow.

Valuation Summary: WMDST values the stock as under-valued. Key valuation multiples include P/E 87.13 and enterprise multiple 77.30; forward P/E near 61.09. These multiples reflect market pricing that incorporates leverage, cash-flow dynamics and the regulatory/legal overhang; WMDST’s valuation judgment takes those elements into account.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-17
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-19
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 1.4 B
 Operating Cash Flow 1.1 B
 Capital Expenditures -1.17 B
 Change In Working Capital 402.0 M
 Dividends Paid -257.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta -1.33 B
 End Period Cash Flow 99.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 3.8 B
 Forward Revenue -8.23 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.4 B
 Depreciation 337.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 337.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 3.2 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 2.4 B
 EBITDA 688.0 M
 EBIT 267.0 M
 Operating Income 603.0 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 264.0 M
 Net Interest Income -264.00 M
 Income Before Tax 3.0 M
 Tax Provision -4.00 M
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income -49.00 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 7.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.53
 EPS Actual 0.53
 EPS Difference 0.00
 EPS Surprise -0.91 %
 Forward EPS 0.74
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 55.9 B
 Intangible Assets 5.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 6.9 B
 Total Current Assets 3.0 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 57.0 M
 Cash 57.0 M
 Net Receivables 939.0 M
 Inventory 577.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 1.4 B
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 2.0 B
 Short-Term Debt 1.0 B
 Total Current Liabilities 5.3 B
 Net Debt 26.5 B
 Total Debt 26.6 B
 Total Liabilities 42.0 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 12.5 B
 Retained Earnings 35.0 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 21.65
 Shares Outstanding 577.851 M
 Revenue Per-Share 6.57
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 26.7 B
 Enterprise Value 53.2 B
 Enterprise Multiple 77.303
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 107.123 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 219.912 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 80.229
FE: 77.303
median: 64.053
mean: 57.598
low: 1.664
 EV/R 14.007
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 4.469
 Asset To Liability 1.332
 Debt To Capital 0.68
 Debt To Assets 0.475
Debt To Assets QoQ -3.361 %
Debt To Assets YoY 1519.052 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.476
FE: 0.475
median: 0.433
mean: 0.346
low: 0.012
 Debt To Equity 2.123
Debt To Equity QoQ -1.102 %
Debt To Equity YoY 1631.468 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.432
FE: 2.123
median: 1.487
mean: 1.266
low: 0.013
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.133
Price To Book QoQ 6.535 %
Price To Book YoY 14.245 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 3.11
mean: 2.227
FE: 2.133
median: 2.045
low: 0.011
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 87.133
Price To Earnings QoQ 63.03 %
Price To Earnings YoY 44.75 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 181.261
median: 133.353
mean: 119.4
FE: 87.133
low: -114.345
 PE/G Ratio -2.411
 Price To Sales (P/S) 7.028
Price To Sales QoQ 13.764 %
Price To Sales YoY -4.018 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 26.13
mean: 15.256
median: 14.36
FE: 7.028
low: 0.028
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 61.092
Forward PE/G -1.69
Forward P/S -3.234
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 8.195
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.068
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -9.835 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 9.937 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.166
FE: 0.068
mean: 0.063
median: 0.047
low: 0.031
 Receivables Turnover 4.02
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -12.872 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 15.313 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 4.607
FE: 4.02
mean: 1.979
median: 1.801
low: 0.811
 Inventory Turnover 2.377
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -7.287 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 28.337 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 5.265
median: 2.615
mean: 2.598
FE: 2.377
low: 0.857
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 22.698
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -52.747
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -28.284 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 8.336 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 81.214
mean: -13.306
median: -42.087
FE: -52.747
low: -68.344
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -1.657
 CapEx To Revenue -0.307
 CapEx To Depreciation -3.46
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 38.0 B
 Net Invested Capital 39.1 B
 Invested Capital 39.1 B
 Net Tangible Assets 6.9 B
 Net Working Capital -2.29 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.011
 Current Ratio 0.565
Current Ratio QoQ -24.385 %
Current Ratio YoY 1.735 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.279
mean: 0.817
median: 0.73
FE: 0.565
low: 0.455
 Quick Ratio 0.456
Quick Ratio QoQ -29.33 %
Quick Ratio YoY 2.251 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 1.827
