FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX) Accelerates Network Optimization, Tightening Near-Term Operational Levers

FedEx moves deeper into cost and network restructuring with a clear operational tightening underway; near-term momentum remains strong but shows technical signs of a probable pullback. Fundamentals show improving margins and cash conversion while leverage and multiple metrics keep valuation in a fair-valued range.

Recent News

On January 5, 2026 FedEx implemented its 2026 rate changes across services, including revised surcharges. On January 30, 2026 the company announced additional network optimization actions and staff reductions tied to transformation programs. On February 12, 2026 management outlined a strategy aimed at materially increasing operating income through efficiency measures. On February 16, 2026 the company posted regulatory alerts affecting certain cross-border and customs procedures.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show a very strong trend in place: ADX at 56.5 signals high trend strength while DI+ at 31.71 decreasing and DI- at 8.22 with a dip-and-reversal both point to a bearish directional tilt within that strong trend.

MACD sits at 15.61 and trends decreasing with the MACD signal at 17.19, indicating bearish momentum and no bullish MACD cross at present.

Price sits above most moving averages: close $384.09 exceeds the 20-day average $382.54, 50-day average $335.22 and 200-day average $262.57; the 12-day EMA is rising, showing shorter-term upward pressure even as momentum indicators cool. The lower SuperTrend at $369.33 provides a near-term support reference.

MRO at 32.81 (positive and increasing) implies the current price stands above the model target and carries downward potential, aligning with a price that may mean-revert. RSI at 72.97 and decreasing flags an overbought condition easing lower, consistent with the other momentum signals.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $23,469,000,000 with reported revenue growth of 5.51%. Quarterly revenue growth shows a strong jump QoQ of 49.99% while the provided year-over-year figure reads 206.29% (both values supplied). Cash flow from operations reached $1,951,000,000 with free cash flow $1,194,000,000 and a free cash flow yield of 1.96% (slightly below the industry peer mean of 2.27%).

Operating income (EBIT) totaled $1,621,000,000, producing an EBIT margin of 6.91%, which sits below the industry peer mean of 8.63% and below the peer median of 8.79%; EBIT margin improved QoQ by 18.37% and YoY by 10.11%.

Earnings per share came in at $4.82 versus an estimate of $4.11, an EPS surprise of 17.28%. Forward EPS stands at $5.42 with a forward P/E near 47.12. Trailing P/E reads 53.73 and price-to-book near 2.16; the stock’s market capitalization reached $60,860,180,150 while enterprise value stands at $92,056,180,150.

