Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:UVE) Accelerates Buybacks, Shifts Near-Term Momentum Lower

Universal Insurance confirmed a material capital-return program that strengthens shareholder cash allocation while fundamentals show clear improvement; technical momentum, however, indicates a moderation of near-term upside.

Recent News

On January 7, 2026 the board authorized a new share repurchase program allowing up to $20.0 million of common shares to be repurchased through January 8, 2028; the authorization follows recent, completed open-market repurchases disclosed in a Form 8‑K.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 22.77 signals an emerging directional environment rather than a strong trend; this strength reading suggests momentum can shift quickly if directional indicators change.

DI+ sits at 22.29 and shows a decreasing trend, which constitutes a bearish directional shift against prior bullishness and weighs on near-term upside relative to valuation support.

DI- reads 14.68 with a dip & reversal pattern; that pattern implies DI- moving higher from a prior low, reinforcing the directional friction signaled by DI+ and increasing short-term downside pressure.

MACD at 0.82 with a peak & reversal trend and a MACD signal of 0.83 indicates bearish momentum; the MACD sits just below its signal line and does not present a bullish crossover at present.

MRO at 35.84 and trending increasing places price above the computed target and implies a higher probability of mean reversion toward valuation-implied levels in the near term.

RSI 55.23 with a peak & reversal pattern signals waning upside momentum after a recent push; the reading sits in neutral territory but the reversal pattern favors consolidation or pullback over extension.

Price sits near short-term averages: close $34.28, 12‑day EMA $34.17 (peak & reversal), 20‑day average $34.49, above the 50‑day average $31.68 and the 200‑day average $28.67. That structure preserves medium-term bullish MA placement while short-term averages cap upside.

Bollinger bands place the 1‑STD upper at $35.92 and lower at $33.07; current price occupies the upper-mid band, so volatility-constrained extension would require renewed positive momentum to clear the upper band.

Ichimoku cloud components (Senkou A $30.78, Senkou B $31.77) lie below price, offering a technical support base; the SuperTrend lower at $32.50 provides a nearer tactical support level for price consolidation.

Volume at 148,900 sits below the 10‑day average (247,400), indicating recent moves lack accompanying participation and reducing conviction for sustained breakouts in the immediate term; 42‑day beta 0.26 and 52‑week beta 0.45 underscore low systematic sensitivity.

 


Fundamental Analysis

WMDST records net income $66,589,000 and EBIT $89,872,000 with an EBIT margin of 22.03%; that margin exceeds the industry peer mean of 20.86% and the industry peer median of 16.50%, supporting the current valuation. EBIT margin quarter-over-quarter rose +62.98% and shows a year-over-year change of +865.43% as reported.

EPS outperformed expectations: reported EPS $2.17 versus an estimate of $1.30, a difference of $0.87 and an EPS surprise of +66.92%, which materially strengthens near-term earnings credibility and supports free-cash conversion metrics.

Profitability and returns register positively: return on equity 12.08% and return on assets 2.25%, with ROE quarter-over-quarter up +50.19% and ROA quarter-over-quarter up +79.54%, signaling improved capital efficiency against recent periods.

Balance-sheet and liquidity metrics show $408,868,000 cash, $571,786,000 cash and short-term investments, total assets $2,839,695,000 and total equity $551,035,000; debt remains modest with total debt $100,481,000 and an interest coverage ratio of 63.20, indicating low financing strain.

Valuation multiples present a mixed picture: trailing P/E 14.30 versus an industry peer mean P/E 40.94, and P/B 1.58 below the industry peer mean P/B 2.59; PS ratio 2.13 below the industry peer mean PS 6.10. Forward P/E 31.50 with forward EPS $1.00 reflects elevated forward multiple versus trailing but remains below peer forward medians reported.

Cash-flow dynamics: operating cash flow $26,080,000, free cash flow $25,003,000 and free cash flow yield ~2.88%; free cash growth shows contraction year-over-year as reported, while free cash conversion to net income sits at 37.55%, indicating meaningful but variable cash conversion.

Revenue totaled $407,926,000 with a reported revenue growth figure of 1.73% and a quarter-on-quarter revenue change of +724.76% as provided; receivables turnover 1.15 and cash-conversion-cycle ~79 days align with the company’s underwriting and premium-collection cadence.

