Motorola Solutions, Inc. (NYSE:MSI) Shows Bearish Technical Signals Despite Solid Cash Generation

Motorola Solutions enters a cautious near-term posture as strong cash flow and recent strategic deals contrast with stretched valuation metrics. Technical momentum suggests potential near-term consolidation against a backdrop of elevated leverage and modest free-cash yields.

Recent News

Nov. 18, 2025 — Board increases quarterly dividend 11% to $1.21 per share, payable Jan. 15, 2026. Nov. 19, 2025 — Company acquires Blue Eye, an AI-powered remote video monitoring services provider. Dec. 8, 2025 — Motorola Solutions Foundation reports record Global Months of Service volunteer hours. Dec. 16–17, 2025 — Buckeye, AZ approves a five-year contract with Motorola Solutions to supply radios, body cameras, in-car video and a cloud-based CAD and evidence-management platform.

Technical Analysis

ADX and Directional Indicators: ADX at 37.19 indicates a strong trend; DI+ shows a peak & reversal and DI- shows a dip & reversal, both implying bearish directional pressure in the short term.

MACD: MACD sits at 5.52 with the signal at 4.07 and has crossed above its signal line, indicating bullish momentum despite the directional divergence signaled by the ADX/DI readings.

MRO: MRO registers -1.7, which signals the current price sits below WMDST’s target and therefore carries potential upward pressure from mean reversion.

RSI: RSI at 51.19, increasing, shows neutral-to-modest bullish momentum without overbought conditions, supporting a measured price range rather than an immediate breakout.

Price vs. Moving Averages and Bands: Last close $402.54 sits just above the 12-day EMA ($398.57) and the 20-day average ($397.43), below the 200-day average ($420.06). Price trades near the upper Bollinger band (1x upper $404.62), indicating short-term strength that meets longer-term resistance.

Support/Volume Context: SuperTrend lower support near $388.04 provides a technical floor. Volume ran below recent averages (today ~957,602 versus 10/50/200-day averages), which reduces conviction behind intraday moves and favors range-bound activity until volume returns.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue and Profitability: Total revenue $3.009B with YoY revenue growth of 43.17% and QoQ change of -5.87%, reflecting strong annual expansion alongside quarter-to-quarter smoothing. Gross margin 51.64% and operating margin 25.46% support robust profitability. EBIT of $828M produces an EBIT margin of 27.52%, above the industry peer mean of 27.101% and above the industry peer median of 18.66%, indicating margin performance on the stronger side of peers.

Earnings and Cash Flow: Reported EPS $4.06 versus an estimate of $3.85 produced an EPS surprise of 5.46%. Operating cash flow $798M and free cash flow $732M translate into a free-cash-flow yield of 0.97%, slightly below the industry peer mean of 1.33%, showing solid cash generation but limited yield relative to peers.

Capital Structure and Leverage: Total debt $9.936B, net debt $8.445B, debt-to-equity 4.27 and debt-to-EBITDA about 10.54x. Debt-to-equity sits well above the industry peer mean of 0.566, signaling materially higher leverage on the balance sheet and elevated refinancing or interest-service sensitivity despite a healthy interest-coverage ratio near 8.04x.

Returns and Efficiency: Return on equity stands at 24.15% while return on assets registers 3.19%; asset turnover about 0.171x. Return and margin dynamics produce strong ROE even as asset efficiency remains modest, consistent with a capital-intensive, software-plus-hardware model.

