CVR Energy, Inc. (NYSE:CVI) Accelerates Deleveraging While Refining Operations Stabilize

Near-term momentum shows tentative technical improvement, but fundamentals and cash flow pressure leave valuation stretched. Operational and financing headlines will likely drive directional moves over the coming weeks.

Recent News

Jan 5, 2026 — CVR Energy completed a $75 million principal payment on its term loan and published a preliminary 2026 capital spending plan of $200–$240 million. Jan 28, 2026 — the company halted renewable diesel production at the Wynnewood, Oklahoma refinery, citing economic and operational challenges. Jan 29, 2026 — CVR disclosed a contemplated private offering of up to $1.0 billion in senior unsecured notes; company materials and an investor presentation appeared in late January.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show strength emerging: ADX at 20.89 signals an emerging trend while DI+ increased to 25.76 and DI- fell to 25.63, a combination that favors upside bias and supports near-term price effort relative to the current valuation.

MACD sits at -0.02 and has turned higher, trading above the signal line at -0.51; that bullish MACD cross signals improving momentum and aligns with recent short-term moving-average behavior.

MRO registers 7.31 and moved higher, indicating price sits above the calculated target and therefore carries greater risk of mean reversion despite recent momentum.

RSI at 44.78 has risen from lower levels, showing warming buying interest without overbought stress; momentum gains remain constructive but not extended.

Price trades above the 12/26-day EMAs and the 20/50-day averages (price close $26.45 vs. 20-day avg $23.09 and 50-day avg $23.88) while remaining below the 200-day average ($29.15), creating a short-term bullish posture inside a longer-term lag.

Bollinger bands sit roughly $19.43–$26.74 for the 2x band and $21.26–$24.92 for the 1x band; the current close near the upper 1x band shows price strength but leaves room for volatility-driven pullbacks. Ichimoku components place price near the short-term cloud boundary, offering mixed support for continuation.

Volume currently lags the 10-day average, reducing conviction behind the most recent advances and increasing sensitivity to headline-driven moves tied to financing or operational updates.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability shows material stress: EBIT of -$94.0M and operating income of -$99.0M produced an EBIT margin of -5.19%, down QoQ by -119.64% and down YoY by -306.32%. EBITDA remained positive at $51.0M, but high depreciation ($145.0M) flipped operating profit negative and pressured net income of -$110.0M.

EPS came in at -$0.80 versus an estimate of -$0.83, producing an EPS surprise of +3.61%, a small beat that provides limited support for sentiment given the loss per share.

Leverage remains elevated: debt-to-equity at 243.97% sits meaningfully above the industry peer mean of 171.61%, while debt-to-assets at 48.06% sits slightly below the industry peer mean of 49.60%. Net debt totals about $1.199B against $511.0M in cash and short-term investments, leaving liquidity present but refinancing risk visible given recent note activity.

Cash flow trends weigh on valuation: operating cash flow reported $68.0M but free cash flow totaled -$56.0M, producing a free cash flow yield of -2.09%. The company reduced term loan principal and outlined capex guidance ($200M–$240M), actions that lower leverage but sustain near-term cash outlays.

Efficiency and working-capital metrics show mixed performance. Asset turnover at 0.470 (above the industry peer mean of 0.3657) suggests relatively effective asset use; receivables turnover at 7.42 remains stronger than the industry peer mean of 5.71. Cash conversion cycle of 16.55 days sits modestly above the industry peer mean of 13.32 days.