mean: 0.694
median: 0.6
FE: 0.456
low: 0.267
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 38.599
 Cost Of Debt 0.772 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 1.011
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -69.694 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -60.887 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 11.589
mean: 3.343
median: 2.436
FE: 1.011
low: -2.921
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.126
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 110.483
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio -0.191
 Dividend Payout Ratio -5.245
 Dividend Rate 0.44
 Dividend Yield 0.01
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 0.036 %
 Revenue Growth -8.462 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -137.241 %
Revenue Growth YoY -42.94 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 28.355 %
FE: -8.462 %
mean: -11.229 %
median: -11.565 %
low: -30.545 %
 Earnings Growth -36.145 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -160.631 %
Earnings Growth YoY 70.689 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 26.316 %
median: -33.889 %
FE: -36.145 %
mean: -37.583 %
low: -79.31 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 63.84 %
Gross Margin QoQ 0.154 %
Gross Margin YoY -6.607 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 71.162 %
FE: 63.84 %
median: 57.4 %
mean: 51.778 %
low: 8.328 %
 EBIT Margin 7.032 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -66.511 %
EBIT Margin YoY -63.861 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 29.277 %
median: 22.438 %
mean: 22.225 %
FE: 7.032 %
low: -6.942 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 15.881 %
Return On Sales QoQ -20.635 %
Return On Sales YoY -18.383 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 26.505 %
median: 19.041 %
mean: 18.777 %
FE: 15.881 %
low: 5.256 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -30.00 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -0.112 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -93.906 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -89.581 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 0.916 %
FE: -0.112 %
median: -0.185 %
mean: -0.861 %
low: -9.091 %
 Free Cash Growth -93.631 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -138.011 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -1121.058 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 150.31 %
median: -82.083 %
FE: -93.631 %
mean: -134.031 %
low: -401.968 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.612
 Cash Flow Margin 17.435 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -13.51
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.02
 Return On Assets (ROA) -0.088 %
Return On Assets QoQ -110.986 %
Return On Assets YoY -117.323 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 2.845 %
mean: 0.901 %
median: 0.736 %
FE: -0.088 %
low: -0.509 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.527 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.004
Return On Equity QoQ -111.376 %
Return On Equity YoY -118.702 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.066
median: 0.028
mean: 0.027
low: 0.008
FE: -0.004
 DuPont ROE -0.387 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.54 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -71.368 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -98.416 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 4.647 %
mean: 1.473 %
median: 1.104 %
low: 0.709 %
FE: 0.54 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term technical momentum points to modest upside potential while fundamental stressors constrain a durable rally. Bullish signals: rising DI+, MACD dip & reversal, price above short- and long-term averages, and RSI below overbought territory suggest additional gains could push toward the consensus price target mean of $53.51. Offsetting that: MRO positive with a peak & reversal, negative free cash flow, strained interest coverage and below-average session volume increase the risk of a retracement toward structural support near the super trend lower of $48.95. Low volatility and muted volume suggest any move may unfold gradually rather than sharply over the next six weeks.

About FirstEnergy Corp.

FirstEnergy Corp. (NYSE:FE) delivers electricity to nearly 6 million customers across Ohio, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Maryland, New Jersey, and New York. Headquartered in Akron, Ohio, the company manages its operations through two primary segments: Regulated Distribution and Regulated Transmission. FirstEnergy ensures the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity through a diverse energy portfolio that includes coal-fired, nuclear, hydroelectric, wind, and solar facilities. The company’s infrastructure features an extensive network of transmission and distribution systems, including 24,080 circuit miles of transmission lines and 274,518 miles of distribution lines. This network facilitates the efficient delivery of energy to residential and commercial customers. Since its incorporation in 1996, FirstEnergy has prioritized grid reliability and customer satisfaction. The company invests in modern technologies and sustainable practices to adapt to the evolving energy landscape. By integrating both sustainable and traditional energy sources, FirstEnergy aims to meet increasing energy demands while promoting environmental stewardship and economic growth in the regions it serves.



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