REX American Resources Corporation (NYSE:REX) Poised For Near-Term Upside As Expansion Nears Completion

REX American Resources shows a bullish technical tilt while fundamentals underline strong liquidity and low leverage; the One Earth expansion timetable frames near-term operational catalysts.

Recent News

On December 4, 2025 the company confirmed the One Earth ethanol production expansion remains on track for 2026 completion and noted ongoing EPA Class VI permitting for the carbon sequestration well with a published EPA decision expected in June 2026. Capital expenditures to date on the One Earth expansion and carbon capture work totaled $155.8 million with a combined project budget of $220–$230 million; the company reported $335.5 million of cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments and no bank debt.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators (ADX / DI+ / DI-): ADX at 14.04 indicates no established trend strength, so directional moves carry limited conviction. DI+ at 23.89 shows a peak-and-reversal pattern, a bearish signal driven by a recent decline in positive-direction momentum. DI- at 19.31 also shows a peak-and-reversal pattern, which reads bullish because negative-direction momentum has eased; with ADX low, these opposing DI signals imply short-term tug-of-war rather than a decisive breakout.

MACD and momentum: MACD sits at 0.43 and runs above its 0.27 signal line with the MACD trend increasing; the MACD crossing above its signal line represents a bullish momentum shift and supports continuation of recent upside pressure.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO equals 29.66 and trends higher; the positive MRO indicates price trading above the model target and therefore raises the likelihood of a price consolidation or pullback from current levels even as momentum climbs.

RSI and price structure: RSI at 55.73 and rising implies neutral-to-favorable buyer bias without overbought extremes. Price at $36.17 sits above the 20-day average ($34.52), the 50-day average ($33.96) and the 200-day average ($29.99); the 12-day EMA trends upward. Price trades near the upper Bollinger band (1x upper band $35.81), suggesting intraday strength but limited near-term upside without volatility expansion.

Support / resistance context: Ichimoku short-term lines cluster near $34.39 and the SuperTrend lower support sits at $33.21, providing nearby technical support levels that align with moving-average support and the lower Bollinger band region.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and margin dynamics: Operating (EBIT) margin stands at 15.90%; that margin improved QoQ by 210.47% but declined YoY by 11.06%. EBIT of $27.918 million and EBITDA of $33.96 million reflect ongoing mid-single-digit profitability on $175.63 million of revenue. Gross margin equals 20.57% but shows a YoY contraction of 9.33%.

Cash, leverage and liquidity: Cash and short-term investments total $335.54 million with no bank debt and total debt of $22.94 million, yielding a debt-to-assets ratio of 3.06% and debt-to-equity of 4.05%. Current ratio registers 7.16 and quick ratio 6.68; cash ratio measures 5.84. Operating cash flow reached $51.24 million and free cash flow equaled $24.51 million, producing a free cash flow yield of 2.39% (above the industry peer mean of 2.01%). The balance-sheet profile highlights ample liquidity relative to working capital demands.

Valuation metrics: Market capitalization sits near $1.02 billion with an enterprise multiple of 20.95x. Forward P/E measures 53.06x and forward P/S reads 29.22x; analysts’ price-target mean equals $39.33 versus a last close of $36.17. WMDST values the stock as under-valued based on the combination of strong cash, low debt and project-driven optionality that the current enterprise multiple does not fully price.