Valuation summary: enterprise multiple reads 77.40 and market indicators point to an elevated price relative to fundamentals. The current valuation as determined by WMDST values the stock as over-valued.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-18
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-20
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 670.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 68.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -56.00 M
 Change In Working Capital -24.00 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -159.00 M
 End Period Cash Flow 511.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.8 B
 Forward Revenue -105.37 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.9 B
 Depreciation 145.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 145.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.9 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit -59.00 M
 EBITDA 51.0 M
 EBIT -94.00 M
 Operating Income -99.00 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 29.0 M
 Net Interest Income -29.00 M
 Income Before Tax -123.00 M
 Tax Provision -7.00 M
 Tax Rate 5.691 %
 Net Income -110.00 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -116.00 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.83
 EPS Actual -0.80
 EPS Difference 0.03
 EPS Surprise 3.614 %
 Forward EPS 0.25
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 3.7 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 730.0 M
 Total Current Assets 1.3 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 511.0 M
 Cash 511.0 M
 Net Receivables 235.0 M
 Inventory 472.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 389.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 415.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 14.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 706.0 M
 Net Debt 1.2 B
 Total Debt 1.8 B
 Total Liabilities 2.8 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 730.0 M
 Retained Earnings -777.00 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 7.26
 Shares Outstanding 100.531 M
 Revenue Per-Share 18.00
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 2.7 B
 Enterprise Value 3.9 B
 Enterprise Multiple 77.401
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 973.26 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 852.251 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA CVI: 77.401
high: 69.435
median: 46.587
mean: 42.586
low: -32.323
 EV/R 2.181
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 5.077
 Asset To Liability 1.32
 Debt To Capital 0.709
 Debt To Assets 0.481
Debt To Assets QoQ 3.308 %
Debt To Assets YoY 17002.135 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.524
median: 0.524
mean: 0.496
CVI: 0.481
low: 0.289
 Debt To Equity 2.44
Debt To Equity QoQ 10.36 %
Debt To Equity YoY 14192.501 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA CVI: 2.44
high: 1.855
median: 1.855
mean: 1.716
low: 0.595
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 3.668
Price To Book QoQ -7.413 %
Price To Book YoY 30.568 %
Price To Book IPRWA CVI: 3.668
high: 1.293
median: 1.293
mean: 1.261
low: 0.968
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -33.291
Price To Earnings QoQ -140.231 %
Price To Earnings YoY -77.968 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 610.731
median: 610.731
mean: 538.191
CVI: -33.291
low: -70.286
 PE/G Ratio 0.111
 Price To Sales (P/S) 1.479
Price To Sales QoQ -13.581 %
Price To Sales YoY 45.844 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 1.729
CVI: 1.479
mean: 1.229
median: 1.204
low: 0.738
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 125.977
Forward PE/G -0.42
Forward P/S -25.409
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 17.161
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.47
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -3.531 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -1.687 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.542
CVI: 0.47
median: 0.372
mean: 0.366
low: 0.258
 Receivables Turnover 7.418
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.985 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 9.727 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA CVI: 7.418
high: 5.931
median: 5.931
mean: 5.709
low: 3.591
 Inventory Turnover 3.81
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 39.11 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 0.751 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 6.227
median: 4.478
mean: 4.294
CVI: 3.81
low: 1.863
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 12.301
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 16.548
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 14.068 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 23.032 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 37.832
CVI: 16.548
mean: 13.322
low: 10.44
median: 10.44
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 3.226
 CapEx To Revenue -0.031
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.386
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 2.4 B
 Net Invested Capital 2.4 B
 Invested Capital 2.4 B
 Net Tangible Assets 730.0 M
 Net Working Capital 561.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.724
 Current Ratio 1.795
Current Ratio QoQ -8.326 %
Current Ratio YoY 8.032 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.109
CVI: 1.795
mean: 1.424
median: 1.38
low: 0.735
 Quick Ratio 1.126
Quick Ratio QoQ -12.262 %
Quick Ratio YoY -6.474 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 1.243
CVI: 1.126
mean: 0.823
median: 0.784
low: 0.578
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 34.922
 Cost Of Debt 1.504 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -3.241
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -115.765 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -238.916 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 14.134
median: 1.894
mean: 1.427
CVI: -3.241
low: -10.404
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.096
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 28.047
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -7.164 %
 Revenue Growth -6.893 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -166.33 %
Revenue Growth YoY -210.838 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 117.712 %
median: 42.573 %
mean: 39.111 %
CVI: -6.893 %
low: -15.662 %
 Earnings Growth -300.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 9.524 %
Earnings Growth YoY 305.405 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 112.5 %
mean: -75.899 %
median: -85.938 %
low: -130.556 %
CVI: -300.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin -3.26 %
Gross Margin QoQ -111.357 %
Gross Margin YoY -213.352 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 32.69 %
mean: 9.443 %
low: 8.198 %
median: 8.198 %
CVI: -3.26 %
 EBIT Margin -5.193 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -119.641 %
EBIT Margin YoY -306.317 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 10.009 %
median: 3.523 %
mean: 2.107 %
CVI: -5.193 %
low: -20.367 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -5.47 %
Return On Sales QoQ -120.608 %
Return On Sales YoY -317.322 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 10.896 %
median: 2.023 %
mean: 1.908 %
low: -1.562 %
CVI: -5.47 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -56.00 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -2.092 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -158.014 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -214.756 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 8.36 %
median: 2.25 %
mean: 2.206 %
CVI: -2.092 %
low: -15.008 %
 Free Cash Growth -146.667 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -85.664 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -173.333 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 73.405 %
median: -4.508 %
mean: -38.763 %
CVI: -146.667 %
low: -707.133 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.509
 Cash Flow Margin 3.757 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -0.618
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) -2.858 %
Return On Assets QoQ -130.476 %
Return On Assets YoY -501.404 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 3.001 %
median: -0.489 %
mean: -0.519 %
CVI: -2.858 %
low: -4.6 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -3.133 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.151
Return On Equity QoQ -133.842 %
Return On Equity YoY -465.285 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.093
median: -0.014
mean: -0.016
low: -0.143
CVI: -0.151
 DuPont ROE -14.012 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -3.633 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -122.755 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -8.489 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 6.931 %
median: 0.961 %
mean: 0.681 %
CVI: -3.633 %
low: -6.081 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical momentum offers a modestly constructive near-term backdrop, with DI+ strength and a bullish MACD cross suggesting potential controlled upside. Countervailing forces include a positive MRO (implying price above target), negative operating profitability, and elevated leverage—factors that increase vulnerability to headline or funding shocks. Expect price action that reacts strongly to operational and financing updates and favors range-bound moves with intermittent spikes tied to refinancing or throughput announcements rather than steady trend extension.

About CVR Energy, Inc.

CVR Energy, Inc. (NYSE:CVI), headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas, plays a significant role in the energy sector, concentrating on petroleum refining and nitrogen fertilizer production. Through its Petroleum segment, CVR Energy refines crude oil into essential products like gasoline, diesel, and other refined fuels. The company operates refineries strategically located in southeast Kansas and Wynnewood, Oklahoma, ensuring a steady supply to a wide range of clients, including retailers, railroads, and farm cooperatives. Its logistics network supports efficient distribution, enhancing its market reach. In the Nitrogen Fertilizer segment, CVR Energy utilizes pet coke gasification technology to manufacture nitrogen-based fertilizers. Facilities in North America and East Dubuque, Illinois, produce ammonia, urea ammonium nitrate (UAN), and other agricultural inputs vital for crop yield enhancement. These products serve both agricultural and industrial markets, underscoring their importance in the agricultural supply chain. As a subsidiary of Icahn Enterprises Holdings L.P., CVR Energy integrates a long-standing legacy with contemporary practices, contributing to the energy and agricultural sectors’ growth and sustainability.



© 2026 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.