Shareholder Payouts and Metrics: Dividend yield about 0.24% with a payout ratio near 32.38%, and the board increased the quarterly dividend in November 2025. Valuation multiples show a PE around 111.15, P/B roughly 32.33 and P/S near 25.00; those multiples, combined with modest free-cash yields and elevated leverage, inform WMDST’s view. The current valuation as determined by WMDST: over-valued.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-10-30
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-01-29
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 3.2 B
 Operating Cash Flow 798.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -66.00 M
 Change In Working Capital 46.0 M
 Dividends Paid -182.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta -2.31 B
 End Period Cash Flow 894.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 3.0 B
 Forward Revenue 910.3 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.5 B
 Depreciation 49.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 115.0 M
 Research and Development 237.0 M
 Total Operating Expenses 2.2 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 1.6 B
 EBITDA 943.0 M
 EBIT 828.0 M
 Operating Income 766.0 M
 Interest Income 17.0 M
 Interest Expense 103.0 M
 Net Interest Income -86.00 M
 Income Before Tax 725.0 M
 Tax Provision 161.0 M
 Tax Rate 22.0 %
 Net Income 562.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 563.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 3.85
 EPS Actual 4.06
 EPS Difference 0.21
 EPS Surprise 5.455 %
 Forward EPS 4.08
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 18.8 B
 Intangible Assets 9.9 B
 Net Tangible Assets -7.58 B
 Total Current Assets 5.8 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 894.0 M
 Cash 894.0 M
 Net Receivables 2.0 B
 Inventory 943.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 96.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 1.1 B
 Short-Term Debt 928.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 5.7 B
 Net Debt 8.4 B
 Total Debt 9.9 B
 Total Liabilities 16.5 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 2.3 B
 Retained Earnings 2.6 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 13.96
 Shares Outstanding 166.700 M
 Revenue Per-Share 18.05
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 75.2 B
 Enterprise Value 84.3 B
 Enterprise Multiple 89.36
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -4.84 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 4.747 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 162.207
MSI: 89.36
median: 68.592
mean: 67.054
low: -11.362
 EV/R 28.005
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 8.079
 Asset To Liability 1.142
 Debt To Capital 0.81
 Debt To Assets 0.529
Debt To Assets QoQ 4.109 %
Debt To Assets YoY 2180.155 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.533
MSI: 0.529
median: 0.228
mean: 0.22
low: 0.024
 Debt To Equity 4.27
Debt To Equity QoQ 0.854 %
Debt To Equity YoY 1658.31 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA MSI: 4.27
high: 1.722
median: 0.569
mean: 0.566
low: 0.034
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 32.327
Price To Book QoQ -13.411 %
Price To Book YoY -41.89 %
Price To Book IPRWA MSI: 32.327
high: 21.237
mean: 7.578
median: 5.604
low: -1.369
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 111.147
Price To Earnings QoQ -6.321 %
Price To Earnings YoY -5.948 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 350.333
mean: 111.755
MSI: 111.147
median: 55.548
low: -73.826
 PE/G Ratio 8.098
 Price To Sales (P/S) 25.0
Price To Sales QoQ -5.918 %
Price To Sales YoY -5.445 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 53.135
MSI: 25.0
median: 17.892
mean: 17.489
low: 0.045
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 111.533
Forward PE/G 8.126
Forward P/S 82.634
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 1.162
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.171
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.669 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -16.585 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.543
MSI: 0.171
mean: 0.157
median: 0.126
low: 0.057
 Receivables Turnover 1.555
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.851 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 0.604 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 5.092
median: 2.071
mean: 2.002
MSI: 1.555
low: 0.595
 Inventory Turnover 1.613
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.056 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -3.774 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.69
MSI: 1.613
mean: 1.177
median: 1.079
low: 0.006
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 58.68
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 45.047
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -0.261 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 3.989 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 366.812
mean: 116.118
median: 52.2
MSI: 45.047
low: -92.54
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 19.796
 CapEx To Revenue -0.022
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.347
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 10.7 B
 Net Invested Capital 11.7 B
 Invested Capital 11.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets -7.58 B
 Net Working Capital 152.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.158
 Current Ratio 1.027
Current Ratio QoQ -40.577 %
Current Ratio YoY -17.523 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 5.423
mean: 1.844
median: 1.171
MSI: 1.027
low: 0.722
 Quick Ratio 0.86
Quick Ratio QoQ -43.966 %
Quick Ratio YoY -19.613 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 4.274
