Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:UVE) Accelerates Buybacks, Signals Near-Term Growth Potential

Strong cash generation and a material share-repurchase authorization, paired with an outsized EPS beat, place the company in a position for continued capital return and valuation re-rating over the coming weeks.

Recent News

On January 7, 2026 the company authorized a $20.0 million share repurchase program. On February 24–25, 2026 Universal released fourth-quarter 2025 results showing adjusted diluted EPS of $2.17, above the $1.30 consensus estimate, and reported strong annual net income. The company declared and paid a regular cash dividend in March 2026 (cash payable March 13, 2026).

Technical Analysis

ADX at 16.01 indicates no established trend; price action therefore qualifies as range-bound rather than trending, which reduces the likelihood of a sustained breakout without a fresh directional catalyst.

Directional indicators present mixed directional momentum: DI+ at 22.65 shows a peak-and-reversal (bearish signal), while DI- at 17.93 also shows a peak-and-reversal (bullish signal). These opposing DI signals inside a weak ADX environment suggest choppy, mean-reverting price behavior into the near term.

MACD sits at 0.36 beneath its signal line of 0.47 and carries a peak-and-reversal reading; that combination indicates fading bullish momentum and a short-term bearish tilt in momentum until MACD re-accelerates above the signal line.

MRO at 29.9 (peak-and-reversal) registers positive territory, which implies the price currently sits above the model target and faces mean-reversion pressure; strength of the MRO number signals meaningful but not extreme reversion potential.

RSI at 54.29 with a peak-and-reversal reading places momentum in neutral-to-slightly-weak range; RSI does not show overbought conditions but confirms recent loss of upside momentum.

Price sits at $34.16, above the 200-day average of $29.11 and slightly above the 20-day average of $33.96; short-term moving averages tightened while the 12-day EMA shows a peak-and-reversal, signaling near-term momentum weakening despite a constructive longer-term moving-average bias. Bollinger bands place the 1x upper band near $34.55, leaving limited immediate upside before near-term resistance; the super-trend lower level near $32.50 serves as nearby support on intramonth pullbacks.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Operational profitability remains strong: EBIT equals $89,872,000 and the EBIT margin measures 22.03%, above the industry peer mean of 20.92%. Quarter-over-quarter EBIT-margin expansion registers 62.98% and the year-over-year reading shows a substantial increase (865.43%), reflecting material margin recovery versus prior periods.

Earnings exceeded expectations: diluted EPS of $2.17 beat the $1.30 estimate by $0.87, yielding an EPS surprise of approximately 66.92%. Forward EPS stands at $1.00 with forward P/E roughly 31.50; trailing P/E equals 14.30, which implies the market currently values trailing earnings more cheaply than forward consensus would suggest.

Balance-sheet metrics support capital deployment: cash and short-term investments total $571.79 million, while total debt remains modest at $100.48 million (debt-to-assets 3.54%). Interest coverage approximates 63.20x, indicating material capacity to service debt and support buybacks or dividends from operating profits.

Returns show durable profitability: return on equity records 12.08% (above the industry peer mean of 6.90%), and return on assets at 2.25% sits above the industry peer mean of 1.76%. Free cash flow equals $25,003,000 with a free-cash-flow yield of 2.88% and free-cash-flow growth negative over the last year, reflecting volatility in cash generation despite positive absolute FCF.