WMDST values the stock as under-valued based on the combination of above‑peer EBIT margin, robust earnings surprise, ample liquidity and conservative leverage; these fundamentals provide a valuation buffer against the current technical moderation.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-24
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-26
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 474.2 M
 Operating Cash Flow 26.1 M
 Capital Expenditures -1.08 M
 Change In Working Capital -40.51 M
 Dividends Paid -8.35 M
 Cash Flow Delta 3.6 M
 End Period Cash Flow 477.8 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 407.9 M
 Forward Revenue 42.9 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 319.5 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit
 EBITDA
 EBIT 89.9 M
 Operating Income
 Interest Income -177.00 K
 Interest Expense 1.4 M
 Net Interest Income -1.60 M
 Income Before Tax 88.5 M
 Tax Provision 21.9 M
 Tax Rate 24.716 %
 Net Income 66.6 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 66.6 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.30
 EPS Actual 2.17
 EPS Difference 0.87
 EPS Surprise 66.923 %
 Forward EPS 1.00
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 2.8 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 551.0 M
 Total Current Assets
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 571.8 M
 Cash 408.9 M
 Net Receivables 308.6 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 257.2 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 100.5 M
 Total Liabilities 2.3 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 551.0 M
 Retained Earnings 757.4 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 19.67
 Shares Outstanding 28.008 M
 Revenue Per-Share 14.56
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 868.9 M
 Enterprise Value 397.6 M
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R 0.975
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 5.153
 Asset To Liability 1.241
 Debt To Capital 0.154
 Debt To Assets 0.035
Debt To Assets QoQ 8.594 %
Debt To Assets YoY -0.702 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.14
median: 0.056
mean: 0.054
UVE: 0.035
low: 0.011
 Debt To Equity 0.182
Debt To Equity QoQ -10.331 %
Debt To Equity YoY -32.774 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 0.705
mean: 0.229
median: 0.227
UVE: 0.182
low: 0.041
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.577
Price To Book QoQ 5.309 %
Price To Book YoY 4.501 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 6.563
mean: 2.587
median: 1.861
UVE: 1.577
low: 0.322
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 14.297
Price To Earnings QoQ -26.43 %
Price To Earnings YoY -82.17 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 103.837
mean: 40.938
median: 39.904
UVE: 14.297
low: 12.348
 PE/G Ratio 0.24
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2.13
Price To Sales QoQ 15.224 %
Price To Sales YoY 45.533 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 24.822
mean: 6.101
median: 5.676
UVE: 2.13
low: 1.58
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 31.499
Forward PE/G 0.529
Forward P/S 20.257
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 37.994
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.138
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 9.215 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -1.798 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.186
UVE: 0.138
mean: 0.111
median: 0.087
low: 0.018
 Receivables Turnover 1.154
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 24.314 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 39.155 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.703
UVE: 1.154
mean: 0.717
median: 0.604
low: 0.073
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 79.075
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 79.075
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -19.559 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 869.017
mean: 134.466
median: 80.405
UVE: 79.075
low: 53.57
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio
 CapEx To Revenue -0.003
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 651.5 M
 Net Invested Capital 651.5 M
 Invested Capital 651.5 M
 Net Tangible Assets 551.0 M
 Net Working Capital
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio
 Current Ratio
Current Ratio QoQ
Current Ratio YoY
Current Ratio IPRWA
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA
 Cost Of Debt 1.064 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 63.201
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 66.273 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 932.956 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 143.716
UVE: 63.201
mean: 38.635
median: 37.5
low: -0.5
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 7.971
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.125
 Dividend Rate 0.30
 Dividend Yield 0.01
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -8.09 %
 Revenue Growth 1.732 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 724.762 %
Revenue Growth YoY -344.633 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 21.706 %
mean: 3.754 %
median: 1.888 %
UVE: 1.732 %
low: -4.36 %
 Earnings Growth 59.559 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 463.525 %
Earnings Growth YoY -144.365 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA UVE: 59.559 %
high: 47.959 %
median: 5.18 %
mean: 4.684 %
low: -43.137 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin
Gross Margin QoQ
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin 22.031 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 62.975 %
EBIT Margin YoY 865.425 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 58.862 %
UVE: 22.031 %
mean: 20.861 %
median: 16.497 %
low: -17.243 %
 Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Sales QoQ
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 25.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.877 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -65.191 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -115.85 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 13.218 %
mean: 3.503 %
median: 3.288 %
UVE: 2.877 %
low: -0.038 %
 Free Cash Growth -59.188 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 41.632 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -73.842 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 101.01 %
mean: -31.331 %
median: -36.48 %
UVE: -59.188 %
low: -102.239 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.375
 Cash Flow Margin -21.635 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.392
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.246 %
Return On Assets QoQ 79.536 %
Return On Assets YoY 925.571 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.006 %
UVE: 2.246 %
mean: 1.757 %
median: 1.737 %
low: -1.129 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.121
Return On Equity QoQ 50.186 %
Return On Equity YoY 649.628 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.134
UVE: 0.121
median: 0.076
mean: 0.069
low: -0.041
 DuPont ROE 12.732 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 10.385 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 51.164 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -559.31 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 10.813 %
UVE: 10.385 %
median: 6.141 %
mean: 5.966 %
low: -2.346 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term bias: neutral-to-cautious. Technical momentum indicators (MACD peak & reversal, DI+/DI- directional shift, RSI peak & reversal) favor consolidation or a modest pullback rather than sustained upside. Support clusters appear near the SuperTrend lower at $32.50 and the 50‑day average around $31.68; resistance aligns with the 1‑STD Bollinger upper near $35.92 and the 52‑week high at $36.51. Corporate catalysts to monitor include further buyback execution and quarterly reporting cadence, both capable of re-energizing participation if results or buyback activity accelerate.

About Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc.

Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:UVE) develops and markets a range of personal residential insurance products across the United States. The company underwrites policies for homeowners, renters, condo unit owners, and provides coverage for dwelling/fire risks. It also offers allied lines, covering additional structures, personal property, liability, and personal articles. Universal Insurance Holdings manages the entire insurance process, from policy administration and underwriting to claims payments and actuarial consulting. It advises on reinsurance negotiations and manages reinsurance programs for its insurance entities. Through Clovered.com, a digital agency, the company facilitates direct-to-consumer online solutions, utilizing digital applications for claims adjustments and partnering with various carriers. Universal Insurance Holdings distributes its products via a network of independent agents, enhancing its reach and accessibility. Originally incorporated in 1990 and headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, the company rebranded from Universal Heights, Inc. to its current name in January 2001.



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