Leverage remains notable: total debt $37,766,000,000 and net debt $14,625,000,000. Debt-to-assets equals 42.35% and debt-to-equity equals 134.21%. Interest coverage remains healthy at 16.89x, supporting serviceability despite elevated leverage levels. Return on equity sits at 3.40% with return on assets 1.08% while operating margin improvements support operating leverage of 4.52x. WMDST values the stock as fair-valued based on these inputs.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-11-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-12-18
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-03-19
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 6.2 B
 Operating Cash Flow 2.0 B
 Capital Expenditures -757.00 M
 Change In Working Capital -1.18 B
 Dividends Paid -342.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta 404.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 6.6 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 23.5 B
 Forward Revenue 7.8 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 18.3 B
 Depreciation 1.1 B
 Depreciation and Amortization 1.1 B
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 21.8 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 5.1 B
 EBITDA 2.7 B
 EBIT 1.6 B
 Operating Income 1.6 B
 Interest Income -135.00 M
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income -135.00 M
 Income Before Tax 1.3 B
 Tax Provision 333.0 M
 Tax Rate 25.8 %
 Net Income 956.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 956.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 4.11
 EPS Actual 4.82
 EPS Difference 0.71
 EPS Surprise 17.275 %
 Forward EPS 5.42
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 89.2 B
 Intangible Assets 6.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 21.5 B
 Total Current Assets 20.7 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 6.6 B
 Cash 6.6 B
 Net Receivables 12.2 B
 Inventory 631.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 4.4 B
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 4.7 B
 Short-Term Debt 901.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 16.2 B
 Net Debt 14.6 B
 Total Debt 37.8 B
 Total Liabilities 61.0 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 28.1 B
 Retained Earnings 42.2 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 119.74
 Shares Outstanding 235.000 M
 Revenue Per-Share 99.87
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 60.9 B
 Enterprise Value 92.1 B
 Enterprise Multiple 34.234
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -4.1 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 32.631 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 115.89
mean: 50.34
FDX: 34.234
median: 29.766
low: 2.046
 EV/R 3.922
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 3.169
 Asset To Liability 1.461
 Debt To Capital 0.573
 Debt To Assets 0.423
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.222 %
Debt To Assets YoY 6010.823 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.554
FDX: 0.423
median: 0.391
mean: 0.33
low: 0.033
 Debt To Equity 1.342
Debt To Equity QoQ -1.676 %
Debt To Equity YoY 5899.464 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.844
median: 1.762
mean: 1.354
FDX: 1.342
low: 0.043
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.163
Price To Book QoQ 12.103 %
Price To Book YoY -15.148 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 10.221
mean: 6.308
median: 5.223
FDX: 2.163
low: 0.232
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 53.73
Price To Earnings QoQ -9.372 %
Price To Earnings YoY -22.289 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 219.55
mean: 80.681
FDX: 53.73
median: 38.512
low: -140.344
 PE/G Ratio 2.079
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2.593
Price To Sales QoQ 7.663 %
Price To Sales YoY -15.536 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 8.459
mean: 4.652
median: 3.462
FDX: 2.593
low: 0.815
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 47.12
Forward PE/G 1.823
Forward P/S 7.985
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 4.519
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.264
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 4.586 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 3.586 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.761
mean: 0.416
median: 0.339
FDX: 0.264
low: 0.008
 Receivables Turnover 1.983
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.982 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -5.013 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.589
median: 2.312
mean: 2.063
FDX: 1.983
low: 1.171
 Inventory Turnover 29.696
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 2.031 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 5.116 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA FDX: 29.696
high: 13.044
mean: 5.533
median: 5.004
low: 0.89
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 46.025
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 26.132
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -9.379 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -2.26 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 116.203
FDX: 26.132
median: 25.694
mean: 24.974
low: -61.123
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 5.287
 CapEx To Revenue -0.032
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.709
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 48.4 B
 Net Invested Capital 49.3 B
 Invested Capital 49.3 B
 Net Tangible Assets 21.5 B
 Net Working Capital 4.4 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.405
 Current Ratio 1.274
Current Ratio QoQ 2.224 %
Current Ratio YoY 3.449 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 1.812
FDX: 1.274
mean: 1.265
median: 1.219
low: 0.829
 Quick Ratio 1.235
Quick Ratio QoQ 2.295 %
Quick Ratio YoY 3.924 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 21.528
FDX: 1.235
median: 1.172
mean: 1.111
low: 0.57
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 14.045
 Cost Of Debt 0.188 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 16.885
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 24.884 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 17.634 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 24.425
FDX: 16.885
median: 9.917
mean: 9.646
low: -7.955
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.111
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 23.104
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 2.795
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.358
 Dividend Rate 1.46
 Dividend Yield 0.006
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 0.865 %
 Revenue Growth 5.507 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 4999.074 %
Revenue Growth YoY 206.285 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 18.902 %
mean: 5.794 %
FDX: 5.507 %
median: 1.432 %
low: -7.198 %
 Earnings Growth 25.849 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -170.046 %
Earnings Growth YoY 106.792 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 88.889 %
FDX: 25.849 %
mean: 13.028 %
median: 0.56 %
low: -75.342 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 21.867 %
Gross Margin QoQ 3.625 %
Gross Margin YoY 4.903 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 30.222 %
FDX: 21.867 %
median: 19.987 %
mean: 16.308 %
low: 5.091 %
 EBIT Margin 6.907 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 18.372 %
EBIT Margin YoY 10.107 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 10.777 %
median: 8.786 %
mean: 8.627 %
FDX: 6.907 %
low: -2.859 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 6.907 %
Return On Sales QoQ 18.372 %
Return On Sales YoY 10.107 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 10.519 %
median: 9.099 %
mean: 8.649 %
FDX: 6.907 %
low: -7.05 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1.2 B
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.962 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -3.824 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 164.777 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 4.561 %
median: 3.051 %
mean: 2.266 %
FDX: 1.962 %
low: -2.947 %
 Free Cash Growth 9.241 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 105.675 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -51.486 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 585.318 %
median: 42.073 %
FDX: 9.241 %
mean: 8.753 %
low: -504.706 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.249
 Cash Flow Margin 7.648 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.878
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.077 %
Return On Assets QoQ 15.064 %
Return On Assets YoY 25.087 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.15 %
median: 2.479 %
mean: 2.312 %
FDX: 1.077 %
low: -3.396 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 2.222 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.034
Return On Equity QoQ 14.493 %
Return On Equity YoY 21.321 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.11
median: 0.085
mean: 0.082
FDX: 0.034
low: -0.194
 DuPont ROE 3.419 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.438 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 26.452 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -110.397 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 8.168 %
median: 4.936 %
mean: 4.57 %
FDX: 2.438 %
low: -1.948 %

Six-Week Outlook

Momentum and mean-reversion conflict dominate the next six weeks: very strong ADX and rising short-term EMAs favor continuation of the prevailing uptrend, yet MACD declining, positive MRO and an RSI near 73 suggest heightened risk of a corrective pullback toward structural support around $369. The technical profile implies possible choppy trading with downside pressure testing the short-term support band before trend resolution; fundamental improvements in margins and cash flow should limit the depth of any correction while leverage metrics keep sensitivity to macro or execution shocks elevated.

About FedEx Corporation

FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX) delivers comprehensive logistics and transportation solutions worldwide. Established in 1971 and based in Memphis, Tennessee, FedEx organizes its operations into distinct segments to address diverse shipping needs. FedEx Express provides swift air and ground delivery services, optimizing solutions for time-sensitive shipments across the globe. FedEx Ground emphasizes efficient delivery of small packages, offering cost-effective options for both businesses and individual customers. In the freight domain, FedEx Freight manages less-than-truckload (LTL) services, ensuring precise and careful handling of larger shipments. Beyond transportation, FedEx Services supports clients with a range of offerings in sales, marketing, IT, and customer service, enhancing the overall customer experience. The company also strengthens supply chain management through air and ocean freight forwarding, customs brokerage, and third-party logistics services. FedEx’s commitment to reliable service and customer satisfaction underpins its role in connecting businesses and consumers in an increasingly interconnected global economy. By continually adapting to the evolving demands of commerce, FedEx maintains its position as a key player in the logistics and transportation industry.



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