Valuation context: price-to-book stands at 1.5769 (below the industry peer mean of 2.5810), and price-to-sales at 2.13. WMDST values the stock as under-valued; the combination of above-peer margins, conservative leverage, strong interest coverage, and a meaningful buyback authorization supports that stated valuation.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-24
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-26
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 474.2 M
 Operating Cash Flow 26.1 M
 Capital Expenditures -1.08 M
 Change In Working Capital -40.51 M
 Dividends Paid -8.35 M
 Cash Flow Delta 3.6 M
 End Period Cash Flow 477.8 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 407.9 M
 Forward Revenue 42.9 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 319.5 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit
 EBITDA
 EBIT 89.9 M
 Operating Income
 Interest Income -177.00 K
 Interest Expense 1.4 M
 Net Interest Income -1.60 M
 Income Before Tax 88.5 M
 Tax Provision 21.9 M
 Tax Rate 24.716 %
 Net Income 66.6 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 66.6 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.30
 EPS Actual 2.17
 EPS Difference 0.87
 EPS Surprise 66.923 %
 Forward EPS 1.00
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 2.8 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 551.0 M
 Total Current Assets
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 571.8 M
 Cash 408.9 M
 Net Receivables 308.6 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 257.2 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 100.5 M
 Total Liabilities 2.3 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 551.0 M
 Retained Earnings 757.4 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 19.67
 Shares Outstanding 28.008 M
 Revenue Per-Share 14.56
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 868.9 M
 Enterprise Value 397.6 M
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R 0.975
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 5.153
 Asset To Liability 1.241
 Debt To Capital 0.154
 Debt To Assets 0.035
Debt To Assets QoQ 8.594 %
Debt To Assets YoY -0.702 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.14
median: 0.056
mean: 0.054
UVE: 0.035
low: 0.005
 Debt To Equity 0.182
Debt To Equity QoQ -10.331 %
Debt To Equity YoY -32.774 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 0.705
mean: 0.228
median: 0.227
UVE: 0.182
low: 0.012
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.577
Price To Book QoQ 5.309 %
Price To Book YoY 4.501 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 6.563
mean: 2.581
median: 1.861
UVE: 1.577
low: 0.322
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 14.297
Price To Earnings QoQ -26.43 %
Price To Earnings YoY -82.17 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 103.837
mean: 40.889
median: 40.504
UVE: 14.297
low: 12.348
 PE/G Ratio 0.24
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2.13
Price To Sales QoQ 15.224 %
Price To Sales YoY 45.533 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 19.182
mean: 5.878
median: 5.676
UVE: 2.13
low: 1.58
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 31.499
Forward PE/G 0.529
Forward P/S 20.257
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 37.994
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.138
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 9.215 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -1.798 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.259
UVE: 0.138
mean: 0.112
median: 0.087
low: 0.008
 Receivables Turnover 1.154
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 24.314 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 39.155 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.703
UVE: 1.154
mean: 0.717
median: 0.604
low: 0.073
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 79.075
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 79.075
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -19.559 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 438.402
mean: 120.442
median: 80.405
UVE: 79.075
low: 33.334
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio
 CapEx To Revenue -0.003
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 651.5 M
 Net Invested Capital 651.5 M
 Invested Capital 651.5 M
 Net Tangible Assets 551.0 M
 Net Working Capital
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio
 Current Ratio
Current Ratio QoQ
Current Ratio YoY
Current Ratio IPRWA
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA
 Cost Of Debt 1.064 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 63.201
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 66.273 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 932.956 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 143.716
UVE: 63.201
mean: 38.626
median: 37.5
low: -0.995
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 7.971
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.125
 Dividend Rate 0.30
 Dividend Yield 0.01
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -8.09 %
 Revenue Growth 1.732 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 724.762 %
Revenue Growth YoY -344.633 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 21.706 %
mean: 3.728 %
median: 2.421 %
UVE: 1.732 %
low: -20.344 %
 Earnings Growth 59.559 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 463.525 %
Earnings Growth YoY -144.365 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA UVE: 59.559 %
high: 47.959 %
median: 5.18 %
mean: 4.741 %
low: -43.137 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin
Gross Margin QoQ
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin 22.031 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 62.975 %
EBIT Margin YoY 865.425 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 62.969 %
UVE: 22.031 %
mean: 20.92 %
median: 16.497 %
low: -17.243 %
 Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Sales QoQ
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 25.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.877 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -65.191 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -115.85 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 13.218 %
mean: 3.493 %
median: 3.288 %
UVE: 2.877 %
low: -1.478 %
 Free Cash Growth -59.188 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 41.632 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -73.842 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 101.01 %
mean: -31.9 %
median: -36.48 %
UVE: -59.188 %
low: -205.847 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.375
 Cash Flow Margin -21.635 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.392
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.246 %
Return On Assets QoQ 79.536 %
Return On Assets YoY 925.571 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.006 %
UVE: 2.246 %
mean: 1.756 %
median: 1.737 %
low: -1.129 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.121
Return On Equity QoQ 50.186 %
Return On Equity YoY 649.628 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.134
UVE: 0.121
median: 0.076
mean: 0.069
low: -0.041
 DuPont ROE 12.732 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 10.385 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 51.164 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -559.31 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 11.649 %
UVE: 10.385 %
median: 6.141 %
mean: 5.973 %
low: -2.346 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term outlook favors range-bound trading with a slight upside bias if momentum indicators stabilize. Expect price to oscillate around the current $34 level with immediate support framed by the super-trend lower near $32.50 and short-term resistance near the 1x Bollinger upper band and the price-target mean at $37.67. If momentum indicators re-accelerate positively, the analyst target range leaves material upside to the reported high target of $55.12; conversely, sustained MACD and DI+ weakness would likely test short-term support and reintroduce consolidation closer to the low target area.

About Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc.

Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:UVE) develops and markets a range of personal residential insurance products across the United States. The company underwrites policies for homeowners, renters, condo unit owners, and provides coverage for dwelling/fire risks. It also offers allied lines, covering additional structures, personal property, liability, and personal articles. Universal Insurance Holdings manages the entire insurance process, from policy administration and underwriting to claims payments and actuarial consulting. It advises on reinsurance negotiations and manages reinsurance programs for its insurance entities. Through Clovered.com, a digital agency, the company facilitates direct-to-consumer online solutions, utilizing digital applications for claims adjustments and partnering with various carriers. Universal Insurance Holdings distributes its products via a network of independent agents, enhancing its reach and accessibility. Originally incorporated in 1990 and headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, the company rebranded from Universal Heights, Inc. to its current name in January 2001.



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