Amerant Bancorp Inc (NASDAQ:AMTB) Builds Momentum Toward Near-Term Price Appreciation

Amerant shows improving technical momentum and a mixed fundamental profile that supports a constructive near-term bias. WMDST’s valuation labels the stock under-valued, creating the context for monitoring momentum-driven upside.

Recent News

On January 22–23, 2026 Amerant reported fourth-quarter 2025 results and outlined a new three‑year strategic plan; management disclosed loan sales closed in January and ongoing credit actions. In February 2026 the board declared a $0.09 quarterly cash dividend payable February 27, 2026 and approved a share repurchase program. Insider filings in February 2026 show restricted stock units vesting for certain executives.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators: DI+ stands at 24.19 and trends increasing, while DI– reads 16.98 and trends decreasing; this configuration signals a bullish directional bias. ADX at 17.38 remains below 20, indicating no strong trend despite the bullish DI+/DI– setup.

MACD momentum: MACD equals 0.23 with an increasing trend and sits above the signal line at 0.02, representing a bullish MACD cross that supports near-term momentum toward higher prices.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO registers −19.91 with an increasing trend, which implies the price sits below model target and presents upside potential as momentum converges upward.

Relative strength: RSI at 55.82 and rising signals moderate bullishness without overbought conditions, supporting continuation of the recent advance rather than an immediate exhaustion.

Price vs moving averages and bands: The closing price $23.22 exceeds the 12‑day EMA ($22.03), 20‑day average ($21.62), 50‑day average ($21.80) and 200‑day average ($19.98), indicating price strength across horizons. Price sits above the 1× Bollinger upper band ($22.54) and just below the 2× upper band ($23.47), signaling elevated placement within the volatility envelope.

Ichimoku and support: Tenkan and Kijun both at $21.67 with Senkou A $22.07 and Senkou B $21.19; the current price sits above the cloud and above the super trend lower support at $21.46, reinforcing short‑term bullish structure.

Volume and volatility: Latest volume (232,979) remains slightly below the 10‑day average (237,580) and well below the 50/200‑day averages, suggesting the recent uptick lacks broad volume confirmation. 42‑day beta 0.81 and 52‑week beta 0.94 point to below‑market to near‑market volatility.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings: Reported EPS $0.53 exceeded estimate $0.36 by $0.17, representing a 47.22% EPS surprise; forward EPS sits at $0.65875 with a forward P/E of 28.48, signaling expected improvement in earnings power relative to current trailing multiples.

Valuation multiples: Trailing P/E equals 37.08, below the industry peer mean P/E of 43.94 and below the industry peer median of 43.18. Price-to-book equals 0.85, below the industry peer mean book multiple of 1.26 and the median of 1.20, while remaining above the industry peer low of 0.27. Free cash flow yield equals 3.92%, above the industry peer mean free cash flow yield of 2.19%.

Growth and profitability: Reported revenue $96,388,000 with YoY revenue growth at −100.23% and QoQ essentially flat; earnings growth shows +35.90% on the latest figure but the YoY earnings change reads −57.86%. Return on assets equals 0.027% and return on equity equals 0.288%, both down markedly versus prior periods (ROA QoQ −80.99%, ROE QoQ −81.56%), indicating near‑term profitability pressures despite management targets for improvement.

Balance sheet and cash flow: Total assets $9,777,018,000 with cash $463,955,000 and total equity $938,802,000. Debt to assets equals 9.445% and debt to equity equals 98.361%; debt‑to‑assets shows a large YoY percentage change. Operating cash flow $36,482,000 and free cash flow $31,271,000 produce a cash‑flow‑to‑earnings ratio of 1.76, signaling cash conversion strength even amid compressed net income of $2,701,000.

Capital deployment: Management returned capital via a declared $0.09 quarterly dividend (dividend yield ~0.46%) and board authorization for buybacks; dividend coverage ratio reads 0.73 and payout ratio 1.37, indicating the cash dividend carries limited coverage relative to current earnings.