mean: 1.516
median: 0.908
MSI: 0.86
low: 0.497
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 10.537
 Cost Of Debt 0.88 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 8.039
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -24.0 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -23.589 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 82.251
mean: 21.46
median: 8.583
MSI: 8.039
low: -29.448
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.084
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 74.512
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 3.088
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.324
 Dividend Rate 1.09
 Dividend Yield 0.002
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 14.544 %
 Revenue Growth 8.825 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -5.867 %
Revenue Growth YoY 43.17 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 44.897 %
MSI: 8.825 %
mean: 4.22 %
median: 3.703 %
low: -31.668 %
 Earnings Growth 13.725 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 11.913 %
Earnings Growth YoY -11.061 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 125.0 %
MSI: 13.725 %
mean: 10.403 %
median: 2.857 %
low: -78.571 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 51.645 %
Gross Margin QoQ 1.061 %
Gross Margin YoY 0.551 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 88.028 %
median: 60.607 %
mean: 57.355 %
MSI: 51.645 %
low: 6.723 %
 EBIT Margin 27.517 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 1.311 %
EBIT Margin YoY -0.036 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 52.219 %
MSI: 27.517 %
mean: 27.101 %
median: 18.66 %
low: -25.54 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 25.457 %
Return On Sales QoQ 1.572 %
Return On Sales YoY -7.52 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 46.033 %
mean: 26.253 %
MSI: 25.457 %
median: 18.046 %
low: -26.82 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 732.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.973 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 217.974 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 2.206 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 7.425 %
median: 1.53 %
mean: 1.328 %
MSI: 0.973 %
low: -8.162 %
 Free Cash Growth 225.333 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -529.771 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -57.225 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 387.5 %
MSI: 225.333 %
mean: 27.879 %
median: 5.822 %
low: -263.379 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.302
 Cash Flow Margin 15.786 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.845
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.192 %
Return On Assets QoQ -4.029 %
Return On Assets YoY -22.656 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.933 %
MSI: 3.192 %
mean: 2.779 %
median: 1.696 %
low: -4.587 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 6.301 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.242
Return On Equity QoQ -7.35 %
Return On Equity YoY -43.017 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.251
MSI: 0.242
mean: 0.067
median: 0.021
low: -0.186
 DuPont ROE 26.169 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 5.536 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -5.593 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -109.629 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 8.517 %
MSI: 5.536 %
mean: 4.389 %
median: 3.009 %
low: -7.355 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term price action likely remains range-bound with downside bias unless short-term momentum from the MACD strengthens alongside rising volume. Strong ADX with DI directional signals currently favor a corrective impulse, while a negative MRO suggests some technical support for a rebound toward recent short-term averages. Elevated leverage and compressed free-cash yields limit the margin for extended upside in the event of broad market weakness. Swing traders should watch whether price sustains above the 12–20 day averages and the superTrend support near $388; failure to hold that support would increase the probability of deeper consolidation, while a volume-backed MACD continuation could reassert short-term strength without resolving the broader valuation disconnect.

About Motorola Solutions, Inc.

Motorola Solutions, Inc. (NYSE:MSI) designs and delivers public safety and enterprise security solutions across the globe, including the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada. The company operates through two primary segments: Products and Systems Integration, and Software and Services. The Products and Systems Integration segment provides a comprehensive range of devices and infrastructure, including two-way radios, video security devices, and communication network solutions. This segment also handles the implementation and integration of these systems for government, public safety, and commercial clients managing private communication networks and video security solutions. The Software and Services segment offers command center software, unified communications applications, and mobile video solutions. It also provides repair, technical support, maintenance, monitoring, software updates, and cybersecurity services. Motorola Solutions caters to industries such as hospitality, manufacturing, military and defense, public safety, mining, oil and gas, transportation, logistics, and utilities. Founded in 1928 and headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, Motorola Solutions continues to support critical communication needs worldwide.



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