Afya Limited (NASDAQ:AFYA) Accelerates Margin Expansion While Cash Flow Supports Strategic Investments

Afya Limited posts elevated profitability metrics and strong cash generation while growth moderates, leaving valuation flagged under-valued by WMDST.

Recent News

March 12, 2026 — Board approved a cash dividend of R$307.4 million, representing 40% of consolidated net income for the year ended December 31, 2025, payable in U.S. dollars on April 6, 2026. February 6, 2026 — Company announced an increase in medical seats at the Afya Abaetetuba campus, expanding undergraduate capacity.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 21.69 signals an emerging trend strength, supporting a near-term directional bias for price movement rather than a clear long-term trend.

DI+ at 21.58 and increasing indicates bullish directional pressure; DI- at 17.13 and decreasing reinforces that bullish directional momentum for the immediate horizon.

MACD at 0.17, increasing and above its signal line (-0.01), produces a bullish momentum signal that aligns with the emerging trend strength and favors upward price impulses near term.

MRO at -12.21 (negative) indicates the price sits below the model target, implying upward potential toward valuation anchors if momentum sustains.

RSI at 50.9 and increasing shows momentum shifting from neutral toward accumulation, consistent with other short-term bullish indicators.

Price relationships: closing price $15.16 sits above the 20-day average ($14.37) and near the 200-day average ($15.08); the 12-day EMA trend shows price momentum to the upside, supporting a constructive short-term price bias while the 52-week range ($13.00–$19.90) frames available upside.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and margins present strength: EBIT $302,005,000 and EBITDA $396,662,000. EBIT margin stands at 32.53%, up 19.13% year-over-year and down 9.33% quarter-over-quarter, and sits above the industry peer mean (5.39%) and above the industry peer high (28.54%). Operating margin stands at 29.87% with year-over-year improvement of 9.41% and a quarter-over-quarter decline of 3.71%.

Cash generation remains robust: operating cash flow $506,167,000, free cash flow $428,085,000 and free cash flow yield 31.39% year-over-year growth of 55.25%. Cash and short-term investments total $996,826,000 while net debt equals $916,841,000, producing a net cash-like liquidity posture when weighted against cash generation.

Capital structure and leverage show moderate leverage: total debt $2,974,572,000, debt-to-assets 32.38% roughly in line with the industry peer mean (32.28%), debt-to-EBITDA about 7.50x, and interest coverage near 2.49x. Cost of debt runs about 3.46%, leaving interest burden manageable but highlighting sensitivity to earnings trends.

Top-line and growth metrics vary by horizon: total revenue $928,505,000; reported revenue growth year-over-year registers -74.38% while an alternate growth field shows 0.99% (labels differ within the provided data); quarter-over-quarter revenue change presents as -154.67%. Earnings per share actual $2.25 exceeded estimate $1.87 by $0.38, producing a 20.32% EPS surprise; forward EPS shows compression with a forward P/E of 37.24 versus a trailing P/E of 7.23.

Balance-sheet efficiency: asset turnover at 0.10 lags the industry peer mean (0.33), while cash conversion cycle at -11.20 days compares favorably to the industry peer mean (11.59 days), shortening working-capital needs. Return on equity at 3.27% and return on assets at 1.68% improved year-over-year but remain modest in absolute terms.