Valuation view: The current valuation as determined by WMDST labels the stock under‑valued given the combination of below‑peer book multiple, above‑peer free cash flow yield, and an improving earnings outlook reflected in forward EPS and forward multiples.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-01-22
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-04-23
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 630.9 M
 Operating Cash Flow 36.5 M
 Capital Expenditures -5.21 M
 Change In Working Capital 8.2 M
 Dividends Paid -3.69 M
 Cash Flow Delta -160.70 M
 End Period Cash Flow 470.2 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 96.4 M
 Forward Revenue 238.6 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue
 Depreciation 2.1 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 2.1 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit
 EBITDA
 EBIT
 Operating Income
 Interest Income 147.2 M
 Interest Expense 57.0 M
 Net Interest Income 90.2 M
 Income Before Tax 1.9 M
 Tax Provision -794.00 K
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income 2.7 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 2.7 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.36
 EPS Actual 0.53
 EPS Difference 0.17
 EPS Surprise 47.222 %
 Forward EPS 0.66
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 9.8 B
 Intangible Assets 19.2 M
 Net Tangible Assets 919.6 M
 Total Current Assets
 Cash and Short-Term Investments
 Cash 464.0 M
 Net Receivables
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities
 Net Debt 342.0 M
 Total Debt 923.4 M
 Total Liabilities 8.8 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 938.8 M
 Retained Earnings 619.6 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 23.13
 Shares Outstanding 40.595 M
 Revenue Per-Share 2.37
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 797.8 M
 Enterprise Value 1.7 B
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R 17.857
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 10.414
 Asset To Liability 1.106
 Debt To Capital 0.496
 Debt To Assets 0.094
Debt To Assets QoQ -5.037 %
Debt To Assets YoY 1463.742 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.11
AMTB: 0.094
median: 0.053
mean: 0.049
low: -0.0
 Debt To Equity 0.984
Debt To Equity QoQ -10.228 %
Debt To Equity YoY 1363.705 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.415
AMTB: 0.984
mean: 0.477
median: 0.466
low: -0.002
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 0.85
Price To Book QoQ 1.036 %
Price To Book YoY -20.192 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 2.039
mean: 1.264
median: 1.205
AMTB: 0.85
low: 0.274
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 37.078
Price To Earnings QoQ -24.917 %
Price To Earnings YoY -17.627 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 77.079
mean: 43.939
median: 43.18
AMTB: 37.078
low: 30.108
 PE/G Ratio 1.033
 Price To Sales (P/S) 8.276
Price To Sales QoQ 13.23 %
Price To Sales YoY -26.169 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 25.837
mean: 13.438
median: 12.554
AMTB: 8.276
low: 0.123
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 28.476
Forward PE/G 0.793
Forward P/S 3.344
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.01
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -8.874 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 14.371 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.015
mean: 0.01
median: 0.01
AMTB: 0.01
low: 0.006
 Receivables Turnover
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio
 CapEx To Revenue -0.054
 CapEx To Depreciation -2.53
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.7 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.7 B
 Invested Capital 1.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets 919.6 M
 Net Working Capital
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio
 Current Ratio
Current Ratio QoQ
Current Ratio YoY
Current Ratio IPRWA
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA
 Cost Of Debt 4.541 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.732
 Dividend Payout Ratio 1.367
 Dividend Rate 0.09
 Dividend Yield 0.005
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -6.082 %
 Revenue Growth -0.381 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -0.0 %
Revenue Growth YoY -100.226 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 23.369 %
mean: 3.442 %
median: 3.154 %
AMTB: -0.381 %
low: -10.947 %
 Earnings Growth 35.897 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -213.674 %
Earnings Growth YoY -57.86 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 44.444 %
AMTB: 35.897 %
mean: 3.084 %
median: 2.632 %
low: -25.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin
Gross Margin QoQ
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin
EBIT Margin QoQ
EBIT Margin YoY
EBIT Margin IPRWA
 Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Sales QoQ
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 31.3 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 3.92 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 31.367 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -51.575 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 7.476 %
AMTB: 3.92 %
median: 2.306 %
mean: 2.193 %
low: -3.012 %
 Free Cash Growth 31.862 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -155.086 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -98.886 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 176.765 %
AMTB: 31.862 %
mean: -2.923 %
median: -9.484 %
low: -234.402 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 11.578
 Cash Flow Margin 4.939 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.763
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.027 %
Return On Assets QoQ -80.986 %
Return On Assets YoY -83.832 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 0.519 %
median: 0.311 %
mean: 0.308 %
AMTB: 0.027 %
low: -0.023 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.003
Return On Equity QoQ -81.562 %
Return On Equity YoY -84.81 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.047
mean: 0.028
median: 0.028
low: 0.006
AMTB: 0.003
 DuPont ROE 0.287 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC)
Return On Invested Capital QoQ
Return On Invested Capital YoY
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA

Six-Week Outlook

Near term, momentum indicators (rising DI+, bullish MACD cross, rising RSI) favor continuation of the recent advance, while ADX below 20 signals no strong trending commitment. Price sits above key moving averages and above the Ichimoku cloud, offering technical support in the $21.40–$22.10 area. MRO’s negative but rising reading suggests the price carries measurable upside to converge toward model targets. Volume remains slightly subdued versus recent averages, so confirmatory volume would strengthen the bullish case. Traders should monitor MACD momentum and whether ADX climbs above 20; a persistent MACD above its signal and improving ADX would support further upside within the six‑week horizon, while failure to hold the super trend support and a MACD peak‑and‑reverse would shift the outlook toward consolidation.

About Amerant Bancorp Inc.

Amerant Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ:AMTB) serves as a leading financial institution based in Coral Gables, Florida, with a history dating back to 1979. As the parent company of Amerant Bank, N.A., it delivers comprehensive banking services tailored to individuals and businesses both domestically and internationally. The company offers a variety of account options, including checking, savings, and money market accounts, along with cash management services and certificates of deposit. Amerant Bancorp provides an array of lending products such as commercial real estate loans, residential mortgages, consumer loans, and credit card services. It caters to high-net-worth clients through trust and estate planning, wealth management, and fiduciary services. Additionally, the company offers brokerage and investment advisory services, granting clients access to global capital markets. With a strong presence in Florida and Texas, Amerant Bancorp enhances customer accessibility through digital banking platforms, automated teller machines, and extensive treasury management services. By emphasizing customer service and innovative banking solutions, Amerant Bancorp establishes itself as a significant player in the financial services industry.



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