Returns and efficiency: Return on assets equals 3.23% and return on equity equals 4.13%, both positive and above the industry peer mean for return on assets (2.20%) and well above the industry peer mean for return on equity (negative on average). Asset turnover sits at 0.24x and the cash conversion cycle stands at 16.1 days, reflecting efficient working-capital rotation for the business model.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-10-31
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-26
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-25
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 241.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 51.2 M
 Capital Expenditures -26.73 M
 Change In Working Capital 17.9 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 31.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 272.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 175.6 M
 Forward Revenue 35.1 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 139.5 M
 Depreciation 6.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 6.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 147.7 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 36.1 M
 EBITDA 34.0 M
 EBIT 27.9 M
 Operating Income 27.9 M
 Interest Income 3.2 M
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income 3.2 M
 Income Before Tax 35.5 M
 Tax Provision 8.0 M
 Tax Rate 22.529 %
 Net Income 23.4 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 27.5 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate
 EPS Actual
 EPS Difference
 EPS Surprise
 Forward EPS 0.57
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 750.1 M
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 566.9 M
 Total Current Assets 411.7 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 335.5 M
 Cash 272.0 M
 Net Receivables 27.4 M
 Inventory 27.7 M
 Long-Term Investments 1.3 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 33.6 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 57.5 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 22.9 M
 Total Liabilities 93.9 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 566.9 M
 Retained Earnings 566.6 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 17.21
 Shares Outstanding 32.938 M
 Revenue Per-Share 5.33
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.0 B
 Enterprise Value 711.6 M
 Enterprise Multiple 20.955
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -48.412 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 70.455 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 158.339
median: 66.749
mean: 59.217
REX: 20.955
low: -80.633
 EV/R 4.052
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.323
 Asset To Liability 7.992
 Debt To Capital 0.039
 Debt To Assets 0.031
Debt To Assets QoQ -12.828 %
Debt To Assets YoY 273.839 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.706
median: 0.706
mean: 0.556
low: 0.032
REX: 0.031
 Debt To Equity 0.04
Debt To Equity QoQ -10.169 %
Debt To Equity YoY 289.788 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.321
mean: 1.054
median: 0.844
low: 0.045
REX: 0.04
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.807
Price To Book QoQ 16.089 %
Price To Book YoY 27.386 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 4.69
median: 2.725
mean: 2.333
REX: 1.807
low: 0.178
 Price To Earnings (P/E)
Price To Earnings QoQ
Price To Earnings YoY
Price To Earnings IPRWA
 PE/G Ratio
 Price To Sales (P/S) 5.832
Price To Sales QoQ 8.874 %
Price To Sales YoY 27.389 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 11.27
REX: 5.832
median: 5.223
mean: 5.075
low: 0.289
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 53.059
Forward PE/G
Forward P/S 29.219
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 22.667
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.242
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 6.468 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -3.38 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.699
REX: 0.242
mean: 0.178
median: 0.152
low: 0.01
 Receivables Turnover 6.72
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 11.892 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -10.48 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA REX: 6.72
high: 6.454
mean: 2.632
median: 2.212
low: 1.241
 Inventory Turnover 4.704
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.328 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 1.407 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA REX: 4.704
high: 2.207
mean: 0.815
median: 0.327
low: 0.235
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 13.579
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 16.14
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -28.725 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 16.389 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 216.055
median: 216.055
mean: 129.065
REX: 16.14
low: -32.917
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.496
 CapEx To Revenue -0.152
 CapEx To Depreciation -4.424
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 566.9 M
 Net Invested Capital 566.9 M
 Invested Capital 566.9 M
 Net Tangible Assets 566.9 M
 Net Working Capital 354.2 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 5.837
 Current Ratio 7.162
Current Ratio QoQ -31.989 %
Current Ratio YoY -27.874 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 8.017
REX: 7.162
mean: 1.135
median: 0.958
low: 0.555
 Quick Ratio 6.68
Quick Ratio QoQ -30.97 %
Quick Ratio YoY -27.912 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA REX: 6.68
high: 4.567
mean: 0.585
median: 0.507
low: 0.284
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 0.675
 Cost Of Debt 25.593 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 3.557
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 243.903 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -10.677 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 24.0
mean: 5.199
median: 4.75
REX: 3.557
low: -16.907
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.815
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 16.198
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 7.06 %
 Revenue Growth 10.76 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 7531.206 %
Revenue Growth YoY -40.345 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 45.991 %
REX: 10.76 %
mean: -0.469 %
median: -4.454 %
low: -30.276 %
 Earnings Growth
Earnings Growth QoQ
Earnings Growth YoY
Earnings Growth IPRWA
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 20.573 %
Gross Margin QoQ 127.829 %
Gross Margin YoY -9.334 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 65.644 %
median: 65.644 %
mean: 48.603 %
REX: 20.573 %
low: -13.888 %
 EBIT Margin 15.896 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 210.469 %
EBIT Margin YoY -11.061 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 38.458 %
median: 38.458 %
mean: 25.911 %
REX: 15.896 %
low: -25.861 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 15.896 %
Return On Sales QoQ 210.469 %
Return On Sales YoY -11.061 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 32.552 %
median: 32.552 %
mean: 23.103 %
REX: 15.896 %
low: -12.758 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 24.5 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.393 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -453.994 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 5.326 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 5.538 %
REX: 2.393 %
mean: 2.009 %
median: 1.661 %
low: -2.602 %
 Free Cash Growth -527.003 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 1079.505 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 52.636 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 378.23 %
mean: 62.084 %
median: 4.101 %
low: -395.258 %
REX: -527.003 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.047
 Cash Flow Margin 26.659 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.0
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.05
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.228 %
Return On Assets QoQ 216.471 %
Return On Assets YoY -8.06 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.367 %
REX: 3.228 %
median: 3.143 %
mean: 2.196 %
low: -10.305 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 4.031 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.041
Return On Equity QoQ 216.961 %
Return On Equity YoY -4.839 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.063
REX: 0.041
mean: -0.112
low: -0.214
median: -0.214
 DuPont ROE 4.208 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 3.815 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 232.607 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -157.541 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 8.702 %
median: 8.058 %
mean: 5.346 %
REX: 3.815 %
low: -7.471 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical and fundamental signals combine to frame a near-term view of controlled upside with conditional risk of consolidation. Momentum measures (MACD above signal and rising, RSI mid-50s) favor continued testing of recent highs toward the analyst target mean near $39.33, but the positive MRO warns that price currently exceeds model targets and may invite mean-reversion. ADX below 20 signals limited trend strength; expect directional moves to depend on news flow around the One Earth expansion and the EPA permitting timeline. Key technical support lies near $33.20–$34.50 (SuperTrend lower and 20–50 day averages); a sustained move above the Bollinger 1x upper band and the 52-week high would strengthen the near-term bullish case, while failure to hold the Ichimoku/EMA support cluster would increase the probability of a short consolidation back toward the low-$30s.

About REX American Resources Corporation

REX American Resources Corporation (NYSE:REX) produces and markets ethanol and its by-products across the United States. Founded in 1980 and based in Dayton, Ohio, the company delivers a range of products including ethanol, corn, distillers grains, and distillers corn oil. REX American Resources also supplies gasoline and natural gas, catering to the energy sector’s diverse needs. The company provides dry distillers grains with solubles, serving as a protein-rich component in animal feed. Originally known as REX Stores Corporation, the company rebranded in 2010 to better reflect its focus on renewable energy resources. Through its subsidiaries, REX American Resources maintains a commitment to sustainable energy production and agricultural innovation, contributing significantly to the renewable fuels market.



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