Valuation context: WMDST values the stock as under-valued. Market multiples show P/B at 0.29, below the industry peer mean (3.65) and industry peer median (1.78), while P/S at 1.47 and forward P/E at 37.24 reflect mixed signals between current earnings power and forward expectations. High free cash flow yield and elevated margins anchor the under-valued call despite leverage and top-line moderation.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-03-12
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-06-11
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 1.1 B
 Operating Cash Flow 506.2 M
 Capital Expenditures -78.08 M
 Change In Working Capital 73.1 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -102.28 M
 End Period Cash Flow 996.8 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 928.5 M
 Forward Revenue 70.2 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 339.9 M
 Depreciation 49.3 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 94.7 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 651.1 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 588.6 M
 EBITDA 396.7 M
 EBIT 302.0 M
 Operating Income 277.4 M
 Interest Income 57.0 M
 Interest Expense 121.4 M
 Net Interest Income -98.82 M
 Income Before Tax 180.6 M
 Tax Provision 21.2 M
 Tax Rate 11.748 %
 Net Income 155.2 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 180.6 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.87
 EPS Actual 2.25
 EPS Difference 0.38
 EPS Surprise 20.321 %
 Forward EPS 0.52
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 9.2 B
 Intangible Assets 5.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets -828.65 M
 Total Current Assets 1.8 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 996.8 M
 Cash 996.8 M
 Net Receivables 671.2 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 123.9 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 249.1 M
 Short-Term Debt 916.8 M
 Total Current Liabilities 1.8 B
 Net Debt 916.8 M
 Total Debt 3.0 B
 Total Liabilities 4.4 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 4.7 B
 Retained Earnings 2.5 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 52.33
 Shares Outstanding 90.698 M
 Revenue Per-Share 10.24
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.4 B
 Enterprise Value 3.3 B
 Enterprise Multiple 8.424
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 0.727 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 288.879 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 190.244
median: 48.181
AFYA: 8.424
mean: -0.197
low: -219.035
 EV/R 3.599
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.936
 Asset To Liability 2.088
 Debt To Capital 0.385
 Debt To Assets 0.324
Debt To Assets QoQ -7.256 %
Debt To Assets YoY 9284.638 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.956
AFYA: 0.324
mean: 0.323
median: 0.309
low: 0.0
 Debt To Equity 0.627
Debt To Equity QoQ -10.676 %
Debt To Equity YoY 8473.735 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.466
mean: 1.047
median: 0.879
AFYA: 0.627
low: -1.645
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 0.287
Price To Book QoQ -7.274 %
Price To Book YoY -20.753 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 27.592
mean: 3.653
median: 1.785
AFYA: 0.287
low: -9.335
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 7.228
Price To Earnings QoQ 1.538 %
Price To Earnings YoY -8.095 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 517.132
mean: 78.749
median: 64.535
AFYA: 7.228
low: -80.57
 PE/G Ratio -0.864
 Price To Sales (P/S) 1.469
Price To Sales QoQ -5.194 %
Price To Sales YoY -17.103 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 28.774
mean: 6.125
median: 4.136
AFYA: 1.469
low: 0.079
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 37.237
Forward PE/G -4.449
Forward P/S 23.787
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -1.269
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.101
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.579 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -0.758 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.945
median: 0.397
mean: 0.335
AFYA: 0.101
low: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 1.375
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.574 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -6.184 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 10.974
mean: 4.401
median: 2.904
AFYA: 1.375
low: 0.147
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 66.343
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -11.195
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -75.518 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 132.972
median: 14.524
mean: 11.594
AFYA: -11.195
low: -85.326
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -24.436
 CapEx To Revenue -0.084
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.582
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 5.7 B
 Net Invested Capital 6.7 B
 Invested Capital 6.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets -828.65 M
 Net Working Capital -38.00 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.554
 Current Ratio 0.979
Current Ratio QoQ 4.554 %
Current Ratio YoY -38.65 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 6.656
mean: 1.256
AFYA: 0.979
median: 0.832
low: 0.004
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 7.499
 Cost Of Debt 3.455 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 2.488
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 2.464 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 0.869 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 30.491
AFYA: 2.488
mean: 1.983
median: 1.758
low: -59.14
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.096
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 77.538
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.552 %
 Revenue Growth 0.99 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -154.666 %
Revenue Growth YoY -74.379 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 14.194 %
mean: 2.891 %
median: 1.992 %
AFYA: 0.99 %
low: -22.095 %
 Earnings Growth -8.37 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -71.2 %
Earnings Growth YoY 0.88 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 131.373 %
mean: -6.187 %
AFYA: -8.37 %
median: -11.602 %
low: -234.091 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 63.391 %
Gross Margin QoQ 1.062 %
Gross Margin YoY 3.12 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 87.689 %
AFYA: 63.391 %
mean: 27.876 %
median: 25.598 %
low: -9.25 %
 EBIT Margin 32.526 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -9.33 %
EBIT Margin YoY 19.13 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA AFYA: 32.526 %
high: 28.543 %
mean: 5.393 %
median: 1.203 %
low: -43.522 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 29.872 %
Return On Sales QoQ -3.71 %
Return On Sales YoY 9.409 %
Return On Sales IPRWA AFYA: 29.872 %
high: 27.891 %
mean: 7.937 %
median: 5.889 %
low: -43.781 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 428.1 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 31.394 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 149.932 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 55.254 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA AFYA: 31.394 %
high: 14.006 %
mean: 1.536 %
median: 1.231 %
low: -18.788 %
 Free Cash Growth 139.306 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -348.246 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 196.863 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 558.205 %
AFYA: 139.306 %
mean: -7.22 %
median: -49.804 %
low: -423.827 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 2.759
 Cash Flow Margin 18.679 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.118
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.684 %
Return On Assets QoQ -10.33 %
Return On Assets YoY 16.218 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 7.577 %
AFYA: 1.684 %
median: 0.355 %
mean: 0.32 %
low: -22.496 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 4.088 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.033
Return On Equity QoQ -12.803 %
Return On Equity YoY 11.99 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.378
AFYA: 0.033
mean: 0.015
median: 0.011
low: -0.391
 DuPont ROE 3.322 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 4.002 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -9.19 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -115.467 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 8.725 %
AFYA: 4.002 %
median: 0.766 %
mean: 0.597 %
low: -22.633 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect momentum-driven swings as technical indicators favor upside: emerging trend strength, MACD above its signal, and rising short-term EMAs likely support episodic rallies toward recent analyst targets while MRO negative suggests room for upward re-rating. Key fundamentals—strong margins, large cash balance, and elevated free cash flow yield—should limit downside in the event of pullbacks, though debt-to-EBITDA and volatile revenue growth introduce risk to sustained moves. Short-term traders should monitor directional indicator behavior and MACD momentum for conviction while keeping an eye on liquidity metrics and any corporate actions that would alter capital returns.

About Afya Limited

Afya Limited (NASDAQ:AFYA) is a pioneering force in medical education and digital health services, primarily operating in Brazil. The company is committed to transforming healthcare education through its diverse offerings across three main segments: Undergrad, Continuing Education, and Digital Services. Afya’s educational portfolio includes medical schools, residency preparation courses, and postgraduate programs, designed to nurture the next generation of healthcare professionals. Beyond traditional education, Afya excels in digital innovation, providing subscription-based platforms that empower healthcare professionals and students with essential tools for clinical decision-making. These digital solutions encompass medical calculators, up-to-date medical content, and clinical scoring systems, ensuring that users have the latest resources at their fingertips. Afya’s influence extends across various disciplines, offering courses in medicine, dentistry, nursing, and biomedicine, as well as business, engineering, and law. The company’s digital arm includes cutting-edge solutions like iClinic, a practice management tool; Cliquefarma, a pharmaceutical price comparison platform; Shosp, a clinical management system; RX PRO, a bridge between physicians and the pharmaceutical industry; and Glic, an app for diabetes management. Since its inception in 1999, Afya, headquartered in Nova Lima, Brazil, has been at the forefront of revolutionizing healthcare education and digital services, continually adapting to meet the evolving needs of the medical community.



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